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Guessing on FOOTBALL bets and not just going against the grain

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Replies: 1,661
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 01 Aug 13 20:56
GAME 6   IP at 53 mins 0-1.


Fixtures 01 August / Motherwell v Kuban Krasnodar / Match Odds    
    The Draw     Lay         01-Aug-13
20:54           6.4     24.00         6.4     01-Aug-13 20:54
===================================================================

Away team likely to win from 0-1 position. MGOFS 1-2.


GL with bets.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 01 Aug 13 20:58
G 5 ....now 57'    Swansea City    2-0 (1-0)    Malmö FF



so lay on DRAW looks likely to win.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 01 Aug 13 21:31
G 6 ....now 0-2 at 90 mins...so looks like bet landed on lay on DRAW.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 01 Aug 13 21:55
TODAY RESULTS

Soccer: £128.08  PROFIT

Soccer     Showing 1 - 9 of 9 markets
Market     Start time     Settled date     Profit/loss (£)
Soccer / Motherwell v Kuban Krasnodar : Match Odds     01-Aug-13 19:45     01-Aug-13 21:35     22.97
Soccer / Swansea v Malmo FF : Match Odds     01-Aug-13 19:45     01-Aug-13 21:35     22.97
Soccer / Pandurii v Hapoel Tel Aviv : Correct Score     01-Aug-13 19:00     01-Aug-13 20:53     -7.00
Soccer / Pandurii v Hapoel Tel Aviv : Over/Under 1.5 Goals     01-Aug-13 19:00     01-Aug-13 19:29     16.31
Soccer / Randers v Rubin Kazan : Correct Score     01-Aug-13 17:30     01-Aug-13 19:20     22.97
Soccer / Dinamo Minsk v Trabzonspor : Over/Under 1.5 Goals     01-Aug-13 17:00     01-Aug-13 18:54     -54.00
Soccer / Dinamo Minsk v Trabzonspor : Correct Score     01-Aug-13 17:00     01-Aug-13 18:54     72.92
Soccer / Trencin v Astra Giurgiu : Half Time/Full Time     01-Aug-13 16:00     01-Aug-13 17:56     45.94
Soccer / Trencin v Astra Giurgiu : Half Time     01-Aug-13 16:00     01-Aug-13 16:49     -15.00
Profit and Loss is shown net of commission.
All times are UKT     

     unless otherwise stated.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 02 Aug 13 12:39
GAME 1   IP after about 38 mins...at 1-0.


   
Fixtures 02 August / Yenisey Krasnoyarsk v Sibir / Correct Score    
    1 - 1     Lay         02-Aug-13
12:37           5.9     24.00         5.77     02-Aug-13 12:38
================================================================

Home likely to score again. MGOFS 2-0.

GL with bets.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 02 Aug 13 13:52
G 1....SIBIR managed to score away .....so a HIT in G 1.

FT    FK Yenisey    1-1 (1-0)    Sibir Novosibirsk
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 02 Aug 13 15:01
GAME 2

   
Fixtures 02 August / Mordovia Saransk v Gazovik / Match Odds    
    The Draw     Lay         02-Aug-13
14:59           5.8     48.00         5.8     02-Aug-13 15:00
======================================================================

From their results I just believe that one of them will win....probably the home team. MGOFS 3-1 or 0-1.


GL with bets.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 02 Aug 13 16:37
G 2....1-0 ....had layed 0-0 to gain £9......

Now trying to back DRAW to eliminate liability.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 02 Aug 13 16:43
All green in MM....
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 02 Aug 13 16:51
GAME 3

   
Fixtures 02 August / Torpedo Moscow v Khimik Dzerzhinsk / Correct Score    
    1 - 1     Lay     02-Aug-13
16:49           10     24.00         10     02-Aug-13 16:49
===================================================================================

Home team appear to struggle to score....and away team likely to find it hard to score against a stuffy team. MGOFS 0-0 or 0-1.


GL with bets.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 02 Aug 13 16:53
G 2.....Main bet on lay on DRAW part landed ..and a lay on 0-0 just before goal scored.

FT    Mordovia Saransk    1-0 (0-0)    Gazovik Orenburg
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 02 Aug 13 16:55
GAME 3 is an IP bet at HT was 0-0.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 02 Aug 13 17:05
GAME 4

    Fixtures 02 August / FC Midtjylland v SonderjyskE / Half Time/Full Time     Draw/Draw     Lay         02-Aug-13
17:03           6.6     33.00         6.6     02-Aug-13 17:03
==========================================================================

Home team very likely to score. MGOFS 2-1.


Gl with bets.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 02 Aug 13 17:50
G 3...lay on 1-1 landed.

FT    Torpedo Moscow    0-1 (0-0)    Khimik Dzerzhins
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 02 Aug 13 18:00
GAME 5   IP at 0-0 HT.

