gingerprince

Firstly, I don't normally put up a selection the night before, but am making an exception tonight.  I have a genuine fear the price on our selection will drop tomorrow, if the Irish money comes for it (which I expect).  More on that later...

Tuesday's only selection, Hot Spice, maintained the current top form for this blog by duely delivering (advised 13/2) at Leicester.  Brilliant ride from Philip Makin, on what is a quirky, but game, horse.

One selection today:

Doncaster

1.55pm Alanza
3pt Win bet
Current Betfair price: 3.95
Best available elsewhere: 3/1 (widely available)
Already, as I type, the 10/3 available has gone, and it's 3/1 across the piece.  My fears may not be realised but Alanza may be 5/2 or lower tomorrow AM, in which case I wouldn't advise a bet.  Most of you will know Alanza already, as she has delivered for us twice already in races in Ireland.  This is a tougher contest on Thursday, but she is such a game Filly, and I feel there is still room for improvement, so is worthy of a bet.  This is John Oxx's first runner in GB this year, which counts for a lot, and Johnny Murtagh knows how to win on Alanza already.  Again, I expect Murtagh to get to work on her early, coming off the bridle before the others.  We know she takes her time picking up (we've seen that already), but when she does she finishes like a train.
Expect similar tomorrow, and those who like in-running betting, could possible take advantage of a bigger price maybe 3f out.

Thanks,
Sir Tip

Don't forget to follow @Sir_Tip on Twitter, where I tweet every blog entry!
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Current Overall 2011 position: 39% Yield (from 396 bets)

2011 Q1 Yield 38.1% (from 94 bets)
summary viewable here:
http://community.betfair.com/gingerprince/blog/2011/04/15/sir-tip---381-yield-from-horse-racing-tips-in-q1-2011

2011 Q2 Yield 56.9% (from 158 bets)
summary available here:
http://community.betfair.com/gingerprince/blog/2011/07/19/sir-tip---569-yield-from-horse-racing-tips-in-q2-2011

2011 Q3 position: currently Yield 19.7% (from 145 bets)

* each way bets are recorded as two bets, one for the win, and one for the place *
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(note: Final 2011 Q3 Yield will be published at the beginning of July 2011, but current figures are available on request)