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nibbledat
11 Apr 10 12:12
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Date Joined: 25 May 05
| Topic/replies: 2,096 | Blogger: nibbledat's blog
innit
Pause Switch to Standard View SAT 17 APR 2010 Coral Scottish Grand...
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Report trev w April 15, 2010 4:10 PM BST
NS...good chance @ anice price..
Report GT April 15, 2010 4:16 PM BST
I like Lothian Falcon...the IF is can he get back to his best...if so on a very nice mark
Report Dark Destroyer April 15, 2010 4:22 PM BST
David Bass booked for Scots Dragoon. That will do for me.
Report Night Sight April 15, 2010 4:24 PM BST
Cheers Trev,

If Blue Sea can win at that sort of price, then why not this, eh?

It would be great if I could return the favour for the guys on here who put me on the IGN winner.

You never know. :-)
Report trev w April 15, 2010 4:35 PM BST
trev.w 11 april 21.49

auroras encore @ 50s....another in the mix maybe ?

always been on the radar NS. g/l
Report Rod Tidwell April 15, 2010 4:55 PM BST
No disrespect to his last partner but I couldn't back Mobaasher with an amateur on board at Cheltenham...definitely has his own ideas but this ground could be right up his street and back with Aidan Coleman on board he's my idea of the each way bet to be had
Report Desmond Orchard April 15, 2010 6:03 PM BST
Was given Lothian Falcon months in advance for this race by the stable a couple of years ago and backed it at all sorts of prices, only for it to be pulled out on the Thursday due to unsuitable ground. Ground that then became perfect for the beast!!! Knowing that he was plotted up, am convinced I would've won large amounts. I compounded the error by then backing him e/w in his alternative engagement in Monkerhostins Whitbread, he faded into 5th.
I cannot allow this horse to win without profiting, so will throw some good money after bad.
Report Tucho April 15, 2010 6:58 PM BST
From Hales website re Superior Wisdom:

The lorry set off at 9am this morning to Ayr with Helen (driver), Ellie (lass) and Superior Wisdom (our great Scottish National hope!). It is about a 6 1/2 hour trip so they should be not far away now. We have taken him up a couple of days before just so he can get over the journey and be fresh. Our only worry is that the ground remains good, if it goes any faster than that then he may be a non runner, so fingers crossed.

Got on after FFT spotted it at 50/1, hopefully will still run.
Report nibbledat April 15, 2010 7:10 PM BST
gtl and merigo against the field gl
Report proctor strikes April 15, 2010 7:12 PM BST
a 6hr journey for a non runner - me thinks not!
Report platinni April 15, 2010 7:15 PM BST
does himilayan trail have no chance iyos?
Report nibbledat April 15, 2010 7:16 PM BST
been on the go a while plat (last 10 winners had run 3-6 times that season)
Report platinni April 15, 2010 7:17 PM BST
aye cheers
Report downallstar April 15, 2010 7:22 PM BST
Anyone give Kily a shout of top weight?
Report trev w April 15, 2010 7:24 PM BST
seems to love to get his toe in now eh plat ?
Report harchibald April 15, 2010 8:29 PM BST
Re HT