   
Fixtures 02 August / Anzhi Makhachkala v Rostov / Correct Score    
    0 - 0     Lay          02-Aug-13
17:58           4.7     36.00         4.7     02-Aug-13 17:58
===============================================================================

Away team tend to concede a goal .....MGOFS 1-0 or 2-1.


Gl with bets.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 02 Aug 13 18:14
G 5....bet landed ...but still expect home team to score so will lay 0-1 probably!

52'    Anzhi Makhachkala0-1FK Rosto
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 02 Aug 13 18:18
G 5   
Fixtures 02 August / Anzhi Makhachkala v Rostov / Correct Score    
    0 - 1     Lay     28647128075     02-Aug-13
18:18           3.65     24.00         3.65     02-Aug-13 18:18
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 02 Aug 13 18:55
G 5 ...HIT due to 2nd lay on 0-1 failing! Surprised home team never scored !

FT    Anzhi Makhachkala    0-1 (0-0)    FK Rostov
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 02 Aug 13 19:07
G 6 at 0-1 in 2nd half.

   
Fixtures 02 August / Varnamo v Orebro / Correct Score    
    1 - 1     Lay     28649190727     02-Aug-13
19:06           8.2     24.00         8.2     02-Aug-13 19:06    
=======================================================================

OREBRO more likely to score again than home team equalising IMO. MGOFS 0-2.


Gl with bets.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 02 Aug 13 19:18
G 4 Currently 2-1 late in game...trying to get matched on DRAW to cover DRAW/DRAW lay liability.....
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 02 Aug 13 19:22
Gave up on getting matched !
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 02 Aug 13 19:36
G 6 ...lay on 1-1 landed.

57'    IFK Värnamo    0-2 (0-1)    Örebro S
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 02 Aug 13 19:38
GAME 7

    Fixtures 02 August / Partick v Dundee Utd / Correct Score     1 - 0     Lay         02-Aug-13
19:36           11     24.00         11     02-Aug-13 19:36
===============================================================================

Just believe ....unfortunatelyDevil......DU will score. MGOFS 1-2.

GL with bets.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 02 Aug 13 20:39
GAME 8  Just IP at 0-0


   
Fixtures 02 August / Barcelona v Santos / Match Odds    
    The Draw     Lay         02-Aug-13
20:37           12.5     18.00         12     02-Aug-13 20:37    
===========================================================================

fair chance one of them wins.....MGOFS 3-2.


GL with bets.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 02 Aug 13 20:41
G 8


8 mins 1-0.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 02 Aug 13 21:02
G 8

4-0now.m
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 02 Aug 13 21:35
G 7 ...Lay on 1-0 landed.

FT    Partick Thistle    0-0 (0-0)    Dundee United
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 02 Aug 13 21:41
GAME 9

    Fixtures 02 August / Godoy Cruz v Argentinos Juniors / Half Time/Full Time     Draw/Arg Juniors     Lay          02-Aug-13
21:38           12.5     24.00         12.5     02-Aug-13 21:38
===========================================================================

Just believe GC are more likely to be strong 2nd half.....and ARG JNRS are more likely to try to steal a lead 1st half....MGOFS 2-1.


Gl with bets.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 02 Aug 13 22:02
GAME 10

    Fixtures 02 August / Palmeiras v Bragantino SP / Half Time/Full Time     Draw/Draw     Lay          02-Aug-13
22:00           9     24.00         8.73     02-Aug-13 22:00
===================================================================================

Away team appear to leak a goal away from home....so fair chance a team takes lead in game.....and PAL have been scoring for fun at home recently. MGOFS 3-1.


GL with bets.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 02 Aug 13 22:50
G 9 ....Lay on DRAW/ARG JNRS landed.


HT   Godoy Cruz    1-0 (-)    Argentinos Juniors
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 03 Aug 13 00:23
G 10 ....LAY on DRAW/DRAW landed

HT    Palmeiras/SP    1-0 (1-0)    Bragantino/SP


Making this game last one for day.


G M the noooooooooo
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 03 Aug 13 11:31
YESTERDAY RESULTS

