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track record
28 Nov 12 10:49
Joined:
Date Joined: 11 Dec 04
| Topic/replies: 9,941 | Blogger: track record's blog
7.40  romeo hi rumble   5/1

in a field of 6 railers shud be an advantage not to have to lead
can tuck in round first couple of bends , miss any trouble and win
going away  must play at price

9.25  tyrur willyjoe  at 11/4 and 5/2

gr8 draw  got pace to lead round whilst others in particular n flyaway
get held up jostling for position on the rails

8.50  aero rebel  7/4

struggles to get home but was held up outer boxes/run up last time against capoley ash
shud get clear uncontested lead here and hold of pudsy late on

other plays 
8.15  longwood fantasy  13/8
8.35  drumna ice    7/4
to level stake

and

9.10   farloe electra   4/1
          ballymac  florek   11/2
      to level stake


g/l all
Pause Switch to Standard View couple of nice bets tonight at notts
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Report JayTrumpOldTomDubbl November 28, 2012 10:56 AM GMT
Tr which one's the nap for you ?
Report the.mad.dog.man November 28, 2012 10:56 AM GMT
what ya get on aero rebel at 7/4 £2Laugh
Report track record November 28, 2012 11:00 AM GMT
like both the first 2
but nap is t willyjoe purely on leadability factor
Report track record November 28, 2012 11:02 AM GMT
it aint easy mdm
but a fair bet but not what was wanted

some in shop some independant
Report the.mad.dog.man November 28, 2012 11:04 AM GMT
you must be well behind with paddys to get a fair bet
Report track record November 28, 2012 11:10 AM GMT
im not but i know a man who is Silly
Report woodmanchester November 28, 2012 12:06 PM GMT
Where's ebulgery?
Report Addy_D November 28, 2012 1:09 PM GMT
im not but i know a man who is

woody putting on these days? Laugh
Report wondersobright November 28, 2012 1:11 PM GMT
Laugh addy
Report wondersobright November 28, 2012 1:20 PM GMT
very much looking forward to sprint but prices are right imo

1 bet for me in marathon aero rebel cannot be 6/5, very good run over 680 a few weeks ago, 4 is a railer 500/680 at notts and 6 wide plodding A4/S2, clear run should suffice
Report Utero November 28, 2012 2:22 PM GMT
Won't be surprised if Swift Leah wins the marathon, the only bet for me tonight.
Report BJG November 28, 2012 2:54 PM GMT
Addy GrinLaugh
Report track record November 28, 2012 4:24 PM GMT
lol   addy

sacked woody after he backed the wrong dog by mistake Laugh












































only joking  woody
Report irishone November 28, 2012 7:44 PM GMT
oi oi the galway dog in the first !
Report p_r_e_m_i_e_r__f_a_n_t_a_s_y November 28, 2012 7:46 PM GMT
Nice litter that out of Kildallon Maid (she was some bitch), really like Fear Big Star that's in the National Puppy Stake too.
Report irishone November 28, 2012 7:48 PM GMT
top honcho ....
Report irishone November 28, 2012 7:49 PM GMT
looks the bowlox as well
Report irishone November 28, 2012 7:50 PM GMT
ballydoyle town ? never ran here
Report RothmanMike November 28, 2012 8:11 PM GMT
Lovely winner there - Miriam
Report woodmanchester November 28, 2012 8:20 PM GMT
Nice to see Renee out of Allo Allo looking well. Wonder what he's done with the fallen Madonna with the big boobies?! Laugh
Report irishone November 28, 2012 8:29 PM GMT
probrably in the sausage
Report FATTIEWHITEYSLOVEADRINK November 28, 2012 8:29 PM GMT
Longwood what a twicer!
Report FATTIEWHITEYSLOVEADRINK November 28, 2012 8:31 PM GMT
Sort the sound out ffs
Report FATTIEWHITEYSLOVEADRINK November 28, 2012 8:38 PM GMT
Ivor never seen it ever trap that well befor
2 tour it apart for ep
Report irishone November 28, 2012 8:41 PM GMT
ivor who ?
Report FATTIEWHITEYSLOVEADRINK November 28, 2012 8:53 PM GMT
How the hell did that do a track record!
Run the track like it never been round!
Report irishone November 28, 2012 8:56 PM GMT
could have gone quicker ....
thought it was gangly, kept same stride pattern throughout and dd another lap
if it had been a horse its ears would have been flicking up Laugh
Report irishone November 28, 2012 9:00 PM GMT
he was gangly , changed his lead foot going into the bends
Report woodmanchester November 28, 2012 9:05 PM GMT
Rebel didnt cut in as everyone said, every race is different so too much study not always the best policy. Rebel did however, miss the kick, forced to check all over the place and switching. Still disappointing for my money
Report FATTIEWHITEYSLOVEADRINK November 28, 2012 9:49 PM GMT
**** I need a break from this game how the **** as 6 lead !!
I need a holiday from the game
Report lanza November 28, 2012 9:53 PM GMT
Sad
Report Addy_D November 29, 2012 8:14 AM GMT
Rebel didnt cut in as everyone said, every race is different so too much study not always the best policy. Rebel did however, miss the kick, forced to check all over the place and switching. Still disappointing for my money

