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class is class forget the dross,
class is class forget the dross,
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Replies: 115
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why Blazer mepoor, are you going on the visually impressive last time out win?
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1 50 newbury a race where every horsed needs to up there game to win, but zeroshadesofgrey is lightly raced and dosnt need to show much improvment in this race if any,i think he has a couple of lbs uphand with the likely fav in sykes,you could worry about trainers
form with so many pulled up, but in general if they where fancied to point they run well , should not mind ground.the top weight of pipes gevrey chamberlin you just don't know what your going to get, but he is in with shout if putting in best foot, pipe won this race last year, the main worry is trainers form here but I might just put little saver on this, as my head tells me should run some sort of race against these.alot will jump on keltus because trainer hitting form but he just looks like hes got at least 7lbs to find with zeroshades and that's nota ccounting for zeroshades improvement. |
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going to write that race up now
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3 35 newbury the first think that you say as soon as you look at this race is w mullins has ruined it as betting race, how can you work out form with so many irish from one yard, then you also see hobbs kept in top weight for weights for his other runner with r Johnston aboard, but I honestly do believe that the top weight is now better in of hobbs too, but both now have more to find to win this,and I'm trying to get the winner here not a place,so back to mullins he has a lot of horses here some you can discount has not handicapped to win, but blazer he beat a handicap horse last time out and gave it 15lbs so that alone makes his mark look reasonable,
but then when you add how much he beat the horse all of a sudden he looks like he has that winning margin in hand here maybe 10lbs, which giving most in this race do need to improve could even make him more better in than even that just like a novice I thought was stone better in other day and won just like that.when you see that most need to improve handicap marks it makes the dark horses more interesting like blazer.there is a couple that I'm having savers on here though affaire dhonnier is so lightly raced he could be a other dark horse unlike selection form and he dosnt have the handicap mark infact could be 20lbs inferior but the trainers horses are flying and it is possible this has been a secret target with tons of improvement hidden so would not be shock.the other one I like is forrest bihan 2 runs ago was beaten by minstrels gallery who hacked up yesterday for me, he needs to improve on that but he did nest time out a lot will look at catterick and dismisss him, but trainer knows how to land touches and on last run hes more like the horse on right mark here so don't doubt he can get it in here. |
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3 50 warwick not the easiest of races I have went for niceonefrankie purely on handicap mark hes not to bad in needs to run to best,
hate betting one and giving so many negatives like trainers form isn't best, breeding makes me worry about going,but usually the trainer gets horses she knows will act on soft going so I'm trusting her more than anything not wise when shes not in form.but he has 7lbs in hand cogry who a famous tipster in here has napped, and I just believe like one of mine last Saturday sew on target its not as much hes good thing as the rest don't look good enough either. because this race is such that no one wants it I'm taking as avert on the bottom one headlys bridge he will love the ground and is of winning mark so really everything is right for him,not raced for a year ,trainer no known form. impossible to gauge where this horse is at might come in to race like abull more than race horse or might come in ready, and if it is then can deff win this. |
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Mullins has ruined the race as a betting race and you cant work out the irish form but your selecting blazer a horse trained by mullins and an irish horse
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3 45 lingfield this really is a typical tight all weather race where were now juggling single lbs between them so should be very tight finish, but a lb here or there makes the photo finishes go your way, a lot think unlucky when they get beat in photos but if your on the right handicapped horse you will deff win more tight finishes than loose, and you can tell by my reaction I do exspect this to be tight, I have went for si senor I honestly believe he has a lb in hand with the top weight mutawathea so these to could battle it out the top weight trainer is flying so I will have cover bet on this, the likely fav bravo solo is also well in even a lb better than mine but I'm looking at trainers form and thinking mine might be in better form and just improve today.
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I'm not trying to be ignorant to any one by the way, the reason I'm here and trying to stick to a lot tighter betting, and controlled study which I'm doing now. is my mother died couple a weeks ago thought deep about giving the money she gave me to wife and not wasting it gambling it away ,that got me thinking about the horses I have loved all my life,so booked holiday for wife unfortuatly week before chelters so will now need work that week never been heard lol.but will let me stick to theory then also.so I came up with 4 reasons horses win races and all my bets are based on them.and so far going great even couple weeks before I started this thread, I also relize we need be positive in the time we have so I'm not talking about people having opinion like statman its the people who with with drivel that we all know they could not bet in tight form races if they tried.so any one is welcome to ask me about the races I bet in.just not the 4 things I use as that would give my edge away,
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this thread is different from the rest and I dedicate it to my mother , so any profit it gives long term she has past on some how.
