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Reduced stakes until bet accepted. Nice to see that the site doesn't bother to show P&L for your 'matched' bet. The 'Open Bets' tab also claims I have no bets on the market either. Typical untested, unreliable Betfair product.
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One more point... the football correct score markets don't have a 'any unquoted' selection for their fixed odds offering.
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Are they going to run it in play?
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I suppose there's probably not an official definition of "fixed odds" but I find it a strange description of this new venture.
Are fixed odds basically just bets with a known return if successful? Like every bet I place on the exchange. |
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I suppose there's probably not an official definition of "fixed odds" but I find it a strange description of this new venture.
Are fixed odds basically just bets with a known return if successful? Like every bet I place on the exchange. |
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I suppose there's probably not an official definition of "fixed odds" but I find it a strange description of this new venture.
Are fixed odds basically just bets with a known return if successful? Like every bet I place on the exchange. |
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it seems to me, after a bit of thought, that this could be a valuable addition to the site if:
i. by default you would always initially attempt to place your bet on the exchange ii. you would be presented with the option to have your bet matched by the fixed odds product if: a. your bet could not be matched in full on the exchange b. the odds you requested were better in the fixed odds product after taking into account commission. alternatively, should the customer place a bet using the fixed odds product and request a bet which could be matched a better price on the exchange (after taking account into commission), they are offered the opportunity to place the bet on the exchange. it's one thing for a bookmaker to accept a bet in the knowledge that his competitors may be offering a better price, but the concept that a better price is available on the same site but not making your customers directly aware of it, seems like sharp practice to me. |
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I wonder if the crack team will fill an order in the exchange placed at a worse price than they are showing?
EG 'fixed odds' back price is 2.2, I enter order on exchange to back at 2. Does it just sit there? Does the crack team fill it? Does an arber come along and fill it and do the other leg on 'fixed odds'? They always said they were not active on the exchange (bar multiple hedging) Fixed odds is really a stupid name. Almost this entire site is fixed odds. It's like M&S bringing out a new product range called 'clothes'. |
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Watching everything evolve, it is a product that was not developed with the exchange in mind BUT one that would use the exchange.
Thus a myriad of logarithms that kick into action with each bet placed either (a) hedging any risk by "the bookmaker" or (b) generating income through commissions by matching on the exchange. The latter point, betfair has worked to allow more bets to be matched. Cross matching has done that and with each successful cross-match comes a commission. We should be happy since our positions are being matched more. I see it as beneficial. I see more positions filled allowing me to move forward quicker, especially positioning for in-running on several horses. Those that weren't happy were those who, like myself, made money by playing a combination of positions based on traders moving to fill positions or taking advantage of gaps in the market for a quick trade. Research (even casually by myself) shows that a great portion of the public still don't understand exchanges or are intimidated (think back to when you started. the only advantage I had was I traded on the stock market. Even then, the back/lay/multi-position took a while). early "success stories" were people like Raj Patel laying successfully but not multiple horses in a race. DJSunset had success by finding value in the trades of punters pushing prices out of perspective (it still happens in tennis today / less so in football). Betfair tried explaining the exchange to the public but it is pointless. Come the grand national, they want to click and take their bet. Same with weekend footie from their phone. Betfair are simply creating another bookmaking option. What is interesting is that their ad campaign which should be affective, is doing price comparison - something the public love. What is interesting is it is prices on the EXCHANGE **yet** most of the punters they capture will simply go to the fixed odds site. It also allows betfair to promote themselves in other ways. And, eventually, betfair kiosque high street shops will be there if, for no other reason, to market the name Betfair. The risk is not huge since, as someone already pointed out, the ceiling on bets is there. They still want the "big accounts" to go to the exchange. That's fine. 5% off of them plus head-to-head liquidity is a good thing. The only advantage for me is that I do late night baseball / west coast kicks off at 2AM onwards. To date, I have been using other bookmakers since liquidity is not there sometimes till after midnight. I tried finding fixed odds last night but couldn't. Curious to see if it is "convenient" for me or will I continue to pay in cash at my local Willies. People expected ground-breaking odds. Give them time. They will find the right moments to "promote better fixed odds" and take some chances. Also, based on hedging and trading through the exchange, their odds movements for fixed, especially once they get enough people using the APP for Fixed (not exchange) will be interesting. P.S. The word "fixed" is not best used when talking gambling and sports ![]() |
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when doe,s it start on horses will it be win market only
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when doe,s it start on horses will it be win market only
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Large scale trap betting imo.
