I disagree with the Post. In terms of how fast the performance was I only have three higher figures in the previous 10 years. The Curragh is often a trickier course than most for time analysis, and when rating his maiden win there was a case to be made for rating it higher than I settled on. Even so, I still had it a much better performance than the one Tiger Moth put up to win his maiden and he made the jump from that to going very close to winning the Irish Derby. So, even though it wasn't exactly obvious he was a future Derby winner, I don't believe it should be viewed as a fluke result, or a below par one.

Obviously Kameko ran below his best, but it was a poor Guineas anyway, he wasn't certain to stay and he wouldn't be the first Guineas winner to run disappointingly afterwards. English King probably would finish a bit closer on another day, but he just isn't as good as I'd hoped. I took a punt on the questionable Lingfield form and was wrong. Mogul had already run poorly beforehand and is still yet to recapture his 2yo best. The rest ran like how they looked beforehand, horses not good enough to run close in an average Derby.

Of course, it's not just how good a Derby performance was on the day, it's how well they come out of the race. Camelot, who I had very slightly below Serpentine, never ran as well again for the rest of the season. Even Workforce, who I had very slightly higher, ran poorly on his next start. Serpentine certainly won decisively, but I wouldn't call it easily achieved, he was treading water towards the end. Nevertheless, given reasonable odds I would still back him against those he has just beat and anything from the Irish Derby or French PDJC.

Figgis

I will have to rate it as a sub-standard race, on both time and collateral methods until such time as proven otherwise. It is probably  very rare to find 2 horses in the same race improving so much on their previous bests (Amhran N.B +30), which makes me wonder, although, of course, both are Galileos trained by a genius. I  also can't give the time rating (including sectional uplift) any higher than does the RP (106) as I have it has an even pace finish.

I can, however, rate Love as a superior horse to Serpentine and with  sex allowance could never conceive of her being beaten by the Derby winner.She looks top class.

I'd expect Serpentine to be retired after his unexpected and gifted glory here. He's achieved what most of his stablemates failed to do. Any betting on that?