Blazer - Betfair Hurdle?

Yep, young horse, could go on to be top class if they take their time with him.

Looks a great shout to me. Highly likely it will be money back, but if he does get in, I think they would find it very hard to turn down.

Had to laugh at BJG trying to pretend that he didn't have loads in hand. Even pretended to hit him in the final furlong

Yeah i thought that was hilarious too CCM. He needs to work on that!

TEACHER JUST WHAT WPM SAID IN REPORT WITH MICK FITZ,AND BY THE WAY MY NAME IS NOT DECO,THIS IS A FORUM WE AIR OPINIONS,YOU DON'T KNOW ME(sounds like an advert)SO DON'T ACT AS IF YOU DO,I HAVE ENOUGH FRIEND'S EVEN 1'S THAT AREN'T THE FIZZIEST CAN OF POP IN THE FRIDGE

Hope your head doesn't hurt too much tomorrow 'DECALEC'.

A bottle of Evian and an asparin always helps, I find

A DON'T KNOW WHETHER THAT COMMENT WILL APPLY TO YOURSELF BUT AM AT WORK AND GENERALLY WHEN NOT WORKING ON SAT NIGHT OR ON CALL A WOULDN'T BE ON THE FORUM I.]'D BE IN BED AND NO DON'T GET HANGOVER'S BUT NOT FOR THE WANT OF TRYING

Not part of 'the order' then DECALEC?  Good.  Although no doubt worthy, those boys freak me out just a wee bit...which is probably nothing to do with them and everything to do with me

Deco

Any reason why you've started to ' shout ' ?

It's possible he doesn't likes me very much, Facts.

Hoping we can go back to lower case when Blazer is missing from the Betfair confirmations on Monday

paddy p go 10,s!!!!!

Paddy p. Now 9/2 Fav. Definitely taking the pp !

Paddy p. Now 9/2 Fav. Definitely taking the pp !

I'm on my knees for this meeting to be on.....

Well your dreams still alive GL

Cheers lads...this is quite a big one

Absolutely effing gutted! Cannot have a bet in betfair hdl now till the day and even then it might be 7/2 favourite! Fecking unable to bet due to commitments all weekend what happens, the 33/1er you been reading about on the forum goes 20s, not so bad but then after 5 day decs it's into 7s??

Gl teacher hope he wins for you

Not able to bet ? What -- no access to mobile or iPad for 5 mins ?

Tremendous shout HM whatever the outcome

No facts, its called work mate, im not one of them dole scroungers you no topping up tax payers money with a 2nd income through gambling I work 12 hour shifts and in between drive between places of work that can be 4-5-6-7 hour journeys in between up and down the country! Sleep Whats that lol

Nah - always time for placing that bet ! Don't tell me you have t got 10 minutes.
Youre working hard  - but  smart ? It's all about time management

Good luck mate - hope he gets in if the plan is to run. Must admit I have never thought of WPM as the sort of trainer to run a handicapper twice in a week. And that race was on desperate ground too. I thought he was their County Hurdle horse to be honest.

Btw. Working that hard - doesn't augur well for a long life imo.

i think if the horse is well he is a certainty to run, it is just whether he gets in, nice bet headmaster if he does make the gig...i think they will desperate to run before he is reassessed

Can't see that being an issue Harry. If they want him to run, he's as good as in already.

Wasn't the point of running and winning last weekend to get him reassessed and into the County Hurdle? There's also the other matter of the owner also having Modus the plot horse?

I think it definitely was delsie. But plans can change I suppose. And seeing just how easily he won, and just how well in he is, coupled with just how well he handled the testing ground, they might decide it's worth a go. Massive pot after all, and a race JP likes to target.

Of course there may have been an elaborate plan all season and he's JP number one County Horse. Knowing him, he wil have a few arrows for that race though, and might be happy to give one of them up.

Lots of ifs, buts and maybes, as PN might also tell him Modus is catching pigeons and he expects him to win. But at 33/1, it was well worth the risk imo.

Good luck lads

This Deco mug

Nice price you've got here lads. GL

Genuinely wish you all the luck HM but having not taken the big prices, just not interested at current prices.

I do fear that the Mullins quote ' we just feel that he hasn't quite got over his race enough for a young horse to make that journey' really hope I'm wrong and you get a run for your money.

GL but Sternrubin and Zarib e/w for me

Have to agree with the comments about Blazer being readied for Cheltenham, personally didn't have definite target there as after WM comments thought the Coral Cup or Martin Pipe was a possibility? Unlike WM to run so soon and there was no money ante post till after his victory. Still wouldn't surprise him if he doesn't turn up but GL to everyone who's backed him, if he does run he has to be a major player.

