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to lose.
Thank me later
Thank me later
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worst day ever.
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Sod's Law, works every time.
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ever?
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yes. ever. so far today
Total races 29 Favs 17/29, SR 58.62%, Ave SP 3.12 (100/3.12 = 32.05%) possibly Chelms may settle down a bit tonight, but Im not too hopeful. if your backing favs you would be laffin. if your me youre not. but I wouldnt be backin for the next day or so, cos the bookies and me want it back. Thank Gawd it always returns to normal eventually. In this case I reckon it will take at least a week. If you were laying using the Betfair fav, it was even worse! |
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Jufn needs to lose for me today....
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one man's meat is another one's poison and all that...
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if you laid all the BF favs today your bank is bust.
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Jufn is evens. A toss of the coin...
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Jufn a half brother to a first time out AW winner although more stoutly bred, dam related to some turf stakes winners in america
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I think the price is more the percieved weakness of the race rather than supreme confidence
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canford is a nice back to lay here - gonna lay at 5 ir for a nice profit
backed at 7.8 |
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thats not good news for me then. But stranger things have happened.
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canford is a place lay to end all place lays
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rather place lay canford than lay the fav
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Its not so much the 50+% fav winners; its the high price they went off at.
V.v. unusual... |
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lex - you cant just lay ALL favs at bsp - its the most obvious plan ever .
explain please ? |
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bloody hell 5.4 now -- not off yet
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no I lay at well below ISP - industry sp. in running or trade or whatever. just need to get at least below 15% ISP. today was not a good day. But after many years doing it, I suppose I was due a hit. Luckily I restart my banks when the target is reached. but just recently its be a right old bugger..
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here we go...
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like i say strange things happen - Jufn fluffed the start...
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it wins despite doing eveything wrong.
Just sums up an awful day |
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yes I traded a bit. but bloody hell..
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what price did that go?
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a nice 26 nicker profit >>
how you manage to lay them all lower than isp? |
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jufn £45 @110
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I lay in play or by trading / dutching / lay another one etc etc
some of that was mine. but well hammered today. Time for a stiff drink I reckon. |
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so if a fav is 2/1 isp you just put an ir lay in at lower than 3 and hope for the best ?
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Lex you say its your worst day ever. Bart Simpson once said that and Homer told him it was the worst day so far. Having a few sh1t days myself recently. Was having a big percentage of 2nds now there coming 3rd.
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drawdowns are all part of the game - learn to handle them - keep with the strategy - understand that strategies are cyclical and you are well on your way ....
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starting with a grand bank this is the state of play so far this evening
365 races, 130 favs, = 35.62%, Ave ISP 2.88 @ 34.72% 01-11-2015, 50%, £779.77 ---22% !!!!!!!!!!!! 02-11-2015, 21.05%, £972.94 +24.8%********** 5 favs! 03-11-2015, 40%, £909.5 ---6.5%********** 5 favs! 04-11-2015, 36.84%, £858.79 ---5.6% 05-11-2015, 42.42%, £745.5 ---13.2% 06-11-2015, 36.36%, £751.73 +0.8% 07-11-2015, 16.28%, £1432.63 +90.6% 08-11-2015, 32.14%, £1782.71 +24.4% 09-11-2015, 30%, £1766.32 ---0.9% 10-11-2015, 22.22%, £2472.56 +40% 11-11-2015, 41.67%, £2023.25 ---18.2% 12-11-2015, 56.67%, £728.29 ---64% !!!!!!!!!!!! the highs and lows of racing. and my worst day. ever. |
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laying favs
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but with a twist roids. As Arniw says - oil me back.
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what the heck does that mean ?
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if laying favs was profitable the world would be doing it.
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it is profitable if you do it below ISP. Been saying it for a long time on here and youve been reading it too. Today was a bad day at the office.
The world trys to do it, but you need the stats, the management and the methodology. Doing it blind you would be bust today. I'm just nursing a bit of a hit. |
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where do you place your bets on betfair?
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