rebel only didnt cut in BECAUSE he missed the kick imo. studying the first round oaks card now Shocked
Report track record November 29, 2012 9:32 AM GMT
not a good night
ballymac florek saving grace

longwood fantasy  i thought had won initially until they showed the still

Cry

got massive value with romeo,aero and willy

but u cant eat value

but the missus said u can eat willy  Laugh
Report woodmanchester November 29, 2012 10:40 AM GMT
Dont know how you work that one out Addy. Think you just like disagreeing with me and winding me up. So, youre saying, with a level break, Rebel would have been looking at the dog inside him? Dogs rail run up or dont, speed of break irrelevant, imo. More likely he goes up straighter at Notts than Wimbledon, if anything
Report Addy_D November 29, 2012 10:49 AM GMT
no woody, if you miss a break and then when you come out of the boxes, the hare is a further 20 yards up, the dog has had longer to see the hare is to his right and therefore is unlikely to dive out left.
Report sparrow November 29, 2012 11:34 AM GMT
woody still won't accept why Aero was a bad value bet, even after the event.
Report woodmanchester November 29, 2012 11:36 AM GMT
Okay, but dont know about 20 yds up. All happens so quickly though, not 100% sure about your theory, there can be any number of reasons why or why not a dog does something. You can study and study, but anything can happen and often does, on the night. Who studied and predicted the winner would have stopped chasing only to come again in the marathon, for instance? There can be crowding at any point, any time affecting the result too, it's impossible to predict precisely
Report woodmanchester November 29, 2012 11:39 AM GMT
Incidentally, everyone who studied hard and watched videos over and over again, knew Sawpit would would be bang there early?
Report sparrow November 29, 2012 11:39 AM GMT
woody, I could never have backed the winner but with Aero at odds on why worry. Great value lay as predicted.
Report woodmanchester November 29, 2012 11:42 AM GMT
Did turn out to be bad value Sparrow, just thought the Capoley form better than that. Didnt expected Rebel to fall out though
Report woodmanchester November 29, 2012 11:43 AM GMT
Anyway, seems very few on hear had much success, so lots backing bad value. Why do you lot always single out me?
Report p_r_e_m_i_e_r__f_a_n_t_a_s_y November 29, 2012 11:43 AM GMT
only a mug would watch videos all the time, all you have to do is look at the racecard for 5 minutes, sure they even tell you on the racecard who is expected to win Plain
Report sparrow November 29, 2012 11:44 AM GMT
I think Aero is one of those that you only back at a price and lay when short, a bit like Ayamzagirl although not as dodgy.
Report woodmanchester November 29, 2012 11:45 AM GMT
Go back and pick on TR, Fatty and PF. It's like school all over again, being bullied! Laugh
Report p_r_e_m_i_e_r__f_a_n_t_a_s_y November 29, 2012 11:46 AM GMT
Why would somebody have a go at me over last nights racing, i didn't have a bet and missed half the races watching Man ****e
Report p_r_e_m_i_e_r__f_a_n_t_a_s_y November 29, 2012 11:47 AM GMT
seems Sh|tee is blocked Blush
Report sparrow November 29, 2012 11:48 AM GMT
Just a discussion woody, not bullying. You seem to have some sort of persecution complex.
Report Addy_D November 29, 2012 11:51 AM GMT
woody they could have backed good value, without much success Cry

i didnt get involved much last night at all, lot of dogs i hadnt seen too much before and that has to add to an element of error being possible when making tissue prices.dont get too worked up, think its banter pulling your p155er half the time Laugh

my bets last night.

100 at 10/3 on here droopys vito. +320 post comms.

100 at 13 mays stewart 8pm i think it was - lost +220

marathon, laid 300 of rebel about 4/5, had 200 swift leah and 200 tyrur pudsy, lost 100 on race. rebel would have been about -650 but had to take it on despite thinking it would win more than any other dog if run 1000 times. +120.

