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21 Jun 18
23:44
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Date Joined:
15 Jul 04
as impressive a performance you are ever likely to ever see...
but from a novice stakes to a competitive group 1..
can it take it in its stride?
but from a novice stakes to a competitive group 1..
can it take it in its stride?
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Replies: 32
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the 2nd lto has won twice since...now rated 94..this beat t 8L on the snaff..so makes its 105 rating look lenient in theory..
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James Dean & Dommie say: is this an official tip?
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no mouse..
if it was in a lesser race then it would be a 10 star bet..but upped to a g1 its a watching brief  |
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Makes sense. Very difficult race, 22 entries and only 12 for the Jubilee on Sat, which of course 3yos are still eligible for.
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Which could be a strong hint for Merchant Navy.
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i aint looked yet.
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Actually, ignore that about MN, I'm assuming it's because the AUS breds aren't eligible for the CC given that he gets no wfa in the GJ
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Or he may be eligible but he'd have to give the field 7lb
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Equilateral - Commonwealth Cup
Betfair Bet ID 1:126030236981 | Matched: 19-May-18 04:23:35 Back 55.00 4.00 -- 216.00 Equilateral - Commonwealth Cup Betfair Bet ID 1:126030322453 | Matched: 19-May-18 04:26:01 Back 50.00 9.00 -- 441.00 Equilateral - Commonwealth Cup Betfair Bet ID 1:126070307654 | Matched: 19-May-18 13:31:23 Back 50.00 4.00 -- 196.00 |
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and £10 e/w at 50s :)
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what made you bet it for a gr1 before donc bf?
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its debut win really impressed me, it took a few lengths out of a horse in a few strides, the trainer and the breeding too.
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aye..was obv amiss 2nd run..
gl tomorrow. |
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exactly that's the chance you sometimes have to take antepost betting, thanks mate hoping for a good run
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What am I missing, how was the 9 available a couple minutes after the 4
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the 4 was at 55s if I remember correctly there was only £4 available at 55s, the next price available was 50s
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apologies I'm a dope, I was reading it tother way round
 gl, looks potentially special |
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cheers unfortunately im working tomorrow so will have to be a mobile phone job!
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I read it same way duffy!!
 GL tomorrow BF....and everyone else of course |
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Bigfield,
VWD on your bet, you've got a great price obviously and it was a good spot. Considering the stake, you're probably going to let it ride, but a trade might be worth considering. Visually, very impressive LTO and could be another Dayjur, or just a good sprinter that will win occassionally. If you disect the form, is it actually as good as first thought ? Won well on debut, but it was an egg and spoon maiden at Bath. Looking at all the runners form there is only a single win before and after the race. Forget it's 2nd run, it was eased and maybe something was amiss. It's best run was obviously LTO, but ignoring the runner-up for a moment, there are only 2 wins from all runners before and after the race. The bottom line is his form is based around one horse (rated 84) from one run, good that it was. Will Ascot suit him ? York and Doncaster are flat tracks. Bath has a steady incline in the straight. He's meeting hardened, experienced group class sprinters, a massive step up on what he's achieved so far, although he's earned the right to be entered of course. Should he be favourite ? Not for me Would i lay him at 5's No Would i lay him at 3's Definitely I may lay the 3TBP anyway, but i wish you good luck. I like Invincible Army, but what do i know  |
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I forgot to mention trainer form
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i said what andrew said in 3 lines
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Willie, i'm an engineer and work with minute details
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favourite tool a micrometer?
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 Hype |
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As soon as P Kealy put it up you was in trouble
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ran terrible but so did a few..
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nother awful tip
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mouse muldoon 21 Jun 18 23:58
James Dean & Dommie say: is this an official tip? Willie Shafter. 22 Jun 18 00:12 no mouse.. |
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When is the next official tip, please?
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when i use the word 'official'
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