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We have already established he was hanging a bit and cheekily poking his tongue out at all the doubters.............yet he still won.
Need we say more, if he actually gets his $h1t together look out![;)] |
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darren lamb overated imo and vastly
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Racing Post ratings has Decided Work Force produced a career best performance in the Eclipse. I wonder what he will expect when the horse runs over his best trip and ground. He has also said Sui Putra haw improved 4lb from his near identical beating at Ascot. All this is because he wants to rate So You Think 132. It looks like if you hype a horse enough people are affected by it.
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If you can back up the hype then there is no problem IMO, its when O'Brien shoots his mouth off and stuffs up the race as was the case in the POW that you end up looking like a complete knob.
Bart Cummings never hyped SYT he just let the horse do the talking, and talk he did, im sure many of us Aussies would prefer the same method/s from Ballydoyle. Is O'brien guilty of over hypeing horses? I think we all know the answer to that. I highly doubt timeform or any other ratings agency would fall into the trap of over rating SYT on "hype". |
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fm, timeformwere clearly impressed by him given the figures he was given!
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Lets be frank here, let me guess who here in this thread bet on Workforce yesterday?
..........3 people! ![]() |
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[smiley:crazy]
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What was not be impressed about?
He beat an equal rated horse (both were 132 last year) and Workforce ran a cracking race yet SYT was hanging a bit and his tongue was hanging out, Rewilding is currenty rated above him on his last effort and all power to Rewilding for that run BTW, if Rewilding can back up his form and Workforce can win at his preffered distance then both can improve their ratings aswell, you can only rate one race at a time and as of yesterday SYT proved his former rating of world middle distance champion was no fluke. Sure its certainly not any easier to prove your worth when your trainer adds his own hype to trip himself over with, but thats his problem. |
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youve lost me... all i said is that timeform rated his win highly
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I wasnt actually replying to you personally, you just happened to post a few seconds before i posted so i didnt read your post.
The tone of the thread appears to be that hes overrated because hes overhyped, but the world ratings out yesterday show he got pegged down a level after the POW debacle, so i dont see any credence in the OP's claim, i do though agree O'Brien overhypes him, and he fell on his own sword for that mistake. The rating he recieved for yesterday counts for little untill the next world rankings come out and their will likely be two or more races by then so its a moot point IMO. FWIW I agree totally that Frankel and Black Caviar are top rated and SYT will need to do something pretty amazing like win another group 1, the Arc and or the BC to knock those two off top spot. Hope i didnt lose you there. ![]() |
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His bare form in the Uk is that of a solid group one winning horse but we've yet to see anything exceptional.
If Rewilding had run yesterday theres no reason to suggest he wouldn't have won. As i stated on earlier posts the reason we haven't seen the Exceptional SYT the Aussies talk about , may well be that he prefers going Left handed. If he lines up at York against Frankel we'll find out if he is the horse they rave about. |
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Thats a very good point, his biggest wins in AUS were all on left handed tracks and i agree he has not looked exceptional for what ever reasons besides his earlier warm up races in Ireland, can he go with the momentum now?
Rewilding may well prove to be an exceptioanl horse and Workforce could well peak at his preffered distance and win the Arc again, not to mention Canford Cliffs, Frankel was getting a bit shaky at the post last race, can he hold off these other 3 horses for top spot? So it will be an interesting 6 months to see who can be still standing at the top 2011 year end. The only (hardly bold) prediction i will make is that the current world rankings will be different come year end. |
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His time was excellent, nothing overrated about it.
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Ah ratings good old ratings the anoraks play thing, a horse doesn't know if its rated 120 or 140.
I take not one bit of notice of them I let my eyes do the talking, sultan makes a good point though, how can Timeform actually rate yesterdays performance by SYT any better than his Ascot run?, if you take a literal reading of the form through Sri Putra the horse ran to its raw ability, the horse hasn't ran any better or any worse, thats as good as he is which is pretty good, fine the horse beat Workforce but as has been pointed out Workforce's best performances have been over 12F. |
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I'm not here to support Timeform's methods, but they don't use "yardstick" handicapping, wisely so, imo.
