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No facts, its called work mate, im not one of them dole scroungers you no topping up tax payers money with a 2nd income through gambling
I work 12 hour shifts and in between drive between places of work that can be 4-5-6-7 hour journeys in between up and down the country! Sleep Whats that lol ![]() |
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Nah - always time for placing that bet ! Don't tell me you have t got 10 minutes.
Youre working hard - but smart ? It's all about time management ![]() |
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Good luck mate - hope he gets in if the plan is to run. Must admit I have never thought of WPM as the sort of trainer to run a handicapper twice in a week. And that race was on desperate ground too. I thought he was their County Hurdle horse to be honest.
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Btw. Working that hard - doesn't augur well for a long life imo.
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i think if the horse is well he is a certainty to run, it is just whether he gets in, nice bet headmaster if he does make the gig...i think they will desperate to run before he is reassessed
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Can't see that being an issue Harry. If they want him to run, he's as good as in already.
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Wasn't the point of running and winning last weekend to get him reassessed and into the County Hurdle? There's also the other matter of the owner also having Modus the plot horse?
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I think it definitely was delsie. But plans can change I suppose. And seeing just how easily he won, and just how well in he is, coupled with just how well he handled the testing ground, they might decide it's worth a go. Massive pot after all, and a race JP likes to target.
Of course there may have been an elaborate plan all season and he's JP number one County Horse. Knowing him, he wil have a few arrows for that race though, and might be happy to give one of them up. Lots of ifs, buts and maybes, as PN might also tell him Modus is catching pigeons and he expects him to win. But at 33/1, it was well worth the risk imo. |
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Good luck lads
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This Deco mug
![]() Nice price you've got here lads. GL |
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Genuinely wish you all the luck HM but having not taken the big prices, just not interested at current prices.
I do fear that the Mullins quote ' we just feel that he hasn't quite got over his race enough for a young horse to make that journey' really hope I'm wrong and you get a run for your money. GL but Sternrubin and Zarib e/w for me |
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Have to agree with the comments about Blazer being readied for Cheltenham, personally didn't have definite target there as after WM comments thought the Coral Cup or Martin Pipe was a possibility? Unlike WM to run so soon and there was no money ante post till after his victory. Still wouldn't surprise him if he doesn't turn up but GL to everyone who's backed him, if he does run he has to be a major player.
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Learned my lesson facts, 95% of my bets are now in shop. When i want to get on one it's usually same price with a few firms so a quick detour and a google search online for the nearest shop does me. I have lost a couple of online accounts now to finding these kinds of prices etc and i fully intend to not lose anymore
The only time i place an online bet now is if it's either day of race and close to off or a Chelters fez bet and even then my stakes are kept to a minimum and spread over the firms that are that price. Also in my experience (it may not be everybodies) festival betting antepost whether it be Cheltenham, Aintree, Royal Ascot tends to go under the radar a lot more than week of race on normal Saturday's.I will wait until the day now and see who is 5 places and what firms want to 'get it' in the book, i might have a small play then. If it don't get declared on Thurs i will bet it small for the county. |
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I am lucky in that my company pays all of my mileage too
hehe ![]() |
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JP MCMANUS'S two leading fancies for the Betfair Hurdle at Newbury were subject to contrasting vibes on Tuesday, with Barry Geraghty suggesting caution over Blazer but Paul Nicholls enthusing over the chances of Modus.
