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A one off -Part 2.

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By:
Swardean
When: 16 Jul 10 23:42
Hank that is pretty impressive with the + on Ooz you can cover quite a bit of the pack in contention.
By:
Flashbadger.
When: 16 Jul 10 23:47
Such an amazing turnaround from yesterday - when I was pretty convinced McIlroy was gonna walk it..  I had 1k on mcIroy at 4.5 and 1k on woods at 5.9 last night but since then everything went right...

My books all green - apart from

-8k Mickelson
-3k Woods
-3k Garcia
- 6k on Mcilroy and
-2k barnes I will green him up at 50/1 in a minute
-10k els and rose but they wont be here so no worries

Greens are up to 90k
The onmly 90k man that is less than 1000/1 is Taniguchi
70k anderson hed
40k donald
30k garrido, calc
20k canizaries, siem, overton, Jiminez,Lehman,Kaymer, jeon
10k Kar;son. ishy, tiley, dustin
8k Casey
5k westwood, Ohair
4k hanson
3k goosen and mcdowell

think tahts everyone....  will be against woods small and other big names taht are stupid prices ie mic 120/1 mcilroy 50/1 etc etc!  Lets hope for more of the same then a ben curtis type winner!
By:
KP22
When: 16 Jul 10 23:54
Realistically hard for today to go much better i think, Oosterhuizen flying out early and the brutal afternoon conditions hitting quite a few hard, notably McIlroy. Got very lucky with a few speculative backs, messsed up a bit with the halt in play but reads like a few experienced worse.

Oosty carries on holing putts like he has hes gonna be very hard to catch but thats a big ask, and plenty of decent players lurking if he blips. Current Book reads

Reds (Full list of all who will make cut)

Westwood 920
Goosen 920
O'Hair 915
Glover 530
Daly 660
Poulter 730
Mickelson 740
Villegas 585
Fisher 625
Stricker 500

Greens

Oosterhuizen 625
McDowell 475
Woods 200
Casey 125

Garrido 18.5k
Yang 13k
Hanson 2.5k
Karlsson 3.4k
Jeong 3.8k
Tiley 3.2k
Lehman 3.5k
Kaymer 2.5k
Jiminez 2.1k
Calcavecchia 2.5k

Field 1k
By:
Knight Rider
When: 17 Jul 10 00:00
I don't really get excited unless it's 6-figs Hank Silly

Just kidding of course, I separated the ones at the bottom because they are off the pace rather than amongst the favs.

Still not sure what to do with Tiger - if I was coming into the market fresh now, would I back him at 6.6?  Not sure.  Would I back Oost at 4.5?  Yes definitely.  In fact just talked myself into shifting £5k from Tiger onto Oost.  Now +£89k Oost, +£40k Tiger.
By:
CARDIFF1927
When: 17 Jul 10 00:04
Very interesting read, nice to see how the other half roll. Still learning to trade golf successfully, dont have much time on my hands so usually get involved on a saturday/sunday, heres my book for what its worth.

Tiger +£730
Casey +£1200
Garrido +£7500
Garcia +£700
Dredge +£2570
Immelman +£2200
Glover  +£530
Villegas +£660
Field -£300
By:
double trouble
When: 17 Jul 10 00:05
long, long way to go imo, if Oosty starts to drop one or two he could very easily do a Rory
By:
Alfie Green
When: 17 Jul 10 00:09
Oosty  -6800
Tiger +21000
WW    -7000
Casey  -6700
Mcdowell +2000
Goosen -7000
O Hair +10000
Kaymer +60000
Lehman +70000

a few other 10 k winners that need something special to win.

Field -7000
By:
always lay no goal
When: 17 Jul 10 00:14
sorry guys, not in your league ,

+£40 on Westwood for top 10 finish, @3.25

enjoying the read though, good luck to all (bleddy wind!!!)
By:
Alfie Green
When: 17 Jul 10 00:14
Karlsson, Dredge, McIlroy, Hanson +15k.

A curious book because I could actually get out now with a decent profit but the gambler in me is going to let this run not least because I will be at the Open tomorrow, largely letting fate and skill and nature play its capricious role in my fortunes....obviously, I think the force of nature called Tiger is worth backing.
By:
trebor
When: 17 Jul 10 00:30
Not a  lot of headway today, except getting Oosty back onside as he was one of my biggest losers yesterday, will probably tidy up some of the reds a little and concentrate on trading Westwood down tommoz

Westwood  -£3868
McIlroy  -£3520
Jiminez  -£1076
Goosen  -£871
Garcia  -£776
Barnes  -£658
O'Hair  -£619
McDowell  -£102

Oosthuizen  +£2059
Casey  +£2027
Tiger  +£1833
Field  +£1723
By:
marychain1
When: 17 Jul 10 00:36
field -120
woods -160

20 greens between +300 and +3000, but all between E and -5.
By:
a bitofinterest
When: 17 Jul 10 00:37
still juggling..
By:
alfee
When: 17 Jul 10 00:45
feild -1650

kaymer +72,000
ohair  +2,500
mcIIroy +400
karlson +350

i feel lucky Silly

good luck chaps.
By:
Allez
When: 17 Jul 10 01:24
Any opinions on where the value lies at halfway if any? McDowell the only price that stands out imo.
By:
Chosen®
When: 17 Jul 10 02:15
Having taken a view against Rose, Rory, and Woods at the outset, things are looking up. I now take a view against Oosty - not saying he can't win it, just that in all likelihood he comes back to them. That makes it an incredibly open tournament.

