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tyronesam
20 Nov 12 23:33
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Date Joined: 09 Jan 04
| Topic/replies: 883 | Blogger: tyronesam's blog
iknow henderson spoke re this at weekend but i missed it... i see 4s available.....surely this is HUGE
Pause Switch to Standard View is darlan a deffo runner in fighting...
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Report revedesivola November 21, 2012 12:35 AM GMT
hes got 19 lbs to find on official ratings with rock on ruby. im not saying he wont win but its not hard to see why hes 4/1. some would argue 4/1 is too short
Report ilikewavingatbuses November 21, 2012 12:49 AM GMT
grandouet lining up?

he'll  win doing handstands imo.
Report revedesivola November 21, 2012 1:06 AM GMT
surely the chance of him unseating has to be entered into calculation of a value price. imo he has a greater chance of unseating if hes doing handstands
Report ilikewavingatbuses November 21, 2012 1:30 AM GMT
unseating?

hes only fallen once when tanking and was brought down the other, beat overturn 4L lto.

not sure hes even lining up tbh but if he does he'll win.
Report ilikewavingatbuses November 21, 2012 1:31 AM GMT
sorry i get u now W**kerLaugh
Report stevo1 November 21, 2012 1:32 AM GMT
Wouldnt back any of Hendersons horses given numerous horses over past 2 seasons not showing inc 2 last weekend fraught with danger, and no darlan at 4s not great price if all turn up imo.
Report buddeliea November 21, 2012 7:50 AM GMT
doing handstands?
against the CH Hurdler??
Dont think so somehow!!!
Report roobuck November 21, 2012 9:28 AM GMT
Perhaps not handstands, but I could easily see him beating ROR at Newcastle.
Report sc1883 November 21, 2012 10:06 AM GMT
Grandouet going for the old bula race at Cheltenham im sure ive heard somewhere?
Report ilikewavingatbuses November 21, 2012 1:28 PM GMT
ror is a douer stayer ffs who stole the champion from the front.

overturn was 2nd ffs. Anyone taking that form literally is going to lose a lot of money in the future imo
Report duncan idaho November 21, 2012 1:51 PM GMT
only one f in defo, sam. cheers.
Report tyronesam November 21, 2012 2:12 PM GMT
thanks for that duncan...grandouet is going to cheltenham i believe...yes ror is a serious horse as is cinders but as for the rest....
Report tyronesam November 21, 2012 2:32 PM GMT
and getting back to the original question...did hendo state this was target for darlan ?many thanks and good luck all
Report Tucho November 21, 2012 4:07 PM GMT
sorry but nobody is going to be able to give you a definite answer, hendo wouldn't point anybody in the right direction for a p1ss

however he did mention the fighting fifth as the likely destination in the papers on sunday after he was withdrawn from the racing post handicap

so yeah, assuming he's trying to keep his champion hurdle horses away from each other then i'd say

darlan > fighting fifth
grandouet > bula
binocular > christmas hurdle

looks as likely as anything imo

but rock on ruby and cinders and ashes are pretty much confirmed for the race, surely darlan can't get much shorter in the market unless one of those pulls out?
Report sintonian November 21, 2012 4:37 PM GMT
Newcastle can get testing. No guarantee Darlan runs in that instance unless NJH would be happy to do it off level weights as opposed to the handicap.
Report buddeliea November 21, 2012 5:40 PM GMT
All about opinion buses,i happen to think the CH was a darn good race and should definitely be taken seriously with regard to this seasons top hurdle races.
Report ilikewavingatbuses November 21, 2012 6:20 PM GMT
decent race nothing more.

Im by no means saying ror isnt a serious horse, hes always there or there abouts but its no coincidence that the front 2 were the front 2 for the entire race whilse ruby and ap were too concedrned with each other.

i mean overturn is a grand sort and looks a fair chaser too but he was regulary put in his place over hurdles time and again. what, has he suddenly improved on his 50th start?

race was stolen by 2 very good horses.

again, just my opinion. eitherway grandouet isnt going apparently so doesnt really matter, thought the track wouldve suited.

