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Fixtures 04 February / Burnley v Peterborough / Correct Score
0 - 1 Lay 18182148253 04-Feb-12 16:31 2.7 30.00 2.68 04-Feb-12 16:31 |
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LAY AUQ Bilbao - Espanyol (1-1 after 40')
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Fixtures 04 February / Birmingham v Southampton / Correct Score
0 - 1 Lay 18183870907 04-Feb-12 17:44 9.6 15.00 9.6 04-Feb-12 17:44 |
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Lay 3-2 and BACK aUQ Bilbao ... big loss if stays 3-2
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Espanyol
![]() Been too lucky in this match so have to get out from Birmingham ... cannot be so lucky 2 times in a row! |
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Back 0-1 and Lay 0-0 Birmingham ... small loss if stays 0-0
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Bet 5 - Lay 0-0 pre-off (to match)
Fixtures 04 February / Getafe v Real Madrid / Correct Score 0 - 0 Lay 18185663951 04-Feb-12 19:02 C 16 2.50 |
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Lay a bit Birmingham 0-0 ... red card Southh so I don't think a goal will be scored ...
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Fixtures 04 February / Paris St-G v Evian TG / Correct Score
2 - 2 Lay 18186180024 04-Feb-12 19:24 13 13.00 13 04-Feb-12 19:24 |
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IP bets:
- LAY Vitesse 1-1 (1-0 after 60') - LAY Bordeaux AUQ (2-0 after 55' and red card Toulouse) |
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green out vitesse
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Lay Sporting Lisbon 0-2 @8 (0-1 after 65')
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Reduced liability on 0-2 Sporting and lay a bit 0-1 @1.13
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Lay AUQ Huracan BA v CA Atlanta just after 1-1 (~ 25')
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Lay Barca AUQ @5.7 at 2-1 (75')
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Two exotic bets
Fixtures 04 February / Deportivo Cali v Once Caldas / Correct Score 1 - 0 Lay 18190634867 05-Feb-12 00:23 3.5 15.00 3.5 05-Feb-12 00:23 Fixtures 04 February / Cruz Azul v Jaguares / Correct Score Any Unquoted Lay 18190622760 05-Feb-12 00:21 8 5.72 8 05-Feb-12 00:21 |
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Cali - Caldas 1-1 now
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Last bet (not matched):
Fixtures 04 February / Colo Colo v OHiggins / Correct Score 1 - 0 Lay 18190820198 05-Feb-12 00:49 C 3 15.00 |
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Soccer / Colo Colo v OHiggins : Correct Score 04-Feb-12 23:30 05-Feb-12 01:25 -30.00
