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Bank 1 £0 BUST
Bank 2 £601.12 (01) Lay SP Lisbon 1v2 Rio Ave (IP 0v1) @ 12.5 W £49.66 £650.77 (02) Lay Estudiantes 0v0 Colon (PRE KO) @ 8.4 W £83.54 £734.31 (03) Lay Panathinaikos 2v0 Malaga (PRE KO) @ 15.5 W £48.11 £782.42 (04) Lay THE DRAW (IP Lille 1v0 Copenhagen) @ 9.0 W £92.91 £875.33 (05) Lay Barcelona (IP R. Madrid 1v0) @ 6.0 W £166.31 £1041.64 (06) Lay Liverpool (IP Sunderland 1v0) @ 6.0 W £208.32 £1249.96 (07) Lay THE DRAW (IP Getafe 0v1 Barcelona) @ 9.2 W £144.81 1394.77 (08) Lay AC Milan (IP 0V1 Atalanta) @ 14.0 W £101.94 £1496.71 Bank 3 £601.12 (01) Lay Nottm Forest 0v1 Wigan (PRE KO) @ 10.0 W £63.45 £664.57 (02) Lay Cagliari (IP Palermo 1v0 @ HT) @ 13.0 W £55.36 £719.93 (03) Lay AC Milan 1v1 Atalanta (IP 0v0 HT) @ 9.2 W £83.40 £803.33 Bank 4 (£0) BUST Bank 5 £601.12 (01) Lay FULHAM (IP Sheff Wed 1v0) @ 7.0 W £95.17 £696.29 (02) Lay FC Basel (IP CFR Cluj 1v0) 8.0 W £94.50 £790.79 (03) Lay HT/FT Draw/Sevilla (PRE KO) @ 14.0 W £57.79 £848.58 *PENDING* Current Bank £3148.41 |
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Bank 1 £0 BUST
Bank 2 £601.12 (01) Lay SP Lisbon 1v2 Rio Ave (IP 0v1) @ 12.5 W £49.66 £650.77 (02) Lay Estudiantes 0v0 Colon (PRE KO) @ 8.4 W £83.54 £734.31 (03) Lay Panathinaikos 2v0 Malaga (PRE KO) @ 15.5 W £48.11 £782.42 (04) Lay THE DRAW (IP Lille 1v0 Copenhagen) @ 9.0 W £92.91 £875.33 (05) Lay Barcelona (IP R. Madrid 1v0) @ 6.0 W £166.31 £1041.64 (06) Lay Liverpool (IP Sunderland 1v0) @ 6.0 W £208.32 £1249.96 (07) Lay THE DRAW (IP Getafe 0v1 Barcelona) @ 9.2 W £144.81 1394.77 (08) Lay AC Milan (IP 0V1 Atalanta) @ 14.0 W £101.94 £1496.71 Bank 3 £601.12 (01) Lay Nottm Forest 0v1 Wigan (PRE KO) @ 10.0 W £63.45 £664.57 (02) Lay Cagliari (IP Palermo 1v0 @ HT) @ 13.0 W £55.36 £719.93 (03) Lay AC Milan 1v1 Atalanta (IP 0v0 HT) @ 9.2 W £83.40 £803.33 (04) Lay Sevilla 1v2 (IP Sevilla 1v0 RM) @ 7.6 Possible Profit £115.62 Bank 4 (£0) BUST Bank 5 £601.12 (01) Lay FULHAM (IP Sheff Wed 1v0) @ 7.0 W £95.17 £696.29 (02) Lay FC Basel (IP CFR Cluj 1v0) 8.0 W £94.50 £790.79 (03) Lay HT/FT Draw/Sevilla (PRE KO) @ 14.0 W £57.79 £848.58 *PENDING* Current Bank £3148.41 |
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Bank 1 £0 BUST
Bank 2 £601.12 (01) Lay SP Lisbon 1v2 Rio Ave (IP 0v1) @ 12.5 W £49.66 £650.77 (02) Lay Estudiantes 0v0 Colon (PRE KO) @ 8.4 W £83.54 £734.31 (03) Lay Panathinaikos 2v0 Malaga (PRE KO) @ 15.5 W £48.11 £782.42 (04) Lay THE DRAW (IP Lille 1v0 Copenhagen) @ 9.0 W £92.91 £875.33 (05) Lay Barcelona (IP R. Madrid 1v0) @ 6.0 W £166.31 £1041.64 (06) Lay Liverpool (IP Sunderland 1v0) @ 6.0 W £208.32 £1249.96 (07) Lay THE DRAW (IP Getafe 0v1 Barcelona) @ 9.2 W £144.81 1394.77 (08) Lay AC Milan (IP 0V1 Atalanta) @ 14.0 W £101.94 £1496.71 (09) Back UNDER 4.5 Goals (IP Sevilla 1v0 RM) @ 1.1 Possible Profit £142.19 Bank 3 £601.12 (01) Lay Nottm Forest 0v1 Wigan (PRE KO) @ 10.0 W £63.45 £664.57 (02) Lay Cagliari (IP Palermo 1v0 @ HT) @ 13.0 W £55.36 £719.93 (03) Lay AC Milan 1v1 Atalanta (IP 0v0 HT) @ 9.2 W £83.40 £803.33 (04) Lay Sevilla 1v2 (IP Sevilla 1v0 RM) @ 7.6 Possible Profit £115.62 Bank 4 (£0) BUST Bank 5 £601.12 (01) Lay FULHAM (IP Sheff Wed 1v0) @ 7.0 W £95.17 £696.29 (02) Lay FC Basel (IP CFR Cluj 1v0) 8.0 W £94.50 £790.79 (03) Lay HT/FT Draw/Sevilla (PRE KO) @ 14.0 W £57.79 £848.58 *PENDING* Current Bank £3148.41 |