ror will be formidable on testing tracks.
Report buddeliea November 21, 2012 7:10 PM GMT
yeh,i do sgree Ruby and AP were a bit too concerned with each other,i was fuming at the time having had a nice price on Bino.But any horse that goes off prominent,quickens off that pace and extends the lead after the last gets my vote as a very good winner of the race.Whatever the opposition got up to!!
Report willie the milk November 26, 2012 8:29 PM GMT
At 0/30 with Mr Power, Rock on Ruby is a MUST bet. Current champion, rated 19lbs better that Cinders and Ashes. Ground will be in C&A favour more that ROR but that does not mean he can't run on it. I see no reason why Darlan should turn round the Supreme form, especially on the predicted heavy ground. ROR for meHappy
Report roobuck November 26, 2012 8:40 PM GMT
I'm sure I read that good chance ROR will be pulled out if ground is desperate
Report Mystic Wind November 26, 2012 10:31 PM GMT
Hope not roobuck, as I agree with Willie The Milk.

Sure, C&A has form on heavy, but there's a reason why he's rated 19lbs behind ROR. There's nothing to suggest ROR won't handle heavy, he certainly has the stamina required and is NH bred.

I was a bit disappointed with ROR at Aintree after what I'd rated a pretty decent Champion Hurdle. However, in retrospect the key to this horse appears to be freshness. This is borne out by Fry planning a 3 race campaign for him this year. Just look at his form figures (after his debut) when he's had a lay-off of 2 months or more : 1111.

TBH, I thought 9/4 was a decent price a couple of days ago, so with doubts over the participation of Darlan (even though he'd have plenty to find too), the drift to 3/1+ seems ludicrous to me, so I've topped-up.

1pt win Rock On Ruby @ 9/4, plus another 0.5pts @ 100/30
Report ralph88 November 27, 2012 9:19 AM GMT
The fighting fifth isn't great.  Grandouet wins the Champ Hurdle all day long this is just second fiddle to that, The irish raider will probs win the rest are just high end handicappers who will now want a trip.
Report roobuck November 27, 2012 10:42 AM GMT
He is all set to go to Newcastle and I’m looking forward to running him, but I am going to monitor the weather and I have been in contact with James Armstrong regularly.
“I just hope the weather doesn’t spoil the party. He wouldn’t go in extreme conditions and hypothetically he would go to Cheltenham a fortnight later for the Stan James International [formerly the Bula] if that was the case.


Harry Fry quoted in yesterday's RP

So last years's CH winner is actually only a high end handicapper? Laugh
Report tyronesam November 27, 2012 11:39 AM GMT
chances are going WILL be heavy so these extreme conditions might just rule him out !!!wasnt that what hendo said re darlan when he pulled him out first time at chelters,and that he didnt want to race him in poor conditions first time out !!!could he be withdrawn too ?
Report Arklearkle November 27, 2012 11:46 AM GMT
Roobuck ROR only other win in his last seven races was a handicap. While Zarkandars only two wins in last 18 months were handicaps also. That means 1st 2nd and 5th could be classified as such although being a young horse there may be hope for Zarkander still.
Report roobuck November 27, 2012 12:09 PM GMT
Arkle the argument you use about Zarkandar is frankly ridiculous being as his last run was after the CH and before he was injured he won graded races at Kempton, Cheltenham and Aintree beating Grandouet on two of those occasions.

Oh and the 3rd and 4th in the CH were the previous 2 winners, one of which is favourite for this years event.
Report ralph88 November 27, 2012 12:30 PM GMT
roobuck if your the type of person who chooses horses on quotes in the RP etc etc, it's flowered media son there's nothing else to say, ROR isn't anymore than a high end handicapper.  Listen he was a bumper horse and was put with Fry as they thought peanuts of him at Nichols yard he then started showing a little and had a one off against top types also having a lesser one off after a long season, he wants a trip and doesn't have the speed to win a CH this season, look how he gets outpaced and stays on, soft ground, stiff tracks,galloping tracks all palced... didn't see a race course until late on and now he's getting older he'll be regressing. As for Zarkandar he's a classier type much better breed and ouzes class and constitution but he'll peak too early this season and have his day in the sun before CH, he's not a spring horse.. did you see his seasonal reapperance??? He had a bloody hard race he makes hard work of his races too and therefore he'll be well over the top come CH and certainly won't be fresh. There's your RP quote right after the CH flop and he goes off Fav as he'll of cleaned up before then 'he's had a hard season and this was probably one step too far, we'll freshen him up and let him streghthen up over the winter maybe pop him over a fence in time and step him up in trip he's still low mileage' P Nichols 21.03.13....
Report buddeliea November 27, 2012 12:40 PM GMT
ROR is the c hurdler,and no reason why he cannot win again given a similar type of race,which i would think connections will try to achieve.hes still a young horse and was quick enough this year and will be quick enough next year.whether hes the best horse on the day is another matter,but no way would i pooh pooh his chances based on his form thus far.
Report roobuck November 27, 2012 12:48 PM GMT
Ralph I don't need RP quotes to form my opinion.......son. Interesting you use one to make a point later on.....son.

