almost impossible to get matched at a decent price in sud-American games

Pulled back almost £150 ...but the looming HIT in MEXICO will put me back 2 hits net down today...AGHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHH

I see a goal coming !!

Fixtures 12 February / Tijuana v Cruz Azul / Correct Score    
    0 - 0     Lay     18306944971     12-Feb-12
21:33           1.52     15.00         1.52     12-Feb-12 21:33

Is there a LINK?????please

Put 15 more euros @1.25 waiting to match ... but seeing how lucky I was over the weekend do not trust me too much in this game

it works for me ...

GAME 42

    Fixtures 12 February / Velez v Godoy Cruz / Correct Score     0 - 0     Lay         12-Feb-12
21:57           11.5     30.00         11.5     12-Feb-12 21:57
============================================================================

VELEZ should be more match fit than GC...and both capable of scoring ......MGOFS 2-1.


Gl with bets.

GAME 43

Fixtures 12 February / Racing Club v Tigre / Correct Score    
    1 - 0     Lay         12-Feb-12
22:28           6.6     23.53         6.6     12-Feb-12 22:29
=======================================================================================

TIGRE tough team to beat ...and capable of scoring.....may well finish 0-0 or 1-1.

GL with bets....This is definitely a "chase" bet.................

Nice one Velez ... the match looks very open, I would expect one more goal 2nd half ...

last one

   
Fixtures 12 February / La Equidad v Millonarios / Correct Score    
    0 - 0     Lay     18308202210     12-Feb-12
23:25           4.5     15.00         4.5     12-Feb-12 23:26

Univ Catolica scored ...
red out La Equidad v Millonarios 7.5 euros ... might put a lay 0-0 later in game

GAME 44

    Fixtures 12 February / Argentinos Juniors v Union Santa Fe / Correct Score     1 - 1     Lay          13-Feb-12
00:16           7.4     33.00         7.4     13-Feb-12 00:17
===========================================================================================

Away team should be more match fit than home team....and they appear to be tough team to score against.

Home team seem to have lost their way and their confidence may not be up to this tough test for their 1st game of season. Pressure on them at home to win....and away team may well keep them at bay for long time. MGOFS is 1-0 or 0-2.

GL with bets.

DAY 7 RESULTS

Soccer: -£146.61 LOSS

Soccer     Showing 1 - 17 of 17 markets
Market     Start time     Settled date     Profit/loss (£)
Soccer / Argentinos Juniors v Union Santa Fe : Correct Score     13-Feb-12 01:10     13-Feb-12 03:01     13.94
Soccer / Racing Club v Tigre : Correct Score     12-Feb-12 22:10     13-Feb-12 00:02     22.40
Soccer / Velez v Godoy Cruz : Correct Score     12-Feb-12 22:10     13-Feb-12 00:01     26.66
Soccer / Real Madrid v Levante : Correct Score     12-Feb-12 20:30     12-Feb-12 21:59     -8.00
Soccer / Tijuana v Cruz Azul : Correct Score     12-Feb-12 20:00     12-Feb-12 21:51     -143.52
Soccer / Real Madrid v Levante : Half Time     12-Feb-12 20:30     12-Feb-12 21:21     -65.04
Soccer / Real Madrid v Levante : Half Time Score     12-Feb-12 20:30     12-Feb-12 21:20     86.82
Soccer / Villarreal v Granada : Correct Score     12-Feb-12 18:45     12-Feb-12 20:37     18.09
Soccer / Zambia v Ivory Coast : Half Time Score     12-Feb-12 19:30     12-Feb-12 20:17     17.14
Soccer / Pumas UNAM v Puebla : Correct Score     12-Feb-12 18:00     12-Feb-12 19:55     18.91
Soccer / Valencia v Gijon : Correct Score     12-Feb-12 17:00     12-Feb-12 18:54     9.52
Soccer / Aston Villa v Man City : Correct Score     12-Feb-12 16:00     12-Feb-12 17:57     15.23
Soccer / Malaga v Mallorca : Correct Score     12-Feb-12 15:00     12-Feb-12 16:53     8.57
Soccer / Atalanta v Lecce : Correct Score     12-Feb-12 14:00     12-Feb-12 15:55     22.85
Soccer / Wolves v West Brom : Half Time Score     12-Feb-12 13:30     12-Feb-12 14:18     -98.40
Soccer / G Furth v Paderborn : Correct Score     12-Feb-12 12:30     12-Feb-12 13:36     -103.20
Soccer / Espanyol v Zaragoza : Correct Score     12-Feb-12 11:00     12-Feb-12 12:50     11.42
==================================================================


