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sageform
18 Apr 15 19:21
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Date Joined: 15 Jun 01
| Topic/replies: 31,302 | Blogger: sageform's blog
After 3 weeks of the turf season, the table is taking a more familiar shape.
wins in GB only to 19.00 today.

Invincible Spirit  21
Kodiak  20
Shamardal 19 (9 in April already)
Dubawi  18
Dark Angel, Pivotal  17
Cape Cross, Kheleyf, Kyllachy  16
Acclamation, Oasis Dream  15.

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Replies: 59
By:
The Gotchee
When: 19 Apr 15 21:59
No COOLMORE stallions?
By:
sageform
When: 20 Apr 15 12:14
No. They mostly stay in Ireland apart from in Group races. Galileo does better on turf so might just make the top 20 by the end of October.
By:
The Gotchee
When: 20 Apr 15 19:26
They don't mostly stay in Ireland.
By:
sageform
When: 21 Apr 15 11:48
More than half of the winners by Galileo are trained in Ireland. Which other ones do you have in mind?
By:
lingbleed
When: 21 Apr 15 23:56
The gotchee ,did john magnier bully u at school and steal your lunch money ,as u seem to have a serious problem with this outfit .It's like deja vu of the 2014 thread
By:
The Gotchee
When: 22 Apr 15 12:27
No lingbleed, he didn't bully me and I don't have a serious problem with the outfit. In relation to the list, what do you see that I'm not seeing?
The fact of the matter is they don't have a single horse in sageform's list. Would you not think that is baffling, considering that their stallions cover thousands of mares each year?
By:
yer ma
When: 22 Apr 15 19:27
14 of the current 21 irish coolmore 'flat' stallions havent any runners yet, if none of them make it into a top 10 in 3/4 years time then the will have a gone badly wrong.  I doubt that will happen.
By:
sageform
When: 22 Apr 15 20:22
They will probably make the top 10 including Irish races on money won and perhaps races won, but they are less likely to do so in GB. Current stallions that have plenty of progeny are:
Rock of Gibraltar 45, 7, Mastercraftsman 40, 4, Henrythenavigator 16, 8, Holy Roman Emperor 38, 7 Galileo 80, 7, and Dylan Thomas 41, 7. The figures after each sire refer to GB wins in 2014 and 2015 to date respectively. Only Galileo featured in the top 20 in 2014.
By:
lingbleed
When: 22 Apr 15 20:53
sorry the Gotchee my comments were only tongue and cheek ,i go by the sire tables at the back of the irish field and the coolmore stallions finished very high on the lists last year ,But my mistake that is done by money earned ,not sure of runner's to winner's ratio but will be looking this year to see how they compare with other's .the list does both u.k and irish results ,1 year .2 year sire etc .and i do understand sage your list is u.k only and for betting purposes .
By:
sageform
When: 23 Apr 15 10:35
GB not UK. UK would include the Northern Irish courses. It is a minefield that has been created by the racing statisticians down the years and it gets worse. We now have trainer and jockey championships with strange start and finish dates, annual statistics for both, worldwide pattern race stats for sires etc. This is why I collect my own GB stats to try to make sense of it. Irish and French based sires have proportionally more progeny competing on turf and on softer surfaces than American or English ones which I think is significant.
By:
proxygene
When: 23 Apr 15 13:00
Hi Sage, I detect in your last post a little streak of pedantry, so please don't be too offended if I expose mine. I find your figures interesting and understand your aims but always become distracted by the Kodiac spelling. Sorry.
By:
sageform
When: 23 Apr 15 14:04
Thanks for that. I had genuinely never noticed it. I might be pedantic about statistics but not on spelling. I would describe my view of sire statistics as accurate rather than pedantic. There is a big difference between GB and UK politically and it is yet another of the anachronisms of our favourite sport that racing in Down Royal and Downpatrick are included in Ireland. It is understandable from a practical point of view.
I have never seen a rational reason why sire tables include GB and Ireland while owner, trainer and jockey ones do not.
By:
roadrunner46
When: 23 Apr 15 15:53
how has teofilo been performing, good stallion who gets some good types. dont suppose will get that many winners in england. know there was some excellent winners over the last weekend. and good one just now
TWO JABS, hoping that will keep improving this season.
By:
sageform
When: 23 Apr 15 18:06
Teofilo and Pastoral Pursuits are both now on 15 after wins today.
By:
lingbleed
When: 23 Apr 15 23:14
Does Down royal and Downpatrick have flat racing  ,if so i've never seen it ,i some how never think of northern ireland when it comes to horse racing .But i get ur point ,and been irish i would happily let GB have both doe's two course's .
By:
sageform
When: 24 Apr 15 10:37
Good point, may be they don't have flat racing. I should know but I don't.
By:
beacon light
When: 24 Apr 15 22:20
Down royal has flat racing media puzzle won ulster derby before winning melbourne cup.
By:
lingbleed
When: 25 Apr 15 01:25
You can be forgiven sageform its not GB .The ulster derby ,i taught you where taken the p1ss beacon light ,so googled it ,and i stand corrected ,all these year's watching flat racing in ireland and liven quit close to the border i cant believe i'd never seen or heard of that .Learn something new every day
By:
Formtwist
When: 25 Apr 15 08:14
Just to add to the accuracy discussion, GB includes Channel Islands. May we take it Sageform that your excellent and interesting  statistics exclude the splendid racing in Jersey and Guernsey, being perhaps mainland GB only!
By:
sageform
When: 26 Apr 15 12:24
Good point-do the Channel Island results get included in any Jockey Club/Weatherby statistics? Or are they included in the French? Yet another anomaly. If Scotland eventually get their independence, will the Scottish results be included?
By:
sageform
When: 30 Apr 15 17:13
Top 10 GB sires by wins to end of April 2015.