- was on him at uttox when he won midlands GN

needed mark to drop for most recent win. may be outpaced up here though ?
Report turnip turns April 15, 2010 9:51 PM BST
Just had a small nibble on Idle Talk @80,massive price,lightly raced this year,well weighted and ground has come right,or am i barking iyo ? ;\
Report abbott April 15, 2010 9:53 PM BST
Was lookinmg at that one Turnip but ive got a better 80/1 shot just waiting till there is more money up so I can get on ;)
Report Fabulous April 15, 2010 9:53 PM BST
Turnip, i've had a nibble. 80!!!!! as well! A small nibble!
Report turnip turns April 15, 2010 9:56 PM BST
Glad i'm not alone :^0 gl lads ;)
Report proctor strikes April 15, 2010 10:04 PM BST
well dont feel as bad now, had a little nibble at 160 on IT on ap market. Jumping greatly improved, only one unseat in last 12runs, and that only when he spat his dummy out over aintree fences.
Ran well in 4th off in 2006 off 144, now 19lbs lower. Ground right and seems to have had this as target, best a fresher horse too. McCain wants to win the big ones, and amongst his staying chasers you would of thought he had a better contender than this, however, this clearly the objective imo.
Report turnip turns April 15, 2010 10:06 PM BST
Exactly my thoughts Proctor,but put better :^0
Report carvillshill April 15, 2010 11:01 PM BST
Montrero must be of interest here for Desiie Hughes. Handicapped on 3 runs in novice chases at reducing trips he's a small horse but a good jumper with a preference for good ground. His second to Let Yourself Go giving weight over an inadequate 2m1f at Galway looks decent form now and his trainer knows a bit about staying chasers. He's had two piep openers over hurdles and should be spot on now. 33/1 looks very fair to me.
Report ewok2006 April 15, 2010 11:18 PM BST
Pyman?
Report Big Bucks John April 16, 2010 3:03 AM BST
Gone For Lunch for me.
Report Big Bucks John April 16, 2010 3:06 AM BST
Gone To Lunch*
Report Steeplechasing April 16, 2010 9:03 AM BST
BBJ, you were right the first time with this one ;)
Report carvillshill April 16, 2010 9:51 AM BST
Put up on TRF long before Pyman....
Report doogs April 16, 2010 12:44 PM BST
Ferdy Murphy is in bullish mood as Poker De Sivola bids to give him a fourth success in the Coral Scottish Grand National on Saturday.

The West Witton handler has saddled Paris Pike (2000), Joes Edge (2005) and Hot Weld (2007) to take the Ayr marathon, and this year's representative arrives on the back of victory in the National Hunt Chase at Cheltenham.

"We've had no problems with him since Cheltenham and everything is grand," said Murphy.

"He's kept on progressing. Graham (Lee) rode a couple of bits of work on him and has been very happy, so it's fingers crossed.

"The race has cut up a bit, but you still need a lot of luck with a lot of runners.

"He has a nice racing weight and we're lucky to be in the handicap really as if we'd had rain and Denman had run we wouldn't have been.

"It's going to be quite quick ground - I've got a good few horses who aren't running up there because of that - but this lad should be fine on it.

"He definitely has a decent chance and I think he's a justifiable favourite."

Owner Henry Ponsonby is confident his Grand Military Gold Cup winner Scots Dragoon has everything in his favour as he carries just 9st 7lb under top conditional David Bass.

"This hasn't really been the plan as when it looked as though Denman was going to run we had 7st 9lb," said Ponsonby.

"We were going to Perth next week but with Denman and one or two others defecting, it's really worked out for our horse.

"He won the Grand Military Gold Cup and the handicapper didn't put him up at all for that.

"The horse will love the quick ground and stays all day, so I'm quite bullish about his chances."

Andrew Parker believes the extended four miles will bring out the best in Merigo, who is bidding to keep the race in Scotland.

"The Scottish National is the race Mr (Ray) Green (owner) wants to try and win," said Parker.

"He stays very well - that's his main asset.

"He's won a couple of times up at Ayr, so he likes the course."

John Mackie is hopeful of a good run from Gidam Gidam, who is proven at the trip having won over four miles at Doncaster in February.

"He's in good form and we're looking forward to the race," said the Derbyshire trainer.

"When he first ran over four miles a couple of years ago we had the Scottish National pencilled in and the way this season has panned out it's dropped into place."

The Dessie Hughes-trained Montero is one of two Irish-trained runners in the field.

"He won three times in the autumn when the ground was good, then we put him away for the winter," said the County Kildare handler.

"He's only a novice but goes on good ground and he stays well, so he takes his chance and he's a good leaper."

Peter Bowen would like to see the weather stay dry for No Panic, whose stamina is unproven over this marathon distance.

"He's in good form so I just hope it stays dry for him," said the Haverfordwest trainer.

"Hopefully being 7lb out of the handicap won't matter too much. We've had this race in mind for him for a little while."

