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General Betting
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These 1824 comments are related to the topic:
CORRECT SCORE LAYING ONLY 2011/2012
CORRECT SCORE LAYING ONLY 2011/2012
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Lay some profit off ... 1-0 now
Fixtures 07 February / Birmingham v Portsmouth / Correct Score 1 - 0 Lay 18227121616 07-Feb-12 21:35 1.2 15.00 1.2 07-Feb-12 21:35 |
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MATCH 6
Fixtures 07 February / Defensor Sporting v Velez / Correct Score 1 - 1 Lay 07-Feb-12 21:43 7.6 12.00 7.6 07-Feb-12 21:44 ============================================================================ VELEZ likely to score as home team appear to concede a goal or 2....and as 1st game in GROUP 7 of Copa ......I suspect VELEZ will be too good and win . MGOFS 0-2. GL with bets. |
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Green out Oliveirense v Academica
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Lay the entire profit off on 2-2 (guess bet)
Fixtures 07 February / Oliveirense v Academica / Correct Score 2 - 2 Lay 18227326273 07-Feb-12 21:56 1.95 10.05 1.94 07-Feb-12 21:56 |
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Fair chance to see one more goal (IP 64')
Fixtures 07 February / Ath Bilbao v Mirandes / Correct Score 3 - 1 Lay 18227523458 07-Feb-12 22:18 3 15.00 3 07-Feb-12 22:19 |
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GAME 7
Fixtures 07 February / Fluminense v Arsenal FC / Half Time Score 1 - 1 Lay 07-Feb-12 23:38 12.5 12.00 12.5 07-Feb-12 23:38 ========================================================================= Just suspect the home team will score at least 2 goals .......but might be 2nd half before goals go in.....I hope ! MGOFS is 2-1.......with perhaps 0-0 at HT. GL with bets. |
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DAY 2 RESULTS
Soccer: £51.35 Soccer Showing 1 - 5 of 5 markets Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss (£) Soccer / Fluminense v Arsenal FC : Half Time Score 07-Feb-12 23:59 08-Feb-12 00:47 11.41 Soccer / Defensor Sporting v Velez : Correct Score 07-Feb-12 21:45 07-Feb-12 23:40 11.41 Soccer / Sheff Wed v Blackpool : Correct Score 07-Feb-12 19:45 07-Feb-12 21:43 11.41 Soccer / Birmingham v Portsmouth : Correct Score 07-Feb-12 19:45 07-Feb-12 21:41 17.12 ======================================================================================== STARTING BANK £300 DAY 1 profit 109 DAY 2 profit 51 ======================= BANK now......£460 ========================================================================================= "Luck" element" came into play , AGAIN,in last match yesterday ...FLUM v ARSENAL......Lay was on 1-1 HT.......and ARSENAL had umpteen chances to equalise before HT......luckily they missed all of em ! "Good" start.....but will need to control STAKING already !!!! GL with bets today. |
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DAY 69 : +0.54
Football / Ath Bilbao v Mirandes : Correct Score 07-Feb-12 21:00 07-Feb-12 22:29 14.29 Football / Oliveirense v Academica : Correct Score 07-Feb-12 20:15 07-Feb-12 22:17 0.11 Football / Sheff Wed v Blackpool : Correct Score 07-Feb-12 19:45 07-Feb-12 21:43 -5.00 Football / Swindon v Barnet : Correct Score 07-Feb-12 19:45 07-Feb-12 21:43 -20.30 Football / Birmingham v Portsmouth : Correct Score 07-Feb-12 19:45 07-Feb-12 21:41 11.44 DAY 1-5: +127.94 DAY 6 : +38.12 DAY 7 : +11.19 DAY 8 : +26.65 DAY 9 : -93.73 DAY 10 : -1.97 DAY 11 : +34.57 DAY 12 : +64.57 DAY 13 : +35.74 DAY 14 : -106.91 DAY 15 : +5.07 DAY 