What about that wretch Woods? Well, I've bailed out for the same average price I laid him at over the first two days. Why? Because I feel he's in a stronger position to win it from where he is than at the outset, plus, if I'm right about an Oosty nosedive, then he'll be trading a lot shorter. I guess I'm taking the opposite view to KR on the prices of Oosty and Woods at this stage - probably not a healthy long-term strategy, but my head says the leader won't be winning this thing.

Other minor changes leaves my book looking roughly like this:

Oosty    -600
Wretch   -11 (had to leave him a bit red)
Westwood -300
Rose     -2100
Rory     -2500
Karlsson +5000
Field    +650
 
Very impressive turnaround in Frames' book, btw. Sounds like Turkish delight for the Eagle as well. Be nice to hear more from Eddie between mouthfuls of Baklava.
By:
a bitofinterest
When: 17 Jul 10 02:34
dont worry chosen,my book will be published soon
By:
Aussie Driver
When: 17 Jul 10 03:13
Looks like the days play was good for most books on here. I am looking for Oosty to keep it going, with a few challengers on my side. Tiger and Casey the two reds that are in contention:

GREEN:

Oosty     3.8k
Goosen    1.4k
Ohair     1.8k
Jimenez   1.8k
Kaymer    4.5k
Hanson    5.8k
Canizares 10.4k
D Johnson 3.4k
Quiros    4.3k

RED:

Tiger     1.7k
Casey     1.3k
Mcilroy   1.8k
Mickelson 1.8k
Daly      1.7k

Field +100
By:
Eddie the eagle
When: 17 Jul 10 06:04
Good morning everyone , I've got these positions at the moment :

Greens :
Oosthuizen   350 k
Casey        120 k
Garrido      260 k
Cink         360 k
Dyson         45 k
Na           125 k

Everyone else is - 8 k

Should lay off some on Oosty , but find it difficult to do so @ 4.5 when I think his price should be around 3 or even a little less than that.
By:
frames
When: 17 Jul 10 06:39
Morning all.You need to go on holiday more often Eddie.Seems most are in decent positions after yesterday`s turnaround .Let`s hope for more of the same today (rarely works like that ),good luck all.
By:
Total Bosman
When: 17 Jul 10 06:46
Tiley appears to be less of a morning person than I am.
By:
Chosen®
When: 17 Jul 10 06:53
a bitofinterest Joined: 02 Feb 07
Replies: 9776 17 Jul 10 02:34 
dont worry chosen,my book will be published soon

Ten copies pre-ordered on Amazon in case the first nine get pilfered.
By:
Herbie Peanut
When: 17 Jul 10 06:54
The only greens i have are the ones left over on my plate from last nights dinner.
By:
Eddie the eagle
When: 17 Jul 10 07:00
Looks like the holiday approach is the way to go.  Didn't do much resarch for this week  and the only one I actually had in mind for this one at high odds was Oosthuizen and when I saw he also got the better of starting times , I had to go for him.  Had to look hard to find anyone else I wanted to back and came up with a few. Casey was only added Thursday morning when I saw he had drifted to 70.
By:
frames
When: 17 Jul 10 08:05
At this rate Tiley will walk off the 18th green straight over to the first tee.
By:
Chosen®
When: 17 Jul 10 08:15
Third round two-balls or three-balls? anyone heard anything?
By:
frames
When: 17 Jul 10 08:18
Not heard but I`d be very surprised to see 3-balls.
By:
ronsk
When: 17 Jul 10 08:21
3-Balls, Open weekend?? Get a grip man!
By:
Chosen®
When: 17 Jul 10 08:46
3-Balls, Open weekend?? Get a grip man!

Sorry! Didn't mean to upset the committee. Just a thought.
By:
ronsk
When: 17 Jul 10 08:49
Committee???!!!!!!!

You really do need to get a fecking grip man!
By:
frames
When: 17 Jul 10 09:22
Last pair out at 4-40 pm,long day ahead.
By:
ronsk
When: 17 Jul 10 09:25
9pm (ish) finish... Love it!
By:
Gerbs
When: 17 Jul 10 09:34
leaders will have the best of the weather going out that late
By:
hacker
When: 17 Jul 10 09:37
Welldone Eddie....about time that you got abit of luck!
By:
marychain1
When: 17 Jul 10 09:39
Think we might have a situation where people are finishing Round 3 on Sunday morning before coming back out for Round 4. Got to think that is going to be really hard to deal with for people like Oosty, on top of the normal Sunday and big Championship pressure.

I think that the players on Evs to +2 on 1000 are worth having a pop at here.
By:
Gerbs
When: 17 Jul 10 09:44
should get it finished easily   2 ball shouldnt take more than 4 and a half hours
By:
par
When: 17 Jul 10 09:47
Well done Eddie, a bit of a position to be sat in, good luck however you decide to play it
By:
deepwater
When: 17 Jul 10 11:45
oost--out late late

could mean 3 shots better---less wind

jammy git

Silly
By:
Knight Rider
When: 17 Jul 10 12:44
Similar to Eddie I have Oost around 3.0 now.  Have increased my position to +139k.
By:
deepwater
When: 17 Jul 10 12:48
very nice KR

hope he doesnt do a rory
By:
betchat
When: 17 Jul 10 13:27
Now if the BBC want a great story and be able to play yesterday's video telling Rory's glory story again soon it would make a great story if he were to come right into contention again today and be fighting it out near the lead tomorrow. 

Not breath holding but it's not impossible given reasonable weather not that unlike the first day. 

My 2 quids worth at odds around 50.
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