Greyhound A/P
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Irish Derby 2010
Irish Derby 2010
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Replies: 182
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1 Tullymurry
2 Krug 3 McGuigan 4 Big Mike 5 Joker 6 Bullet |
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almost perfect, wanted mesado /champ instead of tully :-(
Tully.... -616 k95...... +400 (wont win) mcguigan.. +329 tbm....... +1750 joker..... +2600 (cant see winning) bullet..... +435 (cant see winning) hopefully lay the 3 i dont think will win, reduce the tully red and build up big mike some more. |
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Tullymurry Act (0)
Krug Ninety five (0) Tyrur McGuigan (0) Tyrur Big Mike (a fortune) Thurlesbeg Joker (ok but my smallest winner) Barefoot Bullet (a lot) |
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My figures not far off yours Martys, except a minus for both Tullymurry and McGuigan, though bit more for Krug and Bullet and slightly less for Joker and Big Mike....
Will have a look at balancing the books either tonight or tomorrow, though I dont think McGuigan will win personally. I could honestly see Joker going close if there was any trouble though with the favourite, would have caught Tullymurry last time out if he hadnt got hemmed in at one stage, though would be happy for Big Mike to skip clear and save any stress lol. McGuigan's only hope is to skip clear and while he could lead, not sure he would stay far enough in front for long enough. Tullymurry also would probably have to lead and doesnt always trap the best, though has improved a bit lately in that respect. Don't have much confidence in Bullet to get the job done either, seems to have looked a bit reluctant near the line or else has some stamina issues over 550. |
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Krug has done the job for me anyhow with the e/w so anything else is a bonus though if there was trouble of course anything could happen I suppose.
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i greened up a bit, Tullymurry is my smallest winner giving me 490 profit, Big Mike is a beano
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As said earlier my Maths is awful, but think I've finally managed to work out the exact figures as it stands, I seem to win a bit more on some than I thought but a bit less on others as I forgot to substract the stakes of some of those I have in the final doh!!
Counting the each way bet as landed in amongst too: Tullymurry Act - £9 Krug Ninety Five + £1141 Tyrur McGuigan - £9 Tyrur Big Mike + 1266 Thurlesbeg Joker + 1551 Barefoot Bullet + 841 Suppose it aint too bad as it stands really, might just have a token small bet on Act and McGuigan maybe at reasonable odds. |
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Not a lay in sight either!! Otherwise would probably have gotten in a right pickle lol.
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iv laid krug now, so krugs costing me 400 and bet tully. laid bullet somewhat.
just hope 3 doesnt hamper 4 and 5 and 6. and 2 follows 1 around. cant bring myslef to lay off joker at 10.0 seems to big. come on BIG MIKE. No to k95. |
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Yes I think Joker should be third in the betting really, I can understand Tullymurry being 2nd fav as Joker will need to come from behind him probably but there was hardly anything between them on the last run.
Can't understand how Bullet and McGuigan have usurped the Joker as surely the second semi wasn't as good a standard overall. |
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agree m8 about tullymurray i can see him being better then 3rd around the first bend and with 3 stayers behind him theres no chance for him to win should be around 6/1 not 9/2 .BIG MIKE TO WIN FROM THE BULLET IS MY F/CAST.[:)]
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The only way i can see tullmurry win is if Mcguigan forces mike very wide between the 3rd and 4th bends, and the former gets a lovely run on the inside. The bullet could hold up joker as well.
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im with vinnie, any trouble between 3/4 could see 5+6 dragged in, leaving a nice inside run for tully and k95
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Anyway backed Act and McGuigan to win about £200 each just to be on safe side, would be a big anti climax if there was nowt to come!!
I think if Big Mike comes away about level he ought to be OK as McGuigan didnt seem to go that wide on the run up itself and then he can maybe edge ahead, the problem would be if he missed it a few lengths. But on times he has done 3 of the top 5 clocks this year over CD and 4 out of the top 10. The Joker has 3 entries in the top 10 and 4 in the top 12 so shows how overpriced he is really. Then we have McGuigan in 16th and Bullet in 18th, Act 21st and Krug uncharted, sounds like Top of the Pops!! |
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TBM has 2 of the the 4 fastest times ever
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PP Specials on the Derby Final
Irish Derby Greyhound to Finish Last Krug Ninety Five 9/4 Tyrur McGuigan 5/2 Barefoot Bullet 4/1 Thurlesbeg Joker 4/1 Tullymurry Act 6/1 Tyrur Big Mike 14/1 Tyrur Big Mike and Tyrur McGuigan to finish first and second in either order - 4/1 Betting Without Tyrur Big Mike Tullymurry Act 2/1 Barefoot Bullet 3/1 Thurlesbeg Joker 3/1 Tyrur McGuigan 4/1 Krug Ninety Five 8/1 Track Record To Be Broken in Final (excluding going allowance) - 4/1 |
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bullet for me last,trouble on bend.
w/o -tully. |
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Never been so disappointed to win £200 but credit the winner, has improved a fair bit every round of the competition and capitalised on the draw when it mattered.
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gutted to.. all in. Laid bullet, joker and krug and a little t-b-m.
tully was 2nd bet and tyrur m 3rd :-( |
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I think Mike would have been OK but missed the break when it was one time he really needed to be fairly close to McGuigan, once he checked out it was pretty much over for him.
Also Krug checked when challenging for the places and baulked Joker who was in behind and Tullymurry completely missed it so its a pity a few more didnt get the run of the race to make it competitive but thats racing as they say. |
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onto the english. Only bout 38 week to go.
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Back to Nottingham on Monday nights...
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Actually watching it again this morning Big Mike didnt miss it THAT drastically, wasnt particularly fast out but soon paced up, just that the early pace of McGuigan had taken him a few lengths up already. And if Big Mike wasnt going to lead by half way he wasnt really going to run down a leader given his style of racing.
Once he checked that was it really although he did close at three quarters didnt seem to be totally decisive in where to go, went wide and that was that. Suppose Joker's lack of early pace was his achilles heel but never seemed to get a proper run in this event, in the Easter Cup probably the opposition wasnt quite as strong and he could get a better early position just behind the leaders. Here he seemed to be off the pace and running into trouble all the time, got baulked about three times last night before running on into fourth. But well done to McGuigan, having watched the race again can't see there was any fluke about it really. |