16 : +28.08 DAY 17 : +48.49 DAY 18 : +19.12 DAY 19 : -82.81 DAY 20 : -212.45 DAY 21 : +44.92 DAY 22 : +38.09 DAY 23 : +35.05 DAY 24 : +35.12 DAY 25 : +69.21 DAY 26 : +83.50 DAY 27 : -183.88 DAY 28 : -34.73 DAY 29 : +95.86 DAY 30 : +52.21 DAY 31 : -1.10 DAY 32 : +52.92 DAY 33 : -37.91 DAY 34 : +41.48 DAY 35 : +15.30 DAY 36 : -35.19 DAY 37 : +38.60 DAY 38 : -7.12 DAY 39 : -105.01 DAY 40 : +51.11 DAY 41 : +52.32 DAY 42 : +56.37 DAY 43 : +52.50 DAY 44 : +11.34 DAY 45 : +14.86 DAY 46 : -61.43 DAY 47 : -13.86 DAY 48 : +125.43 DAY 49 : +4.90 DAY 50 : -87.62 DAY 51 : +82.22 DAY 52 : -11.87 DAY 53 : -31.03 DAY 54 : +75.71 DAY 55 : -30.68 DAY 56 : +50.90 DAY 57 : -25.55 DAY 58 : +27.29 DAY 59 : -207.50 DAY 60 : +85.38 DAY 61 : +44.13 DAY 62 : +127.82 DAY 63 : -19.38 DAY 64 : -48.00 DAY 65 : -67.99 DAY 66 : +150.31 DAY 67 : +78.14 DAY 68 : +10.98 DAY 69 : +0.54 ================ TOTAL PROFIT : +648.33 Winning days are good for the morale, right?  |
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Was going to take on the ZAMBIA v GHANA game ...semi-final....but Internationl cup ties can be "dodgy" games for me to take on!
GHANA likely to have experience to win match.....but they may take their time to do so....going into ET a possibility. AUQ lay looks th obvious CS lay, but not much "value" in the odds there.......0-0 would be dodgy , as would 1-0/0-1 /1-1.... Leaving game alone appears the right thing to do on this one .........  |
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Far better than a "losing" one.....
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1-1 after 40'
Fixtures 08 February / Lyon v Bordeaux / Correct Score 1 - 2 Lay 18233062259 08-Feb-12 16:01 9.4 10.00 9.4 08-Feb-12 16:01 |
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0.20 profit if remains 1-1
Fixtures 08 February / Lyon v Bordeaux / Correct Score 1 - 2 Back 18233899014 08-Feb-12 16:59 13 7.00 13 08-Feb-12 17:00 Fixtures 08 February / Lyon v Bordeaux / Correct Score 1 - 1 Lay 18233899015 08-Feb-12 16:59 1.4 7.00 1.4 08-Feb-12 17:00 |
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BOT Selection
Fixtures 08 February / ADO Den Haag v AZ Alkmaar / Correct Score 0 - 1 Lay 18235892544 08-Feb-12 18:50 5.4 6.24 5.4 08-Feb-12 18:50 |
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Valencienes - Lille - lay 1-0 @8.6 ... waiting to match
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1-0 now ... only 3 euros matched
Fixtures 08 February / Valenciennes v Lille / Correct Score 1 - 0 Lay 18236547947 08-Feb-12 19:24 8.4 3.02 8.4 08-Feb-12 19:26 |
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Fixtures 08 February / Valenciennes v Lille / Correct Score
1 - 0 Lay 18236690700 08-Feb-12 19:30 C 1.75 20.00 |
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MATCH 8
Fixtures 08 February / Barcelona v Valencia / Half Time Score 1 - 1 Lay 08-Feb-12 19:22 12 11.55 12 08-Feb-12 19:22 1-1 from 1st leg Copa semi-final......so BARCA have an advantage going into game on away goals rule. Suspect it will be a TIGHT game.....so gone for the HT 1-1 lay.......and MGOFS is 1-0 or 2-0. =============================================================================== MATCH 9 Fixtures 08 February / Middlesbrough v Sunderland / Correct Score 1 - 1 Lay 08-Feb-12 19:19 7.8 15.00 7.8 08-Feb-12 19:19 FA cup tie and a derby type game...SUNDERLAND in form as a team ...so should prove difficult to break-down. MGOFS is 0-1 or 0-2. =============================================================================== MATCH 10 Fixtures 08 February / AC Milan v Juventus / Correct Score 0 - 1 Lay 08-Feb-12 19:17 13 12.00 13 08-Feb-12 19:17 1st leg of semi-final in cup.....and MILAN have a few big games looming up. Away goal counts if level after 2 ties etc ....so I suspect JUVE will score......but MILAN well capabale of scoring too.....and MGOFS is 2-1. =================================================================================== GL with bets. |
