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Laying teams - Season Thread

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Replies: 254
By:
Cooee
When: 25 Nov 11 17:30
Careful with that chasing Bingo. Wait for the opportunities to come your way rather than trying to make something happen. In the greater scheme of things, whether you make a profit in the next few days or not isn't really relevant, so you don't want to screw up your system and risk leaving yourself in a hole by taking bets you're not happy with.
By:
Bingo.....
When: 25 Nov 11 17:40
@ cooee, welcome to my thread and I kind of agree with what your saying mate, maybe I'm still hurting a bit from a bad few days. However i cannot ignore the current statistics, Sandhausen haven't lost at home in their last 9 games where as Osnabruck have won twice away from home in 10 and their last away win in September. Sandhausen have lost twice in 17 games and currently sit top. 3/1 is a price i have to take on given the current statistics.

Many thanks.
By:
Cooee
When: 25 Nov 11 18:20
Okey doke. Sounds quite plausible. In their last four games, Osnabruck have played the current bottom three sides and have failed to win any of those matches. So those odds away from home against the current leaders seem rather too short.  Let's just hope the Liga 3 specialists don't know something!

Good luck.
By:
Cooee
When: 25 Nov 11 19:56
Well done Bingo. Probably wasn't as easy as you might have hoped, but 0-0s will do the job nicely.  I don't know whether that was just a poor performance from the home side or a good performance from the away side, but the closeness seems to suggest the market-makers were about right. Who can tell with these little leagues though?

Enjoy your winnings.
By:
Bingo.....
When: 26 Nov 11 11:14
26/11/11

Possible bets

Norwich @ 2.12
Peterborough @ 2.74
Bury @ 2.72
Hartlepool @ 2.06
Rotherham @ 3.75


Bet no.64 Lay West Brom @ 4.2 for 5 points liability 16
Bet no.65 Lay Blackpool @ 2.52 for 5 points liability 7.60
Bet no.66 Lay Bristol Rovers @ 5.6 for 5 points liability 23
Bet no.67 Lay Gateshead @ 3.5 for 5 points liability 12.50

Have a great day people. Happy
By:
raspberrybottom
When: 27 Nov 11 00:37
Smashing stuff ! Well done ! Happy
By:
frimpong
When: 27 Nov 11 00:40
4 from 4 is that?
By:
Cooee
When: 27 Nov 11 03:07
Yep. Well done Bingo.
By:
Bingo.....
When: 27 Nov 11 13:56
Hello, thank you for your kind words. Yesterday was a good day for me and I'm really pleased with the outcome. No bet today, I'm tempted to lay Liverpool but I think I'm going to leave it.

Enjoy your day.
By:
Bingo.....
When: 27 Nov 11 14:43
On second thoughts and after closer inspection I cannot pass up on this bet today. I cannot have Liverpool as favourites.

27/11/11

Bet no.68 Lay Liverpool @ 2.76 for 5 points liability 8.80
By:
Bingo.....
When: 27 Nov 11 20:34
A very pleasing weekend for me and my bank continues to grow. Maybe a tad fortunate on a couple of bets this weekend but I'll gladly take it. I will put up the monthly profit and a review of the month in the next day or two.

Enjoy the rest of the weekend. Thank you.
By:
Bingo.....
When: 29 Nov 11 16:43
Month 3 - November Results and Review

I won't be placing anymore bets this month so I shall write this out now. November is complete and I got there in the end. Its safe to say that this month has been my hardest, certainly been the most up and down month so far. Relieved its come to an end if I'm honest, lol.

I couldn't of got off to a worse start and hopefully I won't start a month like this again. My first 3 lays consisted of Watford @ 2.6, Blackpool @ 4.1 and Rubin @ 2.04. Watford beat Brighton 1 nil. Blackpool beat Leeds 5 nil at Elland Road Shocked and Rubin beat Spurs 1 nil also. 3 bets in and minus 28.7 points. I know from that moment this was going to be a very difficult month. My next lat if I'm being honest was probably a bit of a chase, I laid Shamrock Rovers and they comfortably lost. Hurray, finally got a winner.

On the 5th of November and a very busy Saturday i laid Blackpool, Hull, Bristol City and Coventry. Bristol City won and the remaining 3 lost. I followed that on the Sunday with lays of Hannover, Cagliari and Reading, Reading won but as the odds where so short I was still in profit for the day. I was starting to feel better about the month ahead. My next lay was Braga against Benfica and a very entertaining match that kept getting suspended because the lights kept going off, lol. My lay won anyway and put me on - 2.63 points for the month.