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ascot and sandown have shown him to be a genuine group 1 horse, just not exceptional. maybe he'll do better still - would be good to see.
agree with the poster who said rewilding would have won yesterday, provided he'd been laid out for it. the other thing is, so you think no longer looks so versatile. for example, doubt he'd finish in the top 3 in this year's melbourne cup even with same weight. he's sweated up quite badly last two runs as well - no idea if he did that in aus. |
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First of all, ForceMajeure's constant haranguing of Aidan and Joseph O'Brien is cringeworthy. I must admit, I enjoyed his posts at first, but now I just skip over anything he writes. Hopefully, he will cop himself on sometime soon, and also apologise for his appalling comments on the horse racing forum yesterday.
As for So You Think the horse, I think he is a very good horse with the potential to be a great one. There will always be questions surrounding the form, so the only way to answer the critics is to prove his versatility and his consistency by bagging one or two more Group Ones at 1m 2f and 1m 4f before winning at the Breeder's Cup. I accept the distances to Sri Putra are consistent with one another but I'd be wary about reading too much into them. So You Think is comfortably superior to that animal, and in the end, there will be more to his legacy than just the lengths and pounds he gave to his rivals. Can I also remind users that since coming to Ireland, So You Think has won two Group Ones and a Group Three, and was headed into second in another Group One when supposedly not fully fit. Not many horses do that. And remember he has already won two Cox Plates as well as four other Australian Group Ones plus finished third in a Melbourne Cup. Worst case argument is that he's a very good horse. If people want to argue his handicap ratings, then that is a different story. In my opinion, ratings are fallacious. They do not reward consistency, versatility, longevity, temperament, or style. Analyse So You Think and Sri Putra in each of those categories, and I think the former comes out with a lot more in hand than what the winning margins might suggest. |
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Love the last paragraph
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Think it's the best race of the year personally and SYT defo one of the great horses I have seen. I backed WF yesterday and although initially disappointed he did not win he ran a great race. Possibly in front too long but it was a 10f race and I guess they had to gamble one way or the other with it not being his best trip. SYT will not get beat over 10f again IMO.
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i was impressesd!! beat a derby and arc winner who didnt seem too far out of his comfort zone. will be interesting to see if they will both meet over 12f.
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comfort zone over 1f that is (wf) sorry.*
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10f*
ffs again sorry! |
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and was headed into second in another Group One when supposedly not fully fit
Anyone believe that? I certainly didn't. He was fit at Ascot alright and was beaten by the better horse. So he loses half a length to Rewilding and was unfit and beats Workforce half a length and was fit. Crock of sh1t. He's been fit since after his first run. Aidan did this with DOM and Dylan Thomas, records of whom his is looking quite comparable at the moment. The crunch comes with what he does for the rest of the season. DOMarmalade tailed off and left a legacy of being a top older horse but not quite a champion, Dylan Thomas won an Arc: immortality gained. He's at that level and what kind of races he runs in from now on will tell us his true class. I'm not for rating a horse highly for beating a high class but small field. Sea the Stars best rating came out of his Irish Champion win yet I challenge anyone to deny that his Arc win was his most exhilarating performance by far. So far So You Think's European campaign looks all about ticking boxes for breeding purposes. He needs a mega Group 1 on his CV for me and he may well be good enough to get one. We'll see. |
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I understand some would be upset about myself using Internet slang for "not very bright" but i must disagree that SYT was in any way unfit for the POW, that is a very poor excuse for a very poorly prepared and executed race plan. The two previous two soft races before the POW did not help his cause either, but he was in no way unfit. I am adamant that the "check" he received lost him the race, combined with Ryan Moore going too early which also may relate to the check incident.
