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Just the 4 for me.
Stenson @ 75 Oosthuizen @ 75 Flowler @ 71 Richard H Lee @ 70 (Top 5.) Gl all. |
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Q, De Jong is such a choker.
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Ski, it's 75 actually. Have backed 51 of them, lots of big prices with a total percentage of 27%. Not many in the top 20 in the betting, though. Pondering Donald, Furyk, Kuchar and McDowell. Total quandary with Tiger, McIroy and Mickelson.
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As long as they get in a position to choke, I don't care, eric.
Haven't backed De Jonge (yet) . Realistically, I've gone along with you and left most of the short ones out. Was just going to work out the percentages on your team and see out it compares. |
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Kaymer and Toms shortening quickly.
Taken small pieces of a few more, good players good value |
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Taken stake out of Josh Teater, and shoved it on Matt Every.
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Kaymer will pop-up sooner or later at a big price imo..I am on @ 185.0 !
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a brief few words on the side market bets for the Players Championship is in order
Ben Crane round 1 leader 0.2 ew 80/1 is a bit of a no brainer when you look at his positions after Thursday for the past six attempts have seen him finish 6/9/1/3/10/4. Bo Van Pelt was very nearly an outright pick but last weeks 6th was his first decent start this year however his top ten strike rate is so good he has to be a 1 pt bet @ 5/1. He finishes in the top ten around 28% of the time and three from eight here - although all the other five attempts have been missed cuts. We are already on Brian Davis outright but I think he is also worth supporting in the top GB & Ire market where over the past four years he has been t3rd, t2nd, m/c and 2nd - 33/1 seems fairly generous when those at the top of this market have such a poor record - 0.25 ew 1/4 3 |
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TMM how can you be on Davis with your comment about him never winning in how many attempt? Compared to others I think he is poor value.
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Good memory Eric - but he fits the stats here with lots of starts. One day he may fall over the line and this course suits - has a habit of throwing up winners who seem to have an issue with holding a trophy aloft!
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;)
He is normally attractively priced and one I look for but could take him at these odds, preferred Gay, Sabbatini and Curtis all at double his price and all multiple winners. |
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Couldn't take him at these odds, that should read
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Concur with Eric........i would want 800 or more for Davies.
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No mention of Olesen? Pretty good stats (and form) and seems to enjoy the course:
http://instagram.com/p/Y_BaXSizQO/ |
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I think Olesen is going to be top draw, but he is still learning,it's his first visit to all these courses, so I can't back him at these ridiculously low odds.
Gonzo is much more experienced but I have trouble backing him at double the odds. |
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Gay, Laird, boo and Glover are all winners and or inform this year and represent good value to me.
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added stenson to my army of sneds and bubba....was adding haas until i read his missus was on verge of calfing.....so dont need any soldiers sloping off half way through the battle have dropped him.....replace him with rose and garcia i think
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Added McDowell such a great driver
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Just can't ignore somebody who is 6th in driving and 7th in putting and won on similar course
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Horchel
Mcdowell Summerhays DA Points Stenson This is a great team:) |
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There is not many you can ignore Eric!
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My team:
Zach Johnson David Toms Ben Crane Pat Perez DL3 Summerhays Kyle Stanley Top 20 |
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One of my weekly wastes of money... £15 Matt Jones @ 620
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" Your nayme vill also go on zeee liszt. Vwat izz it ?"
" Don't tell him, Palmer" "Ah, Palmer.. Your nayme haz been added to zee liszt" |
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Should have taken my own advice about Snedeker at 48. 38 to back and 40 to lay now.
No good worrying about it, though. Good luck with yours. |
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Took a red on Tiger at 8.6. afternoon tee time, hasn't birdied the 1st since 2006 and has less first rounds below 70 than wins here
Only found that out today Traded away the free greens for profit to try and get as close to square as possible and start again, have come up with:Donald +528 Horschel +1542 just had to do it ![]() Fowler +790 think that is the first time I've ever backed him pre tourn Points +387 Henley +78 Kirk +680 Wilson +1942 Kokrak +948 The field -128 with a fair few for slightly less liability. A rather crap book, but something to work with and won't have a Hindenburg if Tiger plays poor. No doubt he will now eagle the 1st and shoot 65 on day 1 finishing at odds on for the day en route to a 6 shot victory... |
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Snedeker shortened alot...now 38s....i thought 48s was a bit low!
