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Betfair Hurdle - Newbury 11/02/17
Betfair Hurdle - Newbury 11/02/17
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Replies: 92
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Ballyandy has STD on board; I'm surprised Hargam is running given his best runs have always been on good ground or better - it is soft at the moment. My main concern is Elliot's rep, Veinard on Irish form.
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Hargam running here on soft ground is no surprise at all, it's all about getting his mark down so he can be competitive in the County Hurdle on decent spring ground.
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Not thrilled by the final entries but will split stakes on Wait For Me and Movewiththetimes.
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I rarely bet on a hurdles race but I could not resist a flutter on Hargam at a big price.
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Ballyhill is massively overpriced, I know that Ben Linfoot has tipped it but the 40/1 will be available again in the morning
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zubayr has to be worth a dip at the prioce
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WAIT FOR ME and SONG LIGHT gives me a runner with headgear back on, specifically for the race, and a horse laid out since a blasting run behind North Hill Harvey in the Greatwood. Bring it on.
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Backed William H Bonney and Song Light each way. Will be more than a little irritated if Zubayr runs a big race but you can`t back them all.
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Five places.
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Backed Clyne straight after his last run and still happy with that. Have added Boite 40/1 as I think the race will be run tube suit. Big price.
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"To" not bloody tube.
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I've added an ew bet on Gassin Golf to my original punt, I still think Ballyandy will run a big race, but I just can't back him at the prices, Wait For Me; he can run well but I'm not sure soft ground is ideal for him, maybe one for the festival?
Of the rest Clyne and Movewiththetimes are interesting and should run well. Elliot's runner may well have been let in very lightly on 126, he is intriguing with that good young jockey on board, big race for him. Good Luck! |
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agree about Ballyandy because the only thing not to like is the price. Gone off Zubayr primarily because the weights have gone up and as Felt says you can't back 'em all - though it's tempting in a race like this
 So ended up the same as deepingfox - Wait For Me and Song Light ew - the ground is a concern but for me it's a total guess up as to what it will be like until they start racing on it by which time the prices will have probably gone anyway. I get the love for the Elliott horse and the fact that he's sending him and Kennedy is probably a tip in itself but he's gone up from 105 to 126 since his last win so I can leave him. Good luck! |
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most yo-yo betting for this race over the last week... so many horses coming in ... now going out... fluctuations are based on the fact bookies don't know what they're doing... and reacting impulsively rather than on actual money coming in. Prices were appalling this morning... and for such a competitive race have such as false market... bookies sticking there neck out for half a point or two.
To summarise: 16 runners only ONE horse can win... sometimes you have to state the obvious! |
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Won't be your predicted 7/1 the field Iris. It seems Ballyandy is the one everyone wants ?
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A few £££ on Ballyandy for me @ 5.4 .
Gd luck lads. |
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In the hope he doesn't blunder his way round, which is possible based on past form
 , I have become more and more confident that Wait For Me should go very very close and have gone in again - 3pts win, 1 pt place. |
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Yeah Facts - way off the mark there.. was pretty surprised tbf. Considering outsiders have good records in this makes it even more confusing...
Gambled on Blazer was no where in this last year so not as easy as sometimes the betting would suggest. Good Luck anyway guys - one of the top 4 winning would be a good result ;) |
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Yep. You're correct re Blazer. I backed him, thinking he was a good thing !
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Top 3 in the market fill the first 3 places
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Well done GI MAC - was your first horse! :)
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Ballyandy has made up for not getting a run with Getabird at Cheltenham.
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aye, never had a penny on though Iris, my obsession with value thwarts me again. That 10/1 looks an absolute gift now.
Well done winners |
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Well done I123 and other backers.
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Thanks 'unclepuncle'. The Schweppes Hurdle has always been a lucky race for me; it was a toss-up between Ballyandy and Movewiththetimes, but the long rest and racing weight for the former swayed it. It could so easily have gone the other way, and that is racing for you.
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Ballyandy travelled well throughout and won very well indeed. A definite Cheltenham contender in chosen race.
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yeah value can be a hinderence - think trainer gave way too many hints that this horse would win - hence the price...
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I also though MOVEWITHTHETIMES was really impressive albeit top 2 horses came from a break... I thought BallyAndy was more gutsy... in fact I thought when Geraghty asked for a bit more... horse probably needed the run more. Id probably back both for the Supreme (if they turn up - will check RP tomorrow) but 14/1 and 20/1 respectively is still value.