STARTING BANK £300

DAY 1 profit   109
DAY 2 profit    51
DAY 3 loss.....( 1 )
DAY 4 profit... 69
DAY 5 profit...146
DAY 6 profit...110
DAY 7 loss....(147)
=======================
BANK now......£637
==========================


2 HITS near start of day was the "bad" start that have not had all week! Whether my "tiredness" had anything to do with the initial HITS...........the answer is "probably". Having been up late watching South American matches a few nights previously, then I suspect my brain was not "in gear" early in day yesterday.

I knew PADERBORN leaked goals............so why did I lay AUQ???? They leak about 2 a game!!! I knew the home team could score goals....though not so much recently.....but thought the away team would have put up a better fight than they did. The obvious lays when 1 team leaks goals, and the other can score em....is either 0-0 or 0-1.So I definitely put the bad reasoning down to "tired" thinking/lazy thinking on this HIT.

The 2nd HIT in WOLVES v WBA , was down to a late goal by WOLVES just before HT. "Happy" enough on the bet in that match....as it was a TIGHT 1st half.....and 1-1 lay in HT market did not look too much in danger. WBA 1st goal was also fairly late in 1st half.....and it took a deflection to beat keeper......just a "fluke" goal ( powerfully hit shot though ) to open scoring. WBA were then careless on not closing out half with lead IMO......and WOLVES somehow produced that late 1st half equaliser.....which can always happen in matches. Never saw the HIT coming in that one. No moans on that HIT.......I've had plenty late goals in my favour!!!!

Having lost about £200 on initial 2 HITS........and clawed back about £150 over course of day.....then to get a late HIT in CRUZ AZUL game was "hard to take". However, it was my poor reasoning on match......possibly again effected by "tiredness" creeping in at end of day.....that lead to HIT.

I knew CRUZ AZUL had played mid-week in COPA LIB tie away from home and won 1-2. I know that such ties can lead to "odd" results........Playing a home team who do not score many goals......and are fairly TIGHT in defence.......it was very very likely to be a low scoring game. CRUZ feeling effects of cup tie...and home team not good enough to break-down away team defence. [b]So laying 0-0 in MEXICO was just a "daft" decision......[/b A 1-1 lay at HT was more "logical" in circumstances in that game.....or AUQ etc etc

So 2 out of 3 HITS were down to "poor reasoning"......therefor, I just have to be more aware of thinking that is "poor" when "tiredness" is hannging on me. Today I feel pretty alert.....and am about to crack-on with HORSE system "work". After a couple hours on mind-numbing "work".....I'll probably be "knackered" again

Over-all it has been a good 1st week with bank almost doubled. However, if I keep getting "reasoning" wrong, then the HITS will surely come.....and it will not be down to LUCK ...but down to meeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeeee!!!!

I see A .....you also took a late HIT when "tired".......I'll be avoiding...DEFINITELY.....late night matcjes, as they do burn up energy that I need for HORSE racing system updates etc etc...

GL with bets today.

GAME 45

Fixtures 13 February / Siena v Roma / Correct Score     1 - 0     Lay         13-Feb-12
19:08           11     33.00         11     13-Feb-12 19:08
========================================================================================

After having a tough cuptie on THURSDAY ....I expect SIENA to play a defensive game tonight. ROMA will see this as a winnable game and are likely to score. MGOFS is 1-1.

GL with bets.