Kodiac  25
Invincible Spirit 24
Shamardal  23
Dubawi  22
Kyllachy, Oasis Dream  21
Dark Angel  20
Kheleyf, Pivotal 19
Acclamation 18.
By:
tons of sobs
When: 01 May 15 15:32
Results 2015 Britain@Ireland,same stallions by %

Dubawi 20.78
Shamardal 17.79
Dark Angel 17.01
Cape Cross 16.48
Kodiac 13.62
Oasis dream 13.10
Pivotal 12.94
Kheleyf 11.31
Kyllachy 10.05
Invincble Spirit 10.00
Acclamation 10.00

13.00hrs-01-05-2015.
By:
sageform
When: 02 May 15 03:44
Thanks. It is quite a revealing contrast. Dubawi and Shamardal have the 2 highest first season win totals I have ever recorded and they started in the same season.
By:
sageform
When: 15 May 15 17:26
Three classy meetings today at top courses and the top sires have dominated.
Acclamation 3
Exceed and Excel 2
Shamardal 2
Cape Cross, Dark Angel, Invincible Spirit, Oasis Dream and Teofilo 1 each.
For good measure, 3 Derby winners, Authorised, Galileo and Motivator also sired a winner each.
By:
sageform
When: 15 May 15 17:44
I jumped the gun before the last at Newbury-another for Cape Cross. That is 13 out of 22 races won by my top 12 sires by number of GB wins and another 3 by Derby winners. Lesser known sires might win at the gaffs and on the AW but on Grade 1 tracks put a line through anything not sired by ones on my list.
By:
sageform
When: 16 May 15 20:40
Another good day for the leading sires led by Dubawi with an astonishing valuable treble at Newbury backed up by Laurence at Newmarket. Two each for Dark Angel, Cape Cross, Kodiak and Compton Place and also for Tamayuz who is not yet on my top list.
By:
roadrunner46
When: 16 May 15 22:07
yes seems the dark angel has hit form in the last few days, had that cape cross winner ALWAYS SMILE has racked up two wins for my list, would be good if can keep winning now. not unusual for those sires to bang in a few winners in a row, seems happening everywhere with jockeys racking up alot of winners in a day. good angle for
people who follow those kinda things.
By:
sageform
When: 17 May 15 13:37
You should first ask yourself whether there is a reason for a surge of wins for a jockey or a sire or whether it is random chance.
By:
sageform
When: 01 Jun 15 19:59
May had by far the most flat races of the year so the sire table is taking a more familiar shape although we are about 150 races down on last year for the 5 months of 2015.

GB wins to date (includes June 1)

Invincible Spirit  44
Kodiac  43
Shamardal  37
Cape Cross, Dubawi  36
Acclamation, Dark Angel  35
Kyllachy  33
Exceed and Excel  30
Oasis Dream  29
Ifraaj  28
By:
sageform
When: 05 Jun 15 15:00
Invincible Spirit now 48, Kodiak 46 as they continue to pull away from the rest.
By:
sageform
When: 09 Jun 15 15:37
The biggest mover in June so far is Pastoral pursuits. Two more in the first 4 races at Salisbury moves him on to 29 for the year of which 7 have been in the first 9 days of the month. He produced 68 wins last year but is on target to exceed that this time.
By:
sageform
When: 16 Jun 15 08:18
Five wins for Kodiak over the weekend brings him level with Invincible Spirit on 52 going into Royal Ascot.
By:
sageform
When: 01 Jul 15 16:08
The Kodiac run continued right through June with a monthly total of 21 and he now has a clear lead for the first time.

GB wins to end of June.

Kodiac  63
Invincible Spirit  60
Acclamation  54
Exceed and Excel  52
Dubawi  51
Shamardal  50
Cape Cross  45
Dark Angel  44
Kyllachy  44
Oasis Dream  41
By:
sageform
When: 01 Jul 15 16:13
And Hot Spice extends Kodiac's lead to 4.
By:
sageform
When: 01 Aug 15 15:45
July had 843 flat winner in GB so the table has been changed somewhat. GB flat wins to date with July in brackets.

Kodiac  80 (17)
Acclamation  76 (22)
Invincible Spirit 75 (15)
Shamardal  74 (24)
Exceed and Excel  68 (16)
Dubawi  62 (10)
Cape Cross   61 (16)
Oasis Dream  59 (18)
Dark Angel  57 (13)
Kyllachy  57 (13)
By:
sageform
When: 09 Aug 15 14:11
Another nice winner for Sir Percy in Scarlet Dragon at Leicester. He is by far the most prolific producer of GB winners of the Derby winners standing at stud. This latest win was number 47 (7 in August) compared to 41 in the whole of 2014. The next best Derby winner is Galileo on 32 then Authorised on 23.
By:
roadrunner46
When: 10 Aug 15 01:40
shame those sir percy progeny dont seem to rack up wins, maybe that has something to do with distances of the races they run in. will take
a look see if i can find some of the better ones.
By:
sageform
When: 10 Aug 15 09:32
The reason why Sir Percy gets more winners than the other Derby winners is that he gets 2yo's and milers as well as stayers. The dearth of staying races makes it hard for sires like Motivator and Authorised to make any impact.
By:
sageform
When: 10 Aug 15 09:58
Just run through Sir Percy's GB wins to check and he has had 10 horses that have won twice and 27 just once. They do not include any really high class offspring with Lady Tiana and Twin Sails the highest rated.
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