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Valenciennes v Lille matched just before 2-0
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Fixtures 08 February / H Berlin v Mgladbach / Correct Score
0 - 1 Lay 18236782411 08-Feb-12 19:34 6.4 10.00 6.4 08-Feb-12 19:35 |
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Mali should be too lucky to equalize (0-1 72')
Fixtures 08 February / Mali v Ivory Coast / Correct Score 1 - 1 Lay 18238063085 08-Feb-12 20:31 9.2 10.00 9.2 08-Feb-12 20:32 |
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Open match ... mons nees one more goal to qualify
Fixtures 08 February / KV Kortrijk v Mons / Correct Score 2 - 2 Lay 18238265058 08-Feb-12 20:41 4 15.00 4 08-Feb-12 20:41 |
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Eliminated lay on 1-1 HT by backing DRAW HT £2 at 100
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Fixtures 08 February / Middlesbrough v Sunderland / Correct Score
1 - 1 Lay 18238772457 08-Feb-12 21:09 2.28 15.00 2.26 08-Feb-12 21:09 |
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KV Kortrijk v Mons is the only match where I do not have IP stats ... more like a guess bet ... more like loosing again
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One last small lay
Fixtures 08 February / Middlesbrough v Sunderland / Correct Score 1 - 1 Lay 18239079541 08-Feb-12 21:27 1.3 15.00 1.3 08-Feb-12 21:27 |
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2 stodgy teams ...and the 1-1 LAY becomes a HIT ......Oh well ...still ahead ...SO FAR!
Good day on HORSES always helps ease the pain! |
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GAME 11
Fixtures 08 February / Union Espanola v Junior / Half Time Score 1 - 1 Lay 08-Feb-12 21:42 10.5 12.00 10.5 08-Feb-12 21:42 TIGHT game likely ...so laying 1-1 at HT as goals likely come 2nd half.MGOFS 1-0 or 0-1. =========================================================================================== GAME 12 Fixtures 08 February / Nacional (Par) v Cruz Azul / Correct Score 0 - 1 Lay 08-Feb-12 21:39 10 24.00 10 08-Feb-12 21:39 CRUZ likely to score...but I expect home team to score as well. MGOFS 2-1. GL with bets. |
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just after 1-0 (15')
Fixtures 08 February / Botafogo RJ v Olaria / Correct Score Any Unquoted Lay 18239374110 08-Feb-12 21:48 3.85 14.99 3.85 08-Feb-12 21:48 |
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just after 0-1
Fixtures 08 February / Nacional (Par) v Cruz Azul / Correct Score Any Unquoted Lay 18239487673 08-Feb-12 21:57 7.4 11.97 7.4 08-Feb-12 21:57 |
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A bit tired ... feeling like I lose my lucidity
Fixtures 08 February / Middlesbrough v Sunderland / ET - Correct Score 0 - 1 Lay 18239582473 08-Feb-12 22:06 1.36 15.00 1.36 08-Feb-12 22:06 |
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Will put a BACK for every LAY AUQ I have at the same price as I laid ... and go do bed!!
These last bets (lay AUQ after a goal) are not part of my "standard" strategy ...... good night |
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Cheers the nooooooooooo A. I tend to make BIG mistakes re bet selection .....when "tired". So stopping now is "right" thing to do...
