After a disappointing third in Ireland Defoe is massively overpriced at 2/1 in the 3.55 at Baden Baden today.
3.55 Baden Baden - Defoe - £100 Win @ 2/1 Sky Bet
This is a horse I've long admired but he must have cut in the ground and it is something that was missing when he disappointed somewhat in Ireland last time. That said he was also running over a shorter trip than ideal. Today I feel he is massively overpriced in a German Group 1, where to be honest the two British horses have the best form. Best Solution was a winner at Hopergarten recently and beat the quirky but talented Mirage Dancer at Newmarket the time before, but Defoe has something Best Solution doesn't and that is a high cruising speed and the ability to pick up off it. We saw this at Newbury first time out this season and Defoe is also a horse who appears to run well fresh. These boxes are all ticked today and his work at home has been pleasing of late. I don't think he has quite shown his true potential yet and I think this is an excellent piece of placing by Roger Varian. I am very confident he will win today.
Soooo ohhh it's magic, you knoowwwwww better believe it's Defoe.
I feel he will be a live L'Arc contender after today.
I wouldn't shrug of the chances of German horses Dschingis Secret and Iquitos quite so easily if i were you domino. These 2 horses run against each other regularly beating each other. Iquitos is preferred by myself today with form figures over this course off 11221, winning a G2 initially before winning this G1 race in 2016 and 2nd to Guignol last year btn 2 lengths with Best Solution 3 1/2 lengths further behind.. Also beat Best Solution at Munich in a G1 over 10fs giving him 9lbs wfa. Iquitos likes to be ridden from behind and looks better over 12fs. Dschingis Secret was just under 2 lengths behind Best Solution at Hoppegarten but beat Hawkbill in the same race last year, Cosgrave left it late to get up that day and Baden-Baden is a totally different course. Windstoss seems to have gone off the boil recently but did win the German Derby at Hamburg last year so is no mug, neither is his trainer. The Mare Night Secret has won her last 5 races at a lower level and seems to have a lot to do as do Khan and Rapido who has finished nearly last in his 3 races since returning from 4 years off. Using Red Verdon as a guide through Mirage Dancer and Best Solution, looks like Defoe would have a similar chance to Best Solution but wouldn't say that 2/1 was overpriced especially after his last performance. Good luck Domino but has to be Iquitos for me.
I wouldn't shrug of the chances of German horses Dschingis Secret and Iquitos quite so easily if i were you domino. These 2 horses run against each other regularly beating each other.Iquitos is preferred by myself today with form figures over this co
Thanks for that input Stewarts, but I'll personally be very surprised and disappointed if Defoe doesn't win. He wasn't 100% in Ireland and was bloodless in his first two races. Yard genuinely feel he is an L'Arc horse and he has everything going for him today, if he is going to have any chance at Longchamp he needs to be winning today.
Thanks for that input Stewarts, but I'll personally be very surprised and disappointed if Defoe doesn't win. He wasn't 100% in Ireland and was bloodless in his first two races. Yard genuinely feel he is an L'Arc horse and he has everything going for
Only an individual with the hide of an elephant could come on here with a thread title of ''Restoring Reputation Today'' after yesterday's 'winning' bet. Domino, assume you are not able to to provide an explanation re this?:-
Andrew in Sweden 01 Sep 18 18:12 £104 on a 1.39 wins £40.56p
or this?:-
domino14 30 Aug 18 17:49 Yes we live in a ground floor apartment on Old Brompton Road in Chelsea
28 Aug 18 20:22 I've just agreed the purchase of a house in Poole's Lane in Chelsea and will be completed within 3 weeks
Only an individual with the hide of an elephant could come on here with a thread title of ''Restoring Reputation Today'' after yesterday's 'winning' bet. Domino, assume you are not able to to provide an explanation re this?:-domino14 01 Sep 18 1
domino14 08 May 18 20:50 Was in London yesterday signing papers on a 4 bedroom house for me and my family to move to, some clown I must be to need that without a mortgage.
domino14 09 May 18 17:04 I've just agreed the purchase of a house in Poole's Lane in Chelsea and will be completed within 3 weeks, Cost £1,480,000. Had to pay holding fee of £80,000 on Monday. No mortgage needed. Will be moved in by June 1st, with my wife and 3 children.
domino14 25 Aug 18 14:05 It is a Ground floor 3 Bed apartment, but it is still larger than the 3 bed house we moved from in Maidenhead.
domino14 26 Aug 18 14:59 It's technically an 11 room apartment
domino14 30 Aug 18 17:49 Yes we live in a ground floor apartment on Old Brompton Road in Chelsea
28 Aug 18 20:22 I've just agreed the purchase of a house in Poole's Lane in Chelsea and will be completed within 3 weeks
domino14 09 Apr 18 17:29 My mate sends me them for free, I don't bet them but been recording them and if anyone seriously follows them to £100 a point, they must be insane.
domino14 21 Jun 18 08:19
I foolishly signed up to Isiris around 6 months ago, via the Mainline and MYC services.
