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*advise please* thinking of going big on frankel for QEII - should i?

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By:
BurnageBoyo
When: 11 Oct 11 08:45
One of the reasons, bookmakers survive so long in making a living in horse racing, is that they love this time of the year.
Changes to the going and horses going "over the top" are 2 main reasons why you get unexpected results.
On all known form Frankel is in a different league to the opposition, but bear in mind he has been on the go all season,
and that is one of the things that would concern me if I was having a very big bet on him, not that backing odds on chances
is my way of betting anyway.
By:
PeteTheBloke
When: 11 Oct 11 08:54
Tobermory is bang on the target. His odds are just his opinion, and you have to decide your own
odds yourself, but his approach is precisely right.
By:
RMB ©
When: 11 Oct 11 09:04
Tobes had danedream as 100/1+ shot for the Arc. His ratings are twank.
By:
PeteTheBloke
When: 11 Oct 11 09:07
"Tobes" has his own opinions. What I'm saying is that his approach to betting is right. His
analysis of the form book might be totally sh1te, but that's another problem.
By:
RMB ©
When: 11 Oct 11 09:11
Agree totally. It's great methodology but just like his football prices he's chucking the wrong petrol in a very fine engine. It's a commendable approach and that's definitely to be acknowledged.
By:
deadbrain59
When: 11 Oct 11 10:36
ignore german group at your peril,m johnston doesnt mind sending his over there ie german st leger?.any horse winning a g1 race by 5 lenths must be respected.Mischief
By:
deadbrain59
When: 11 Oct 11 10:40
frankel different ball game ,next year, 4yold giving weight to top class 3yrolds?.Mischief
By:
Somerset_Moan
When: 11 Oct 11 10:58
deadbrain59 -

dude... By next year Frankel is going to be nigh on a 140 rated beast... (SOME of us believe he is already that calibre)

Have YOU seen anything this year in the 2yr olds you think will be 130+ next?!   Which they will need to be to even get within sniffing distance of his arse as he goes by them, even receiving 8lbs early in the season I'll be astonished... but role on next year as we may be getting some odds AGAINST when he runs  :O))
By:
deadbrain59
When: 11 Oct 11 11:02
agreed im a big frankel fan,Happy
By:
grumpyjim
When: 11 Oct 11 11:24
frankel  for me  after  7   bar  the  FAV , BOOKS  STRUGGLE  for cash out  of  the  rags  ? which  looks  the  case  for  saturday   ..cant  ever  forget  newmarket  run  a  classic  from  the  front    queally  is  a  thinker  and  will have  thought  this thro  come  raceday ..I  wish  him  well  and  SIR  HENRY ,  also  owner  great  supporter  of  racing  worldwide love  these  colours  over the  years  . a  great  chance  to  buy  money  for  big  players  , only  an  opinion  from  an older  betfairian  ..  GUT  FEELING  ESSENTIALL  TO  FOLLOW  THROUGH  WITH  YOUR  HYPE ................
By:
tobermory
When: 11 Oct 11 18:39
ty Pete, yes i would advise people to make their own ratings/prices.

In Group 1s this year my prices have only really looked a bit silly afterwards in the Euro Racing.

I also had Immortal Verse at 30 for  the Jaques Le Marois . The French form is difficult to rate with the way they run their typical group races. .No matter how great the winner of a G 1 is , there is often still something useless only 2 1/2 lenghts back .If Frankel was trained by Freddie Head and only ever ran at Longchamp and Deauvile, his biggest winning margin would likely be about 1.5 lengths.

As for Danedream i just have to admit i've always thought German Racehorses the equivalent of British Tennis Players. Last 4 runs she had 3 easy wins in top German races , 1 run in France, and finished 5th in a nothing special field. Then there is Campanolgist; over here , every time you see him he is tailing off in a Group 3, goes to Germany and wins Group 1s comfortably .  Well done to the people who could  see beyond all that and feel there was something special about Danedream, wether in her running syyle or whatever (still don't think the actual form was suggesting she could have done that).

Frankel i have , since the Guineas , always had quite a bit shorter than he is available anywhere.
By:
taipan501
When: 11 Oct 11 19:39
go BIG, and then but more on[;)]hope that helps[:D]
By:
paulme
When: 11 Oct 11 21:43
Frankel is the superstar of horse racing. Like Usain Bolt, Lionel Messi and Sachin Tendulkar he transcends his sport. You don’t need to be interested in form, odds, tactics or jockeyship to be impressed by his freakish speed.

Frankel could have a Bolt-style impact on the popularity of horse racing among the masses if only the powers that be market his brilliance in the manner he deserves.


from the Manchester Evening News.