Soccer / Deportivo Cali v Once Caldas : Correct Score 04-Feb-12 23:10 05-Feb-12 01:05 14.28 Soccer / Cruz Azul v Jaguares : Correct Score 04-Feb-12 23:00 05-Feb-12 00:57 5.45 Soccer / Huracan BA v CA Atlanta : Correct Score 04-Feb-12 22:05 05-Feb-12 00:08 14.28 Soccer / Barcelona v Sociedad : Correct Score 04-Feb-12 21:00 04-Feb-12 22:53 12.38 Soccer / Sp Lisbon v Gil Vicente : Correct Score 04-Feb-12 20:30 04-Feb-12 22:26 7.04 Soccer / Bordeaux v Toulouse : Correct Score 04-Feb-12 20:00 04-Feb-12 21:56 19.04 Soccer / Vitesse v Breda : Correct Score 04-Feb-12 19:45 04-Feb-12 21:41 9.65 Soccer / Getafe v Real Madrid : Correct Score 04-Feb-12 19:00 04-Feb-12 20:55 -10.99 Soccer / Paris St-G v Evian TG : Correct Score 04-Feb-12 18:00 04-Feb-12 19:55 15.05 Soccer / Montpellier v Brest : Correct Score 04-Feb-12 18:00 04-Feb-12 19:52 14.28 Soccer / Birmingham v Southampton : Correct Score 04-Feb-12 17:20 04-Feb-12 19:30 -21.91 Soccer / Man City v Fulham : Correct Score 04-Feb-12 17:30 04-Feb-12 19:26 1.90 Soccer / Ath Bilbao v Espanyol : Correct Score 04-Feb-12 17:00 04-Feb-12 18:51 58.07 Soccer / Burnley v Peterborough : Correct Score 04-Feb-12 15:00 04-Feb-12 17:01 28.56 Soccer / Coventry v Ipswich : Correct Score 04-Feb-12 15:00 04-Feb-12 16:58 2.44 Soccer / Middlesbrough v C Palace : Correct Score 04-Feb-12 15:00 04-Feb-12 16:54 -30.00 Soccer / Leverkusen v Stuttgart : Correct Score 04-Feb-12 14:30 04-Feb-12 16:25 2.14 Soccer / Schalke v Mainz : Correct Score 04-Feb-12 14:30 04-Feb-12 16:24 -30.00 Soccer / Dijon v Valenciennes : Correct Score 04-Feb-12 14:00 04-Feb-12 15:54 16.72 Football / Nocerina v Bari : Correct Score 04-Feb-12 14:00 04-Feb-12 15:51 2.44 Football / Empoli v Crotone : Correct Score 04-Feb-12 14:00 04-Feb-12 15:51 2.44 Football / West Ham v Millwall : Correct Score 04-Feb-12 12:30 04-Feb-12 14:31 20.39 Football / Aachen v St Pauli : Correct Score 04-Feb-12 12:00 04-Feb-12 13:53 26.66 DAY 1-5: +127.94 DAY 6 : +38.12 DAY 7 : +11.19 DAY 8 : +26.65 DAY 9 : -93.73 DAY 10 : -1.97 DAY 11 : +34.57 DAY 12 : +64.57 DAY 13 : +35.74 DAY 14 : -106.91 DAY 15 : +5.07 DAY 16 : +28.08 DAY 17 : +48.49 DAY 18 : +19.12 DAY 19 : -82.81 DAY 20 : -212.45 DAY 21 : +44.92 DAY 22 : +38.09 DAY 23 : +35.05 DAY 24 : +35.12 DAY 25 : +69.21 DAY 26 : +83.50 DAY 27 : -183.88 DAY 28 : -34.73 DAY 29 : +95.86 DAY 30 : +52.21 DAY 31 : -1.10 DAY 32 : +52.92 DAY 33 : -37.91 DAY 34 : +41.48 DAY 35 : +15.30 DAY 36 : -35.19 DAY 37 : +38.60 DAY 38 : -7.12 DAY 39 : -105.01 DAY 40 : +51.11 DAY 41 : +52.32 DAY 42 : +56.37 DAY 43 : +52.50 DAY 44 : +11.34 DAY 45 : +14.86 DAY 46 : -61.43 DAY 47 : -13.86 DAY 48 : +125.43 DAY 49 : +4.90 DAY 50 : -87.62 DAY 51 : +82.22 DAY 52 : -11.87 DAY 53 : -31.03 DAY 54 : +75.71 DAY 55 : -30.68 DAY 56 : +50.90 DAY 57 : -25.55 DAY 58 : +27.29 DAY 59 : -207.50 DAY 60 : +85.38 DAY 61 : +44.13 DAY 62 : +127.82 DAY 63 : -19.38 DAY 64 : -48.00 DAY 65 : -67.99 DAY 66 : +150.31 ================ TOTAL PROFIT : +558.67 The most profitable day mostly because due to late Espanyol goal ... after that match I felt that I could win any bet so I abused a bit on Colo-colo match. I still have problems with LAY AUQ ... I lay after an early goal but my heart start beating too fast once a team reach 3 goals barrier ... |
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Lay AUQ Cartagena - Hercules @4.9 after 0-2 (25')
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Green out Hercules
BOT selection: Fixtures 05 February / Ajax v Utrecht / Correct Score 0 - 1 Lay 18194282931 05-Feb-12 12:20 9.4 5.08 9.4 05-Feb-12 12:20 |