Anyway that is the past and the current world rankings show that that mistake was punished in its fullness, O'Brien to his credit learnt from the mistakes of the POW as good trainers do. SYT is still though sweating up, hanging and as we saw yesterday has his tongue hanging out and open to debate if right handed tracks work for him, these are all issues/problems that unless solved will cause further disappointment in races going forward and will need to be sorted. Maybe O'Brien is thinking about the Irish race then running him back on a left handed track for the Cox Plate and the Breeders Cup (if im not mistaken the US run left handed), and bypassing the Arc which is a left handed race. One thing is certain, he wont be meeting small fields in the cox plate and BC (or the Arc) so he would want to be on song for those, just scraping through on class alone will not cut it in these races. |
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Note: I meant to say the Arc is NOT a left handed race
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In the Prince Of Wales Stakes, I would say So You Think was fit but I wouldn't say he was conditioned to run to his absolute maximum. And he won't be until his major end of season target, be it the Arc, the Cox Plate or the Classic.
After the Tatts Gold Cup, John Magnier was interviewed on RTE and one of the things he explicitly stated was that So You Think would improve a lot for that run. He said that Aidan had kept plenty in reserve or words to that effect. So it's not just in defeat that they trotted out the "unfit" excuse, but also in victory. However, it was a poor choice of words in the interview after the POW, where Aidan stated that he wasn't fit. I think what he meant to say was that there was better to come from the horse. And for most, I would assume that is believable. So yes I believe they tried to be smart in the Prince of Wales' Stakes. They wanted to win it but were prepared to risk taking as little out of the horse as possible. If the end justifies the means, etc. In the end, the gamble went awry and he lost. But only just. But luckily for them, they could go home knowing that there was better to come. We've seen Aidan's horses in the past go to Arcs and Classics after tough summer Group One campaigns and flatten out by October. The last thing they want is for that to happen to So You Think. The day he runs in the Arc or the Classic is the day we hopefully see him at his very very best. The So You Think that won last year's Cox Plate. For that reason, I think he will only have a maximum of two more races before October. Probably the Irish Champion Stakes and one other race, maybe the Juddmonte International. I think the Cox Plate is unlikely given the quarantine issues and the fact that he's already won two hardly encourages going back Down Under to prove himself to a nation who already hail him as one of their best! As regards the Arc, Coolmore have 6 or 7 genuine contenders for that race, and I'm not sure if Aidan has ever mentioned stepping up in trip in his post race interviews. So I think it'll be the Breeders Cup Classic as So You Think's end of season finale. And that is the day where he can crown himself as one of the greats. |
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So You Think
I was one who doubted whether SYT could better his already good performance in the POW, but in the Eclipse I have him improving on that by 3lbs. Whether that was through a slight fitness improvement or better tactics I couldn't say. Are you seriously saying, though, that his one and a quarter length defeat of the 9yo Zipping, who was giving him 3lbs, was better than his performance on Saturday? |
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His Cox Plate win was visually more stunning than his Eclipse win, that is what I would say.
I accept the lengths and the pounds translating into numbers debate but I am always wary about reading too much into them. I like to take a loose interpretation of what the handicap says. But you are probably right, going by the figures, So You Think probably ran a lot better on Saturday. Zipping is also a funny old creature. He came into that race off the back of a win in the Turnbull Stakes, which attracts all the Cox Plate contenders every year. It's probably the premier trial for the Cox Plate? Plus many of Australia's Group One stars race on into double figures as geldings. So again, just because Zipping is 9 years old, the form should not be lessened - didn't Fields of Omagh win one of the most thrilling Cox Plates back in 2004 or 2005? At nine years of age. |
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My ratings are only time based, but in my view that was the best Eclipse win for a number of years, Workforce's performance was easily good enough to take an average running. If SYT can run to that form in October he'll be very hard to beat. Unless he's a freak he must be feeling the effects of those last 2 races combined now, he had to dig deep to get the better of Workforce. There has to be a doubt about how many more times he can run to that sort of level this year.
