Greyhounds
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MASSIVE PRICE RICK
MASSIVE PRICE RICK
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That was my fault Premier, I wanted to use this example to help Woody on his quest to understand value. You are also correct in your explanation. Woody needs to want to understand that anti-post bets have all kinds of risks attached, bad draws, going, unexposed dogs becoming exposed etc and the AP price will always be bigger to reflect those aspects.
Zola not only correctly spotted value he also predicted the correct price was around 3/1 which the market agreed. The 5 addittional spots were all value for doing one thing. |
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Youre right lads, antepost usually entails a few rounds and each one has to be assessed on it's individual merits. In Skate On's case, she closely linked form with dogs much shorter, so i thought her value at 33/1, as i would have rated her about 16/1
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Didn't see the race but seems he read it pretty much right looking at the result, 6 outtrapped 5 but 5 had the better early. The winner led the inside boxes up as he/she expected.
All in all a well thought out good bet. |
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pf, i've sent you a p.m regarding tonights rommers card
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love reading these threads
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Woody
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good job you're harmless woody ... probrably shirtless as well
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Well, i do sing Let Me Entertain You, as well as other songs on karaoke. Yeah, running at a loss this year. I dont actual disagree with PF and Safari but you can have perceived value all you like, which if it's for one isnt naturally viewed that way by everybody, but you NEED LUCK, too. You can get stuck in a rut, just as you can enjoy a winning streak
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anyone got that "head in hands man" to hand lol
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brilliant
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i dont know if it can be put any other way. what we're saying woody isnt specific just to greyhounds, its just betting full stop. unfortunately youd get the same reaction from most people on any of the other forums on the site.
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can everyone stop calling woody "harmless" from now on please
he is doing everyone heads in lol |
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yeah ... sorry czech
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woody is more hapless than harmless
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Yeah, like a hedgehog gone for the yoghurt at the bottom of a carton and got stuck!
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You boys going back to the well for the final?
Looks overpriced again to me, drawn between Joscar and Bluehawk both whom he should be leading to the corner. Express Flame will struggle to clear Lemon Pluto and Killieford Deal will struggle to clear Express Flame. Looks to me that he either leads around or follows Lemon Pluto around and if both cases must have a massive chance. |
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am on antepost pf,agree looks to have a great shout,am concerned that maybe pluto n hellcat are drawn wrong way round though?
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just watched the dvd of the 2 semis.jaytee is very well drawn again but is still very green on the bends and im slightly worried that 4 although middle/wide on the run up might cut the corner and force him to check.express flame was going slightly quicker into the turn than jaytee but was clipped from behind as it was heading middle on the run up and has it all to do to clear 4.if 6 could ever trap level with em then it would win imo as it is genuine wide and will stay out of any troublespots and also stays well.cant have 1 or 3. in summary i can only see 2 or 6 winning but both need things to go right and there is not a lot of juice in eithers price. the value was definately in the semi lol. good luck to all those who get involved
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Plain and simple, Killieford Deal leads and wins
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