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Betfair Chase - Saturday 22nd November

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Replies: 89
By:
SEATHESTARS....NO1
When: 20 Nov 14 23:34
And i wouldn't have OW down as a top notcher, i once thought he was/could be and wish that he did but i would have OW around about the same level as Menorah et al
By:
Glossy
When: 20 Nov 14 23:43
Ever thought there were bigger prizes in store? Cool
By:
buddeliea
When: 21 Nov 14 06:52
Well TDS likes soft ground,but this aint 2 and a half. Hes yet to prove he stays well over 3m and soft ground may make that tricky to achieve.
Still he ought to be improving,and hes one I am interested to see,but certainly no bet.
Looking at the race I see no reason why Menorah cannot win again. Ground should be fine,hes in good form and the stables still going along nicely.
By:
bonnie
When: 21 Nov 14 10:12
i'm up to my nuts with conti ante post for the king george, i'm going in again with him for the betfair chase, nicholls is the man to get him to peak for the big days - wetherby was just a pipe opener, expect massive improvement !!!!

first time cheekpieces also, just need it to rain and i can see conti going off 2/1 fav
By:
alleged22
When: 21 Nov 14 10:23
my tickets have just arrived for haydock and I,ll be piling on conti as well, think it will be a good day for nicholls with AF at ascot aswell
By:
HaylingBilly
When: 21 Nov 14 10:26
My sense tells me Jonjo and Pipe don't really believe either TDS or Dynaste are natural/true 3m Chasers. When March comes round they have reverted to the shorter races. I think they want them to be 3m Chasers and Gold Cup horses and on flat tracks they may well be able to hold their own but when it comes to a true run 3m Chase against the real 3m Chasers they are not quite top notch. Just my gut feel. Saturday may blow my theory out of the water but if SC and CC give them a wooping I will be a wealthier man…….not a wealthy man but wealthier than I am today and will be putting my winnings on both Dynaste and TDS to win the Ryanair in March.  Grin
By:
ReaseHeath
When: 21 Nov 14 15:40
not stopped raining all the way through this afternoon's meeting...
By:
SEATHESTARS....NO1
When: 21 Nov 14 16:21
That is some strength on Dynaste in the market currently.
By:
Autocue
When: 21 Nov 14 17:45
I remain with Cue Card and Taquin for the forecast. If it's bordering on heavy I'll take the latter to win as he'll handle it the best. Can't have Menorah as he's been beaten too many times by these in the better races (which don't include the Charlie Hall). SC is the danger. I won't back him as he showed no guts at Cheltenham. Cheek pieces are a good idea but blinkers would be even better. I suspect they're saving them.
By:
boy wonder 07
When: 21 Nov 14 18:10
took the 14's ew harry topper earlier its going to be bottomless cant have t d s never shown me anything to say he wants 3m
By:
Autocue
When: 21 Nov 14 20:23
How about staying on last time on his first attempt at 3m?
By:
Ibrahima Sonko
When: 21 Nov 14 20:30
Harry Topper fresh and on heavy ground is as good as it gets for him, this is his gold cup.

Massive TDS fan, he would stay 4 miles imo so the trip isnt really a problem, but his price doesnt represent value given all the variables.

Anyone know the race running of this race ?

which part of the track are they using etc ?
By:
boy wonder 07
When: 21 Nov 14 22:19
STAYING ON?
By:
Benjy
When: 21 Nov 14 23:52
Third Intention today showed the improvement under a proper jockey that Tizzard's can make.

CC got the injury to prove he is over though so I've decided not worth risking for me.
By:
Steamship
When: 21 Nov 14 23:57
My Tissue to about 100%

Silvi Conti  11/4
Cue Card      5/1
Dynaste       5/1
Harry Top     6/1
Taquin DS     7/1
Menorah       16/1
D Ross/Med    33/1
Giant Bol     100/1

The bet would have to be Harry Topper at 11/1.