There were no withdrawals by Friday morning, which means first-reserve Fine By Me will miss the 30-runner feature.
Report enjbenjy April 16, 2010 12:47 PM BST
Looks like Merigo will run then. Trainer didn't mention anything about the ground. At least money not wasted.
Report stevo1 April 16, 2010 1:08 PM BST
Out The Black 3rd last season,big price on here worth e/w crack?
Report abbott April 16, 2010 1:26 PM BST
OK winner is MY Yahab gl
Report red and white April 16, 2010 2:27 PM BST
Wing and prayer bet on Gone To Lunch. Well weighted on last year's run so hoping he can put a poor season behind him.
Report The Sweaty Sock April 16, 2010 2:45 PM BST
That's about the whole field covered on this thread then - bound to have the winner.
Report abbott April 16, 2010 3:13 PM BST
Thought id be the first to pick that one mate lol
Report The Sweaty Sock April 16, 2010 3:24 PM BST
Inspecting at Ayr - false ground - kind of late for this to come up?!
Report The Sweaty Sock April 16, 2010 3:24 PM BST
lol abbott, how u?
Report harchibald April 16, 2010 10:29 PM BST
what has t seagu ll picked tomoz then ?
Report abbott April 16, 2010 11:09 PM BST
not bad mate busy as alway you up at ayr tomo?
Report abbott April 16, 2010 11:21 PM BST
harchibal he has picked cleni boy and montero
Report El Apache April 17, 2010 1:03 AM BST
Theatrical Moment

Sometimes you can analyse all day.

Keep it simple- McCoy on a roll. This horse will be hammered tomorrow. Back to lay surely.
Report The Sweaty Sock April 17, 2010 6:25 AM BST
yes I'll be there today mate with a bus full from the local in Alva.
Report red and white April 17, 2010 6:28 AM BST
Love Theatrical Moment, fine looking horse and has jumped well for a novice. I'm not convinced he'll appreciate four miles though. He finished rather tamely at Cheltenham.
Report The Sweaty Sock April 17, 2010 7:12 AM BST
Me too. He'd had a bit of a break before Chelters though,probably aimed for this and bound to go off shorter than 11s. Can't have Toady's though!
Report siralex April 17, 2010 7:31 AM BST
abbott - how come u knew wiseprice last night please? most impressive!!
Report The Sweaty Sock April 17, 2010 7:35 AM BST
Doesn't the Post come out around 11pm on a Friday?
Report SOULDANCER April 17, 2010 7:45 AM BST
That's Rhythm 32.0., can't believe the price on here. 6 lb higher than last year, but was travelling very well when falling. Will love the ground. Worried about that hurdle run last time, but trainer said...ignore, he needed the run. Odd though, he goes really well fresh, why didn't he come straight here.
Report siralex April 17, 2010 7:46 AM BST
where, in London? definitely seem to be getting cut before sat 7.00 nowadays, this would explain it!!
Report Stake & Chips April 17, 2010 7:48 AM BST
Going to back two hear Superior Wisdom and Montero.

gl all.
Report abbott April 17, 2010 7:51 AM BST
Morning Chaps siralex to be honest it was a mate of mine that texted me it last night not sure hoe he got it. I wouldnt normally bother but thought cleni boy was a back to lay at 80s so did so and laid at 50s this morning.

TSS looks like we should have a good day for it today, the only down side for me is not being able to enjoy a pint up there :(
Report The Sweaty Sock April 17, 2010 8:00 AM BST
Yup and I'l definitely be having a pint or two. Have a good day matey.
Report abbott April 17, 2010 8:05 AM BST
you to bud
Report red and white April 17, 2010 8:51 AM BST
I'll wear the sackcloth and ashes if Poker de Sivola wins. It was flogged up the hill at Cheltenham and Ferdy really is a genius if he can bring this one off.
Report trev w April 17, 2010 12:43 PM BST
added killyglen & merigo to my book..22s & 18s

others on here
meanus dandy 33s e/w 50s on here
faasel 25s e/w
gone to lunch 25s e/w.

