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PADDY POWER GOLD CUP 2010 - OFFICIAL THREAD

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Replies: 278
By:
CVByrne
When: 09 Nov 10 22:51
Not a hater, just think everyone is totally misreading his only bit of potential decent form in the knight frank. He may win, but it will be down to unseen improvement since last year if he does. I'll also be astonished.
By:
Can't Catch Me
When: 09 Nov 10 22:57
It wont be down to 'unseen' improvement cvb.

He's the classiest hurdler in the field, and hasnt had the chance to match that over fences yet. And certainly not over his best trip.
By:
CVByrne
When: 09 Nov 10 23:01
Well I saw him at Leopardstown that day, he snatched 3rd. Totally unimpressive, he's had one prep over 2m since then.
By:
Prospero
When: 09 Nov 10 23:30
The key to Catch Me is the ground. At the moment it looks as if he won't have it soft enough.
By:
JOCI Club
When: 09 Nov 10 23:37
When will we get the final decs? Thursday?
By:
Brooksielad
When: 10 Nov 10 00:10
He hardly snatched 3rd got bumped about something terrible, whatyouthink squeezed up by whatuthink before nearly being brought down when coolpotts fell, lost alot of ground there.
By:
buddeliea
When: 10 Nov 10 08:01
I will take a chance on Mad Max being fit enough.Think he is best horse in the race and jumping is a lot better than Long Run.Will be difficult,but then its a competitive handicap,and a small bet only i think.

As for Catch Me - child of mine only said he maybe have the best form,it werent a definite statement,and a few unwarranted responses imo.After all strictly on the form with Weapons Amnesty he is better in then the fav!! So justified in saying MAYBE imo.
By:
CVByrne
When: 10 Nov 10 08:50
To be fair bud how can you say max's jumping is better than long run? The later was very you last season and has grown. Max's arkle run would have me worried a bit. I like the horse and will have a nibble if he continues to drift.

But many of these horses are going on potential and improvement. Poquelin us the only proper consistent open company chaser over the distance in the field.

It'll be a fascinating race.
By:
sintonian
When: 10 Nov 10 08:56
Is Sunnyhill Boy a definate runner ?
By:
JSHW
When: 10 Nov 10 09:29
Poquelin
1,2,1,2 around Cheltenham
won the **** carrying 11-8 by seven lengths
ground will be perfect
fit and ready for its run at Aintree
good claiming jockey taking 5lb off
fits almost all the trends for this race
definate runner
available at 15/1 on here each way for four places

just has to jump round nowHappy
By:
JSHW
When: 10 Nov 10 09:30
^^B oylesports
By:
abbott
When: 10 Nov 10 09:55
Sorry mate but looking at the horse I cant see that after only 4 Chase starts in Ireland he will be suited by the hustle and bustle of this race. Hes not the only one of the fancied runners I worry that him long run and Mad Max will all struggle with their jumping come saturday.
Its not that I dont think he is a good horse or well in at the weights as I do, I just think like a few he will struggle early on and he may not get a chance to be involved at the business end.
By:
JSHW
When: 10 Nov 10 10:17
Abbott i take it you are refering to Catch Me ^^^
By:
abbott
When: 10 Nov 10 10:19
yes mate
By:
JSHW
When: 10 Nov 10 10:35
Any plans for your Cheltenham forum next year Abbott
By:
abbott
When: 10 Nov 10 10:49
Not as yet mate. Im toying with the idea of moving it as it was a bit cramped last year and there isnt much room if any more people turn up this year.
I would think Brown, Howard and Turner should be there, poss get Scu back again. Id like to get Joe McNally back if available and will be looking at poss geting somebody new just to freshen it  up. Will also try and mix up the phone interviews though David Pipe will hopefully be availble again.
By:
JSHW
When: 10 Nov 10 11:00
thanks mate, a bigger venue may cause you even more stress than last yearLaugh
By:
Browny85
When: 10 Nov 10 11:32
Long Run is the best horse in the race and has a very good racing weight, Little Josh is a very likely improver too. Long Run is value and i think he will go off very short on the day
By:
abbott
When: 10 Nov 10 12:10
Probably lol
I just dont want to get to the stage where people cant get in. Will start sorting it out next month.
By:
buddeliea
When: 10 Nov 10 12:17
CV,last season watching both horses i came to the conclusion that Mad Max looked the more natural jumper out the 2.I only saw one mistake,in the arkle.Long run i thought looked rather clumsy at his fences to me.

