Forums
There is currently 1 person viewing this thread.
These 702 comments are related to the topic:
Making a Profit from EW doubles pt II

Post your reply

Text Format: Table: Smilies:
Forum does not support HTML
Insert Photo
Cancel
Page 7 of 18  •  Previous | 1 | ... | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | ... | 18 | Next
sort by:
Show
per page
Replies: 702
By:
Greg_Gory
When: 29 Aug 15 16:49
Dont mean that in a sarcastic way either.A prophets a prophet wd Happy
By:
GLASGOWCALLING
When: 29 Aug 15 17:12
pays more than that greg surely.???   dont forget its x e/w doubles, not just the win. .....Happy

  he has 6 winning bets dont forget.   Happy
By:
PennyPincher
When: 29 Aug 15 17:31
Bet 27
Miss me now,kalopsia, present flower 545 w
American pharoah , frosted, Texas red. 10.46 s
9 x £10 ew doubles
By:
Greg_Gory
When: 29 Aug 15 17:41
thats what I got paid out m8 Shocked
By:
GLASGOWCALLING
When: 29 Aug 15 17:45
.. ok, greg, you may well be right.. i just thought you were talking about the win double. as you say a profits a profit. Happy
By:
Greg_Gory
When: 29 Aug 15 17:46
but 14 losing bets aswell but still doubled
By:
PennyPincher
When: 29 Aug 15 21:17
I will take this opportunity to insist that anyone who criticises this is awkward at best its weeks of profit, what's more escalating profit following on from previous profits. I personally would never criticise anyone who made it pay but good luck to everyone xxx
By:
roida
When: 29 Aug 15 21:23
ignore the ( . ) ( . ) pp...they are all seethers...
By:
Greg_Gory
When: 29 Aug 15 21:25
i'm not criticizing,i'm praising you Shocked
By:
GLASGOWCALLING
When: 29 Aug 15 22:03
chill out greg, i think pp is talking about earlier in the week comments. Happy
By:
Greg_Gory
When: 29 Aug 15 22:08
oh them

daft tw@ts should have more sense Angry


Grin
By:
swift-tuttle
When: 30 Aug 15 12:49
a possible analysis

1) first leg win singles - before anyone shouts that they aren't singles, they are at this point in time. Nothing special here except that the third favourite is generally overstaked as compared with normal dutching. This is because of the level staking plan. There is no logical reason for this overstaking.

2) first leg place singles - Choice of race is obviously very important and calls for a certain amount of skill/nous on the part of the bettor. If there is value in the place bets, then that value exists because of what is commonly called 'bad ew races'. Again the third choice seems to be overstaked. As has been noted, late non-runners (reducing 3 places to 2 in the event of backing outside) could be detrimental to the bet as  a whole.

3) strategy of choosing doubles over singles placement - not clear to me if any advantage exists here. It is more convenient to the bettor especially if he is betting outside. The doubles strategy is actually very rigid in terms of staking. I know variations could be introduced by laying the second leg on here but so what?

4) the bet seems to be a safe one because of the frequency of returns - there's no denying this and I'm not trying to. This point may be linked to 3) because 3) perhaps rules out human nature (taking profit) in not going ahead with leg 2 if leg 1 is a good winner. Again it seems to come back to choice of race ( I say race in the assumption that its is always the market leaders (2 or 3) that are chosen) and the skill in so doing.

5) It will be interesting to see a much longer test - bookies seemed to survive bad ew bets (perhaps by restrictions) and I have always though that multiple bets are a useful screen in this respect. If the success of this bet rests on the place doubles (which some more detailed analysis may be able to find out) and the bet becomes more popular, then the bookies may do something about it.


I'll  leave it there for now.
By:
PennyPincher
When: 30 Aug 15 15:25
Bet 1 Stake £180 Returned £135 P&L -£45
Bet 2 Stake £180 Returned £365 P&L +£140
Bet 3 Stake £200 Returned £156 P&L +£96
Bet 4 Stake £200 Returned £252 P&L +£148
bet 5 Stake £180 Returned £211 P&L +£179
Bet 6 Stake £180 Returned £175 P&L +£174
Bet 7 Stake £240 Returned £288 P&L +£222
Bet 8 Stake £180 Returned £114 P&L +£156
Bet 9 Stake £180 Returned £194 P&L +£170
Bet 10 Stake £180 Returned £163 P&L +£153
Bet 11 Stake £180 Returned £475 P&L +£448
Bet 12 Stake £180 Returned £204 P&L +£472
Bet 13 Stake £180 Returned £193 P&L +£485
Bet 14 Stake £200 Returned £341 P&L +£626
Bet 15 Stake £180 Returned £208 P&L +£654
Bet 16 Stake £180 Returned £109 P&L +£583
Bet 17 Stake £240 Returned £471 P&L +£814
Bet 18 Stake £180 Returned £110 P&L +£744
Bet 19 stake £180 Returned £283 P&L +£847
Bet 20 stake £180 Returned £304 P&L +£971
Bet 21 stake £200 Returned £284 P&L +£1055
Bet 22 Stake £180 Returned £100 P&L +£975
Bet 23 Stake £180 Returned £199 P&L +£994
Bet 24 Stake £240 Returned £284 P&L +£1038
Bet 25 Stake £240 Returned £120 P&L +£918
Bet 26 Stake £240 Returned £515 P&L +£1193
Bet 27 Stake £180 Returned £128 P&L +£1141
By:
irishone
When: 30 Aug 15 18:43
excellent swift , one wonders Confused!
By:
lumponlarge
When: 30 Aug 15 20:51
pp ... very impressive. Are your returns calculated at SP ?
By:
Facts
When: 30 Aug 15 21:43
Read opening post
By:
lumponlarge
When: 31 Aug 15 08:50
facts ... thanks for your pointer .... I have now read the opening post .... but the results (of the most recent bet 27 for example) don't tie into any prices available in the real world. Only penny pincher can show me otherwise geeza
By:
THE-GHOST-OF-DICKIE-BIRD
When: 31 Aug 15 08:55
She has said she does them cash in the shops to smallish stakes lumpon.

