Fixtures 14 February / Carlisle v Tranmere / Correct Score    
    0 - 0     Lay     18328760247     14-Feb-12
20:14           7     15.00         7     14-Feb-12 20:14    
   
Fixtures 14 February / Doncaster v Blackpool / Correct Score    
    0 - 1     Lay     18328699735     14-Feb-12
20:12           8.2     15.00         8.2     14-Feb-12 20:14

Cardiff 1-0

Carlisle v Tranmere looks dodgy

S scored ... but got it really wrong in Carlisle v Tranmere

Soccer / Burnley v Barnsley : Correct Score     14-Feb-12 19:45     14-Feb-12 21:44     4.76
Soccer / Cardiff v Peterborough : Correct Score     14-Feb-12 19:45     14-Feb-12 21:43     -12.00
Soccer / Portsmouth v Ipswich : Correct Score     14-Feb-12 19:45     14-Feb-12 21:43     -20.00
Soccer / Carlisle v Tranmere : Correct Score     14-Feb-12 19:45     14-Feb-12 21:41     -90.00
Soccer / West Ham v Southampton : Correct Score     14-Feb-12 19:45     14-Feb-12 21:41     14.29
Soccer / Doncaster v Blackpool : Correct Score     14-Feb-12 19:45     14-Feb-12 21:41     14.29
Soccer / Sheff Wed v Stevenage : Correct Score     14-Feb-12 19:45     14-Feb-12 21:38     -9.91
Soccer / Huddersfield v Sheff Utd : Correct Score     14-Feb-12 19:45     14-Feb-12 21:38     -9.00
Soccer / Cardiff v Peterborough : Half Time Score     14-Feb-12 19:45     14-Feb-12 20:37     23.82
Soccer / Braga v Besiktas : Correct Score     14-Feb-12 17:30     14-Feb-12 19:25     12.08


DAY 1-5: +127.94
DAY 6  :  +38.12
DAY 7  :  +11.19
DAY 8  :  +26.65
DAY 9  :  -93.73
DAY 10 :   -1.97
DAY 11 :  +34.57
DAY 12 :  +64.57
DAY 13 :  +35.74
DAY 14 : -106.91
DAY 15 :   +5.07
DAY 16 :  +28.08
DAY 17 :  +48.49
DAY 18 :  +19.12
DAY 19 :  -82.81
DAY 20 : -212.45
DAY 21 :  +44.92
DAY 22 :  +38.09
DAY 23 :  +35.05
DAY 24 :  +35.12
DAY 25 :  +69.21
DAY 26 :  +83.50
DAY 27 : -183.88
DAY 28 :  -34.73
DAY 29 :  +95.86
DAY 30 :  +52.21
DAY 31 :   -1.10
DAY 32 :  +52.92
DAY 33 :  -37.91
DAY 34 :  +41.48
DAY 35 :  +15.30
DAY 36 :  -35.19
DAY 37 :  +38.60
DAY 38 :   -7.12
DAY 39 : -105.01
DAY 40 :  +51.11
DAY 41 :  +52.32
DAY 42 :  +56.37
DAY 43 :  +52.50
DAY 44 :  +11.34
DAY 45 :  +14.86
DAY 46 :  -61.43
DAY 47 :  -13.86
DAY 48 : +125.43
DAY 49 :   +4.90
DAY 50 :  -87.62
DAY 51 :  +82.22
DAY 52 :  -11.87
DAY 53 :  -31.03
DAY 54 :  +75.71
DAY 55 :  -30.68
DAY 56 :  +50.90
DAY 57 :  -25.55
DAY 58 :  +27.29
DAY 59 : -207.50
DAY 60 :  +85.38
DAY 61 :  +44.13
DAY 62 : +127.82
DAY 63 :  -19.38
DAY 64 :  -48.00
DAY 65 :  -67.99
DAY 66 : +150.31
DAY 67 :  +78.14
DAY 68 :  +10.98
DAY 69 :   +0.54
DAY 70 :  -80.29
DAY 71 : -125.13
DAY 72 :  +69.26
DAY 73 :  +72.69
DAY 74 :  -20.53
DAY 75 :  +26.44
DAY 76 :  -71.67
================
TOTAL PROFIT : +519.10


Wrong decision in Tranmere match ... had to red out the HT (would have saved 80 euros) ... after that I lost my focus watching so many matches in parallel.

laid AUQ again after 2-0

Fixtures 15 February / AC Milan v Arsenal / Correct Score    
    3 - 0     Back     18343785638     15-Feb-12
20:49           4.9     15.00         4.9     15-Feb-12 20:51    
        3.1     2.00         3.1     15-Feb-12 20:50    
   
Fixtures 15 February / AC Milan v Arsenal / Correct Score    
    2 - 2     Lay     18343778606     15-Feb-12
20:48           22     15.00         22     15-Feb-12 20:48

Trying to escape from my LAY AUQ ..

start laying 3-0 and backing AUQ

4-0 ... almost 150 euros down ...

I see you got in deeper and deeper last night acornel on games.

You generally have been avoiding the "big teams" games....and betting on minor fooball. However, suddenly last night you were betting on CL and COPA games?????

You have to be very very wary of CL games at this stage in competition. MILAN have so much experience in getting into finals, and have experienced players too. They were almost certainly going to score against ARSENAL. Teams like MILAN conserve energy in build up to such vital matches.......and then they PRODUCE on the night they have to.

