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Not going to express an opinion on what distance the horse will stay but agree 100% about how NJH approaches his entries.
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...except for when Nicholls had 1st, 2nd, 4th and 5th from 5 (five) runners in 2009 Gold Cup, i think you meant to say.
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Conti would win the king George shame he had already mapped out Al ferof and kauto stone. I get the feeling Hales had told nicholls he wants Walsh to ride Al ferof and nicholls didn't want to upset Hales, and obviously in the past Neptune being over looked cus of the kauto denman era think there may of been bit of love lost If I remember rightly.
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DI - don't start quoting me examples because for the ODD one you can drag up, I'll give you a dozen swerves!
The Gold Cup is a notable 'Holy Grail' so it's understandable that FOUR different owners are determined to win it! My Will was the only one of those who had a realistic option at the Festival...the other three HAD TO go there! |
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PS - I actually can understand that Nicholls didn't want Kauto Star & Denman meeting more than once a season as it may have been internecine for his chasers, and compromised their chances in the one that mattered.
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Interesting brooksie to see what happens if AF stays well in KG. Nicholls is hinting at Ryanair and I don't think Hales will have that.
There are a couple of big owners you will stand up, the other seemingly is Buckley who apparently has said that Finian's Rainbow either goes Arkle or GC, not Ryanair |
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Sanctuaire kicked right on and if you think he'll get a lead like that again you truly are bonkers. - Never said that.
Was Sprinter Sacre going any faster than normal in the Tingle Creek? Nope....Sanctuaire was though which is why he didn`t stay the 2 mile trip at that speed and only finished 3rd. Sprinter Sacre had settled after the first 2 fences but he was not travelling any faster than the chasing pack. Sanctuaire was scuttling ahead. |
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Roo - Potts seems another one, and I have to say if they're paying the bills and they reckon their trainer is just 'feathering his own nest' then maybe we shouldn't have them tagged as 'difficult characters' even though I'm guilty of doing so!
If I had a horse, I'd certainly make sure I had some input! |
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The Tingle Creek was the first time in his career that Sprinter HAS settled. He was able to because of the tremendous pace set by Sanctuaire.
All this talk of Sprinter "lobbing along" in a 3 mile race at 3 mile pace is nothing short of laughable. Everyone seems to forgotten that he has already been tried at two and a half miles over hurdles. He travelled superbly(pulling hard) until the 2nd last and then stopped as though he'd been shot. His worst run by a considerable margin. |
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FB - I know you're no fool and it's as if you're being contrary here...you KNOW Sprinter Sacre is a totally different animal as a chaser and if I'm not mistaken, hasn't he had a palate operation since his hurdling days?
It might seem a bit naive to compare with Frankel, but they're similar as regards their ongoing maturity and settling better - I think SS will settle with an average pace from now on...time will tell ![]() |
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We'll just need to wait and see what Hendo says after the Champion Chase. He certainly won't be racing over anything other than 2 miles until then.
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PS to Duncan Idaho - just checked on RP website and I forgot about Star De Mohaison in the 'Nicholls' Gold Cup' and yet again, he was in different ownership and had no other realistic Festival option as he was 'weighted out' of the handicaps!
I was surprised to see he was only a 20/1 shot in one of the best Gold Cups in recent memory so he was clearly no bum! |
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He did have an operation after the end of his hurdling career. He ran 3 times after that debacle and before the operation though and hacked up twice and finished 3rd in the Supreme all over 2m.
As you rightly say he's much better over fences. The fact remains however in that one run over more than 2 miles he showed form at least 20lb below anything else he has done. Obviously he is a much stronger and more mature horse now which may make a difference. |
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NG,
really not sure why you get upset when its mentioned that the trainer said he's a 2 miler and would stay a 2miler. He did say that i seem to recall. Of course he can change his mind at any stage of the horses career,if the horse starts telling him differently. Hes 2 miles this season,at least till the QM. Then they will decide to step him up for the melling chase,or stay at 2m for the Champion Chase at Punchestown. To be honest if they feel hes never gonna get 3m,which is probable if he thinks hes a 2 miler right now,then i dont see the point of stepping up. Winning the QM,TC and VC a few times,and an Irish Champion Chase once or twice is more prestigious than winning races at 2 and halfm. Whatever our opinion,we have to respect the opinions of people who know the horse. Yes,to my eyes he looks so good he would probably win over 2m4 at the top level,but another 4f after that,i aint sure at all. |
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FB - do you think he'll go for the Melling and furthermore, stay the trip and win?