Of cause she would get mullered online, but for her it works aand you cant knock it i m o
By:
Greg_Gory
When: 31 Aug 15 10:05
Her Shocked
By:
cardifffc
When: 31 Aug 15 10:12
he..........nap
By:
PennyPincher
When: 31 Aug 15 10:30
Her
By:
roida
When: 31 Aug 15 10:39
women dont gamble..
By:
roida
When: 31 Aug 15 10:39
(on horses)
By:
Greg_Gory
When: 31 Aug 15 10:48
some will tell her she belongs in the kitchen


but thats cos they dont know what to do with her in the bedroom LoveWinkLaugh
By:
roida
When: 31 Aug 15 10:49
wonder if she' airy Tongue Out
By:
PennyPincher
When: 31 Aug 15 10:50
I don't really call it gambling but there you go.

Anyway bet 28

Don Keyhoe Tay, Emerald 4:55 R
Seventh Lute, Keef Kha, Battle Chief 12:20 FP

6 x £20 EW Doubles
By:
Greg_Gory
When: 31 Aug 15 10:51
with all these winnings she can be a fookin gorilla for me Laugh
By:
Greg_Gory
When: 31 Aug 15 10:51
oops,hello pennypincher Love
By:
PennyPincher
When: 31 Aug 15 10:59
Lumponlarge

Bet 27
Won 2/1 placed 6/1
Placed 2/7 & 15/2

Returned £128.06
By:
PennyPincher
When: 31 Aug 15 11:03
Bet 29

6 x £15 EW Doubles
Don Keyhoe Tay, Emerald 4:55 R
Grangeclare Rosa, Hows Patsy, Odonoghues Opera 7:55 R
By:
swift-tuttle
When: 31 Aug 15 11:04
it's gambling all right

e.g. at least £100 of the £240 is lost to start with
By:
roida
When: 31 Aug 15 11:04
PennyPincher    31 Aug 15 10:50 
I don't really call it gambling but there you go.

so you go to a bookmakers and place a bet every day...what would you call this undertaking pp please?
By:
PennyPincher
When: 31 Aug 15 11:05
Investing
By:
roida
When: 31 Aug 15 11:10
are all your bets placed at the time the shops offer bog?
By:
sunnyleith
When: 31 Aug 15 11:13
Since the withdrawal of betting tax in shop there is no advantage to be had by betting in doubles or any multiple bet . Surely the first leg should be bet in E/W singles with the exception of odds on shots (win only) then any returns be re invested in e/w  singles in the second leg.
By:
PennyPincher
When: 31 Aug 15 11:22
varies roida most of the time yes but if hills, for example, are standout I just use them. SPs invariable lower than best available
By:
PennyPincher
When: 31 Aug 15 11:25
Incorrect sunnyleith its the place doubles that make the profit. Eg bet one may typically have 3 x £30 win singles and 3 x £50 place singles going on to bet two. Its the place money you want. Win bets lose over time.
By:
swift-tuttle
When: 31 Aug 15 11:32
why not lay off the win parts on here then?
By:
s.kenbo
When: 31 Aug 15 11:34
I've never done an equally divided bet,  but would anyone say that would be any better for this bet if the money is made from the places?
By:
swift-tuttle
When: 31 Aug 15 11:41
probably swings and roundabouts s kenbo
if you didn't get the winner of either leg then e.d. would definitely be worse
even of you did get the winner, I suspect a short priced winner only would also be worse
Page 7 of 18  •  Previous | 1 | ... | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | ... | 18 | Next
sort by:
Show
per page

Post your reply

Text Format: Table: Smilies:
Forum does not support HTML
Insert Photo
Cancel
‹ back to topics
www.betfair.com