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Not that I would want a super competitive bookie competing with me when I want to lay something.
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The odds are terrible it's a waste of time and effort. Better odds on the exchange.
They say it'll be useful for early markets when there's no liquidity in the exchange but if people know the odds aren't very competetive they'll go elsewhere anyway. |
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I haven't checked their odds on that many markets, but on Bilbao vs Barcelona tomorrow they offer worse odds than bet3_65 on Barcelona to win, Bilbao to win, the draw, and the same or worse on every single correct score (same odds on 3-1, 3-2, 3-3, worse on the rest).
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I think they made a mistake getting someone from those crooks at Ladbrokes to help them with it. They should have gone to a pro firm like Pinnacle, Sbobet, Greek who know how to run a bookmakers and then it could have been something.
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Looking at the Barca match, correct score market - on the exchange Any Unquoted is 3.25/3.50. As mentioned above Any Unquoted is not included in the fixed odds market. This is the favourite - aren't there rules against this?
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Personally I think the whole thing is deeply flawed.
Its like going to a shop with a ground floor and a small first floor. Everything that is available on the first floor is available downstairs, but only a fraction of the stock. Yet everything upstairs is more expensive than the same product downstairs. Why would you bother going upstairs at all? Its so bleeding obvious you wouldn't. To make matters worse you can only access upstairs if you enter downstairs so the only customers they will get are customers that have already walked through the door. It's such a ridiculous waste of their money imo. |
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i think betfair should by now understand that their market penetrtion in uk has saturated, hence no further major profit increase.i have a perception that most of their current customers are a little bit more intellegent and experianced than the average bookie customer and are attracted to betfair because of its exchange paltform, and there is no reason for expecting these customers to remain here if they finally decided to be a traditional bookmaker.
they should simply concentrate on being a niche market player in gambling industry using the exchange platform, and improve their profitability through efficient use of capital and labour. this umping from one tree to another wouldnt be good for their reputation . |
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Aye well said clydebank and henok. I agree with that and it was obvious from the start.
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CLYDEBANK29 - Using the shop analogy, I agree that's there no point going upstairs if it is being sold downstairs but I guess the point is that not everything is always stocked on the ground floor; and some of the more niche garments are only available on the first floor. At the moment, you have to trek down the high street to Ray Winstone's shop to buy that diamante corset when you can't find it in Betfair's shop whereas now you can merely go up the stairs. As and when the shop establishes itself I presume that the intent is that the price of the clothes on the first floor will be as competitive, with the same sorts of sales, as the other options down the road.
henok - don't think Betfair has any intention of reducing the size of its ground floor, if anything I can see them expanding it, and that's always going to be the focus but why not offer a wider array of complementary clothes upstairs? Think I've exhausted the shop analogy but think DStyle sums it up - could be a useful addition if they get it right. |
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The thing is pompey if no one is offering it downstairs its because there's barely no demand or it's too difficult to price up. Betfair won't touch the too difficult markets ever. As for competitiveness it never will be. That it is worse value than even Bodog quite clearly shows that they are far too scared of losing to ever being close to being so.
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Time will tell anyway. They've got to improve dramatically and quickly and act more like the big bookmakers regarding this product. Betfair is meant to be more competitve than the big bookies not less. That's what the whole current advertising program is based on and that's why people are here.
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It will be interesting when betfair fixed odds appear on comparison sites like oddscheker.