Andrew in Sweden 01 Sep 18 18:12 £104 on a 1.39 wins £40.56p
some good wuns in their.
domino14 08 May 18 20:50 Was in London yesterday signing papers on a 4 bedroom house for me and my family to move to, some clown I must be to need that without a mortgage.domino14 09 May 18 17:04 I've just agreed the purchase of a house in Poole's La
domino14 02 Sep 18 13:17 After a disappointing third in Ireland Defoe is massively overpriced at 2/1 in the 3.55 at Baden Baden today.
3.55 Baden Baden - Defoe - £1 Win @ 2/1 Sky Bet
domino14 02 Sep 18 13:17 After a disappointing third in Ireland Defoe is massively overpriced at 2/1 in the 3.55 at Baden Baden today.3.55 Baden Baden - Defoe - £1 Win @ 2/1 Sky Bet
Poor ride Atzeni, came very wide, lost 2L doing so, and allowed the winner to get first run on him despite sitting behind him in a slowly run race. Would have won with another 50 yards, or a better ride.
Best horse came 2nd but money lost. Oh well.
Poor ride Atzeni, came very wide, lost 2L doing so, and allowed the winner to get first run on him despite sitting behind him in a slowly run race. Would have won with another 50 yards, or a better ride.Best horse came 2nd but money lost. Oh well.
No, they were just a couple of races on ATR when I got up to see to the pets this morning, so had a couple of small lays whilst waiting for family to get up.
@Flukes
Nope wouldn't bet on 2 flies up a wall. No losses I'm sad to tell you, and any losses I do have, I can afford to lose, otherwise wouldn't bet. Sorry to upset you on that.
Lost £100 with Sky Bet, £195 up on Betfair. Happy with that for a day, but will have a few bets on second half of football as well.
@MouseNo, they were just a couple of races on ATR when I got up to see to the pets this morning, so had a couple of small lays whilst waiting for family to get up.@FlukesNope wouldn't bet on 2 flies up a wall. No losses I'm sad to tell you, and any l
can someone ask for the screamshot of this bet please. im going 1000 its a no show.
domino14 01 Sep 18 17:48 2018-09-0117:42 135975694635 2018-09-0117:15 GB Chest 1st Sep / 17:35 4 TBP / Project Bluebook Back 1.39 104.00 Won 44.87can someone ask for the screamshot of this bet please. im going 1000
Domino, how do you explain the apparent discrepancy in your 4 place bet yesterday on Project Bluebook? Surely is there is a logical explanation.domino14 01 Sep 18 17:48 2018-09-0117:42 135975694635 2018-09-0117:15 GB Chest 1st Sep / 17:3
Coming out of my cage And I've been doing just fine Gotta gotta be down Because I want it all It started out with a kiss How did it end up like this It was only a kiss, it was only a kiss Now I'm falling asleep And she's calling a cab While he's having a smoke And she's taking a drag Now they're going to bed And my stomach is sick And it's all in my head But she's touching his chest Now, he takes off her dress Now, letting me go I just can't look its killing me And taking control Jealousy, turning saints into the sea Swimming through sick lullabies Choking on your alibis But it's just the price I pay Destiny is calling me Open up my eager eyes Cause I'm Mr Brightside I'm coming out of my cage And I've been doing just fine Gotta gotta be down Because I want it all It…
Coming out of my cageAnd I've been doing just fineGotta gotta be downBecause I want it allIt started out with a kissHow did it end up like thisIt was only a kiss, it was only a kissNow I'm falling asleepAnd she's calling a cabWhile he's having a smok
domino14 08 May 18 20:50 Was in London yesterday signing papers on a 4 bedroom house for me and my family to move to, some clown I must be to need that without a mortgage.
domino14 09 May 18 17:04 I've just agreed the purchase of a house in Poole's Lane in Chelsea and will be completed within 3 weeks, Cost £1,480,000. Had to pay holding fee of £80,000 on Monday. No mortgage needed. Will be moved in by June 1st, with my wife and 3 children.
domino14 25 Aug 18 14:05 It is a Ground floor 3 Bed apartment, but it is still larger than the 3 bed house we moved from in Maidenhead.
domino14 26 Aug 18 14:59 It's technically an 11 room apartment
domino14 30 Aug 18 17:49 Yes we live in a ground floor apartment on Old Brompton Road in Chelsea
28 Aug 18 20:22 I've just agreed the purchase of a house in Poole's Lane in Chelsea and will be completed within 3 weeks
domino14 09 Apr 18 17:29 My mate sends me them for free, I don't bet them but been recording them and if anyone seriously follows them to £100 a point, they must be insane.
domino14 21 Jun 18 08:19
I foolishly signed up to Isiris around 6 months ago, via the Mainline and MYC services.
Andrew in Sweden 01 Sep 18 18:12 £104 on a 1.39 wins £40.56p
domino14 08 May 18 20:50 Was in London yesterday signing papers on a 4 bedroom house for me and my family to move to, some clown I must be to need that without a mortgage.domino14 09 May 18 17:04 I've just agreed the purchase of a house in Poole's La
domino14 03 Sep 18 16:05 Result will stand, Mosse is trying to hold the winner in, and got outmuscled. No riding offence, no interference and neither horse lost momentum. Result will stand.
domino14 03 Sep 18 16:05 Result will stand, Mosse is trying to hold the winner in, and got outmuscled. No riding offence, no interference and neither horse lost momentum. Result will stand.domino14 03 Sep 18 16:20 Amended result, I'm surprise