final antepost had 150 ew farloe tango at 8s s pinched a bit of place money. +270 all in.
Report p_r_e_m_i_e_r__f_a_n_t_a_s_y November 29, 2012 11:54 AM GMT
Was a bit bad last night, sorry TR but i was absolutely chuffed Longwood Fantasy got caught, and then them saying on sky it ran a cracker in the Laurels final Angry
Report woodmanchester November 29, 2012 11:59 AM GMT
The point is you all think youre right all the time about whats value and whats not. It's only opinions. Someone got 7/4 Rebel and the world and his wife made him odds on 4/5, so how can you say he wasnt value at 7/4 Sparrow? All you value freaks arent doing well from what i can see. Maybe Rebel was value without much success, too?
Report woodmanchester November 29, 2012 12:01 PM GMT
Anyone can back several dogs in a race and lay several dogs in a race. I only go for one. Rubbish my fancies, dont matter. You have 5 running for you though
Report wondersobright November 29, 2012 12:01 PM GMT
incredible wasn't it PF Laugh that romeo dog has early and wouldn't be the strongest, made 2 lengths on LF on the run-in Laugh
Report sparrow November 29, 2012 12:05 PM GMT
I gave my reasons yesterday morning woody on the other thread. When I backed the dog at double figure odds the previous week you would not have considered him.
Report woodmanchester November 29, 2012 12:10 PM GMT
Seemed much easier to me last night though Sparrow. As it happened, you was right to lay if you did. Dont think you would have been laying 7/4 but you did well laying odds-on? There comes a point when a bets a bet and a lays a lay, i suppose. Laying does always seem easier though. Well done and good luck for the future
Report Addy_D November 29, 2012 12:11 PM GMT
woody not saying im right and my tissue is not 100% accurate, all tissues are guestimates, the longevity of time dictates whethere you are right more often than not and there are better juedges than me out there, it would be incredibly arrogant to think all my tissues are factual and correct. rebel at 7/4 probably was big, i had it 5/4 to 100%, means i still thought it would win 44% of the time, when the market is saying it wins 56% of the time and i disagree, i had to take it on.

half the time i dont know what i am backing until the last five minutes when a market to 100% is formed and i play my tissue prices, regardless of whether i think it wins or not. not everyones cup of tea but it is my approach. and i would definitely back 3 in a race if combined i was getting evens say when combined i think it should be a 4/7 chance for example.

dont get all stroppy and take it to heart, its all light banter.
Report woodmanchester November 29, 2012 12:16 PM GMT
Yeah, good approach Addy. I'm from the old school though. When i started betting, betting exchanges werent even a silicon chip in a computer
Report sparrow November 29, 2012 12:19 PM GMT
The point is woody that I learned something about the dog the previous week. I felt he had to break in front from that draw and this was by no means certain.
Report woodmanchester November 29, 2012 12:26 PM GMT
You was right Sparrow. What are the winners Shelbourne Park, Saturday, then?
Report p_r_e_m_i_e_r__f_a_n_t_a_s_y November 29, 2012 12:39 PM GMT
Well so far i took:

Leamaneigh Turbo @ 8s
Borna Gem @ 5/2
Razldazl Will @ 3s
White Soks Roks @ 5/2
Sparta Maestro @ 11/8

not saying they will all win but they where all overpriced in my opinion.
Report patrick starr November 29, 2012 12:46 PM GMT
spare some change for a cup of tea addy? SadCry

Horrible horrible night here and one of those when you look back im not sure if i'd have the same bets again which is much worse than doing your gonads and being absolutely certain i'd have the same bets,which you can stomach easily,havent had this feeling for a good while and i dont like it one bit!
Report noflapleft November 29, 2012 1:34 PM GMT
Woody 80% of people just talk bllx 10% after timers and I bet most have two accounts big in there self up .just look at early prices you get a big difference in there book .thats by guys getting wages end of the day it's all about views and price . But for me marathons and hurdles full of dodges only bet big prices YODA gl
Report Addy_D November 29, 2012 2:15 PM GMT
Shocked
Report noflapleft November 29, 2012 5:02 PM GMT
What price will Eden star and lemon Pluto be on Monday who do you fav .will be shock if every one comes back with the same prices
Report Winja November 29, 2012 5:29 PM GMT
pluto will be fav......
Report woodmanchester November 29, 2012 6:22 PM GMT
At this stage you could be right Winja, seems that way on Belle Vue form anyway. At best, would much prefer Eden. You only got to look at Derby antepost to see who's expected to do best in the Premier Classic.

Incidentally, if Wimbledon closes will Derby bets already stuck stand, regardless of venue?
Report noflapleft November 29, 2012 7:35 PM GMT
For me 6/4 pluto 9/4 star
Report track record November 29, 2012 7:53 PM GMT
according to seamus
after the 1st bend ,comes the 2nd bend and then someting called
the turd bend   

what is this please

is it where all the dogs have a sh1t before racing
Report lanza November 29, 2012 8:36 PM GMT
bets voided on here woody. asked last here.
Report lanza November 29, 2012 8:39 PM GMT
year.  lol.  ???
Report irishone November 29, 2012 9:47 PM GMT
the turd bend ... what is this please

near the tree dog  Laugh
Report track record November 29, 2012 9:57 PM GMT
Laugh
Report RothmanMike December 2, 2012 8:06 PM GMT
If Barry Draper is taking young Pluto on, thats good enough for me   Cool
Report woodmanchester December 2, 2012 9:12 PM GMT
Someone said 6/4 Pluto, 9/4 Eden. It's actually evens Eden and 5/1 Pluto at the moment
Report wondersobright December 2, 2012 9:23 PM GMT
5/1 Laugh he really is awful
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