my parents meant the world to me now both gone.so please respect this thread if you would, and any one who thinks they can come on and try be silly all I can say is every one on betfair knows you are the silliest little boys around.god bless you though as you will need ityou cant hide from your selfs in this life, so I do understand if there is any torment going on in your lifes its not easy, but you can turn it round believe in your selfs. |
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Wtf
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was always going to be a tough day today,one beaten in close finish which I thought would be tight race, one second at least had e/w
so a loss of of -5 points today, I think the four selections all run well and that's all you can really exspect at start of day. total +31.15 points.hope tomorrows races more interesting I really did think today was poor for Saturday, and limited losses, was only half length of profit in poor day so its still all good. |
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the one to take out of todays is affaire dhonnier was stone last turning into the straight, said it could be a massive improver,
stayed on well for a place, just might have ruined a brilliant handicap mark now ,run of 132 here if they leave it as well beat by winner get on next time depends race ofcourse,i think it has about 5lbs in hand yet so improvement and it will win races. |
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well not sure if racing on tomorrow but there done now lol.really was poor today nothing to get head into already think tomorrows are more interesting if getting go ahead so heres hoping.
3 10 Exeter the eaglehaslanded 13/2 1pt e/w 3 40 Exeter restless harry 6/1 1pt e/w 3 20 southwell cross fire 3/1 2pts win |
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gl mepoor
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just thought would add my mothers name was lizzie Kelly, just gives me a smile every time I here her name at the races.
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just thought would add my mothers name was lizzie Kelly, just gives me a smile every time I here her name at the races.
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just thought would add my mothers name was lizzie Kelly, just gives me a smile every time I here her name at the races.
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not great today at all never looked like winner -4points today.
total +27.15 |
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2 bets tomorrow lets hope get start of week of to flyer
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3 00 plumpton prouts pub 10/1 1pt e/w
4 10 catterick Shimla dawn 16/1 1pt e/w |
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seemed something went amiss with prouts pub . and other one didn't find anything when pace quickened,but that's life at they odds.
total points +23.15 |
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just shows that learning patience is key, took me long enough and just wait till the races present them selfs, hopefully get back to profit ways tomorrow.
3 45 lingfield john reel 5/1 2 pts win 4 00 Musselburgh teo vivo 5/2 2 pts win 3 35 towcester jean fleming 7/1 1 pt e/w |
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little unlucky john reel getting caught on the line, but one winner so +1 point today better than losing.
total points +24.15 |
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3 40 kelso landecker 9/1 1pt e/w
3 55 liecester pride of the castle 11/4 2pts win |
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Mepoor when considering your selecrions do you take market position into consideration,on the premise that if a horse has shown good form particularly winning form in better class race then it,s market position maybe should reflect it,s chances,as the final arbitters surely are those in charge.Just a thought.good luck to-day.
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been tough week that's for sure.makes you relise why you must tread carefully and wait till you get other good win to boost profit.
and never up bets just stay steady,total profit+22.15. to be fair they have look diar all week. |
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20.15 possible
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dead right lol
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3.05 fakenham marden court 11/4 2 pts win
2 10 sandown fairy rath 11/1 2pts win 4 20 sandown loose chips 6/1 2pts win 4 00 lingfield Slovak 2 pts win |
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little disappointed that loose chips got beat as really fancied that and looked like winning all the way, still 2 seconds and winner.
+16 points profit. total +36.15 points |
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4 10 ascot grand introduction 8/1 2pts win
2 40 haydock rigadin de beauchene 6/1 2pts win 2 50 wincanton cadoudoff 5/2 2pts win 3 55 wincanton keel haul 6/1 2pts win |
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last bad day, so not been on as busy at work, going on holiday soon now +28.15 points.going to stick to only horses over 5/1 at time of writting.
3 40 ludlow sun cloud 2 pts win 7/1 5 25 ludlow destinys gold 2 pts win 15/2 3 05 ludlow truckers highway 2 pts win 9/1 2 30 ludlow valliant creek 2pts win 16/1 go on risk a little e/w yankee i dare you.  |
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wd on 1st placed
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went to pieces after that but tahts life with better prices ,+20.15.
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two bets
4 30 newbury guards chapel 2pts win 11/2 2 10 doncaster pied du roi 2pts win 11/2 |
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Are these the first Class 4 runners you've selected?
I believe they are! Good luck |