Learned my lesson facts, 95% of my bets are now in shop. When i want to get on one it's usually same price with a few firms so a quick detour and a google search online for the nearest shop does me. I have lost a couple of online accounts now to finding these kinds of prices etc and i fully intend to not lose anymore The only time i place an online bet now is if it's either day of race and close to off or a Chelters fez bet and even then my stakes are kept to a minimum and spread over the firms that are that price. Also in my experience (it may not be everybodies) festival betting antepost whether it be Cheltenham, Aintree, Royal Ascot tends to go under the radar a lot more than week of race on normal Saturday's.

I will wait until the day now and see who is 5 places and what firms want to 'get it' in the book, i might have a small play then. If it don't get declared on Thurs i will bet it small for the county.

I am lucky in that my company pays all of my mileage too hehe

JP MCMANUS'S two leading fancies for the Betfair Hurdle at Newbury were subject to contrasting vibes on Tuesday, with Barry Geraghty suggesting caution over Blazer but Paul Nicholls enthusing over the chances of Modus.

The duo, along with War Sound, are 6-1 co-favourite for Britain's richest handicap hurdle on Saturday, though Blazer is not yet guaranteed a run.

'A far more competitive race'

Geraghty, who rode the Willie Mullins-trained Blazer to win at Leopardstown last Saturday, said in his At The Races blog: "He enjoyed conditions and Blazer won well. It just may not have been that good a race. The form may not be very strong.

"The Betfair Hurdle will obviously be a far more competitive race. If he gets into the race and if he takes his chance, he will be carrying a 5lb penalty in a far more competitive race, so that will obviously be more difficult."

'Well handicapped'

Nicholls, meanwhile, said of Modus: "He was a good bumper horse and we bought him in the summer and sold him to JP.

"He's a much more mature horse and is getting better all the time. We like him a lot and it's good race for a novice in that you might be well handicapped whereas in a year you might not be.

"He's got a lot of ability, but one thing I think is he'll be a lot better on better ground. He can cope with the soft ground. He just lacks a bit of experience, but one thing he does do is jump well."

The champion trainer added: "I think there's a lot of improvement to come from him because he's learning to settle. I'm very happy with him and he's a high-class horse. He's a horse who's going to get two and a half miles in time, but he's not slow. "

Market mover

The main market mover on Tuesday was Richard Johnson's likely mount Sternrubin, who was cut into 10-1 (from 12).

Coral's David Stevens said: "Philip Hobbs is enjoying a great season, and his Sternrubin has been backed to continue his good run this weekend with more big handicap hurdle success."

If Blazer actually turns up then it will be dial the distance. So many negatives for plenty of his market rivals. Best just wait now and see if they declare him thursday. If he runs and all is well he will go off around 7-2 ... and win,

Seems a bit of an odd thing for BJG to say. If the form isnt up to much and they don't think he can compete off his current mark in a fairly weak renewal, he certainly wont be winning a County off his revised mark, surely?!

I'm not sure what anyone else read but all I saw was "please don't raise him too much Mr Handicapper, we think we've got a live one here and Cheltenham's looming...."

By the way Barry, if you're reading this, it hasn't worked old boy

Totally agree, I know the Irish handicapper has raised him 12 so you'd think Phil Smith would add a few more pounds.

+15 maybe?

10lbs well in for a 155K H'cap Hdle.

And they're really not going to run???

Headmaster we both have differing views, I understand he could be 10lbs well in on Saturday in a much more valuable race but it's just very unlike WPM and JP plan to run one so quick. Selfishly I'd prefer him to wait for Cheltenham as I think the break will be beneficial and I've backed Modus. One of us will be right I just can't believe if the Betfair was the plan all along there no money for it prior to Saturdays win?? Whatever the case GL HM and hope he finishes 2nd to Modus

I have a suspicion that IF Blazer runs here then maybe it will be Modus who is saved in the hope for better ground in march as Pumpkin has already sewn the seed of doubt about the dreadful ground not really being ideal for his flat bred horse.

Entirely possible dyno, que sera sera.

Yes I was thinking that...not necessarily that Modus would be scratched, but you've got two well-handicapped horses and one goes in soup and the other prefers not to.  Run them both or run the mudder imo.

PP have shortened him from 6/1 to 9/2 in the last half hour.....

he is running and with a serious chance, they know

Starting to blueline again.  PP now 7/2.

Deco seems to have gone a bit quiet anyway so the first leg of the double's up.

PP simultaneously pushing Modus out to top priced 7/1 as well. I think we are on here...

Yeah I saw that - a proper parting of the waves!  Surely to goodness this chap's on the ferry????