g/l.
Report Far From Trouble April 17, 2010 12:44 PM BST
You not backing the Bowen 'oss trevor ?:|
Report Anaglogs Daughter April 17, 2010 1:24 PM BST
Posted 2 years ago:
First Points meeting i went to this year. Their was a fair crowd there and plenty of runners. I also seen A.J. Martin also Paul Nicholls and Paul Barber were in attendance. Wille Burke had a couple of horses running For Barber** They were unlucky with one falling at the last with every chance of collecting but followed up with a winner in div 1 of 5 year old geldings race with a gangly looking Gelding called Meanus Dandy by Anshan out of a mare called Geray Lady whom if im right was 2nd in Gowran about 12 years ago to an A.P.O'Brien horse called Brave Fountain who won quite a few races afterwards. She was staying on at the end of her races so i think this Meanus Dandy when its grown into itself and gets running in N.H Rules would be one to look out for over 3m4f and above. It stayed on well today and i think it has the making of a National winner wether its the Midlands National Or The Grand National time
Report redbag April 17, 2010 1:27 PM BST
backing

himalayan trail ew
out of the black ew
Report trev w April 17, 2010 1:33 PM BST
FFT... got a tenner @ 70s

will be backing his 2 @ bangor though..
Report _royboy_ April 17, 2010 1:36 PM BST
cant understand why killy so big - career best this time last year at aintree on similar ground, fair enough has the weight to carry, but 28s more than makes up for it.
Report Reefer 2001 April 17, 2010 3:32 PM BST
Great stuff lads. Flagged up early. Great ride from Murphy.
Report Deep Impact April 17, 2010 3:33 PM BST
Is a BOOM in order iyo ?:|
Report Horsesforcourses April 17, 2010 3:35 PM BST
WP Plat!!!!!!!!!!

Irish and Scottish double.
Report Horsesforcourses April 17, 2010 3:36 PM BST
And DEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEP - sprry mate - didn't realise you were also on and another person with the double!!!

Shout ;)
Report grade 1 April 17, 2010 3:37 PM BST
very wd winners.
Report platinni April 17, 2010 3:40 PM BST
BBBBBBBBBOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMMM!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Report Reefer 2001 April 17, 2010 3:41 PM BST
Gone To Lunch looked very menacing down the back. Thank god he'd kicked on!!
Report Deep Impact April 17, 2010 3:43 PM BST
Platty, been a hell of a month from Cheltenham onwards - fair play to ya mate (we have a decent record when we agree) ;) :D
Report Deep Impact April 17, 2010 3:44 PM BST
Don't want the jumps to end :|

Punchestown next week :D
Report platinni April 17, 2010 4:15 PM BST
deep - i had a serious bet on that won :0

still a bit shaken :D

roll on punchestown!
Report Deep Impact April 17, 2010 4:17 PM BST
Pigeon Island, Bluesea Cracker, Always Waining, Merigo etc. - Jus t Ride The Wave, man B-)
Report Far From Trouble April 17, 2010 4:18 PM BST
platter, tbf you have been different gravy in recent weeks :D

When can we expect a tipping line please? :p
Report platinni April 17, 2010 4:18 PM BST
thousand stars big zeb sizing

FORGEDABOUTIT!

B-)
Report Far From Trouble April 17, 2010 4:21 PM BST
Actually come to think of it, you're just a bit of a lucky guesser
Report platinni April 17, 2010 4:22 PM BST
this saddens me greatly :(
Report Deep Impact April 17, 2010 4:22 PM BST
:^0 I only mentioned the ones I backed :^0

Panciking at the thought of the flat - can't get my head around it atm (& it used to be my favourite)
Report platinni April 17, 2010 4:22 PM BST
tipping line up next week btw :p
Report Far From Trouble April 17, 2010 4:23 PM BST
:^0


Seriously great stuff, a shame the jumps is coming to and end for you imo :_|
Report platinni April 17, 2010 4:23 PM BST
i know

but picked out harbinger , noll wallop, she;s the mark, inxile so the winners are there

just need to adjust the mindset imo ?:|
Report Far From Trouble April 17, 2010 4:25 PM BST
Not done too bad meself in recent weeks. Cue Card and Copper bleu made my festival B-)

Still on a major high though after last Saturday, despite today's disappointments :D
Report Deep Impact April 17, 2010 4:26 PM BST
Yeah backed Noll Wallop, fancied She's The Mark & had 2nd & 3rd in Irish Lincoln (only proper bets so far) - we can't go into any more confident, tbh

