@wolf3011

Where is your evidence to support your statement that " most of the home advantage" is gone? 
Since when have all stadiums beinf full factor into the home advantage? 
Does a half empty stadium only have the home advantage? 
Is there no home advantage in the lower divisions of the football league where the crowds are small?

In the premier league there have so far been 14 matches, 5H/5D/4A results.  Looking at the historical odds from football-data.co.uk, the home team were favourite 5 times and the away team were favourite 9 times.  Not a huge leaning towards most of the home team advantage is gone using this simple comparison.

Using the Bundesliga figures there have been 73 matches, 20H,19D,34A results.  Again, looking at the historical odds from football-data.co.uk, the home team were favourite 43 times and the away team were favourite 30 times.  Comparing the actual 20H wins to the predicted 43H wins could show that there may be something in the theory that home team advantage may be reduced in post lockdown empty stadiums, but saying this is because of empty stadiums ignores any other factors that affect home advantage, such as travel, familiarity with the surroundings etc. and that traditionally most teams play in a different style home and away.  There has been such a small sample rate that logical conclusions can't really be extrapolated yet, opinions can be had, but not with any real cold hard facts yet.

There is also a theory that matches played at the end of a season can throw up spurious results due to the importance of a fixture in relation to league position for one or both of the sides. 

Do we know if the betting companies have factored in empty stadiums into their prices or punters on here who make the odds move?

I'm open to critique on here, but if you are going to do it, back it up with some facts/logic and don't just spew out 'laughable' and 'illogical' without following it up with your reasoning.

As for the 'credible' thing.  i'm not trying to sell a system or prove that i'm smarter than anyone else, i post on here to keep myself honest.  it is too easy to come up with a system and run it and when its not going right justify to yourself that you shouldn't have made that pick for reason 'x', 'y' or 'z'.  On here, it is black and white and open to people to comment/critique.   Believe me, don't believe me, when i post the results or have a check and see if the p/l is credible, i'm really not fussed.

when i first started on here in '04, 14 years before you, people would post their ideas/systems etc. and you would only find the odd arse who couldn't come up with an original idea if they tried trolling posts.  unfortunately, that is more common now leading to fewer people putting their head above the parapet.

try not to be one of those arse's and post constructive criticism, or alternatively don't read this thread.

I'm not trying to troll anything tommy, no issues from me someone posting their match picks as many have done it and all failed to make continual profit.

The crowd are what contributes most to any home advantage, influencing big decisions, creating an intimidating atmosphere etc.. I'm not sure what else would other than a lucky peg in the changing room to hang a shirt on. The number of matches you have picked is far too small to analyse what the home advantage is and as far as have the bookies factored in the empty stadiums in deciding odds, I have no idea actually, but if you compare this seasons current odds to last seasons with teams doing similarly well you will probably find clues. It's no coincidence that the bigger the crowd the more likely home advantage is likely to be a factor but then you could also argue bigger crowds mean bigger budgets ie better players.

I certainly would be very wary of comparing old home/away records to determine what bets you place in these current times of empty stadia

I also think it is worth persevering with this. I admire the honesty of TickTock.

Thurs
Lay
Watford
Southampton
Man City

Espanyol

@politicspunter

thanks, we'll see how it goes from here after a bit of a reversal.

Thurs
Lay
Watford     +0.95
Southampton +0.95
Man City    +0.95

Espanyol    +0.95

4/4   +3.8pts

24/31   77.4%   +7.3pts

@escapee

i would be wary of any bets on sequences that are unlikely to happen.   when man city went 18 matches consecutive wins, people thought that wouldn't be broken for a long time, yet liverpool nearly broke it this season. 
i believe the result of the previous match has little bearing on the next result.  the teams could be of a totally different standard, its too short to form an opinion using form and various runs of results just happen.

thanks for the comments though.

BTW Norwich , Man city and southampton have all drawn 7 consecutive games in the premier league era so if you had used your system, the losses would probably mean you were living in a tent somewhere having sold everything you own

Sun
Lay
Verona
Bologna
AC Milan

Betis

Back
Inter

Oooops Thankyou for pointing that out Wolf.... my bad research

Most consecutive draws in a season: 7, joint record:
Norwich City (1993–94)
Southampton (1994–95)
Manchester City (2009–10)

Mon
Lay
Burnley

Tues
Lay
Celta Vigo

Not posting any more selections now because....

This thread (thread) is coming like a ghost thread
All the posts have been closed down
This thread (thread) is coming like a ghost thread
Members won't post no more
Too much fighting on the thread floor

Do you remember the good old days on the forum?
We posted and bet, and the music played in a de boomtown

This thread (thread) is coming like a ghost thread
Why must the forum fight against themselves?
Betfair leaving the members on the shelf
This thread (thread) is coming like a ghost thread
No fun to be found in this forum
Can't go on no more
The people getting angry

This thread is coming like a ghost thread
This thread is coming like a ghost thread
This thread is coming like a ghost thread
This thread is coming like a ghost thread

Apologies to The Specials....