|
By:
PS: Well done Figgis.
![]() |
|
By:
Cheers uncle. If he does race again there might be some more value to be had in opposing him, as excuses will be made for today.
|
|
By:
Forgot about the new mega money race in Australia. Presumably that will be the aim for Caravaggio - huge upside if he wins, or even runs really well in defeat, and no downside as they can just blame the travelling etc.
|
|
By:
another hype bubble burst wasn't it supposed to be the fastest they'd ever had not much evidence of that speed in the final furlong
|
|
By:
WD Figgis. I was convinced you would have gone for Harry's Angel, you were all over him in his last race.
It was a good day to go racing and a hot race which I think was messed up. I wouldn't mind betting good money PB doesn't ride a pacemaker for them for a good while. They walked then sprinted and where Moore was he could not have expected that. He had no choice but sit where he was. He half reared leaving the stalls and only had three rags behind him. It was a two furlong sprint and he had to quicken at the same time everything was quickening in front of him. In the end Caravaggio finished upsides his pacemaker who he beat 10 lengths at Ascot. Brando finished third and Tasleet the 7f horse finished last. I hope they all turn up for the decider at Haydock. Limato ran a good race but needs 6f and a fast pace and he got neither. The winner could not have wished for the race to be run any better. |
|
By:
i have to apologize for my write up on the race, when mentioning that the older horses had the edge, it was an oversight, for not
realizing that they had to give weight away to the older horses, so use to seeing horses with different ratings in group races running off level weights ![]() |
|
By:
Get faster ground then harry's can show how good he really is,he won't even turn up for these races on slower going...
|
|
By:
mistake, give weight away to the younger horses.
|
|
By:
don't think that was Tasleet's running,at all,
he's a lot better than that.Trounced Brando up at York.Track and ground could have played a part in this.The Tin Man is better than that aswell.Personally would definately give Tasleet another go against the winner on a flatter track. |
|
By:
The Tin Man looked all at sea on the track/going combo,hated it.
I thought Brando was the eye catcher,ran a mighty race from off the pace (wd dunlaying at 33s) and proved the burst blood vessel York run to be a blip.Brando has the Prix Maurice de Gheest pencilled in. |
|
By:
They didn't run to form guys because it became a 2 furlong sprint which only suited the front runners, the winner and Caravaggio's pacemaker. It was a mess basically. Don't judge your selection on this run and hope everyone else does.
|
|
By:
Ta Brigust. I wasn't sure how Harry Angel would come out of his last race. There's no doubt that Tasleet and The Tin Man ran below form but that can't be blamed on the pace. Horses running to form don't get beat 5 lengths+ because of a sprint finish. Both horses were going backwards at the end of the race. They both were just below par on the day. Possibly the Ascot race took plenty out of them but maybe they can bounce back next time.
|
|
By:
You could be right F but Tasleet is a 7f horse dropping back so a short sprint found him out and The Tin Man was found off the pace when they quickened and TQ only had time to give him one back hander then accepted it. Both horses came from well back at Ascot so clearly this race was not run to suit them. The Tin Man was treated significantly softly.
That's a pity F because he was a great price this time. I think you missed one there. I know the feeling. In fact everything, except the favourite, was a great price as it turned out. |
|
By:
But good horses should not be slowing down more than inferior horses after going a slow pace early, so there's no possible excuse on that score for those two runners yesterday. I could've backed Harry Angel but if he'd ran below par I wouldn't have been surprised. Neither would I have been surprised if Limato or most of the runners I mentioned in my earlier post had won. If one or two fancied runners are off their game it opens the whole race up. I would've needed to back a few runners to be confident of a return then have to work out how to divide my stakes and would be second guessing myself if I'd got it right. That works for some people but in these instances I'd rather take the less brave option of laying the fav.
In fact everything, except the favourite, was a great price as it turned out. Which was kind of how I saw things before the race and the reason I laid him. I'd oppose him again next time whatever the likely pace if he's short again. |
|
By:
I think the slow pace has been judged as the factor which decided the outcome while ignoring everything else. Harry Angel was keen early and you could see he was trying to go faster, with Kirby understandably restraining him but that wouldn't have been ideal for the horse. On the day he was the one who travelled the smoothest and had more natural easier pace than the rest. I think he was a worthy winner.
|
|
By:
I think I would do the same again, financially. Nothing I saw yesterday will change my mind. I hope they all go to Haydock and the ground is the same. PB set up a shocker, considering the way RM rode Caravaggio, and I don't think he will be riding an important pacemaker anytime soon. His team mate beat him a neck which is around 6 lengths wrong on form so that cannot be ignored. Not by me anyway. The other three finished as I would have expected with Limato beating The Tin Man and Tasleet in that order but I think they were all inconvenienced by the slow early pace. Let's hope they bring it on again.
