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kenco
20 Jan 11 03:09
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Date Joined: 29 Sep 10
| Topic/replies: 2,114 | Blogger: kenco's blog
Bank will be 100 pts 1 point being £100 the maximum points staked will be 4 points per pick and will run it over the remaining aw season.Hopefuly will be able to get on here often enough to do it justice.If i get time will put summary of picks.Cool

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Replies: 152
By:
kenco
When: 20 Jan 11 10:11
wolverhampton 5.20
If waterloo dock and dreamacha are used as the formlines then goddess of light should beat bold ring,dualagi and athakeels loads of formlines through the forementioned horses make it look well in.
The danger if anywhere nears lkast seasons form would have to be weet a surprise on its lowest mark since november 2009 when it won off 68 today on 69 and would outclass these but james unett very poor strike rate and only 3 winners from last 100 runners.The obvious thing to do is back the fav with a saver on weet a surprise as its price is to big in this grade.

GODDESS OF LIGHT 1PT WIN 2/1 BET
WEET A SURPRISE  .40PT WIN 5/1 KORAL
By:
kenco
When: 20 Jan 11 15:06
Lingfield 3.20

Sir randolf was stopped in its run at lingfield behind roman strait and whoop whoop he wouldv'e finished upsides them and a line through paco belle priced 3s as opposed to sir randolfs 6s slightly over priced.

Wouldv'e been an ew bet but only 7 runners so a very small bet.

SIR RANDOLF .15PTwin 6/1
By:
zipper
When: 20 Jan 11 16:33
Kenco.. your wasting your time  putting  up  challenge on here  why  the experts  on here are  all aftertime men .
but your a good guy  zip will take you on tomorrow  day by day  AW .
any AW meeting  say 7 races  we start with  300 per race  thats 2100   if its a 6 race meeting  we start with 1800  .. the rules are there aint no rules  you could have the lot on one  or you could spread  the cash between 4 or 5  .. you on ,for a bit of fun zip will be there
By:
kenco
When: 20 Jan 11 17:44
Not got time to do that as well mate,will just be putting up some races through the day if i get enough time.

Total -1.55
By:
zipper
When: 20 Jan 11 18:06
Kenco,  fair does mate .. thanks for your reply .. good luck
By:
kenco
When: 21 Jan 11 10:26
Lingfield 4.15

A very competitive handicap and will be a small bet on advertisement because of the long lay off,not been out since last august so a few ? to answer.The thing that stands out is the time only 0.09 slower than arabian mirage winning the later handicap on the same card off 90,avertisement won by 13ls eased and only runs off 75 today.Will be following this in future if no show today as it may not be ready but would be well overpriced on next run if not about today.

ADVERTISEMENT 4/1 .50PT EW.
By:
kenco
When: 21 Jan 11 10:46
Lingfield 12.55

Vhujon would be the pick at these weights already had elhamri behind at kempton and miles in at the weights but grayson hasn't had a winner for a very long time,elhamri ran really well in handicap even though last of 8 hampered staying on strongly and only beaten 3ls.The danger looks to be cape melody potentially still improving so will split the bet and back the pair.

CAPE MELODY 5/2 .80PT WIN VC.
ELHAMRI     9/4    1PT WIN
By:
kenco
When: 21 Jan 11 11:34
Lingfield ppot

12.55 3,4
1.25 1,7
1.55 1,3
2.30 1,3
3.05 3,6
3.40 2,4 x0.01 plus 0.01 favs line.

Total staked 0.74pts.
By:
kenco
When: 21 Jan 11 11:41
Lingfield ppot

12.55 3,4
1.25 1,7
1.55 1,3
2.30 1,3
3.05 3,6
3.40 2,4 x0.01 plus 0.06 favs line.

Total staked 0.70pts.
By:
kenco
When: 21 Jan 11 17:01
Two winners both heavily backed as expected in the noseda horse as looked different class,how the compilers came up with the 6s last night.Cool

Into profit now with the two winners.

+1.15Cool
By:
kenco
When: 23 Jan 11 23:03
Kempton 3.50

Interesting runner for inform trainer tomorrow tony carroll 5 from last 20 runners have won and thats jordaura if it wasn't for the lay off it would be a confident ew bet its last run on the aw running on 4th to hajoum at wolves now rated 101 nearly every runner in the race rated at least as high as top weight jake the snake.I've tajken 16s and will be having just a small ew but will be following this regardless of tomorrows run,stamina is in the pedigree and a second and 6th off 84 at haydock over a mile on turf tomorrow off 80 with the 3 pound off makes the 16s just to tempting.

JORDAURA .15PTEW 16/1
By:
kenco
When: 24 Jan 11 18:59
Given a very easy race today nice handicap lined up for jordaura over the next two months!!

+.85
By:
kenco
When: 25 Jan 11 09:35
Swell 1.20 Slight value in backing alpha tauri at 2/1 with books if repeating debut run this season 1.28.94 eased down would be good enough to win this,the negative is being taken on by elusive warrior.
With there only being two likely winners worth a small bet as 2s is too big.