BRING IT ON
Report Deep Impact April 17, 2010 4:28 PM BST
FFT, there are so many shrewdies (& it's growing all the time) & I am (genuinely) pleased if anyone nails a big winner - plenty of unkown (to me) forumites have popped on with thanks after certain winners, which is great. The More The Merrier imo
Report Far From Trouble April 17, 2010 4:30 PM BST
yep, can't disagree with that :)
Report TD_Gunner April 17, 2010 4:31 PM BST
the Irish Flat season has started poorly for me, summed up when I didn't back Noll Wallop after fancying it. So am avoiding due to ground/stables non trying.

English flat season been better punting wise for me.
Report trev w April 17, 2010 4:31 PM BST
just give the flat time to settle...i'm sure we will smash it home imo...
pigeon 50s...waining 66s have payed for the flat anyway :^0

not incuding the rest ;)
Report Deep Impact April 17, 2010 4:32 PM BST
Yeah, there are enough SHARP MINDS to make it pay I'm sure - cba with it until the Guineas anyway
Report platinni April 17, 2010 4:32 PM BST
modest trev, one of your many qualities :x
Report trev w April 17, 2010 4:34 PM BST
:x
Report Far From Trouble April 17, 2010 4:34 PM BST
Must say I was at Aintree for the Topham, and when I saw Always Waining bounding towards me I thought the forum will be in absolute meltdown, but genuinely pleased, despite having done my conkers on the race :)
Report Steeplechasing April 17, 2010 7:12 PM BST
Well done all winners - superb tipping towards the close of the season. Just the Whitbread to sort out now before the summer hols (for us jumps boys at least)
Report GT April 17, 2010 7:25 PM BST
nibbledat 15 Apr 19:10


gtl and merigo against the field gl





^ nice forecast nibb :)
Report SOULDANCER April 18, 2010 7:24 AM BST
Good stuff, special mention... Plat, Deep, Nib, and well done other winners.
Report abbott April 18, 2010 9:58 AM BST
Well done winners, still cant belive the trainer pulled the horse out last season saying the ground was to fim when my tank was on it. Then I didnt back him this year for that reason and he hosses in!
Report CVByrne April 18, 2010 10:13 AM BST
Have to admit you guys got me Merigo. I already had the horses to look at yesterday because of you guys, and as a season as a whole this forum has been excellent. Never forget the banter either, that's priceless too.
Report doogs April 18, 2010 11:40 AM BST
Ditto Abbott !! I was amazed they ran him this year and like you I thought the ground would be too quick for him :( I think that's the first time I've not backed him, he's won me quite a few quid in the past.

Very versatile horse who is an out and out stayer. Saw him in the paddock after the race and where poor No Panic was struggling (but thankfully ended up ok after a lot of buckets of water and a hose) Merigo was grand, took everything in his stride then literally bounced backed to the stables, amazing !!!
Report harchibald April 18, 2010 11:53 AM BST
Managed to get on at 10's in running very very lucky, wish i had plums to back him all the way down there but was on him when he won couple of races previously and when he finds his rhythm he's unstoppable at a trip

was forced into action when That's Rhythm did his stunts
Report enjbenjy April 18, 2010 9:53 PM BST
What do you think about the 33/1 on offer for Merigo for GN? Trainer already said being aimed, handles any ground, stays and jumps well. I'm tempted to start putting a bit on him each week now. What u reckon?
Report Steeplechasing April 18, 2010 10:25 PM BST
You could do much worse than 33s for the GN. He stays very well and jumps soundly and any horse who does that should be a good bit shorter than 33s for Aintree.

The trainer says they're confident of getting in the handicap now and will probably give him a couple of spins over hurdles so he should have a nice weight.

He's also done most of his winning in the spring. With Comply or Die looking past it now, there must be a reasonable chance D Johnson will let Timmy have the ride too which would be a plus.
Report Steeplechasing April 18, 2010 10:30 PM BST
Who is offering 33s Merigo?
Report enjbenjy April 18, 2010 10:30 PM BST
bet365 according to oddschecker.
Report doogs April 18, 2010 10:34 PM BST
and 5 places ;)
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