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Bank 1 £0 BUST
Bank 2 £601.12 (01) Lay SP Lisbon 1v2 Rio Ave (IP 0v1) @ 12.5 W £49.66 £650.77 (02) Lay Estudiantes 0v0 Colon (PRE KO) @ 8.4 W £83.54 £734.31 (03) Lay Panathinaikos 2v0 Malaga (PRE KO) @ 15.5 W £48.11 £782.42 (04) Lay THE DRAW (IP Lille 1v0 Copenhagen) @ 9.0 W £92.91 £875.33 (05) Lay Barcelona (IP R. Madrid 1v0) @ 6.0 W £166.31 £1041.64 (06) Lay Liverpool (IP Sunderland 1v0) @ 6.0 W £208.32 £1249.96 (07) Lay THE DRAW (IP Getafe 0v1 Barcelona) @ 9.2 W £144.81 1394.77 (08) Lay AC Milan (IP 0V1 Atalanta) @ 14.0 W £101.94 £1496.71 (09) Back UNDER 4.5 Goals (IP Sevilla 1v0 RM) @ 1.1 W £142.19 £1638.90 Bank 3 £601.12 (01) Lay Nottm Forest 0v1 Wigan (PRE KO) @ 10.0 W £63.45 £664.57 (02) Lay Cagliari (IP Palermo 1v0 @ HT) @ 13.0 W £55.36 £719.93 (03) Lay AC Milan 1v1 Atalanta (IP 0v0 HT) @ 9.2 W £83.40 £803.33 (04) Lay Sevilla 1v2 (IP Sevilla 1v0 RM) @ 7.6 W £115.62 £918.95 Bank 4 (£0) BUST Bank 5 £601.12 (01) Lay FULHAM (IP Sheff Wed 1v0) @ 7.0 W £95.17 £696.29 (02) Lay FC Basel (IP CFR Cluj 1v0) 8.0 W £94.50 £790.79 (03) Lay HT/FT Draw/Sevilla (PRE KO) @ 14.0 W £57.79 £848.58 Current Bank £3406.43 Nearly 1k profit in a few hours!, i got very nervous with the AC Milan game and i think it has given me a whole new perspective on this type of betting. Could of quite easily ended up with a loss today but i feel that i got extremely lucky. Going to combine my banks now, having made nearly 2.5k profit in less than a month and start to look at better staking plans. Any suggestions..... |
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Start Bank £1000
Current Bank £3406.43 I am now thinking about trying to increase my bank by 3-5% per week. I was considering using 10% of my bank £340.64 and backing/ laying until i hit a 50% increase of that stake (£170.32). This would mean being more selective with my bets. If i hit a losing bet, i then use 20% of my bank (£681.28) to try and re-coup my losses, when i increase this by 50% (£340.64) i then revert back to using 10% of my stake again until i increase that by 50%???. I suppose this is a bit of a 'martingale' type theory but i personally believe that i ahve the ability to achieve this in the long run. Has anyone ever used a staking plan like this before??. |
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Or might it be better to use 5% of my bank (£170.32) and try to increase this by 50% (£85.16), and doing this twice to achieve the 5% bank increase?.