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Fixtures 05 February / Bochum v H Rostock / Correct Score
1 - 1 Lay 18195269837 05-Feb-12 13:10 8.4 15.00 8.4 05-Feb-12 13:10 Fixtures 05 February / Eintracht Frankfurt v Braunschweig / Correct Score Any Unquoted Lay 18194964223 05-Feb-12 12:57 2.46 35.00 2.46 05-Feb-12 12:57 |
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Bet 6 and 7 - lay 0-0 pre-off
Fixtures 05 February / Freiburg v W Bremen / Correct Score 0 - 0 Lay 18195756183 05-Feb-12 13:33 17.5 2.60 17.5 05-Feb-12 13:33 Fixtures 05 February / Juventus v Siena / Correct Score 0 - 0 Lay 18195738038 05-Feb-12 13:32 16.5 2.70 16.5 05-Feb-12 13:32 |
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Still doing really well acornel
![]() Just beware of the "PUSHING TOO HARD" syndrome !!!!! GL today. |
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Should have seen your message earlier, DFC
... crazy day today, I'll probably need few days break after it ... that syndrome almost killed me ... |
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waiting to match
Fixtures 05 February / Santos v Palmeiras / Correct Score 1 - 0 Lay 18203919786 05-Feb-12 20:43 C 1.6 15.00 |
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DAY 67 : +78.14
Football / Marseille v Lyon : Correct Score 05-Feb-12 20:00 05-Feb-12 21:55 26.68 Football / Santos v Palmeiras : Correct Score 05-Feb-12 19:00 05-Feb-12 21:02 23.82 Football / Porto v Setubal : Correct Score 05-Feb-12 18:30 05-Feb-12 20:23 19.06 Football / Ghana v Tunisia : Half Time Score 05-Feb-12 19:00 05-Feb-12 19:48 285.60 Football / Sevilla v Villarreal : Correct Score 05-Feb-12 17:00 05-Feb-12 18:52 -117.13 Football / Fenerbahce v Besiktas : Correct Score 05-Feb-12 17:00 05-Feb-12 18:52 11.80 Football / Kaiserslautern v FC Koln : Correct Score 05-Feb-12 16:30 05-Feb-12 18:26 -22.00 Football / Chelsea v Man Utd : Correct Score 05-Feb-12 16:00 05-Feb-12 17:55 -200.63 Football / Groningen v Waalwijk : Correct Score 05-Feb-12 15:30 05-Feb-12 17:21 5.67 Football / FC Basel v Sion : Correct Score 05-Feb-12 15:00 05-Feb-12 16:55 -10.50 Football / Freiburg v W Bremen : Correct Score 05-Feb-12 14:30 05-Feb-12 16:22 23.42 Football / Juventus v Siena : Correct Score 05-Feb-12 14:00 05-Feb-12 15:55 -48.61 Football / Newcastle v Aston Villa : Correct Score 05-Feb-12 13:30 05-Feb-12 15:26 12.38 Football / NEC Nijmegen v Feyenoord : Correct Score 05-Feb-12 13:30 05-Feb-12 15:26 5.06 Football / Heracles v PSV : Correct Score 05-Feb-12 13:30 05-Feb-12 15:23 5.06 Football / Vicenza v Cittadella : Correct Score 05-Feb-12 14:00 05-Feb-12 15:19 2.53 Football / Bochum v H Rostock : Correct Score 05-Feb-12 12:30 05-Feb-12 14:24 14.28 Football / Eintracht Frankfurt v Braunschweig : Correct Score 05-Feb-12 12:30 05-Feb-12 14:22 20.57 Football / Ajax v Utrecht : Correct Score 05-Feb-12 11:30 05-Feb-12 13:23 4.84 Football / FC Cartagena v Hercules : Correct Score 05-Feb-12 11:00 05-Feb-12 12:48 16.24 DAY 1-5: +127.94 DAY 6 : +38.12 DAY 7 : +11.19 DAY 8 : +26.65 DAY 9 : -93.73 DAY 10 : -1.97 DAY 11 : +34.57 DAY 12 : +64.57 DAY 13 : +35.74 DAY 14 : -106.91 DAY 15 : +5.07 DAY 16 : +28.08 DAY 17 : +48.49 DAY 18 : +19.12 DAY 19 : -82.81 DAY 20 : -212.45 DAY 21 : +44.92 DAY 22 : +38.09 DAY 23 : +35.05 DAY 24 : +35.12 DAY 25 : +69.21 DAY 26 : +83.50 DAY 27 : -183.88 DAY 28 : -34.73 DAY 29 : +95.86 DAY 30 : +52.21 DAY 31 : -1.10 DAY 32 : +52.92 DAY 33 : -37.91 DAY 34 : +41.48 DAY 35 : +15.30 DAY 36 : -35.19 DAY 37 : +38.60 DAY 38 : -7.12 DAY 39 : -105.01 DAY 40 : +51.11 DAY 41 : +52.32 DAY 42 : +56.37 DAY 43 : +52.50 DAY 44 : +11.34 DAY 45 : +14.86 DAY 46 : -61.43 DAY 47 : -13.86 DAY 48 : +125.43 DAY 49 : +4.90 DAY 50 : -87.62 DAY 51 : +82.22 DAY 52 : -11.87 DAY 53 : -31.03 DAY 54 : +75.71 DAY 55 : -30.68 DAY 56 : +50.90 DAY 57 : -25.55 DAY 58 : +27.29 DAY 59 : -207.50 DAY 60 : +85.38 DAY 61 : +44.13 DAY 62 : +127.82 DAY 63 : -19.38 DAY 64 : -48.00 DAY 65 : -67.99 DAY 66 : +150.31 DAY 67 : +78.14 ================ TOTAL PROFIT : +636.81 I had visitors over the weekend so I've been on mobile most of the time ... everything went fine until I decided to LAY 3-3 Chelsea - Man U when Chelsea was 3-1 up (did not follow the match evolution, just picked a score to lay) ... so I've lost about 200 euros. - chased on Leverkusen hoping for a very late game ... failed - chased on Sevilla ... wanted to LAY 1-1 and got the market suspended so I laid 1-2 ... failed - put the remaining profit on LAY 1-0 HT Ghana match ....... and the goal came 3' before HT This is the 3rd time when I almost lost my profit/bank ... it looks like every 20-25 days a big chasing moment comes. - how to avoid this big chasing momentum? - how to keep discipline? (limited liability, ...) - how not to bet on almost every match and to pick only the opportunities? I think I need a break to think about this ... |
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A - one way might be to withdraw so much of bank and operate with say 200 bank, then you are limited to stakes you might "risk" on a rush of blood.
No doubt it is "hard" to control the "puching too hard " urge....when operating witha relatively small bank. Generaly you are doing pretty well though.....I see nothing too "wrong" on putting/risking more on some positions, as if you believe there is a "VALUE" bbet that is likely to come off for you, then risking more on such bet is fair enough ....but with odds on betting like CS LAYS perhaps a limit on staking....even with a 200 bank ....is "sensible". Perhaps 33.33% of bank max risk???? As long as you have with drawn hard earned profits as you progress...., then a HIT is not so damaging...as they wil come !!! Enjoy the break. ![]() |
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you have to look at the source of what leads you to chasing and chasing big like you did again. You are not going to keep getting away with it. The source of your problem in my humble opinion is your massively over staking and this leads you to lose control of your emotions and hence the spiral in madness starts.
Get the staking in order and you will be fine. Generally you are doing well and I think if you can keep your discipline you will do very well. Good luck |
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Thanks for your messages!!