Soccer: £55.02  PROFIT

Soccer     Showing 1 - 13 of 13 markets
Market     Start time     Settled date     Profit/loss (£)
Soccer / Palmeiras v Bragantino SP : Half Time/Full Time     02-Aug-13 23:30     03-Aug-13 01:27     22.97
Soccer / Godoy Cruz v Argentinos Juniors : Half Time/Full Time     02-Aug-13 22:00     02-Aug-13 23:54     22.97
Soccer / Godoy Cruz v Argentinos Juniors : Half Time     02-Aug-13 22:00     02-Aug-13 22:49     -2.00
Soccer / Barcelona v Santos : Match Odds     02-Aug-13 20:30     02-Aug-13 22:24     17.23
Soccer / Partick v Dundee Utd : Correct Score     02-Aug-13 19:45     02-Aug-13 21:36     22.97
Soccer / Varnamo v Orebro : Correct Score     02-Aug-13 18:20     02-Aug-13 19:58     22.97
Soccer / FC Midtjylland v SonderjyskE : Match Odds     02-Aug-13 17:30     02-Aug-13 19:25     -0.05
Soccer / FC Midtjylland v SonderjyskE : Half Time/Full Time     02-Aug-13 17:30     02-Aug-13 19:25     31.58
Soccer / Anzhi Makhachkala v Rostov : Correct Score     02-Aug-13 17:00     02-Aug-13 18:54     -27.60
Soccer / Torpedo Moscow v Khimik Dzerzhinsk : Correct Score     02-Aug-13 16:00     02-Aug-13 17:50     22.97
Soccer / Mordovia Saransk v Gazovik : Correct Score     02-Aug-13 15:00     02-Aug-13 16:51     8.61
Soccer / Mordovia Saransk v Gazovik : Match Odds     02-Aug-13 15:00     02-Aug-13 16:51     26.80
Soccer / Yenisey Krasnoyarsk v Sibir : Correct Score     02-Aug-13 12:00     02-Aug-13 13:52     -114.40
Profit and Loss is shown net of commission.
All times are UKT     

================================================================================

Took a HIT on GAME 1.....so finishing in profit was a reasonable result for day.

The HIT in GAME 1....was a careless selection of bet. I never checked recent results ( usually I do this for every game) , as got distracted and just went by memory of teams. The results clearly indicated the home team could not be relied on not to concede a goal .....and the 1-1 draw was a "dangerous" lay at 1-0.

GL with bets today.
     unless otherwise stated.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 03 Aug 13 11:37
GAME 1   HT it was 0-0.

   
Fixtures 03 August / Kashima v Omiya / Correct Score    
    1 - 0     Lay          03-Aug-13
11:34           5.7     24.00         5.7     03-Aug-13 11:34
===============================================================================

Home team tend to leak a goal when they go for goals....and away team capable of snatching a goal. MGOFS 1-1.


GL with bets.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 03 Aug 13 11:43
GAME 2  KO 12.15

    Fixtures 03 August / Burnley v Bolton / Half Time/Full Time     Draw/Draw     Lay         03-Aug-13
11:41           5.8     36.00         5.8     03-Aug-13 11:41    
====================================================================================

Clash of styles of play should lead to a goal being scored.....hopefully in 1st half. MGOFS 2-1.


GL with bets.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 03 Aug 13 11:45
G 1....now ...55'    Kashima Antlers    1-0 (0-0)    Omiya Ardija


Hopefully the game will now open up as away team try to score.....and fair chance another goal comes from either side to avoid the HIT on initial lay on 1-0.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 03 Aug 13 11:49
GAME 3....0-0 near HT.


   
Fixtures 03 August / C-Osaka v Kofu / Correct Score    
    0 - 1     Lay          03-Aug-13
11:47           12     33.00         12     03-Aug-13 11:48
================================================================================

Home team very likely to score. MGOFS 3-1.


GL with bets.
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 03 Aug 13 12:26
G 1....My usual bad start to day with HIT in 1st game.


FT    Kashima Antlers    1-0 (0-0)    Omiya Ardija
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 03 Aug 13 12:27
G 2........goal scored by away team ......need a lotta luck to escape a 2nd HIT!


67'    Cerezo Osaka    0-1 (0-0)    Ventforet Kofu
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 03 Aug 13 13:01
G 2....a big HIT.....

FT    Cerezo Osaka    0-1 (0-0)    Ventforet Kofu



Just one of those "odd" results......OK the away team are fighting relegation......but home team usually can score a goal .....and are near top of table ....but failed today. A lay on 0-0 , with hindsight, was probably a better bet than the one I did.

G 3...Could be a BLACK SWAN 3 bets looming ...as BOLTON equalised to make it 1-1 just before HT!
By:
DFCIRONMAN
When: 03 Aug 13 13:11
G 2.......1-1 HT ...so laying 1-1 and backing 2-2 and 3-3 ....and hopefully the BLACK SWAN will feck offffffLaugh


   
Fixtures 03 August / Burnley v Bolton / Correct Score    
    3 - 3     Back     28665922065     03-Aug-13
13:09           60     4.00         60.91     03-Aug-13 13:09    
   
Fixtures 03 August / Burnley v Bolton / Correct Score    
    2 - 2     Back     28665912622     03-Aug-13
13:08           7.8     36.00         7.8     03-Aug-13 13:08    
   
Fixtures 03 August / Burnley v Bolton / Correct Score    
    1 - 1     Lay     28665902248     03-Aug-13
13:08           3.9     60.00         3.85     03-Aug-13 13:08
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