Grandouet may well beat Zarkandar at a speed track like Aintree but not at Cheltenham. Zarkandar will be fresh for CH, may be the next race after the Bula. Lets chat again after that race....son
Report buddeliea November 27, 2012 12:55 PM GMT
Think if Zarkander can turn up in March at his best he will beat Grandouet again.
question is will he get him there at his best??
Report ralph88 November 27, 2012 12:56 PM GMT
The one I have used is pre-empted... by me, the one you have used to be back your arguement up more of an evidential purpose slightly stronger than an opinion would you not agree slick? Yes let's chat again after the race on the provarsio your handicappers actually go for the race.  I'm pleased your not my investment banker. Do you self a favour and have a squeak on Grandouet otherwise you'll be a fiver ot tenner worse off come mid March. BTW Aintree isn't a speed track so let's get ahead of ourselves now... just breath and relax youngin.
Report buddeliea November 27, 2012 1:00 PM GMT
handicappers
Laugh

come on Ralph,thats a bit silly chap.
Report roobuck November 27, 2012 1:03 PM GMT
Sorry what argument am I trying to back up? It was a quote about whether a horse would run in a race on bad ground. Clearly you are that old you are losing your marblesor simy have lost the ability to read
Report roobuck November 27, 2012 1:05 PM GMT
Read my post from last night at 20.40 - that might help you understand the reason for my quote thicko
Report ralph88 November 27, 2012 1:10 PM GMT
Who's Harry Fry Up anyway? Roll on March for the CH.... 1 Class Horse v 6 High End Handicappers and 6 Over The Top Horses.

It's a descisive race in the champ trainers pot do you think Hendo or Paul are going to let some first season young buck ex yard lad win the CH?? I doubt it!
Report ralph88 November 27, 2012 1:11 PM GMT
No thanks I cannot be bothered to read your stuff, why are you still talking ot me go away you wierdo, stalker.
Report unclepuncle November 27, 2012 2:16 PM GMT
Is Ralph related to Eric Morris by any chance?Cry
Report FOYLESWAR November 27, 2012 2:25 PM GMT
rock on ruby 7/2 on here ,if newcastle is called off would race bet switched to newbury?
Report turnip turns November 27, 2012 2:30 PM GMT
AP bets are void if the venue changesWink
Report thelegend November 27, 2012 2:38 PM GMT
really like trifolium at the prices
Report unclepuncle November 27, 2012 3:12 PM GMT
I agree.Grin
Report sj November 27, 2012 4:18 PM GMT
On Cinders 5-1 E/W
Report willie the milk November 27, 2012 5:57 PM GMT
Clever SJCool
Report sj November 27, 2012 10:04 PM GMT
Nothing mad just

13 Nov 2012 15:36        Fighting Fifth    Outright Ante Post, Cinders And Ashes, 5/1
Single £100.00 E/W (Pot. Ret. £800.00)    Open    Open0.00


Stan were only one's up on the race, cut to 5-2 in 24 hours
Report stevo1 November 27, 2012 10:08 PM GMT
Only 1 to beat SJ nailed on money back anyway good luck.
Report thelegend November 27, 2012 10:35 PM GMT
thats some price now sj
Report bluebirdfan November 28, 2012 10:13 AM GMT
Lot of money for the Irish raider last few days, he has entries elsewhere though?
Report FOYLESWAR November 28, 2012 10:49 AM GMT
cinders 1.81 on here now !
Report FOYLESWAR November 28, 2012 10:50 AM GMT
cinders 1.81 on here now !
Report FOYLESWAR November 28, 2012 11:34 AM GMT
money still coming for the byrnes hoss !
Report nelsondave. November 28, 2012 12:48 PM GMT
Trifolium has 1 1/2lengths to make up on Cinders and Ashes on Supreme Novices form, ground in his favour, I'll take him to turn the form around
Report turnip turns November 28, 2012 4:35 PM GMT
TRIFOLIUM BIDS TO BLOSSOM IN FIFTH
28 Nov 2012


.
Trifolium will take his chance in the Grade One StanJames.com Fighting Fifth Hurdle at Newcastle on Saturday.