The duo, along with War Sound, are 6-1 co-favourite for Britain's richest handicap hurdle on Saturday, though Blazer is not yet guaranteed a run. 'A far more competitive race' Geraghty, who rode the Willie Mullins-trained Blazer to win at Leopardstown last Saturday, said in his At The Races blog: "He enjoyed conditions and Blazer won well. It just may not have been that good a race. The form may not be very strong. "The Betfair Hurdle will obviously be a far more competitive race. If he gets into the race and if he takes his chance, he will be carrying a 5lb penalty in a far more competitive race, so that will obviously be more difficult." 'Well handicapped' Nicholls, meanwhile, said of Modus: "He was a good bumper horse and we bought him in the summer and sold him to JP. "He's a much more mature horse and is getting better all the time. We like him a lot and it's good race for a novice in that you might be well handicapped whereas in a year you might not be. "He's got a lot of ability, but one thing I think is he'll be a lot better on better ground. He can cope with the soft ground. He just lacks a bit of experience, but one thing he does do is jump well." The champion trainer added: "I think there's a lot of improvement to come from him because he's learning to settle. I'm very happy with him and he's a high-class horse. He's a horse who's going to get two and a half miles in time, but he's not slow. " Market mover The main market mover on Tuesday was Richard Johnson's likely mount Sternrubin, who was cut into 10-1 (from 12). Coral's David Stevens said: "Philip Hobbs is enjoying a great season, and his Sternrubin has been backed to continue his good run this weekend with more big handicap hurdle success." |
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If Blazer actually turns up then it will be dial the distance. So many negatives for plenty of his market rivals. Best just wait now and see if they declare him thursday. If he runs and all is well he will go off around 7-2 ... and win,
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Seems a bit of an odd thing for BJG to say. If the form isnt up to much and they don't think he can compete off his current mark in a fairly weak renewal, he certainly wont be winning a County off his revised mark, surely?!
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I'm not sure what anyone else read but all I saw was "please don't raise him too much Mr Handicapper, we think we've got a live one here and Cheltenham's looming...."
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By the way Barry, if you're reading this, it hasn't worked old boy
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Totally agree, I know the Irish handicapper has raised him 12 so you'd think Phil Smith would add a few more pounds.
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+15 maybe?
10lbs well in for a 155K H'cap Hdle. And they're really not going to run??? |
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Headmaster we both have differing views, I understand he could be 10lbs well in on Saturday in a much more valuable race but it's just very unlike WPM and JP plan to run one so quick. Selfishly I'd prefer him to wait for Cheltenham as I think the break will be beneficial and I've backed Modus. One of us will be right
I just can't believe if the Betfair was the plan all along there no money for it prior to Saturdays win?? Whatever the case GL HM and hope he finishes 2nd to Modus![]() |
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I have a suspicion that IF Blazer runs here then maybe it will be Modus who is saved in the hope for better ground in march as Pumpkin has already sewn the seed of doubt about the dreadful ground not really being ideal for his flat bred horse.
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Entirely possible dyno, que sera sera.
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Yes I was thinking that...not necessarily that Modus would be scratched, but you've got two well-handicapped horses and one goes in soup and the other prefers not to. Run them both or run the mudder imo.
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PP have shortened him from 6/1 to 9/2 in the last half hour.....
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he is running and with a serious chance, they know
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Starting to blueline again. PP now 7/2.
Deco seems to have gone a bit quiet anyway so the first leg of the double's up. |
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PP simultaneously pushing Modus out to top priced 7/1 as well. I think we are on here...
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Yeah I saw that - a proper parting of the waves! Surely to goodness this chap's on the ferry????
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Just seen all ferries from Ireland have been cancelled till Sunday. Well that's my only hope if PP are to be believed
You'll know tomorrow morning about 11 HM but I have to admit PP usually know when Irish horses are concerned. |
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good luck if the horse turns up must have a great chance,but remember the saying 'IF YE HAVEN'T BEEN TO THE WEDDING DON'T GO TO THE FUNERAL'
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I spoke too soon.
Afternoon Deco I'm not crowing just yet anyway...plenty of time left for Mullins/JP/the weather to pull the rug from under our feet ![]() |
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Absolutely no rain forecast for Newbury between now and the race is there?!
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Heavy rain Saturday morning according to BBC but that's a bit like asking what's going to run
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So it'll be good/firm weekend then - time to back Modus
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haven't backed it myself but good luck to those who have ,a nice little plot
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Have a feeling Modus won't be running.
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Nicholls would implode if he was told not to declare, especially given this Mullins/Nicholls Trainers' Title subplot...but it certainly helps Mr Geraghty out. Given his comments earlier in the week, would it not look decidedly odd if he picked Blazer over the flying machine???
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Runs.. BG rides
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