GAME 13 Fixtures 08 February / Vasco da Gama v Nacional (Uru) / Correct Score 0 - 0 Lay 08-Feb-12 23:10 14 8.17 14 08-Feb-12 23:10 Fixtures 08 February / Vasco da Gama v Nacional (Uru) / Correct Score 1 - 1 Lay 08-Feb-12 22:56 9.4 9.83 9.4 08-Feb-12 22:56 =========================================================================================== VASCO should be really well "up" for this match and will give 100% to win......I suspect. So laying 0-0 and 1-1 ...as I expect them to win. The away team tend to leak a goal.....and home tam difficult to score against at home in such an important tie......There is a glimpse of danger in my lay choice ...as away team beat PENEROL 2-1 .....and that indicates they are capable of playing well....hopefully not tonight though  GL with bets. |
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DAY 70 : -80.29
Football / Nacional (Par) v Cruz Azul : Correct Score 08-Feb-12 21:45 08-Feb-12 23:44 11.41 Football / Guaratingueta v Mirassol : Correct Score 08-Feb-12 21:30 08-Feb-12 23:27 -21.00 Football / Botafogo RJ v Olaria : Correct Score 08-Feb-12 21:30 08-Feb-12 23:02 -44.04 Football / Middlesbrough v Sunderland : ET - Correct Score 08-Feb-12 19:45 08-Feb-12 22:15 -5.40 Football / Middlesbrough v Sunderland : Correct Score 08-Feb-12 19:45 08-Feb-12 21:36 -23.40 Football / KV Kortrijk v Mons : Correct Score 08-Feb-12 19:30 08-Feb-12 21:23 -45.00 Football / Mali v Ivory Coast : Correct Score 08-Feb-12 19:00 08-Feb-12 20:55 9.53 Football / Valenciennes v Lille : Correct Score 08-Feb-12 18:00 08-Feb-12 19:52 21.94 Football / H Berlin v Mgladbach : Correct Score 08-Feb-12 18:00 08-Feb-12 19:51 9.53 Football / ADO Den Haag v AZ Alkmaar : Correct Score 08-Feb-12 18:00 08-Feb-12 19:34 5.95 Football / Lyon v Bordeaux : Correct Score 08-Feb-12 15:15 08-Feb-12 17:10 0.19 DAY 1-5: +127.94 DAY 6 : +38.12 DAY 7 : +11.19 DAY 8 : +26.65 DAY 9 : -93.73 DAY 10 : -1.97 DAY 11 : +34.57 DAY 12 : +64.57 DAY 13 : +35.74 DAY 14 : -106.91 DAY 15 : +5.07 DAY 16 : +28.08 DAY 17 : +48.49 DAY 18 : +19.12 DAY 19 : -82.81 DAY 20 : -212.45 DAY 21 : +44.92 DAY 22 : +38.09 DAY 23 : +35.05 DAY 24 : +35.12 DAY 25 : +69.21 DAY 26 : +83.50 DAY 27 : -183.88 DAY 28 : -34.73 DAY 29 : +95.86 DAY 30 : +52.21 DAY 31 : -1.10 DAY 32 : +52.92 DAY 33 : -37.91 DAY 34 : +41.48 DAY 35 : +15.30 DAY 36 : -35.19 DAY 37 : +38.60 DAY 38 : -7.12 DAY 39 : -105.01 DAY 40 : +51.11 DAY 41 : +52.32 DAY 42 : +56.37 DAY 43 : +52.50 DAY 44 : +11.34 DAY 45 : +14.86 DAY 46 : -61.43 DAY 47 : -13.86 DAY 48 : +125.43 DAY 49 : +4.90 DAY 50 : -87.62 DAY 51 : +82.22 DAY 52 : -11.87 DAY 53 : -31.03 DAY 54 : +75.71 DAY 55 : -30.68 DAY 56 : +50.90 DAY 57 : -25.55 DAY 58 : +27.29 DAY 59 : -207.50 DAY 60 : +85.38 DAY 61 : +44.13 DAY 62 : +127.82 DAY 63 : -19.38 DAY 64 : -48.00 DAY 65 : -67.99 DAY 66 : +150.31 DAY 67 : +78.14 DAY 68 : +10.98 DAY 69 : +0.54 DAY 70 : -80.29 ================ TOTAL PROFIT : +568.04 After I lost on Mons match I start betting on "anything" ... luckily I kept low liability. This is the first step of chasing process that usually happens like that: - a relatively small loss on a match where I was quite confident not to lose triggers some guess-bets that should reduce the frustration level - if these guess-bets increase the loss (which it usually happens) then I start chasing Luckily this happened only 3 times in ~70 days and hopefully it won't happen anymore (what a lie!!!  ) |
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DAY 3 RESULTS