I'll lowering my stakes a bit as well as the liability ... at least for a while ![]() - (very) maximum liability should be 100 ... regular one should be 50 Fixtures 06 February / Eskisehirspor v Istanbul BB / Correct Score 2 - 2 Lay 18211905842 06-Feb-12 17:32 6 10.00 6 06-Feb-12 17:32 |
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A bit of BACK ing
Fixtures 06 February / Eskisehirspor v Istanbul BB / Correct Score Any Unquoted Back 18211956438 06-Feb-12 17:35 20 3.00 20 06-Feb-12 17:35 |
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Out of it ... 2-2 would be good now
![]() Fixtures 06 February / Eskisehirspor v Istanbul BB / Correct Score 2 - 2 Back 18212071675 06-Feb-12 17:44 10 6.78 10 06-Feb-12 17:45 |
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3-1 now ... maybe 4-1 at the end?
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Getting back on the "horse"/bronco.......and will start with my JINX team Liverpool!
![]() GAME 1 Fixtures 06 February / Liverpool v Tottenham / Correct Score 0 - 1 Lay 06-Feb-12 19:44 16.5 18.00 16.5 06-Feb-12 19:44 =================================================================== Spurs appear to leak a goal .....and LIVERPOOL likely to play a TIGHT game but should be trying to win. I suspect LIVERPOOL will go by attack being best way to play a TIGHT game ...grab a goal then stodge it out. MGOFS 2-1. GL with bets. |
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Welcome back, DFC!
Fixtures 06 February / 1860 Munich v Cottbus / Correct Score 1 - 0 Lay 18214529335 06-Feb-12 20:31 3 15.00 3 06-Feb-12 20:32 |
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Quite confident another goal will be scored in 1860 match ... if you have some $$$ to spare you can lay 1-0 few minutes before end ... if the score will remain 1-0 till then
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just after 2-0
Fixtures 06 February / Quilmes v Guillermo Brown / Correct Score Any Unquoted Lay 18214636916 06-Feb-12 20:39 3.7 15.00 3.7 06-Feb-12 20:39 |
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Not been watching that game A....so will leave alone........
LIV have atacked 1st half.....but KRUYP is still "udeless" IMO.....Almost every pass is inaccurate.....and just too slow in thought and movement. CAROL also very very one paced......and DAWSON doing well when needs to... SPURS not really broke sweat yet .......so the 0-1 LAY is at "risk" in this one...... Have LIVERPOOL burnt themselves out 1st half? 0-0 likely to continue for a while.....so will depend on SPURS whether game opens up or not.....They might be "happy" with a DRAW..... I suspect LIVERPOOL will now conserve energy ......and wait til last 10 mins to try to win match...... If SPURS attack too much early 1st half ...... BELAMY might grab a lead on break....so SPURS may well just keep it a TIGHT game ...and go for 0-0.... |
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Fixtures 06 February / 1860 Munich v Cottbus / Correct Score
1 - 0 Lay 18214887253 06-Feb-12 20:57 C 1.33 15.00 not so sure anymore :-( |
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Just looks a 0-0 or 1-0 or 0-1 game ....so LAYING 1-1 ....bailing out 0-1 LAY ....and hoping it stays 0-0 for a long time.....
If SPURS take lead....then 1-1 more likely to happen.....but prepared to take chance that does not! Fixtures 06 February / Liverpool v Tottenham / Correct Score 0 - 1 Back 06-Feb-12 20:58 9.2 3.00 9.2 06-Feb-12 20:58 Fixtures 06 February / Liverpool v Tottenham / Correct Score 0 - 1 Back 06-Feb-12 20:58 9.2 9.00 9.2 06-Feb-12 20:58 Fixtures 06 February / Liverpool v Tottenham / Correct Score 1 - 1 Back 06-Feb-12 20:58 9.8 3.00 9.8 06-Feb-12 20:58 Fixtures 06 February / Liverpool v Tottenham / Correct Score 0 - 1 Back 06-Feb-12 20:57 9 21.00 9 06-Feb-12 20:57 Fixtures 06 February / Liverpool v Tottenham / Correct Score 1 - 1 Lay 06-Feb-12 20:57 10 33.00 10 06-Feb-12 20:57 |