gingerprince

Thankfully I was spot on yesterday with Camelot in the 2000 Guineas, and I hope I can be right again in the 1000 Guineas today.  This race is a little less clear cut for me.  I think Maybe is possibly the best horse in the field, and justifies favouritism, but there's certainly no value in 6/4.  The value for me is still with Lightening Pearl.  She's one of only four Group 1 winners in the line up, and has been prepared for this race with precision.  My only concern is she may empty coming out of the dip, with the extra furlong, on ground that isn't ideal.  She'd definitely prefer good ground, but at 20/1 she's still the value pick for me today.

Three selections today:

Newmarket

2:05pm Hurricane Higgins
1pt Each Way bet
Current Betfair price: 19.5
Best available elsewhere: 20/1 (Bet365, William Hill)

2:35pm Izzi Top
1.5pt Win bet
Current Betfair price: 5.1
Best available elsewhere: 4/1 (Bet365, totesport, BetFred, Stan James, William Hill)

3:15pm Lightening Pearl
2.5pt Each Way bet
Current Betfair price: 27.0
Best available elsewhere: 20/1 (widely available)


Thanks,
Sir Tip

Don't forget to follow @Sir_Tip on Twitter, where I tweet every blog entry!
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Current Overall 2012 position: 2.9% Yield (from 380 bets)

2012 Q1 Yield 3.8% (from 272 bets)
summary available here: http://community.betfair.com/gingerprince/blog/2012/04/30/sir-tip-38-yield-from-horse-racing-tips-in-q1-2012

2012 Q2 position: currently Yield 1.1% (from 108 bets)

* each way bets are recorded as two bets, one for the win, and one for the place *
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(note: Final 2012 Q2 Yield will be published at the beginning of July 2012, but current figures are available on request)