I then laid Estonia, Morcambe and Sweden. All 3 lost and my points balance now stood at + 11.62. I was delighted with this after such a bad start. I also had a bit of a whinge about the lack of comments. Sorry about that Sad I then laid Blackpool, Coventry and Pompey and again all 3 lost. Then the turning point in the month came when i decided there was no way on earth Napoli would be a City team that needed to win. I was so confident i risked 8 points on it instead of the normal 5. Napoli did win and I couldn't believe it. City obviously need more experience in Europe. The same night i laid Coventry and i think they drew with Cardiff so a winning bet.

I then laid Dortmund against Arsenal and although they beat Bayern Munich that weekend i just could not see them beating a very much on form Arsenal and in particular Robin Van Persie. Dortmund lost. Unfortunately I laid Leverkusen against chelsea and they won the match in the final minute. Absolute heartache. I would also like to add that although at the time it hurts when i lose so many points, its also probably the best thing that can happen at times because its helping my discipline so much having these losing days. I was a minute from being on + 19 points profit, instead the goal put me on 0.36 for the month.

I then went against my rule of thumb and laid a team purely on stats. First time I've done this, the stats where overwhelming and so was the price. Osnabruck @ 4.1 and the bet won. I then went on to state that the weekend would define my month and it certainly did. I laid West Brom, Blackpool, Bristol Rovers and Gateshead and fortunately all 4 lost. The funny thing about the West Brom game is that I actually laid them for twice my normal mistake by accident. Thankfully they lost. Final lay of the month was Liverpool @ 2.76 at home to City and i was probably a bit fortunate with that lay.

So many ups and downs this month but again its a profitable one. Ideally I don't want to be laying as many teams as I am but maybe that will change in future. Also I'm actually on Bet no.70 not 69, I will correct that with my next bet. I hope the points are right as well as Its a lot to add up at once. Thank you.

Month Selections Winners P/L
September 25 16 29
October 16 13 46.95
November 28 22 28.12
69 51 104.07
By:
kingscrewed
When: 29 Nov 11 19:56
good work Bingo, much respect to you as you seem to be learning all the time and managing to be profitable
By:
hammerddh.
When: 29 Nov 11 23:56
excellent stuff Bingo
Roll on December
By:
undern
When: 30 Nov 11 10:16
I too am following this thread. Well done again on an excellent three months.

You started (as you pointed out in your first post) with a bank of £160 and then for a while you quoted everything in £ amounts but then all of a sudden you changed over to points.

Simply would like to know what each point is worth in £ so everyone can see how your £160 starting bank has grown.

all the best for December.
By:
dlarssonf
When: 30 Nov 11 12:19
Great stuff & thread Bingo - keep up the good workCool
By:
Cooee
When: 30 Nov 11 14:27
Well done Bingo. You seem to have a clear and systematic approach to your betting. That's no doubt a good part of why, as Kingscrewed says, you seem to be both learning and improving, and it gives you a decent edge over most of the glove puppets on Betfair. Keep it up and there's no reason why, in the not too distant future, you can't be a sizeable player.
By:
Bingo.....
When: 04 Dec 11 15:03
Hello, no bets yesterday as unfortunately I was sat in A & E for most of the day, long story. Anyway back today with this.

04/12/11

Bet no.70 Lay Everton @ 1.72 for 5 points liability 3.60

Thank you.
By:
frimpong
When: 04 Dec 11 18:41
hope nothing serious mate.

WD Everton
By:
raspberrybottom
When: 05 Dec 11 00:35
Good stuff, Bingo! Must admit I fancied Everton today.
By:
Bingo.....
When: 05 Dec 11 17:49
Hello, thank you guys for your comments. One lay tonight and is as follows.

06/12/11

Bet no.71 Lay Fulham @ 3.95 for 5 points liability 14.75

@ undern, sorry I'm only just getting back to you I've been a bit busy. I couldn't genuinely answer how much I've made during this thread alone because I have placed other bets to, with mixed success. I am trying to concentrate on only laying teams but every so often a bet comes along that I just cannot ignore. Still a small bank though, about £435 now and I've been using £2.50 per point. If I can make a reasonable profit by the end of the season then I will more than likely up my stakes next season and invest more money for a bigger bank.

Thank you and enjoy your evening.
By:
Bingo.....
When: 05 Dec 11 17:50
I've just noticed I've got the day wrong its the 5th, lol.
By:
Bingo.....
When: 06 Dec 11 17:54
Hello, I'll post these now as I'm going to watch Kasabian soon with my girlfriend.