What if ................. IP 0-0 55'

Fixtures 13 February / Fortuna Dusseldorf v Eintracht Frankfurt / Over/Under 3.5 Goals    
    Under 3.5 Goals     Lay     18316548974     13-Feb-12
20:24           1.04     500.00         1.04     13-Feb-12 20:29

Fixtures 13 February / Fortuna Dusseldorf v Eintracht Frankfurt / Correct Score    
    0 - 1     Lay     18317252653     13-Feb-12
21:01           1.33     30.00         1.32     13-Feb-12 21:01

Only 3 euros out of 10 matched ... IP 2-0 70'

   
Fixtures 13 February / Sociedad v Sevilla / Correct Score    
    2 - 2     Lay     18317669113     13-Feb-12
21:25           16     3.74         16     13-Feb-12 21:26

DAY 75 :  +26.44

Soccer / Sociedad v Sevilla : Correct Score     13-Feb-12 20:00     13-Feb-12 21:54     3.56
Soccer / Napoli v Chievo : Correct Score     13-Feb-12 19:45     13-Feb-12 21:43     14.29
Soccer / Fortuna Dusseldorf v Eintracht Frankfurt : Over/Under 3.5 Goals     13-Feb-12 19:15     13-Feb-12 21:13     -20.00
Soccer / Fortuna Dusseldorf v Eintracht Frankfurt : Correct Score     13-Feb-12 19:15     13-Feb-12 21:12     28.59


DAY 1-5: +127.94
DAY 6  :  +38.12
DAY 7  :  +11.19
DAY 8  :  +26.65
DAY 9  :  -93.73
DAY 10 :   -1.97
DAY 11 :  +34.57
DAY 12 :  +64.57
DAY 13 :  +35.74
DAY 14 : -106.91
DAY 15 :   +5.07
DAY 16 :  +28.08
DAY 17 :  +48.49
DAY 18 :  +19.12
DAY 19 :  -82.81
DAY 20 : -212.45
DAY 21 :  +44.92
DAY 22 :  +38.09
DAY 23 :  +35.05
DAY 24 :  +35.12
DAY 25 :  +69.21
DAY 26 :  +83.50
DAY 27 : -183.88
DAY 28 :  -34.73
DAY 29 :  +95.86
DAY 30 :  +52.21
DAY 31 :   -1.10
DAY 32 :  +52.92
DAY 33 :  -37.91
DAY 34 :  +41.48
DAY 35 :  +15.30
DAY 36 :  -35.19
DAY 37 :  +38.60
DAY 38 :   -7.12
DAY 39 : -105.01
DAY 40 :  +51.11
DAY 41 :  +52.32
DAY 42 :  +56.37
DAY 43 :  +52.50
DAY 44 :  +11.34
DAY 45 :  +14.86
DAY 46 :  -61.43
DAY 47 :  -13.86
DAY 48 : +125.43
DAY 49 :   +4.90
DAY 50 :  -87.62
DAY 51 :  +82.22
DAY 52 :  -11.87
DAY 53 :  -31.03
DAY 54 :  +75.71
DAY 55 :  -30.68
DAY 56 :  +50.90
DAY 57 :  -25.55
DAY 58 :  +27.29
DAY 59 : -207.50
DAY 60 :  +85.38
DAY 61 :  +44.13
DAY 62 : +127.82
DAY 63 :  -19.38
DAY 64 :  -48.00
DAY 65 :  -67.99
DAY 66 : +150.31
DAY 67 :  +78.14
DAY 68 :  +10.98
DAY 69 :   +0.54
DAY 70 :  -80.29
DAY 71 : -125.13
DAY 72 :  +69.26
DAY 73 :  +72.69
DAY 74 :  -20.53
DAY 75 :  +26.44
================
TOTAL PROFIT : +590.77


Unlucky DFC ... looking at your yesterday's and today's bets I told myself that you kinda lost your patience (I've seen an important overstaking) ... most probably because you don't have enough time to spend on soccer nowadays ...

I am also trying to reduce drastically the amount of time spent on BF either by  automation of my bets or ........ by setting another profit target to reach in a certain amount of time (looks like I go round lately)

0-2 60'

   
Fixtures 14 February / Braga v Besiktas / Correct Score    
    2 - 2     Lay     18326981553     14-Feb-12
18:49           17     10.00         17     14-Feb-12 18:49    
   
Fixtures 14 February / Braga v Besiktas / Correct Score    
    2 - 1     Lay     18326890463     14-Feb-12
18:43           16     1.68         16     14-Feb-12 18:44