Horse Antepost
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Replies: 144
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Think pricewise had a winner fairly recently
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It wouldn't put me off unless I hadn't placed the bet yet tbh
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Magical Memory, Muhaarar, Don't Touch and a few others... can Portage make it an amazing year for 3 year olds?
Bit of a shame that Pricewise has jumped on though - but went through the stats Portage does fit the trends really well, only let down by the draw (28) ... But as so many horses don't fit the trends does give Bronze Angel a serious shout despite the high rating. |
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Bronze angel himself meets a lot of my trends. Weight and rating being the two (or one really) that obviously let him down. Surprised he's not going to go off fav.
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That pillock couldn’t tip a saucer – why, oh why pick, our Portage, if I hadn’t backed A/p I would get out but today the luck git might strike! Weigh anchor.
Tipster: Pricewise Tips: 882 Win / Loss: 85-17-780 Balance: -97.00 Yield: -1.1% Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 25.00 130.00 -40.0027.00 -203.50-350.00-237.50-297.50 -95.00 |
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Found two more to back each way.My Dream Boat and Master The World.
Backing four now,feast or famine on the cards. |
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on Express Himself @25s E/W
and 30s on here. GL ALL |
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Earth drummer and gabe kaka
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spinoza1 good call mate, sensational.
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Yep. Well done spinoza. Again
 You've got to admire Fahey, he's some trainer !! Especially in these big handicaps. |
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Iris
You were right - a 3yo does it again ! Just a pity it wasn't Portage. Draw didn't help him at all . |
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......and the curse of Pricewise
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......and the curse of Pricewise Cry.
Ditto kin ditto.... kin ditto. R's hole. |
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FELTFAIR
unlucky ! |
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Yeah that Master the World Elsworth connection, unlucky Feltfair mate
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Forget form, just look for a 3 year old and back it... But winner was very gutsy... thought Master of the World should have won really unlucky to lose just on the head action... but well done backers... and unlucky Master backers... and also favourite (Portage) who was clearly on the wrong side and did well to finish where he was.
... but with 3 fields it was aways going to be the case of one side getting some bias... and it was all where the winner was... As for Bronze angel penalty cost dear! but hey ho for 3 year olds! |
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Have a good record over the years finding the winner of this race. Not this year; didn't even find one to place
 Should have known it wasn't my year when Breden was pulled out (having backed him AP). Well done winners. |
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A garbage race...
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^ what sort of comment is that ?
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I wonder if Master The World shied at the shadow of the diamond screen?.It cost Habibti? a win in the breeders Cup years ago,pity they can't erect some plastic hoarding so that the edge of the shadow is disappated.
A 2000 guineas runner not good enough to win a classic but nearly wins this.Similar to a few in the eighties e.g. Leysh at 33-1.Portage beaten here will probably like others beaten in this race before now go on to win at least a group 3. The long term stats were blown apart with this unexposed horse.But will unexposed horses in handicaps especially 3 year olds get in these sort of races .In the recent past all these races needed a very high rating,so it could have been a one off? |
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There are to my eye only two well weighted statistics that would put anyone off the winner. They certainly did me when viewing LTO performance pror to race-
10 of 10 winners had won or placed at class 2 or higher 10 of 10 winners had won a race with 13+ runners The 2nd had the Mr Elsworth race connection, and champion jockey up in hindsight. |
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Funny that Madhu - because I had the exactly the same thought when going through the stats ... and I felt ... rather than the Class 2 or higher (being a factor - it was his beating of Polarisation btw) it was the big field factor which would be the undoing for Third Time Lucky
but field split into 3 groups was drawn on the right side and was racing quite prominently, don't think that stat was really tested in this race... think the race unfolded well for him under the circumstances... |
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IrisDeBalme- I also had long term reservations that he would get in on his 3yo rating even with a penalty. I looked at his LTO on a few occasions as well. Portage can be forgiven the run, Man of Harlech ran a tremendous race on the wrong ground, and My Dream Boat went across to the other side. Too be honest I would have been more disappointed if the 2nd had won with the known Elsworth connection but the fact is he was so out of form-
9 of 10 winners posted their highest RPR of past 12 months last time out 10 of 10 winners posted an RPR of 96+ last time I just did not have enough arrows for hunches. |
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Yes your right Madhu...
"I just did not have enough arrows for hunches" perfectly said... it was tough race... |
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Montoria 25 Sep 15 08:01
Madhu.....own nothing of Energia, but have The Twisler with JCH. Energia is spot on at home and will run a good race, dare I say it, he should be there or thereabouts. Wasn't . But then next time out - wins at 40/1 !!! Hope you were on Montoria and |