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what ya get on aero rebel at 7/4 £2
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Tr which one's the nap for you ?
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like both the first 2
but nap is t willyjoe purely on leadability factor |
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it aint easy mdm
but a fair bet but not what was wanted some in shop some independant |
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you must be well behind with paddys to get a fair bet
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im not but i know a man who is
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Where's ebulgery?
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im not but i know a man who is
woody putting on these days? ![]() |
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addy |
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very much looking forward to sprint but prices are right imo
1 bet for me in marathon aero rebel cannot be 6/5, very good run over 680 a few weeks ago, 4 is a railer 500/680 at notts and 6 wide plodding A4/S2, clear run should suffice |
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Won't be surprised if Swift Leah wins the marathon, the only bet for me tonight.
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Addy
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lol addy
sacked woody after he backed the wrong dog by mistake ![]() only joking woody |
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oi oi the galway dog in the first !
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Nice litter that out of Kildallon Maid (she was some bitch), really like Fear Big Star that's in the National Puppy Stake too.
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top honcho ....
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looks the bowlox as well
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ballydoyle town ? never ran here
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Lovely winner there - Miriam
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Nice to see Renee out of Allo Allo looking well. Wonder what he's done with the fallen Madonna with the big boobies?!
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probrably in the sausage
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Longwood what a twicer!
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Sort the sound out ffs
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Ivor never seen it ever trap that well befor
2 tour it apart for ep |
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ivor who ?
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How the hell did that do a track record!
Run the track like it never been round! |
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could have gone quicker ....
thought it was gangly, kept same stride pattern throughout and dd another lap if it had been a horse its ears would have been flicking up ![]() |
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he was gangly , changed his lead foot going into the bends
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Rebel didnt cut in as everyone said, every race is different so too much study not always the best policy. Rebel did however, miss the kick, forced to check all over the place and switching. Still disappointing for my money
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**** I need a break from this game how the **** as 6 lead !!
I need a holiday from the game |
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Rebel didnt cut in as everyone said, every race is different so too much study not always the best policy. Rebel did however, miss the kick, forced to check all over the place and switching. Still disappointing for my money
rebel only didnt cut in BECAUSE he missed the kick imo. studying the first round oaks card now ![]() |
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not a good night
ballymac florek saving grace longwood fantasy i thought had won initially until they showed the still ![]() got massive value with romeo,aero and willy but u cant eat value but the missus said u can eat willy ![]() |
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Dont know how you work that one out Addy. Think you just like disagreeing with me and winding me up. So, youre saying, with a level break, Rebel would have been looking at the dog inside him? Dogs rail run up or dont, speed of break irrelevant, imo. More likely he goes up straighter at Notts than Wimbledon, if anything
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no woody, if you miss a break and then when you come out of the boxes, the hare is a further 20 yards up, the dog has had longer to see the hare is to his right and therefore is unlikely to dive out left.
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woody still won't accept why Aero was a bad value bet, even after the event.
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Okay, but dont know about 20 yds up. All happens so quickly though, not 100% sure about your theory, there can be any number of reasons why or why not a dog does something. You can study and study, but anything can happen and often does, on the night. Who studied and predicted the winner would have stopped chasing only to come again in the marathon, for instance? There can be crowding at any point, any time affecting the result too, it's impossible to predict precisely
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Incidentally, everyone who studied hard and watched videos over and over again, knew Sawpit would would be bang there early?
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woody, I could never have backed the winner but with Aero at odds on why worry. Great value lay as predicted.
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