I can see bookmakers doing adverts showing how many prices were worse on betfair ( fixed odds), thus by association damaging the brand of betfair and it's exchange. |
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Betfair's new crack trading team should merge their prices onto the exchange, with the ultimate aim of there always being liquidity on all markets. Simply going shorter than prices available already at reasonable liquidity is not going to justify the salaries of the "crack" trading team.
How many times are Betfair going to launch new "GROWTH" strategies, and they turn out to be duds? This could be a success, but it has the hallmarks of being another LMAX etc. |
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I can see this becoming a business hari-kiri on a massive scale, a real textbook case.
To make the fixed odds worthwhile, they need to offer 1) prices better than those of other bookies, 2) on markets illiquid on the exchange 3) to everyone 4) up to a generous defined liability. This might just work by being popular and attracting a spread of business. A spread of business on tight overrounds is all you need to win; you don't need to be a razor-sharp pricer. In other words, this new fixed offs has to be a pinnacle for sports like racing. Otherwise they are just going to trash the brand. Rather than cower behind the exchange odds like 1Bet, it would be better if they did nothing. People are not stupid; they are not going to do significant business with bf fixed odds. The reason people lose is not that they are flat-out ignorant about price; it's more that they risk too much price-insensitively when they are losing and are otherwise indisciplined. If bf close down these people's occasional good bets b/c they can't lay them off, it will be the death-knell for any mass trust. |
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The stated objective is to attract the 30% or so of bettors' bets that don't go to bf.
I take on 75% of my positions (not counting laying off) in the early markets in various shops. How much of this money do you think I'm going to put on at the prices bf fixed odds will offer? My guess is 'zilch'. Why on earth has they pitched the fixed odds this way? Along with other posters I have to think it's Machiavellian and that they want to run the exchange down or make it a shark-pit in order to become the new Bet3.65. The really unthinkable alternative is that they have absolutely no clue why anyone takes an early price. |
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turned down for a grand on england in the test match or schiavone tomorrow, despite there being plenty to hedge on the exchange for a nice little arb.
it's an odd state of affairs. |
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DStyle, I can only assume the fixed odds product is not yet fully functional, hence your and everyone else's inability to get a (decent) bet on. I think we'll have to wait for the Euros to see what it's actually going to be like.
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Couldn't even get £10 on. "Their crack trading team" is more of a crap trading team.
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Perhaps they're actually on crack. That would explain everything.
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One fundamental function of a fixed odds site is the ability to see in advance what you are going to be offered.
There is nothing worse than depositing money to a site to find out you can have feck all on. Sites such as Pinnacle, 365, Lads, PP all have a readily available way of finding out what your max bet is. At least they will tell you in advance if the answer is no. It is to be hoped BF include such a basic feature on their new platform. |
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Bask3tcase.. On 23 rd May betfair issued the following:
"Today sees the launch of the Betfair Fixed Odds product. With the added convenience of Fixed Odds alongside Exchange Odds, it’s now easier to get an early bet on at Betfair. Take the Fixed Odds as soon as a market opens or where there are gaps in the market – no need to wait for a price." If it was launched on 23 rd May, you have to assume that Betfair were happy that the fixed odds were functioning how they intended. |
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So has anybody manage a bet higher than a tenner with them yet?
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Chances are they are going to limit liability for a few weeks. Come Euro 2012 and Olympics, they will switch off the flutter filter.
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Well I found a market on my sport for Leicester v Quins tomorrow in the Aviva Premiership final. 1.40 on Leicester to win the match and it was a total cat and mouse game before I was able to find out that my max bet would be around the £50 mark.
£50 on a 1.40 shot? I'd get over twice that on my knackered old BlueSq account. This crack trading team can't believe their luck in getting paid for this nonsense. What a joke. |
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After some cat and mouse I just got offered around £50 on Leicester at 1.40 to beat Harlequins tomorrow.
This crack trading team can't believe their luck in getting paid for this nonsense. I would expect to get at least twice that on my knackered old BlueSq account. The high street must be quaking at BF's entry to this market. |
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Sorry first attempt didn't seem to have posted so had to type out again to then find that it had.......
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