Looks a great race just wish I was there.
Good luck all.
By:
ACStafford
When: 22 Nov 14 00:43
I take it with  your 5/1 quote for Cue Card and 6/1 for Harry Topper that the ground is looking like being heavy?
By:
sageform
When: 22 Nov 14 07:23
Do you think that Third Intention improved? The rest were a sorry bunch.
By:
Steamship
When: 22 Nov 14 08:10
I thought the ground looked soft yesterday and had more rain since racing.
I was disappointed with Cue Card at Exeter. Harry Topper goes really well fresh obviously I think Silvi will win and it depends if I'm looking for the winner or my perceived value.
By:
SEATHESTARS....NO1
When: 22 Nov 14 08:24
Despite my write up above have changed my mind Shocked

I've put a line through Menorah and instead going to back Silvi Conti and Harry Topper each way. Off out in 2 mins to grab the early prices in the shops, 4/1 Hills for conti and 12/1 HT Wink

GL allWink
By:
Benjy
When: 22 Nov 14 09:44

Nov 22, 2014 -- 7:23AM, sageform wrote:


Do you think that Third Intention improved? The rest were a sorry bunch.


Previously under Tizzard he always looked a dog. Traveled well and found little. Yesterday he kept going in front no problem at all.

By:
stevo1
When: 22 Nov 14 10:51
Sea should have waited 9/2 Conti with b2bob now.
By:
Autocue
When: 22 Nov 14 11:02
Of course staying on. If you look at Taquin's last run again and still think he wasn't staying on then it's back to the bat cave imo. If he is beaten today there will be no excuses on trip or ground.
By:
Ibrahima Sonko
When: 22 Nov 14 11:16
TDS nearly going fav, but has less matched than SC or CC.
By:
Autocue
When: 22 Nov 14 11:37
I can see SC improving on last year with the benefit of the prep run and cheekpieces (won't be spending my money to find out but would consider backing him to make amends in the Gold Cup) but I can't see why the ground conditions are being put up as a reason for him beating Cue Card. It's not as soft as it was last year when Cue card beat him. What's that all about?
By:
dunlaying
When: 22 Nov 14 11:55
I have backed Menorah, with more hope than confidence. But later on there may be some fancy prices offered about The Giant Bolster . He has the best heavy ground form by some way and just because he keeps his best for Cheltenham does not mean that he cannot perform elsewhere.
By:
Ibrahima Sonko
When: 22 Nov 14 14:59
cmon TDS Love
By:
SEATHESTARS....NO1
When: 22 Nov 14 15:07
GOWAN THERE THE CONTILove NEXT STOP KEMPTON   ExcitedExcitedExcited

WHAT A RUN FROM MENORAHLove THOUGH TOO  ExcitedCrazyCrazyCool
By:
sintonian
When: 22 Nov 14 15:07
Pulled up.
By:
sintonian
When: 22 Nov 14 15:08
Great prep run from Dynaste for the King George, imo.
By:
Ibrahima Sonko
When: 22 Nov 14 15:08
did not jump a twig, desperate.
By:
penzance
When: 22 Nov 14 15:08
Dynaste not got it a 3m against
the best.
By:
sintonian
When: 22 Nov 14 15:14
Thing is Ibra he has looked desperate on his debut run too.
By:
sintonian
When: 22 Nov 14 15:16
Maybe Penzance but today was 3m1f on Soft, nearly Heavy. 3m at Kempton on GS, if we get it, should be plum for him. He's being trained for Kempton.
By:
sintonian
When: 22 Nov 14 15:18
CC not looking the same horse, must have done something in the King George last year.
By:
penzance
When: 22 Nov 14 15:30
can't see him winning a KG unless the
top stayers miss the gig.Only my opinion,
though.
  GL
By:
Benjy
When: 22 Nov 14 16:56
I appreciate he won it last year but... Cue Card I'm still not convinced sees out 3 miles. Should be targeting the Ryanair.

A fairly predictable result today, which is pleasing. Menorah ran a cracker as well.
By:
stevo1
When: 22 Nov 14 17:29
Conti back as trainer thought trained for this, good performance but doubt we saw Gold Cup winner in field.
By:
ReaseHeath
When: 22 Nov 14 17:46
^ inclined to agree, backed Menorah in the end in spite of the ground, partly based on his appearance in the parade ring - he loooked fantastic - so close but no cigar...

Nicholls remains superb at getting his charges to concert pitch on the right days, not watched it back yet but it seemed SC just outstayed Menorah on the ground.I think Menorah now becomes potentially interesting for King George given decent ground though.

Who knows what the ground will be on Boxing Day though.
By:
SEATHESTARS....NO1
When: 22 Nov 14 17:51
Agreed ReaseHeath
By:
call it a day
When: 22 Nov 14 18:51
Benjy,
Last year with a proper jockey CC jumped, travelled, exuded confidence. Now with a different pilot it blunders about like it's blindfolded. Shame the previous pilot hung up his boots a year too soon.
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