If you list the race without the older horses with Harry's Angel beating Caravaggio by a length and three quarters with Intelligence Cross a neck away in third you will know immediately that just is not right. |
|
By:
I don't think anybody is saying the pace didn't affect the finishing order to some extent. That's blatantly obvious and I'm pretty sure everyone would agree on that. That's totally different than saying it affected the winning result. I don't believe it did.
|
|
By:
https://www.timeform.com/horse-racing/features/sectionals/sectional-timing-debrief-newmarket-july-festival-1672017
Another take on the race is this sectional analysis. The conclusion is that only Brando's finishing effort could be rated enough to possibly overturn the form with the winner. I agree that Brando had to be the most inconvenienced by the slow pace considering the ride he was given. As is pointed out in the article though the question is could Brando have finished as well off a true Gp1 pace? I rated his Ayr Gold Cup win time equal to a Gp2 performance considering the weight carried. He wouldn't need to improve much to become a Gp1 horse this year. On this run I can't say if he's improved or still the same as last year, will probably find out next time. |
|
By:
That is what racing and betting is all about F. I believe Caravaggio would have beaten Intelligence Cross by at least as much as 2 lengths further in a truly run race having beaten him 10 lengths at Ascot. Of course, I'm not absolutely sure he would beat Harry Angel on top of the ground over 6f but I do think I would be happy to pay to be involved in that one. It is good to see Tf agree about the pace but it was pretty obvious.
|
|
By:
Brigust, what was your take on Caravaggio in the paddock compared to previously? Not just the sweating.
|
|
By:
AOB has just been on saying Caravaggio possibly stepping up to 7f next time. If Limato goes to Haydock something will have to be done about the pace otherwise I suggest the result may be a foregone conclusion.
I did see them all walking around F but there appeared to be nothing untoward. The friends I was with, who would know more than me, never suggested anything to be concerned about but it was more a family affair than a betting one. Had Caravaggio gone out remarkably I would have thought something was afoot but he shortened up, possibly because they had a previous winner so I can add nothing to what you saw F. The problem with going racing is how restrictive it can be for viewing, betting, any follow ups and other meetings but, as I said, this was more of a family occasion. |
|
By:
I know it pains me to have to say this
but stepping Caravaggio up to 7 furlongs must bring AOB's continued speed claims about him into question. |
|
By:
What is the point of stepping Caravaggio up to 7f? Would it not be better if it was 8f to be more appealing to prospective broodmares? I'd think 6f and ridden closer to the pace (regardless of opposition) would be ideal for the horse. Churchill underperformed and yesterday it was Caravaggio; Churchill perhaps was inconvenienced by the heat; Caravaggio has had quite a hard race in the Commonwealth, I believe.
A mega draw and a treat to racegoers and supporters if Caravaggio, Harry Angel and Limato would do battle in the Sprint Cup at Haydock in September. And I'd side with Caravaggio once again similarly Churchill against Barney Roy/Ribchester in the upcoming Sussex Stakes next month. |
|
By:
no 7F G1s have any prestige and will not enhance his rep. also he did not look to be running on in the July Cup. he's probably stagnated now and further runs will only see more defeats.
|
|
By:
It isn't really 7f A_T it is 6.5f and Deauville is flat the obvious reason is obviously the date. Deauville is early August and Haydock is early September so if they want to run the Everest in early October in Australia it seems like the logical choice. An easy win then a break as opposed to a hard race and a shorter break.
|
|
By:
I'm perplexed by connections of Caravaggio's next intended target for him could be the Maurice de Gheest over 6.5f on 6th Aug and/or the Everest, the $AUS10m Sprint race on 14th Oct; it could also be the Nunthorpe over 5f on 25th Aug but no Sprint Cup at Haydock where a rematch against his conqueror Harry Angel, Limato and very probably The Tin Man and Tasleet too.
Why to Australia if Caravaggio is not even the undisputed sprint king in Europe? Principally for the money, I guess, even for Coolmore. |
|
By:
Coolmore is all about the breeding operation - get that into your head and it all starts to make sense.
The Haydock Sprint, for all it is a Group 1, does not carry a great deal of prestige from a breeding point of view - plenty of forgettable winners down the years. As such there is very little to be gained from running him there even if he won, and a lot to lose if he gets beaten by Harry Angel again, which is very likely as it is an easier track than Ascot or New'Mkt so right up Harry's street. The Australia race makes most sense as it would be a massive boost to his stallion prospects, especially in the Southern hemisphere, if he won or was narrowly beaten, but wouldn't be a huge negative if he was well beat. The Haydock race is too close to the Australia race with quarantine etc, hence them looking at the Maurice de Gheest. TBH I'm disappointed that Godolphin aren't sending Harry to Australia - they have Blue Point for Haydock. |
|
By:
Imp the rematch would jeopardise the Everest because of the dates. It is good a top flight horse from here goes to Australia to take on their sprinters as a planned operation. Too often our horses go at the end of a busy season so there are excuses. This time we will get to see how good the Aussie best is against potentially our best. If he wins he will be off to stud but if he loses then the possibility of a rematch with Harry Angels could be a match to savour over the winter. There should be something in it for everyone.