The possibility of Finian's Rainbow going there might scupper that (a true Henderson swerve) but it's also a possible that FR might head for the Bowl instead. |
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NB
I wouldn't have thought he would but it's an option. I also don't believe Finians Rainbow is a 3 miler and after he blows out in the KG I'd expect him to revert to shorter trips and almost certainly run in the Melling. ![]() |
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Budd - we're all entitled to our opinions mate and I think I'm more qualified than most to disagree with trainers - even Cecil gets things wrong now & again, and on the odd occasion, I've been spot-on!
If we all hung on to ever musing the trainers utter we'd be skint! They lead us down the wrong path sometimes, and dress things up, when we KNOW they do not want a clash of their own stars! AND...I don't get upset...I like others' views even when I strongly disagree, as long as there's some decent reasoning behind it. I also have my doubts about 3M for Sprinter Sacre as I don't see how anyone could be confident of him getting that far (at this point in his career) but horses do change their characteristics as they mature. Wayward Lad was a very smooth traveller in his early days but upped in trip, he ran some of his best races when rousted along with a fair bit to go - that's counter intuitive! As I stated a few days ago...Floyd was a completely different animal as he matured, and there are many more examples I can think of. I've got a lot of experience of this sport and if there's one thing I would instil into a newcomer, it would be to expect the unexpected! I can give you dozens of examples of grade/group ones races where I STILL can't believe what I've seen...Solemia being the most recent! |
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FB - you may well be right about Finian's Rainbow over 3M and although I'm not convinced, he has a chance of getting the trip - nevertheless, he is the crux of this argument about Sprinter Sacre stepping up in distance, as it would be a surprise to see BOTH go for the Melling.
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Flyingbolt
The fact remains however in that one run over more than 2 miles he showed form at least 20lb below anything else he has done. No No No....Sprinter Sacre was beaten by Frascati Park over 20f - Frascati Park was a 132 Hurdler. In that race was Poungach 8L behind in 3rd. He went on to be a 152 horse over hurdles. It was Sprinter Sacre`s hurdle debut. Where do you get this 20lb below anything else he has done crapola?? Look at his 2 NH races as well. Everything has been a natural progression. You are talking rubbish. |
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AG - who cares mate...it a totally different discipline!
How many high class chasers have you seen with absolutely useless form over hurdles? It is a fair guide (like NHF races are to newcomers over hurdles) but ultimately it has only some relevance. |
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To be honest mate,Henderson is always saying he dont want to race his horses against each other,particularly in races leading up to the festival.
When i asked him about Finians defending his QM this season at the open day,he said to me we have Sprinter Sacre and Barry will have to decide. Well Barry will be on SS,so if FR dont stay in the KG,what happens to FR? Makes sense to me for trainer to tell owner that FR should be in Ryanair cos he might win that,he wont win the QM. Im well aware of being careful listening to trainers,and jockeys and owners!! All i was saying is what he said. Whether we choose to belive them is up to us as individuals. |
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Yes of course NG.
Flying Bolt however is using that hurdles race to assess Sprinter Sacre`s prospects of getting further. He has totally misread the form of that particular race. |
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That brings us back to the question of TOO many of the top horses camped in the same two stables!
It's bad for the game ![]() |
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PS - Budd...it's understandable too when the likes of Henderson & Nicholls are wanting to keep their best apart (until the Festival at least) but they dress it up about being the 'best thing for the horse & owner' - that's nonsense!