But think MVT will get the better of BallyAndy next time. Will back MVT wherever he runs anyway. |
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Even after trainers comments, 13/2 was available !
As Ballyandy won't be running in a Handicap at Cheltenham, I won't be backing it. |
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MWTT is by presenting, he put up a grand effort. Dont think he will beat a hardened Ballyandy over hurdles. Looks like he doesnt want to battle imo.
MWTT will be a monster over jumps and decent ground. Im backing Bally for the surpreme, he may lack the class but i think if he turns up you will get a run for your money. Going to be watching the Deloitte and having the press button on the turn. |
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Have averaged around 50s MWWT for Supreme and thought he had to win yesterday , agree with all comments , bit green , future chasing superstar . In all honesty cudnt really see him turning the tables with Ballyandy unless PN has left plenty to work on (possible) or ground makes a difference .
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2018 WPM entries....7 of the 59 entered.....Newbury on Saturday 10th Feb 3.35
Bleu Et Rouge Dolciano Dici Karalee Lagostovegas Meri Devie Sandsend Voix du Reve  |
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I like Bleu Et Rouge 16 BF & LAD
Won Grade 1 Deloitte hurdle in 2016 Didn't take to fences - lost confidence - now reverted to hurdles this season Btn 7L by Hunters Call at Kempton - running on steadily, on a course that may not have suited as well as Newbury ! JPM has Defi DS as top weight keeping BER's weight at 11:1 Hope he runs - just hope Willie & JPM are not saving him for the County ? 25 SJ Could he do the double ? |
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El Terremoto (N T-Davies) & Canyon City (Neil King) scratched so 56 remain.
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MAKE THAT 41.....
Elgin Alan King 11st 12lb Pingshou Colin Tizzard 11st 9lb High Bridge Ben Pauling 11st 9lb Lagostovegas WP Mullins, Ireland 11st 8lb Mister Miyagi Stuart Edmunds 11st 8lb Bleu Et Rouge WP Mullins, Ireland 11st 7lb Verdana Blue Nicky Henderson 11st 6lb Voix du Reve WP Mullins, Ireland 11st 6lb Cliffs of Dover Paul Nicholls 11st 6lb Charli Parcs Nicky Henderson 11st 6lb Divin Bere Paul Nicholls 11st 5lb Jenkins Nicky Henderson 11st 4lb Moon Racer David Pipe 11st 3lb Misterton Harry Fry 11st 3lb Chti Balko Donald McCain 11st 3lb Kalashnikov Amy Murphy 11st 2lb Project Bluebook John Quinn 11st 2lb Dame Rose Richard Hobson 11st 1lb Kayf Grace Nicky Henderson 11st 1lb Gwafa Paul Webber 11st 1lb Remiluc Chris Gordon 11st 0lb Spiritofthegames Dan Skelton 11st 0lb Lough Derg Spirit Nicky Henderson 10st 13lb Poppy Kay Philip Hobbs 10st 12lb Lalor Kayley Woollacott 10st 12lb Knocknanuss Gary Moore 10st 10lb Waterlord Donald McCain 10st 10lb Lostintranslation Colin Tizzard 10st 9lb William H Bonney Alan King 10st 9lb Irish Roe Peter Atkinson 10st 9lb Master of Irony John Quinn 10st 8lb Silver Streak Evan Williams 10st 8lb Nietzsche Brian Ellison 10st 7lb Coeur Blimey Susan Gardner 10st 7lb Zalvados Oliver Greenall 10st 4lb Wishfull Dreaming Olly Murphy 10st 0lb Bidourey David Pipe 10st 0lb Magic Dancer Kerry Lee 9st 13lb Man of Plenty Sophie Leech 9st 12lb Birch Hill Sophie Leech 9st 9lb Maquisard Gary Moore 9st 9lb |
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Have backed Cliffs of Dover here @33's he's a horse I have been keeping an eye on after his injury last season. This has been the long term target and he was very progressive last year. Also seems that Nicholls is starting to hit some form.
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^Cliffs of Dover a n/r by the look of it.
 Finding it hard to fancy anything strongly at this stage. Maybe Charli Parcs can finally get it altogether - have had a nibble @ 29 on here. |
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Silver Streak looks pretty progressive to me. Only gone up 11lb for a very easy win and good second last time at Ascot.
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Have added Lough Derg Spirit @ 14/1.
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jenkins at 12 for me
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