Football: £-0.32 LOSS Football Showing 1 - 10 of 10 markets Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss (£) Football / Vasco da Gama v Nacional (Uru) : Correct Score 08-Feb-12 23:59 09-Feb-12 02:00 17.12 Football / Nacional (Par) v Cruz Azul : Correct Score 08-Feb-12 21:45 08-Feb-12 23:44 22.82 Football / Union Espanola v Junior : Half Time Score 08-Feb-12 21:45 08-Feb-12 22:36 11.41 Football / AC Milan v Juventus : Correct Score 08-Feb-12 19:45 08-Feb-12 21:54 11.41 Football / Middlesbrough v Sunderland : Correct Score 08-Feb-12 19:45 08-Feb-12 21:36 -102.00 Football / Barcelona v Valencia : Half Time Score 08-Feb-12 20:00 08-Feb-12 20:50 10.98 Football / Barcelona v Valencia : Half Time 08-Feb-12 20:00 08-Feb-12 20:50 -2.00 Football / Zambia v Ghana : Correct Score 08-Feb-12 16:00 08-Feb-12 17:57 22.82 Football / Zambia v Ghana : Half Time/Full Time 08-Feb-12 16:00 08-Feb-12 17:54 -24.00 Football / Zambia v Ghana : Match Odds 08-Feb-12 16:00 08-Feb-12 17:51 31.12 ============================================================================== STARTING BANK £300 DAY 1 profit 109 DAY 2 profit 51 DAY 3 loss( 1 ) ======================= BANK now......£459 ========================================================================================= I changed my mind re betting on GHANA game.....as was a bit bored at lack of RACING....and game looked open enough for a goal to come from either side. Plenty bad misses in match......but a goal came eventually. I've included all bets on that match in the above figures, as initially my bets were mainly in HT/FT market and Match Market (laying DRAW)......however layed 0-0 later in match when odds were lower and luckily a goal came. I know this is "after-timing" the bets on GHANA game....but I did indicate some thoughts on match ( would not lay 0-0/1-0/0-1 at start of match and lay on AUQ was "obvious" bet) and feel that it should be included, as shows that I am still not disciplined enough to leave a game alone.....Caught between seeing a game where I believed a goal would come in watching it.....and knowing I am not particularly "good" on such INTERNATIONAL matches. As I only staked small amounts on the initial bets ......then that was OK....but the lay on DRAW and lay on 0-0 would have been very costly ( around £150) had a goal not come!!!!!! So I am aware of this "weakness" I have to OVER STAKE on games where I know it is a potential losing game.......and probably because I caught a good odds winner on HORSES in 5.30 pm race ( one I had dwelt on as possible nap in daily nap competition...but opted for a "dubious" selection elsewhere....!) then I was prepared to risk more on the GHANA match, as I placed one lay in MATCH market and one lay on 0-0 after I knew I had won on AW race.....so the damage to the over all bank would not have been so "bad" on the day having won £118 on HORSES etc This was probably my mind-set on risking more money on the GHANA game....... The HIT on SUNDERLAND game on the 1-1 LAY was always a possibility could happen..in derby match. Just a bet that lost.......like any other bet when no real "edge" exists for me on FOOTBALL bets. GL A on next run of bets. Cheers the nooooooooo |
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1-1 HT
Fixtures 09 February / Istanbul BB v Karabukspor / Correct Score 1 - 2 Lay 18246571693 09-Feb-12 14:50 8.8 10.00 8.8 09-Feb-12 14:50 |
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Fixtures 09 February / Sivasspor v Besiktas / Correct Score
2 - 2 Lay 18247788045 09-Feb-12 15:56 16.5 9.56 16.5 09-Feb-12 16:00 Fixtures 09 February / Sivasspor v Besiktas / Correct Score 0 - 1 Lay 18247788046 09-Feb-12 15:56 11 10.00 11 09-Feb-12 15:56 |
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0-1 HT in Sivasspor v Besiktas
Back 0-1 and LAY 1-2 ... hopefully will stay 0-1 some time. Will be costly if finishes 1-2 or 2-2 |
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Eliminated liability on 2-2 @75
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Eliminated liability on 1-2 @20
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Lay a bit 0-1 now ... hopefully Sivasspor will equalize
-20 if 0-1 FT +20 otherwise |