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The Players Championship is the standout event outside of the four majors and aside of the top class field, its also the stadium course and in particular the closing holes, that deliver maximum golfing drama, time and again.
When considering your betting plans this week, you need to be aware that the Stadium Course is one of the few tracks on the PGA Tour that doesnt favour any particular kind of game, in short, anyone can win here. Who can forget the rather agricultural Craig Perks grabbing his own personal glory with an eagle, birdie, birdie finish. At 7200 yards, even the shorter hitters can feature, though you should be aware that torrential rain last week had the course completely waterlogged so it may play a tad longer and softer than usual. My standout bet for the week is arguably the hottest player on tour this year, Billy Horschel. Our boy has finished in the top ten in his last four events, winning one of them and adding a second and third placed finish too. If Horschel were to win here this week, he would become the first Players Championship debutant, therefore making history. I have balanced this with the knowledge that Billy has played over 80 rounds at the Stadium Course as he lives adjacent to the property and this must give him some sort of advantage. By his own admission, playing here at other times of the year is nothing like tournament week, however, he added “I think the advantage I get out of it is I know where you can miss on the golf course,” Horschel said. “The lines don't look as intimidating because I know there is more room". Horschel is already an acquired taste, sometimes his antics on course are less than impressive, but his golf game is pure gold and he is a potential golfing superstar. I cant believe he is trading at 70 on Betfair and I have backed him to win, top 3, 5 , 10 and 20. The belief handed out to all Australian players courtesy of Adam Scott`s Masters win has been obvious to all. Check out the results of one Brett Rumford as fitting testimony to that. I am drawn to another Australian this week in Jason Day. After a below par 2012, Day has re dedicated himself this year and his performances have reflected that. Day has a top game and he is long too, I fancy the Stadium Course will suit his game and if he get the putter to behave, then he is a real danger to all. He is 55 with Betfair. When I had lunch with Billy Foster recently, he identified Thorbjorn Olesen as "a bag that any caddie would want to be on" high praise indeed from a man who was with the late and great Sevy for many years and latterly, Lee Westwood. Olesen was a couple of bad holes away from landing the Green Jacket at Augusta and has made a fantastic start to his move to the USA for the 2013 season. The European Tour`s loss is the PGA Tour` gain and I fancy that the bookmakers have made a real mess in pricing him up this week. He is long, straight, scrambles with the best of them and is a Major winner just waiting to happen. How on earth he can be 130 on Betfair this week, goodness knows, I have also backed him for the same place finishes as I covered Horschel. I have also covered two further players this week on an ew basis, I like the look of Kyle Stanley at 170 and the in form Lucas Glover at 220. Good luck |
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Ok got a few on my side now.
Zach Watney Scott Donald Sned Van pelt walker palmer stricker tim clark kaymer hoping the winner comes from the first few at the top of my list. good luck all |
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Added Watney.
Final team in order of win: Phil Mickleson Adam Scott Tim Clark Nick Watney May the force be with you! |
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Shutting everything down while I re-arrange the table and install a new printer/scanner. Actually, if I'm switched off, I won't increase my army of 54 any more.
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golfnut, i dont mean to knock you but you said"the course doesnt favour anyone even short hitters can win" then you point out that day is "long and the course suits him" more im portantly you say "if the putter behaves" which suggests your not confident in his putting and nobody ever wins on a week when they putt poorly.it seems like you are trying to find advantages he has over the field safter stating there really is none.as i say im not taking you to task i just dont quite see your reasoning, that said no doubt hes one of god only knows how many can win.
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Not me mate...maybe you mean golfdaft...^^^^
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Are we all sitting comfortably ?
Then we'll begin..... |
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K Bradley making it 29.
Always makes me happy when some of my picks birdie the 1st hole in the 1st round.....Guthrie and Kokrak. |
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The opposite when my pick bogey the 1st hole in the 1st round
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Couldn't resit adding to original 4.
Stenson @ 75 Oosthuizen @ 75 Flowler @ 71 Richard H Lee @ 70 (Top 5.) David Lingmerth @ 100 (Top 10) and 330 (Top 5) Michael Thompson @ 64 (Top 5) |
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biggest exposure is to Rose & Garcia. and they seem to be 2 of the biggest movers before they've even hit a fr'ggin' ball!
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before hitting a ball, try kuchar @ 42 .
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