ARSENAL have a mish mash of players.....put together, with some pace in team....but they don't have enough "intelligence" in how they play. The experienced MILAN team bullied them throughout the game....ref turned blind eye on such tactics.....but BULLYING seems to generally work against ARSENAL. M made it a physical fast game, and played clinical football. Whereas, ARSENAL think they are BARCELONA by tippy tapping passes about ....going nowhere fast! They are not as talented re "intelligence" as BARCA  who have genuine world class players in side...INESTA/MESSI/ etc etc

LAYING AUQ at 1-0 was a fair bet.........as long as not over staking, which initially you did not. However, it was clear after 20 mins that 1 team was well up for match....and playing "intelligently" and clinically....and the other just did not have mentality to overcome their opponents. You backed 3-0 in effort to stem the tide....but if MILAN get to 3-0........they may well go on to bang in another. You were unlucky that VAN P did not score on first real strike in 2nd half......but that's football. Had he scored....then a TIGHTER game might have happened......As it was, A had to CHASE A GOAL....leaving gaps in defence.....and inevitable happened ...4-0.

You already admit that you are not "sure" HOW to play a lay on AUQ......Unfortunately the MILAN game was one that you should have settled for the 2nd lay only on AUQ at 2-0.........Accepting a LOSS if it came. The 2 LAYS were ok......had ARSENAL scored at 2-0......just the other bets on match that really cost you dear.


The CHASE was on.....re SANTOS match......a very very DODGY team to have a bet on their matches. They are up there with REAL MADRID/LIVERPOOL in how hard it is to predict how their games will pan out!

It was fairly certain SANTOS would score......but knowing nothing about home team other than STATS ,and the odds indicating they may be a fairly "good" team, in such a COPA 1st leg tie this made game a dodgy game to go for HIGH SCORING in. At 1-1....the game is balanced....and the home team would be wary of conceding another goal...... SANTOS had umpteen chances to score again....but they did what they always do, generally, ....MISS EM!


At least you were always AWARE you were CHASING acornel......

LAYING AUQ and backing OVER 3.5 goals are "lazy" type bets......Far better to be betting at SHARP END.....0-0/0-1/1-0 and 1-1.


MILAN were almost certainly going to score against ARSENAL last night....so lay on 0-0 or 0-1 was "obvious" bets. LAYING AUQ at 1-0 was very very "speculative".....though relatively initially a cheap lay.


SANTOS game was far harder to predict what might happen......SANTOS scoring was very likely....but what happens after that .....was difficult to guess on. So LAY on 1-0 seemed the "obvious" bet......and the back on over 3.5 goals at 1-1 was again "speculative" in such a 1st leg tie.

Just think you may well have been "tired" and not trying hard enough to bet at SHARP END last night acornel.........and this combined with CHASE MODE led to some "poor" bets being made.

Of course ...had VAN P scored 2nd half.......your initial bets may have won for you....then the chase bet on BACKING 3.5 goals should not have happened....Your initial LAYS on AUQ at 1-0 and 2-0 wer probably "good" bets.....but LUCK element never appeared in MILAN game.

I know you will be KICKING yourself re the way you chased on last match.........

LOSSES will happen on CS LAYS often........Looks like yesterday/last night you just were on CHASE mode re the LOSS from previous day.....

You have been doing really well A on CS LAYS.....but recently you are BACKING more and also going outside the CS market for bets.......THIS IS A SIGN YOU PERHAPS ARE GETTING "BORED" RE CS LAYS.....

Perhaps a break might do you good...then come back refreshed. Not tackling so many matches might also help you not to become "bored".

You are still in profit acornel .........always remember that.


I think I am about just over £20 down on the last attempt I made on thread....and am losing over-all ........so you have done remarkably well....mainly by betting at VALUE odds IP.......


I'm still working on trainer data input.....and i am also "bored"....thus the post.


GL A ...whatever you do.

BET 1 (lazy one):

Fixtures 16 February / Lokomotiv v Ath Bilbao / Correct Score    
    2 - 1     Lay     18355318913     16-Feb-12
17:40           17.5     6.00         17.5     16-Feb-12 17:40

The site you put up the other night A ...is very good ...thanks for link on

http://www.usagoals.com/en-gb/matchday/matches/16/78/367822/watch-lokomotiv-moscow-athletic-bilbao.html

Keep attacking the SHARP end of market A....A good run will get you back into profit. Not keen on bets "ahead" of CS.......GL A

the goals in Porto and Standard matches were very predictable ... have to automatize my bets because only a machine could save me

with my latest day's luck this will probably end 0-0

Attacking 0-1 in MC game in main CS market is the more likely bet to be successful.......but you never know....at least you have the odds at value A

Based on my info the odds of 3.95 at HT in Porto match is completely wrong ... it should be smth like 5.5-6.0 ... definitively a lay for me if no goal after 15' from 2nd half

PORTO worked really hard 1st half....they are likely to be up against it last 20mins...as MC have not worked hard at all!

A lay on 1-0 when odds are lower looks the bet.....I will probably lay at around 2.8.....

GL A

do you watch the game? I don't ... but I can tell you what I would bet after 15' from 2nd half ... if you watch it I'd like to know what you "see"

Hannover 0-1 ... 2 minutes after