Poquelin will be fit and that could make the difference,thats why i said i would take the chance on Mad Max fitnes.I happen to think Mad Max will prove to be the better horse this season,so if he is fit i think he has a great chance.
By:
Luke01
When: 10 Nov 10 18:04
Long Run is a superb price and Poquelin to Place are the best bets of the race by a country mile.
By:
Reyes
When: 10 Nov 10 19:18
LR is value? LR is a superb price? He's alot of things but neither of those (imo)
By:
buddeliea
When: 10 Nov 10 19:30
Agree Reyes,Long Run no value for me either.
By:
JOCI Club
When: 10 Nov 10 21:16
Declarations out tomorrow.
By:
Extreme Conviction
When: 11 Nov 10 01:12
Just written my preview of the race on my blog given below, if you want a read...

http://extremeconviction.blogspot.com/

Any thoughts appreciated.

Cheers EC
By:
IC superstar
When: 11 Nov 10 09:03
nice work ex con
By:
Brooksielad
When: 11 Nov 10 10:05
Im a big pigeon island fan aswell and theres alot of plus points, plenty of experience around cheltenham. The only thing that worries me about him is that he might not get a chance to get into the race but can see him staying on strongest up the hill about 3rd or 4th.
By:
JOCI Club
When: 11 Nov 10 10:19
Good write up Ex Con, and I agree with most of it. Think it all hinges on Long Run's jumping. I know your selection is primarily stats based, but I have a keen interest in Mad Max too, and think he could take this, if anything happened to Long Run. The stats are quite poersuasive in Great Endeavour's favour though, so he's one to be respected.
By:
Mellottie
When: 11 Nov 10 10:36
Enjoyed reading the postings so far.

My shortlist: Catch Me, Long Run, Great Endeavour, Mad Max, and Sunnyhill Boy.

Have bet Catch Me - I know,Iknow for the Stats purists he is told old - but has got a real racing wieht and his jump rating is still below his hurdle rating so there is potential for improvement. Sunnyhill Boy is to my mind the value in the race.

Goodluck to everyone.
By:
JOCI Club
When: 11 Nov 10 10:42
Sky bet don't have the following priced up in their odds, so maybe defections at latest stage:

Tatenen
Il Duce
Fisher Bridge
Chaninbar
Pickamus

So that would leave 21 left in.
By:
Stake & Chips
When: 11 Nov 10 11:05
20 left in, add Just Smudge to above list of absentees.
By:
TD_Gunner
When: 11 Nov 10 11:10
I thought it was 24 hour decs with national hunt Confused
By:
Extreme Conviction
When: 11 Nov 10 11:20
Nice too he is just squeaked in. Got Paddy on aswell as the blinkers being put on, so all looks set for a good run.

Cracking card at Cheltenham tomorrow. Cue Card's got some good opposition with Dunraven Storm and King of the Night among others in the field. And what a novice chase - Reve De Sivola, Time For Rupert, Mr Thriller, Othermix and Quantitiveasing!
By:
Extreme Conviction
When: 11 Nov 10 11:21
nice to see he just squeaked in*!
By:
Glenn11
When: 11 Nov 10 12:04
Glad that Edgbriar was given the chance by Webber

had a horrible feeling he was going to wait for Aintree with him.
By:
IC superstar
When: 11 Nov 10 16:27
Amazing racing this weekend at Cheltenham! Can King of The Night pip Cue Card?

Safari Journey looks a different horse with the blinkers on, could hack up.

Backed Hell's bay last month and can't believe he came 5th given how he was traveling the best coming round the home turn. Maybe the hill wasn't to his liking, but surely a less stamina sapping 2m4 tomorrow will see Hell's bay in the mix at the finish?  Reve de Sivola will be the main danger in that race imo. Goes well fresh,on any ground and at Cheltenham. Plus he'll be racing over his best distance. Lets hope he takes to the larger obstacles!

Good luck to everyone going to the open
By:
second string
When: 11 Nov 10 17:03
i think Edgbriar has an excellent chance and it must be backed ew.
By:
stevo1
When: 11 Nov 10 18:13
happy with my 8s Great Endeavour and 14s Catch Me, saver on Mad Max all done, good luck all!
By:
ENGLANDBARNES1
When: 11 Nov 10 22:22
My tissue

poqualin 8/1
long run 6/1
mad max 18/1
tchico polos 11/1
fingeronthepulse 20/1
gwanko 20/1
little josh 33/1
the sawyer 66/1
cantbuytime 20/1
edgbrier 20/1
catch me 25/1
dancing tornado 80/1
great endeavour 12/1
sunnyhill boy 16/1
passato 18/1
awesome george 20/1
door boy 20/1
gonebeyondrecall 66/1
pigeon island 50/1
rory boy 25/1
103.19% book

i'm sure alot will strongly dissagree, but my tissues normally keep me outta the poor house by backing anything 15% higher than my prices!
By:
CVByrne
When: 11 Nov 10 22:34
Gwankano is overpriced imo @ 33/1 with 5 places paid. It was a good performance to come 5th under 11-8 in the Plate at the festival and effectively fell in his last 2 runs. If he gets a good round in he can easily make a place. Talented horse just too many jumping problems.

He's been added e/w as my 3rd horse instead of Max who's price seems to be coming in too much for my liking.
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