HT/FT Stats

thats an interesting idea ken although i am looking to back ht/ft for every match in a specific league. Average odds around 20/1. Looking to try doubles from 10. Aiming for the big money

if i were to try this i would prefer to use a progressive staking system as can see quite a few losing lays are likely to occur one after another

its an interesting idea. I am looking at various systems at the moment and looking for the most profitable of course.

So a 2/5 shot would be roughly 10/11 at ht would you expect?

I use this market extensively.

First, stats, etc, are too general and, as usual mean 'what is the return if I bet on every team that is odds on to win?' etc.  Sunderland's recent run would be an example of two or three matches that would contribute.

Throwing systems aside, my success came from a simple question:

Do I think a team can hold a superior team for 45 minutes?

So through the week, I would look at upcoming matches and look at how the teams would do during the first half.

After a few weeks of the season, the results help zero in on this.  A team may not be winning but they are strong defensively until broken later or the superior team takes a while to get going and needs a half time regroup to find the winner.

An example was Man U earlier this year who would go nil nil into the dressing room then Van Persie would score in the first few minutes of the second half.

Where I personally found the value was backing draw/Result rather than laying a team.

Football-data.co.uk will give you this info in Excel form so you can adapt it yourself.

Rare to find value odds on in HT FT to back.

Draw/Result pays 3/1 or better.  Will often put a flutter on a higher correct score, as well, to trade out if there is a goal in the first half.

"mmmmmm..I find the value in laying the favourite but
only when it is odds on. There is certainly no value
in backing it, the favourite that is."

ooh you lying hound ken, you backed shef utd v Hartlepool at 2/5, and on the footy thread you backed unders at brighton tonite at long odds on, (against the top scorers in the championship) DOH!

You will need great patience.GL.