Of course it is about money as you say, but I suggest the win money of the Everest will pale into insignificance when compared to the breeding money, if he wins. To call any horse the undisputed champion is difficult because they all have specific requirements to achieve their best which I believe they all had in the July Cup. Sadly, in the end, it wasn't a test to find out who the best 6 furlong sprinter is. And AOB will know the July Cup and the unbeaten record were given away very, very cheaply but he is well used to making such errors of judgement throughout his career so he will know how to get over it. |
|
By:
Well said Uncle but I think sending HA to Australia this season would be a mistake. If he is handled properly he could end this season on a high while Caravaggio is testing the waters concerning a trip for him to Oz as a 4 year old old. If Caravaggio gets beaten they may shelve that idea but if he wins they could plan next season around it. If they spend the rest of this year getting him to settle and be better in the stalls anything could be possible.
|
|
By:
that is so true, the diamond jubilee and the july cup are the only group 1 sprints that really count for the all aged group 1 sprints,
they are the races with prestige attached,what have I learned about the two best sprint races this year, is the massive difference in the tracks of ascot and Newmarket over the 6f. track knowledge is not something I have bothered to learn about. but is very useful regarding my fav group 1 races of the year, the sprints. |
|
By:
'brigust'...noticed the proximity of the dates of the Sprint cup and Everest. Nevertheless, get the job done here 1st and for AOB to even suggest the Nunthorpe (5f) as a possibility over the Sprint Cup (6f) is ludicrous, to say the least, bearing in mind Caravaggio needs at least 6f to show his best amongst the very best in his field.
No matter what, I believe Caravaggio had achieved more than any of the Scat Daddy offsprings to assume the mantle of his dad as a future stallion - his fee had not decreased being part of a very limited crop of his sire because of his impromptu death. I still hope connections would ditch Australia and take in the races here to redeem his reputation as the number 1 sprinter here and Europe. |
|
By:
Imp the Haydock sprint wouldn't compare to the Everest as far as breeding is concerned. I hope if Caravaggio goes to Deauville that Limato goes as well. Would be the right trip and would fit in well with the Sprint Cup.
|
|
By:
Excellent piece in the Post today by Julian Muscat. No pace, no cigar for Caravaggio. Suggesting the antics of the Coolmore pace setters in the Eclipse and July Cup compromised their horse's chances and it was no wonder Ryan Moore 'looked shellshocked on Caravaggio on his return to weigh in'.
|
|
By:
If the writing was on the wall ie no pace in the race, why did the jocks like Moore and Crowley (Tasleet) not employ Plan B eg be closer with the pace and/or upsides Harry Angel rather than suffered the expected consequence? If either/both had lost in the process - which they both did - at least the punters get a run for their money given the circumstances and not blamed the lack of pace after the race.
|
|
By:
atr keven blake's blog story on the july cup
an unbiased view of the race ![]() |
|
By:
Looks like Henry is at least reading the script with regard to Limato nominating another potential meeting with Caravaggio in the de Geest. Hope the ground is OK because the trip will be.
|
|
By:
We should find out today if Caravaggio's latest run was just a blip or the sign of a decline. Excuses were made because of the pace last time but I don't think he'd have won that day even in a faster run race. Signs of Blessing won this last year and will be thereabouts again if he can put his latest poor run behind him. I have Brando just 1lb behind him on his Ayr Gold Cup win. He hasn't run as fast this year but his finish in the July Cup suggested he could be returning to his best. The unknown with him is if he'll be as good over this extra half a furlong. If Caravaggio runs to his best he should win, as I have him 6lbs clear of the field on these terms. I was confident there was a good chance he'd be below his best last time after his Ascot effort. I'm less confident this time, as it's possible that Ascot just temporarily took the edge off him and he could bounce back here. My feeling though is that he peaked at Ascot so at this short price I'm laying him again.
|
|
By:
wd figgis, caravaggios super fans cant believe just what hit them, sectional timing debrief was very informative, although didn't buy
the unlucky on the day angle, defintitley highlighted a surge in form for brando. well deserved winner. |
|
By:
Ta roadrunner. Easy to say in hindsight but I was in two minds whether to lay Caravaggio or back Brando as he was the one that stood out at the prices. I talked myself out of backing Brando thinking he might just run out of gas late on and laying Caravaggio was the safer option. I really ought to have had the balls to back him, and probably halving my stake between laying the fav and backing Brando was the way to go.
|
|
By:
it was a brilliant sectional write up, only thing I disagreed with was the unlucky on the day bit, wasn't having anyone explaining to me that harry angel didn't fully deserve his win that day. nice to see a surge in form like that rewarded, hes got a group 1 win now,
late developers these horses who get the sprint group 1's aged 5, like slade power he had to wait until 5 before he got his group 1 wins. made some money, I was just taking an interest in the race not financially, that extra 1/2 furlong today was the only unknown |