The five-year-old, third in the Supreme Novices' Hurdle at Cheltenham earlier this year, is also engaged in Sunday's Hatton's Grace Hurdle at Fairyhouse, but is instead set to cross the Irish Sea.

Trainer Charles Byrnes hopes a wind operation can help him put a disappointing seasonal reappearance behind him.

Byrnes said: "He's definitely running at Newcastle and we're looking forward to the race. He's had a minor wind operation since his last run.

"It's only a small field on Saturday and there is some good prize-money. Hopefully we'll bring a bit of it home with us."
Report sageform November 28, 2012 5:12 PM GMT
I hope that Ciders wins and have backed him for the CH already but the prices for Saturday make no sense if you look at the RPRs and the market for Cheltenham which makes Darlan, Rock on Ruby and Cinders almost equal prices. The going must be the explanation.
Report BarryM November 28, 2012 5:58 PM GMT
Darlan isn't a definite runner in 2012
Report bluebirdfan November 29, 2012 8:37 AM GMT
No Darlan or Rock on Ruby on Saturday. ROR will take on Zarkander and Grandnouet in the International Hurdle at Cheltenham in 2 weeks, some race that will be!
Report BJG November 29, 2012 10:42 AM GMT
Just the four runners confirmed for the Fighting Fifth Hurdle on Saturday: Countrywide Flame, Cinders And Ashes, Bothy and Trifolium.
Report tyronesam November 29, 2012 12:04 PM GMT
thats the good thing about these forums...forget the fighting and smart answers....i aired my thoughts but the deate on here made me wait and i ended up not touching darlan due to the doubts many of u expressed....feels like ive backed a winner...tanx lads
Report never give up November 29, 2012 6:37 PM GMT
.
Report never give up November 29, 2012 6:37 PM GMT
ttt
Report willie the milk November 29, 2012 6:50 PM GMT
Cry 2 APs so far this season, Notus De La Tour in the Paddy Power, nr, & Rock On Ruby in the Fighting 5th.
At least my 3rd, Diamond Harry in the Hennessy, has been declared. Please at least start the effin race.
Report sageform November 29, 2012 8:43 PM GMT
Big relief to see First Lieutenant declared. backed it at 17 earlier and was horrified to see it at 25 next day. Back to 12.5 now. Might well be a repeat of the RSA with him and Bobs Worth fighting it out.
Report JOCI Club November 29, 2012 9:17 PM GMT
Has good Cheltenham form, but every other time I see him run, he seems a weak, irresolute type. Can't see him manning up in a grueller like this.
Report tik-tak November 30, 2012 7:52 PM GMT
can anyone tell me do i get my money back on darlan he's now a none runner
Report FOYLESWAR November 30, 2012 7:57 PM GMT
tic tac if ya fishing poor bait ! if not  when did ya put the bet on ?
Report tik-tak November 30, 2012 8:01 PM GMT
tuesday i bet on it
Report FOYLESWAR November 30, 2012 8:37 PM GMT
then you have done ya dough, unlucky mate it sucks ,your best hope is for the weather to intevene i.e abandonment and if they switch the race  to newbury you are still classed as non runner appparantly !
Report FOYLESWAR November 30, 2012 8:38 PM GMT
heard its brass monkey weather up in geordieland so you have a chance !
Report FOYLESWAR November 30, 2012 9:28 PM GMT
tic tac plenty of people on the horse forum saying really cold, minus 2 in the daytime at newcastle ,dont want to get ya hopes up but they are saying 50\50 at best!
Report sj November 30, 2012 10:40 PM GMT
pi ss off what about me Laugh
Report FOYLESWAR December 1, 2012 12:12 AM GMT
oi sj i have backed trifolium ante post at 10s what about me as well Laugh good luck all tic tac as well
Report sj December 1, 2012 8:20 AM GMT
We are on Grin now just lay back at 1.88 win and 1.29 place
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