Just seen all ferries from Ireland have been cancelled till Sunday. Well that's my only hope if PP are to be believed You'll know tomorrow morning about 11 HM but I have to admit PP usually know when Irish horses are concerned.

good luck if the horse turns up must have a great chance,but remember the saying 'IF YE HAVEN'T BEEN TO THE WEDDING DON'T GO TO THE FUNERAL'

I spoke too soon.

Afternoon Deco   I'm not crowing just yet anyway...plenty of time left for Mullins/JP/the weather to pull the rug from under our feet

Absolutely no rain forecast for Newbury between now and the race is there?!

Heavy rain Saturday morning according to BBC but that's a bit like asking what's going to run

So it'll be good/firm weekend then - time to back Modus

haven't backed it myself but good luck to those who have ,a nice little plot

Have a feeling Modus won't be running.

Nicholls would implode if he was told not to declare, especially given this Mullins/Nicholls Trainers' Title subplot...but it certainly helps Mr Geraghty out. Given his comments earlier in the week, would it not look decidedly odd if he picked Blazer over the flying machine???

Runs.. BG rides

Whoop whoop.

Well done Headmaster you was right and I was being too much of a smart arseand was wrong.

Whatever happens on the day, may I say well done HM. Absolutely great shout from you.

Totally agree CCM.

Modus will be ordered to jump slowly . get buried in behind.. bungle a few jumps..not ridden with much motivation and finish mid div.
They will then launch major gamble in County Hurdle  allrates from 20/1 into 7/2 fav on the day

Spot on Nightfly.

Yep great call, you've got a 3/1 runner at 33s - what AP is all about

That's why they've put Schofield on

I think they've made the right decision too. Blazer clearly handles winter ground and Modus has shown he loves Cheltenham in March. The other way around may not have worked for either.

^ Agreed.
Well done Headmaster - and good luck

GL tomorrow HM and anyone else on Blazer, I'm on him and Modus but it was a brilliant shout whatever happens.

Kalkir and Zarib for me just think they have the X factor required for this

Today's the day !
Good luck all. This should be a cracking race

The closer we get the less confident I become.

Lots of nice horses in this race, aren't there

I don't think Zarib has Xfactor tbh but off 134 with a 5lb claim he should hit the frame imo.

I think Kalkir has potential Xfactor though and had a saver on him at 25/1

I'm definitely having a wobble here......but then that Leopardstown race comes on the telly and I feel like going in again

I'm the same HM. Worried about it being so soon after the last race, and then involving a journey over the Irish Sea now.

great stuff headmaster..unfortunately missed this thread
but still feasting on my Makfi winnings stillgl.

bottom of the class for my command of English.

Hey sk

Unfortunately my Makfis went a long time ago....and now Blazer's starting to drift

Agrapart, Matorico and Flying Angel are 3 interesting outsiders

I assume Open Eagle made the same crossing as Blazer and certainly showed no ill-effects there

Good Luck Headmaster and all others on at the big prices. If Bet.365 issue a profits warning later today we will know why!

Headmaster youre only looking for negatives. With your remark about Open Eagle I'd imagine you even worried the ship might sink. Just relax. A difficult race to win so I'm not going to say start spending the winnings but you have great value and if you could get one like that everyday you'd be in clover.

Good luck Headmaster, if i was you my bottle would have gone long before now and i be all green in the market lol


GL all who have played

Good luck those with the prices

Gone for
Agrapart
Forest Bihan and Champagne At Tara

Well done Steamship!

What was going on early in the race with Blazer, Geraghty was riding him along then at one point I wasn't sure if the tack had gone

Well done winners, hard lines HM another great result that for the stars way of things


is that worthy of the aftertimers thread 

Well done Steamship - Good call

Smashing Steamship, well done.

Headmaster, not to be with Blazer then, but it was a great shout (no consolation to you I know) and can't remember the last time on here that one persons bet got so much attention, and I'm sure I wasn't the only one shouting him home once ours were out of it. Hope you get another one soon.

sweet! 22/1 winner and 66/1 3rd

Hard lines HM not so smug now Benjyhe who last the longest that's not directed to you TEACHER

SŤS every post is worthy of the A/T's that you put up here esp this 1 no mention of any 1st 5 home only  (done my usual)and added a few rags

Surely STS is not inferring he backed the winner is he ?!

Check 13 Feb 16 15:47

Well done winners

...and thanks for all the positive posts from everyone.  We WILL have our day in the sun soon

Yep. It will happen. It's all about the long run. Keep the faith !

DECALEC

That's what I was referring to.
Perhaps STS can enlighten us ?

I will!  We've done it before and we'll do it again

Have to say the big wobble came when I read this from the Sporting Life's Newbury blog:

11:54
A gentle stroll through the grandstand and it's fairly muted so far today. Dave Nevison says he's gone 'all-in' on Blazer for the big one.

Oh God ! That would have finished me too. That guy is a complete fraud.!