Frankel has to win for the good of the sport!! Laugh
By:
paulme
When: 11 Oct 11 21:47
buses - you said on other thread you're going EW. really Confused
By:
Whippin Piccadilly
When: 11 Oct 11 22:10
Steam in big Fella!
By:
TheFormMan
When: 12 Oct 11 00:11
Immortal VerseCool
By:
ilikewavingatbuses
When: 12 Oct 11 00:16
oh definitely paul, good solid bet EW for me!!


20 quid ew
By:
paulme
When: 12 Oct 11 00:22
haha so why you write that on other thread?
By:
inono
When: 12 Oct 11 00:26
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

20 E/W LaughLaughLaughLaughLaughLaugh

Frankel has won

NOW
By:
ilikewavingatbuses
When: 12 Oct 11 00:37
write what paul?
By:
ilikewavingatbuses
When: 12 Oct 11 00:38
i cant help it, im just an ew THIEF!
By:
paulme
When: 12 Oct 11 00:47
oh sory you really are backing £20 EW.

at 1/3 isnt EW gonna make you like 2p Confused
By:
ilikewavingatbuses
When: 12 Oct 11 00:52
of course not paulLaugh


no bet for me, i dont mind shorties but i dont back 1/3 shots in g1 races no matter how much better they are than the rest!!

he still has to negotiate around the rest of the horses, traffic probs, false step, jockey error, all these things combined i cant bet on him!!  there are much better betting opportunities out there at 1/3 and bigger.

not fr me!!

gl if u bet!
By:
paulme
When: 12 Oct 11 00:59
oh right so you wrote EW bet as a joke then? Laugh
By:
inono
When: 12 Oct 11 01:00
Please ilwab

Go for it just this once

You know it makes sense
By:
ilikewavingatbuses
When: 12 Oct 11 01:00
of course

hes 1/3[smiley:crazy]

Silly
By:
ilikewavingatbuses
When: 12 Oct 11 01:01
not for me inono, there are far betterbets out there!!

ill be cheering him home!
By:
paulme
When: 12 Oct 11 01:03
lol buses i used to bet 50p EW on the national as a kid.

happy innocent days Grin
By:
ilikewavingatbuses
When: 12 Oct 11 01:07
ah yeahHappy

i would never make fun of anyone tht bets small, or just wants to have a quid on for interest!!

is not like any of us can make it pay anyway Grin
By:
John_Cherry
When: 12 Oct 11 01:09
If Willie Carson says 'put your house on it'.....................don't! Shocked
By:
paulme
When: 12 Oct 11 01:21
your a good guy buses. a breathe of fresh air on here. do you not make much like me?

like you i would support frankel without a bet anyway as i think he's good for the sport like messi or bolt Laugh
By:
paulme
When: 12 Oct 11 01:22
http://menmedia.co.uk/manchestereveningnews/sport/other_sports/s/1461328_horse-racing-frankel-is-in-the-frame

read this buses mate
By:
rscaughtboy
When: 12 Oct 11 01:25
Paulme,ilwabs advice for where to put your money is...................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................................












BLACK with an off white head and he is NEVER wrong.hth m8[;)]Laugh
By:
inono
When: 12 Oct 11 01:26
paul me - Us humans are a corrupted lot - dont ever believe all that you hear or see when it comes to these so called stars

Frankel has not been corrupted by our society - he only knows one thing - winning[;)]
By:
inono
When: 12 Oct 11 01:29
paul me that media link should surely read "Frankel Innit"Laugh
By:
ilikewavingatbuses
When: 12 Oct 11 01:30
ah i do ok, im up and down like a yoyo but dont make/ or lose anything worth talking about tbh!


i do dream of eventually making significan sums but its more of a long term thing, and unlikely to happen anywayLaugh[smiley:crazy

most just talk sh!te on here andliar about winning aswell as losing large amounts which is very odd!

im pretty sure i could give even the best tipsters a run for their money on either football or horse racing yet they will tell u they are making a bomb!!

all b0llocks paul, the sooner u realise this the betterBlush

BUT someone is winning thats for sure, im pretty sure they dont post on this forum thoLaugh
By:
paulme
When: 12 Oct 11 01:32
im pretty sure i could give even the best tipsters a run for their money on either football or horse racing yet they will tell u they are making a bomb!!


spot on. im actually top of a tipping comp on here yet i make F all. too honest i am


inono - FRANKEL INNIT lol
By:
inono
When: 12 Oct 11 01:32
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

ilwab - I am winning, the only thing that bohers me is that I could be losing soon
By:
rscaughtboy
When: 12 Oct 11 01:34
Like a yoyoLaugh Also like a fiddlers elbow paulme but that is only in the Stags Head with Big Brigitte,his advice is usually sound even if his mind is not.Laugh[;)]
By:
inono
When: 12 Oct 11 01:36
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^

LaughLaughLaughLaughLaugh
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