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If Rewilding had run yesterday theres no reason to suggest he wouldn't have won
Before the Eclipse, all we hear is "wait till he meets a proper horse like Workforce". Now it's "if only Rewilding had run, he would have beat him again". My opinion is, Rewilding won the POW fair and square. However I also think, run the POW 10 times and So You Think wins it 8 times. In other words, I hope people keep believing Rewilding with beat So You Think next time they meet, I may actually get decent odds for once! |
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tactics got him beat on the POW. had he been ridden like he was v WF he'd have won. (imo of course)
rewilding is a good horse fresh, dont feel like SYT diasppointed that much, no doubt hes perhaps slightly overrated by AOB given his comments 'the best i've ever trained...' and looking at some of the brilliant horses he has trained in the past. syt may be the best hes ever trained but he still has more to do if he is to prove this as even if AOB is saying this , its pure guesswork at this stage because the horse hasnt done it on the track! won nicely the other day and was well on top at the line i thought. more of the same please, super race! |
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My ratings are only time based, but in my view that was the best Eclipse win for a number of years, Workforce's performance was easily good enough to take an average running. If SYT can run to that form in October he'll be very hard to beat. Unless he's a freak he must be feeling the effects of those last 2 races combined now, he had to dig deep to get the better of Workforce. There has to be a doubt about how many more times he can run to that sort of level this year.
Well I certainly won't argue with that. I'm blue in the face championing So You Think on this forum. And then others bring up the distances to Sri Putra as a means of lessening his obvious brilliance. They also know how to make them durable down in Ballydoyle. I would hope the Prince of Wales Stakes didnt take as much out of him as percieved. After all, the idea behind him not being fully tuned up was that there would be better to come. And it has come in the Eclipse. But I still believe he will improve again, and all the better if that elevates him into freak status on your figues. |
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Unless he's a freak he must be feeling the effects of those last 2 races combined now, he had to dig deep to get the better of Workforce. There has to be a doubt about how many more times he can run to that sort of level this year
Nah, So You Think probably thinks he's on holidays up there. Take his second Cox Plate win. One week later he wins another Group 1 10f race (by 4 lenghs no less) then THREE DAYS LATER he runs in the Melbourne Cup over 16f - and while he was defeated into third place, I don't think his racing schedule was too blame, he was simply outstayed by two horses (but did beat 21 lightly weighted horse home). |
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Yes, but there was a big difference in style between his Cox Plate win and the Eclipse, he appeared to do it very easily in the Cox Plat. While he was obviously the best horse on Saturday, I don't see how anybody could say it was achieved easily. Also, looking at the proximity of the runners in the Cox Plate, I doubt he had to run anywhere near as fast as he did in the Eclipse.
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Fields of Omagh, now there was an iron horse who matured like a fine wine with age, perenial bridesmaid to Sunline, Northerly, Lohnro and Makybe Diva etc etc, I remember getting matched at $50 on Betfair Ante Post when he won the Cox plate.......memories!