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having looked at finians pedigree a good while back ,he is very stoutly bred indeed,owned by the aga khan,and by tiraaz who ran and won or placed in the prix cadran and also in the prix gladiator the distances of these races are well in excess of 2 miles ,he also has strong gale in the dams side of his pedigree so the bloodline is very strong on stamina . so could well be suited by 3m +.
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AG
If you think getting beaten pointless by a 132 rated hurdler is on a par with his other runs over hurdles then all I can say is....... ![]() ![]() As for Poungach do you think he ran to 152 ???If not that comment is irrelevant.......or perhaps you think Frascati Park is a 195 horse ? ![]() Best to keep it sensible imo. |
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Flyingbolt
I take it you are running and hiding rather than explaining this crapola.. The fact remains however in that one run over more than 2 miles he showed form at least 20lb below anything else he has done. Yes it`s best to keep it sensible lad. ![]() |
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FW - in all reality, it's only the truly exceptional that beat the BEST over 2M AND 3M - as much as I liked him, I can't say that Edredon Bleu was in hailing distance or encountered the quality that Desert Orchid or Kauto Star did!
Therefore, a horse of similar ability in Finian's Rainbow has big doubts about the trip against what looks to be a very competitive field at Kempton, never mind the Gold Cup! |
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As for Poungach do you think he ran to 152 ???If not that comment is irrelevant.......or perhaps you think Frascati Park is a 195 horse ?
Have you always had a mental problem reading form ![]() |
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This is a redundant argument guys...calm down!
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Well its best for horse and owner if the trainer finds the right races to give them the best chance of winning,and quiet often that will mean running them in different races.
If he puts them in the same race then straight away they know one of them aint winning!! Just think theres a bit more to it then just saying a trainer does it all for his own ends,so to speak. Yes he gains if he has 2 winners instead of one winner,but so do the owners. We just have to try and work out when to take notice of them and when not to. That aint easy!!! |
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The form of that race is below any of his other form
However the main focus of that race is the way he ran,travelling really well and then finding nothing. |
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I know that Budd, but it begs the question of would the game be better off if McCain, Hobbs or King had a few of Nicholls/Henderson FOURTH strings?
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yeh mate,it would.
But the way they have been training lately not sure i would want a good horse with any of em!! That aint helping,that Henderson and Nicholls are streets ahead,well seems that way to me anyway. |
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It's been worse in Ireland over the last few years with Willie Mullins!
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The form of that race is below any of his other form
However the main focus of that race is the way he ran,travelling really well and then finding nothing. good to see you admit your 20lb statement was crapola. Would you not expect his hurdling debut and seasonal debut to be a stepping stone for the season? Every race was a progression. The bottom line is that was his hurdling debut. He was beaten by a horse race fit with 6 hurdle races under his saddle. However Sprinter Sacre did muller Poungach in that race. After this race Sprinter Sacre went on to beat a 110 horse in Scorcillero on the snaff. ( how are you equating this form as superior than the 20f race)??? |
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I thought SS returned home a sick horse after the frascati park race, it was nearly 3 months before we saw him again.
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because he won the race you refer to pulling a cart with any amount in hand.
If you think the Ascot race is a better run so be it.If you think everything is down to what beaten horses are rated then there is little point continuing this discussion. |
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I love the fact that SS will be kept to 2 miles as I personally prefer a potential superstar at this distance as I feel the king george and gold cup not the ultimate accolade tho i know I am in the minority.Personally SS could be so far ahead of any opponents that my theory will never be put to the test but going on racing notes I have made about this horse on its previous runs I truly believe he is a bridle horse albeit possibly one of the best I may ever see, I am not saying it is ungenuine or anything as ludicrous but if we find another horse who can run within 6lbs of its potential rating then I know which one I would be laying in run at odds on,now I could be talking absolute garbage (I have had a few so please forgive me) but its all about opinions and I do hope I am proved wrong,or possibly we wont come across another animal capable of putting my speculative theory to the test. As for staying further I dont really care I hope it goes unbeaten through its career at two miles and not spoiled by trying distances that may not suit,take care all.
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MES - then we'd have the 'Big Buck's' scenario (at 2M) for the next FOUR years and eventually plenty of frustration
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