06/12/11

Bet no.72 Lay Lincoln City @ 4.5 for 8 points liability 28
Bet no.73 Lay Plzen @ 3.55 for 5 points liability 12.75

The stats I normally use to view stats on tonights matches isn't working so i feel a bit naked, lol. Thank you and have a good night everybody.
By:
frimpong
When: 06 Dec 11 18:24
GL Bingo. enjoy Kasabian. good band! LADS! mate you always seem to be heading out Laugh busy man!
By:
dlarssonf
When: 06 Dec 11 18:28
Enjoy Kasabian, seen them last week & they were excellent
By:
Bingo.....
When: 07 Dec 11 19:18
Hello, last night was unreal, thank you very much. I wasn't going to place any bets tonight but after seeing the team and the fact that they cannot lose i just have to get involved. I also don't lay many teams at these odds but i just have to. If this bet was to lose it would be my biggest single loss in this thread. Fingers crossed, should be fine.

07/12/11

Bet no.74 Lay Basel @ 6.2 for 5 points liability 26

Thank you. Happy
By:
Bingo.....
When: 07 Dec 11 21:32
Dreadful night. Basel knocking Manchester United out, I just couldn't see that. Oh well I've been in this position before, practically at the beginning of every month, lol. Points for December - 23.65. Going to be another tough month. Sad
By:
frimpong
When: 08 Dec 11 12:14
never expected that mate
By:
Bingo.....
When: 09 Dec 11 17:50
No I didn't either mate, oh well.

09/12/11

Bet no.75 Lay Hertha Berlin @ 3.1 for 5 points liability 10.50
Bet no.76 Lay Heracles @ 2.62 for 5 points liability 8.10

Thank you
By:
frimpong
When: 09 Dec 11 20:24
my lay of the wknd is Blackburn mate. good luck tonight!!
By:
Bingo.....
When: 09 Dec 11 21:26
Hiya mate, I haven't had chance to look at Sundays games yet. I will have a look tomorrow. I personally wouldn't want to be laying Blackburn at that price to be honest but good luck I will be rooting for you.

Tonight has gone well, both of my lays were defeated and that leaves me on - 14.15 for the month which I'm delighted with. I shall be back tomorrow with my selections.

Enjoy your weekend. Happy
By:
frimpong
When: 09 Dec 11 21:29
oh i will. the beer will be flowing tmrw Bingo
By:
frimpong
When: 09 Dec 11 21:29
oh Blackburn is cos they are playing Sunderland with the O'Neill factor Laugh
By:
Bingo.....
When: 10 Dec 11 12:10
Hello lads, busy day for me today. Ideally I would like to be laying Real Madrid a bit closer to kick off but as I'm going out soon my bet is placed. Hope today goes well, I always worry when I lay so many teams at once.

10/12/11

Possible bets

Bolton @ 2.54
Oldham @ 2.98


Bet no.77 Lay Reading @ 2.72 for 5 points liability 8.60
Bet no.78 Lay Colchester @ 2.32 for 5 points liability 6.60
Bet no.79 Lay Blackpool @ 6.2 for 5 points liability 26
Bet no.80 Lay Real Madrid @ 2.74 for 5 points liability 8.70

Thank you and enjoy your weekend.
By:
Bingo.....
When: 11 Dec 11 13:50
Hello, terrible day yesterday. Fortunately the teams that won were both short odds so hopefully I can claw some of that back today. I'm currently on - 19.85 which is a shame but at least its less than it was when Basel beat Man United.

11/12/11

Bet no.81 Lay Stoke @ 4 for 8 points liability 24

Thank you.
By:
Bingo.....
When: 11 Dec 11 13:57
One more

11/12/11

Bet no.82 Lay Catania @ 4.5 for 5 points liability 17.50
By:
Bingo.....
When: 11 Dec 11 18:14
Hello, I am fuming. Some absolutely terrible decisions in the Stoke/Spurs game, cost me money and points today, oh well. I shall be back in the week.
By:
frimpong
When: 11 Dec 11 18:24
Cry unlucky mate

my bet of the week was a lay of blackburn, new manager factor
By:
Bingo.....
When: 12 Dec 11 18:06
12/12/11

Bet no.83 Lay Chelsea @ 2.44 for 5 points liability 7.20
Bet no.84 Lay Roma @ 3.6 for 8 points liability 20.80
Bet no.85 Lay Bursaspor @ 3.15 for 5 points liability 10.75

Thank you.
By:
Bingo.....
When: 12 Dec 11 22:01
Hello, feel slightly let down this weekend. How Stoke took 3 points yesterday is beyond me, some terrible decisions by the ref. Adebayor was a good two yards onside. Chris Foy cost me 24 points yesterday. I'm really trying not to moan as I make the selections and football throws up the unexpected at times. Again tonight City 1 up and Silva should of had a pen, not given.

On the plus side I've clawed back a few points tonight and I currently sit on - 33.95 for the month. I always knew I would have bad months just didn't expect to feel a bit robbed. The Basel lay I could take on the chin as it was a fair game and a fair result. The Stoke game however I still cannot accept, lol.
Going to be difficult to make a profit this month but we'll see.

Thank you.
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