Just got this in my inbox BTW. "Undertones of nationalism through the racing weekend ultimately proved discordant for the British, who saw one of their champions beaten on home soil and another chastened on his return to a foreign field. Michael Owen's Brown Panther could not justify his billing as favourite for the German Derby yesterday, while the colt who won the Epsom original last year, Workforce, had succumbed to So You Think, the Australian import, at Sandown the previous afternoon. Nowadays stabled with Aidan O'Brien in Co Tipperary, So You Think may yet be sent "home" in search of a third success in the Cox Plate this autumn, provided quarantine issues can be resolved. If so, there would be an irresistibly piquant subplot, his former trainer having allowed resentment of his sale and export to fuel some trenchant observations about his new environment. To beat Bart Cummings and company in their own backyard would be especially sweet for O'Brien, who seems to have an inadvertent knack for winding up Australians. When Cummings won the Melbourne Cup for a 12th time, in 2008, O'Brien saddled three of the last four finishers. Seated at his dinner table in a city hotel, he was astonished and incensed to be summoned back to the track for a stewards' inquest into the tactics used on his runners. In the event, they took no action, but local press and professionals savaged the Ballydoyle jockeys for forcing a reckless pace between them. A former senior steward declared that Johnny Murtagh "obviously had a brain explosion" and should be "ashamed" of his performance. Cummings himself could not resist a dig. "They must believe their own publicity," he said. "I can't believe what they did." The outspoken octogenarian may well have admitted a corresponding sense of schadenfreude, then, after So You Think's odds-on defeat at Royal Ascot last month. For all his success, including with previous imports in Haradasun and Starspangledbanner, O'Brien will never be as respected or cherished as Cummings in Australia. And there was renewed derision for Ballydoyle's tactics after O'Brien's teenage son had a rather chastening experience on the pacemaker at Ascot. Characteristically, however, the harshest criticism was that reserved by O'Brien for his own role. He immediately suggested that he had miscalculated the volume of work required to bring So You Think to his peak, and appeared to be vindicated in that judgement on Saturday. The notion that a gruelling race at Ascot could "put him right" for Sandown would ordinarily sound quite outlandish, but So You Think palpably sustained an unflinching charge at Workforce through the final two furlongs. It was gratifying to see the race play out so consistently with its billing as a showdown between two of the best thoroughbreds from either side of the Equator. They had certainly looked the part beforehand. So You Think is so physically intimidating that the process of dominating his rivals begins long before he starts extending that vast stride out on the track. And Workforce, his brawny shoulders rolling, has developed into a captivating composite of solid bulk and liquid movement. The race was set up perfectly by Jimmy Fortune, who showed exactly how a pacemaker should be ridden on Confront. Aside from pulling wide as Ryan Moore struck for home – fully three furlongs out, in an effort to bring his mount's stamina to bear – Fortune further obliged Workforce by hemming Seamus Heffernan against the rail for as long as he could. As a result, So You Think had to get through the gears fairly hastily, and the final margin of half a length does inadequate justice to the authority of his inexorable challenge. Heffernan coolly resisted any temptation to force his way out and deserves to retain the ride, regardless of Moore's availability next time. Workforce was by no means diminished by defeat, and connections are entitled to hope that he could yet embellish his stud profile with a Group One success over 10 furlongs, but their priority will be the defence of the Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe in October." |
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So You Think had to get through the gears fairly hastily, and the final margin of half a length does inadequate justice to the authority of his inexorable challenge
Seems fair enough apart from this extract, SYT had a clear run from about 2 and a half furlongs out. |
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I know that Figgis, whose opinions I respect greatly, doesn't care for "yardstick" ratings.
However if, as many on here have stated, he lacked fitness at Ascot where in any case the race was run to suit Rewilding and not SYT I can't get my head round the fact that his margin over the ultra-reliable Sri Putra increased by a mere half length. This is not to say that I don't rate SYT. I see him as a very good horse, a true high 120's performer. But no more. |
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You are placing too much emphasis on Sri Putra. It is, in my opinion, lazy analysis to accept that because the distances were the same in both races, that So You Think is only 6lbs better Sri Putra (or whatever a pound equates to in lengths over 1m 2f). Look at how So You Think finishes both races and convince me then that he was not better in the Eclipse.
As I always remind myself, horses are not robots, and there is no science behind the results of a race. If there was, everything would be quite easy. The reason the above poster can't get his round around the margins is because in his head, everything must be explained in numbers? Is that correct Dark Destroyer? Unfortunetely, that is never going to be the case. |
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I was probably going to say something cringeworthy but you summed it up better than i was going to.
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