This would mean that i would have more opportunities in achieving it within the suggestive staking plan... 1st Bet 5% £170.32 if loses, 2nd Bet 10% £340.64 if loses, 3rd Bet 25% £851.61 Looking through my records i have never hit a 3 bet losing streak....... |
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You want to make 5% of bank Per week? What is wrong with 20 bets a week using 5% LEVEL stakes? If you have a 10% edge you Will make around 5% profit a week (betfair take the rest). These are average figures, nobody Wins every week. So drop the target, forget the betfair balance and play the game.
Never had 3 consecutive losers, martingale, staking plans, chasing losses, targets, etc...only ends one way. Actually i use Maria stakes when laying (greyhounds), a slight variant of level stakes. 1% lay stake 3.5sp and under, 0.6% 3.6-7.4 and 0.4% 7.6-9.8. I don't lay double figures, so my stakes fluctuate between 2.5 and 3.6%. But crucially, i never have more than 4% in play. Infact I very rarely lay just one dog either so my average risk is just 2% Per race, including lays, backs and trades. |
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Example using Maria lay stakes
Bank 3000 1. Lay £12 1-0 9.8 ip wol v lei |
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looks like you have to lay double figures with correct-scores so will use 0.3% lay stakes for 10+sp
2. lay €9 0-2 @11.5 Rea v Tot 3. lay €30 0-0 ht @3.5 Aalborg v Randers 4. lay €9 UNQ @12.5 Brøndby v Horsens |
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I like it IQMC.
Will start from Monday using the above and look at upodating the P/L Weekly as opposed to daily. What sports is it that you specialise in? |
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Greyhounds TOTGA
5 out of 5 yesterday Todays 6. lay €9 0-0 @13 and €9 0-1 @19 Eve v Newc 7. lay €9 0-1 @12.5 AGF v FC Midtjylland |
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2 out of 2 yesterday, tonights;
8. lay €9 1-0 @11.5 Montpellier v Arsenal 9. lay €18 UNQ @6.6 Real v MC |
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I can't count. 8 out of 8 so far. I can afford to lose one now and break even, no margin for error in this lay correct score game
![]() 9. lay €9 0-1 @11.5 Che v Juve 10. lay €9 1-0 @10.5 MU v Gala |
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9 out of 10.
Europa games; 11. lay €12 1-0 @9 NK Maribor v Panathinaikos 12. lay €9 0-1 @12 R Vienna v Rosenborg 13. lay €12 1-0 @9.4 Tot v Lazio 14. lay €9 2-1 @13 and €9 UNQ @16 Young B v Liverpool 15. lay €9 0-1 @17.5 and €12 UNQ @9 FCK v Molde 16. lay €9 0-0 @11.5 and €9 0-1 Fenerbahce v Marseille |
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14 out of 16. Liverpool reserves are obviously better than their first team. Struggling to see the value in laying double figure odds, there is literally no room for error. For example if I want to risk 4.5 points to win 0.3 points laying Liverpool Unquoted last night, surely a better way is to bet 0.3 on under 2.5 goals, as the goal expectancy was low. I think you have to put a max odds of 10 in. Anyway, on I go. Where is the op?
17. lay €12 0-1 ht @7.6 Blackburn v Midd |
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18. lay €30 2-1 IP 68mins @2.58 AGF v Sønderjyske
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Shame TOTGA let this thread die.
Seemed to be turning over a decent profit. |