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Willie Shafter.
21 Jun 18 23:44
Joined:
Date Joined: 15 Jul 04
| Topic/replies: 38,851 | Blogger: Willie Shafter.'s blog
as impressive a performance you are ever likely to ever see...
but from a novice stakes to a competitive group 1..
can it take it in its stride?
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Report Willie Shafter. June 21, 2018 11:46 PM BST
the 2nd lto has won twice since...now rated 94..this beat t 8L on the snaff..so makes its 105 rating look lenient in theory..Cool
Report mouse muldoon June 21, 2018 11:58 PM BST
James Dean & Dommie say: is this an official tip?
Report Willie Shafter. June 22, 2018 12:12 AM BST
no mouse..

if it was in a lesser race then it would be a 10 star bet..but upped to a g1 its a watching brief Sad
Report mouse muldoon June 22, 2018 12:18 AM BST
Makes sense. Very difficult race, 22 entries and only 12 for the Jubilee on Sat, which of course 3yos are still eligible for.
Report mouse muldoon June 22, 2018 12:19 AM BST
Which could be a strong hint for Merchant Navy.
Report Willie Shafter. June 22, 2018 12:31 AM BST
i aint looked yet.
Report mouse muldoon June 22, 2018 12:40 AM BST
Actually, ignore that about MN, I'm assuming it's because the AUS breds aren't eligible for the CC given that he gets no wfa in the GJ
Report mouse muldoon June 22, 2018 12:41 AM BST
Or he may be eligible but he'd have to give the field 7lb
Report BigField June 22, 2018 12:42 AM BST
Equilateral - Commonwealth Cup
Betfair Bet ID 1:126030236981 | Matched: 19-May-18 04:23:35
Back
55.00
4.00
--
216.00

Equilateral - Commonwealth Cup
Betfair Bet ID 1:126030322453 | Matched: 19-May-18 04:26:01
Back
50.00
9.00
--
441.00

Equilateral - Commonwealth Cup
Betfair Bet ID 1:126070307654 | Matched: 19-May-18 13:31:23
Back
50.00
4.00
--
196.00
Report BigField June 22, 2018 12:43 AM BST
and £10 e/w at 50s :)
Report Willie Shafter. June 22, 2018 12:47 AM BST
what made you bet it for a gr1 before donc bf?
Report BigField June 22, 2018 12:51 AM BST
its debut win really impressed me, it took a few lengths out of a horse in a few strides, the trainer and the breeding too.
Report Willie Shafter. June 22, 2018 1:25 AM BST
aye..was obv amiss 2nd run..

gl tomorrow.
Report BigField June 22, 2018 1:34 AM BST
exactly that's the chance you sometimes have to take antepost betting, thanks mate hoping for a good run
Report duffy June 22, 2018 1:38 AM BST
What am I missing, how was the 9 available a couple minutes after the 4 Confused
Report BigField June 22, 2018 1:41 AM BST
the 4 was at 55s if I remember correctly there was only £4 available at 55s, the next price available was 50s
Report duffy June 22, 2018 1:44 AM BST
apologies I'm a dope, I was reading it tother way roundCrazy gl, looks potentially special
Report BigField June 22, 2018 1:47 AM BST
cheers unfortunately im working tomorrow so will have to be a mobile phone job!
Report scaredmoney June 22, 2018 2:33 AM BST
I read it same way duffy!! LaughLaugh

GL tomorrow BF....and everyone else of course
Report Andrew in Sweden June 22, 2018 6:27 AM BST
Bigfield,

VWD on your bet, you've got a great price obviously and it was a good spot. Considering the stake, you're probably going to let it ride, but a trade might be worth considering.

Visually, very impressive LTO and could be another Dayjur, or just a good sprinter that will win occassionally. If you disect the form, is it actually as good as first thought ?

Won well on debut, but it was an egg and spoon maiden at Bath. Looking at all the runners form there is only a single win before and after the race.

Forget it's 2nd run, it was eased and maybe something was amiss.

It's best run was obviously LTO, but ignoring the runner-up for a moment, there are only 2 wins from all runners before and after the race.

The bottom line is his form is based around one horse (rated 84) from one run, good that it was.

Will Ascot suit him ? York and Doncaster are flat tracks. Bath has a steady incline in the straight.

He's meeting hardened, experienced group class sprinters, a massive step up on what he's achieved so far, although he's earned the right to be entered of course.

Should he be favourite ? Not for me
Would i lay him at 5's   No
Would i lay him at 3's   Definitely

I may lay the 3TBP anyway, but i wish you good luck.

I like Invincible Army, but what do i know Wink
Report Andrew in Sweden June 22, 2018 6:39 AM BST
I forgot to mention trainer form Wink
Report Willie Shafter. June 22, 2018 9:32 AM BST
i said what andrew said in 3 lines Wink
Report Andrew in Sweden June 22, 2018 9:40 AM BST
Willie, i'm an engineer and work with minute details WinkLaugh
Report Willie Shafter. June 22, 2018 2:55 PM BST
favourite tool a micrometer?
Report Andrew in Sweden June 22, 2018 3:45 PM BST
Grin

Hype
Report Deptford June 22, 2018 3:46 PM BST
As soon as P Kealy put it up you was in trouble
Report Willie Shafter. June 22, 2018 3:47 PM BST
ran terrible but so did a few..
Report TheFear June 22, 2018 3:50 PM BST
nother awful tip
Report Willie Shafter. June 22, 2018 3:51 PM BST
mouse muldoon    21 Jun 18 23:58 
James Dean & Dommie say: is this an official tip?

Willie Shafter.    22 Jun 18 00:12 
no mouse..

Cool
Report mouse muldoon June 22, 2018 3:52 PM BST
When is the next official tip, please?
Report Willie Shafter. June 22, 2018 4:02 PM BST
when i use the word 'official'
Report mouse muldoon June 22, 2018 4:07 PM BST
Cool
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