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02 May 10
11:37
Joined:
Date Joined:
07 Jun 01
This horse is going to....you'll see :)
P.S Wink wink, cough cough.
P.S Wink wink, cough cough.
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cecil top man for me waiting for his doggerbank to run this season
Pickleloo 02 May 12:17
wow a 6/4 shot expected to go in! amazing stuff
Carry on backing your 33/1 "also rans" dude....one might just win some day.
wow a 6/4 shot expected to go in! amazing stuff
Carry on backing your 33/1 "also rans" dude....one might just win some day.
Yeah but I doubt he backed it somehow, he probably backed one of the many which were tailed off in rear.
It is amazing how many mentally retarded punters who don't understand maths/probability believe you can't have value in short priced horses and come up with childish BS such as "never bet odds on".
An Even money shot is great value if its true chance of winning is 1/2.
A 1/2 shot is great value if its true chance of winning is 1/4.
A 20/1 shot is poor value if its true chance of winning is 50/1.
The reality is, far more short priced horses are value bets than longer priced horses.
Short priced horses are underbet, and longer priced horses are overbet as one racing expert pointed out a few years ago.
It is amazing how many mentally retarded punters who don't understand maths/probability believe you can't have value in short priced horses and come up with childish BS such as "never bet odds on".
An Even money shot is great value if its true chance of winning is 1/2.
A 1/2 shot is great value if its true chance of winning is 1/4.
A 20/1 shot is poor value if its true chance of winning is 50/1.
The reality is, far more short priced horses are value bets than longer priced horses.
Short priced horses are underbet, and longer priced horses are overbet as one racing expert pointed out a few years ago.
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