ALPHA TAURI 2/1 .75PT WIN.
By:
kenco
When: 25 Jan 11 13:37
Another bonus of backing with alot of the books bog.Coolreturns 3/1.

Running total +3.10Silly
By:
kenco
When: 25 Jan 11 15:01
Swell 3.20 Backed incomparable at 11/2 last night,but went through recent results andeven though its drawn central in (7)which should be ok there has been a bias towards stands side.Will put up a very small bet due to the draw.

INCOMPARABLE .20PTEW 11/2.
By:
kenco
When: 25 Jan 11 15:36
+2.70
By:
kenco
When: 27 Jan 11 15:07
swell 3.15

There doesn't appear to be any soft ground in joe le taxis pedigree so just to find out will have some small fcasts.

go maggie go to beat joe le taxi .10 st fcast
bobbyow      to beat joe le taxi .10 st fcast

go maggie go bobbyow .05 reverse fcast
By:
kenco
When: 27 Jan 11 15:17
+2.40
By:
kenco
When: 29 Jan 11 10:16
Lingfield 1.55

Kingscroft looked a bit paceless on previous runs and very mediocre but its last run at wolves ran faster than orpenindeed and dualagi on the same card by .70 and .30 if that form is reproduced the 4/5 looks great value against these slow boats.The slight ? might be the surface,as that run was at wolves where the track has been running slower,on watching its previous run at lingfield didn't look that comfortable so just hoping it translates that to lingfield as mentioned that 4/5 is generous.The others in the race have not produced anywhere near that sort of time,if he does flop today it will be purely down to the surface and will be waiting for a very hefty bet there.It was going to be 4pt max bet,but as its lingfield will make the stake 2pts.


KINGSCROFT 2PTwin 4/5 365.
By:
kenco
When: 29 Jan 11 14:04
You won't see a better 4/5 shot than that in a while.[;)]







Running total +4
By:
kenco
When: 01 Feb 11 13:16
Two very small bets today.

Swell 2.0 Camps bay won here on very slow surface but really is looking regressive the two higher rated horses la estrella and profits reality will take some beating if fit but havn't run for a while.So a small bet on camps bay hoping turner doesn't use her one dimensional tactics of sitting midfield as she should test the other two out and send it on 3fs out.

CAMPS BAY .64 PT WIN 13/8


Swell 3.0 The other is ingleby arch looking through its form over recent runs apart from the run against cape vale done very little it maybe that the horse now needs the 7fs but with punching and cape vale leading just hoping these two take each other on and let his stamina come into play.If its a falsely run race this horse won't pick up so again a very small bet.

INGLEBY ARCH .64 PT WIN 6/4
By:
kenco
When: 01 Feb 11 15:09
+2.72
By:
kenco
When: 02 Feb 11 13:38
Lingfield 1.40

Hopefully the blinkers won't liight up frequency to much as the run behind elhamri was decent,anjombara looks the danger with the drift it was worth a small bet.




FREQUENCY 2/1 .72 PTS
By:
kenco
When: 02 Feb 11 14:37
Taken quite a few prices today but only small bets as although quite aa few look bets lack of pace in the races was a negative.
Lingfield 2.40

Pab special and carr hall have some of the faster recent times over c/d,in a race where there are no strong formlines had two very small ews the pair.

CARR HALL .10PTEW 15/2

PAB SPECIAL .10PTEW 12/1
By:
kenco
When: 02 Feb 11 19:34
+3.76
By:
kenco
When: 03 Feb 11 10:09
Wolverhampton 5.0

Two at the prices stand out for me and i could see hugh taylor picking either the first is prince james 7/1 won here over c/d in december when the surface was riding similars to todays beat sarahs art that went to win off 75 and the third feeling foxy 2 1/4ls behind has since run second to the massive improver anne of kiev.Feeling foxy then won off 80 and has since run second off 84,prince james is onjly 3 pound higher with the claim when he won here runs to that form must run well.
There is another in the race that was unlucky on its last run ballodair badly hampered early on then hampered later on in the race had to be switched and yet was still finishing,looks very well in with takajan now on that running yet is a point bigger at 6/1.With a clear run it may have won that day,even prior to that run had run third to clear praise thats recently won off 75,the second picansort another improver has won off 68 and the 4th from that race best trip has also won off 66 beating sherjawy which in turn has also won.

.30pt EW PRINCE OF JAMES 7/1
.30PT EW  BALLODAIR       6/1
By:
kenco
When: 03 Feb 11 10:29
.30PT EW PRINCE OF JAMES 15/2
.30PTEW  BALLODAIR       6/1 All books up now.
By:
kenco
When: 03 Feb 11 13:57
Swell 2.0

Two decent performances from feet of fury and clever omneya was going to just back the fav this morning purely because of the slow surface but same formline through olympic dream hard to not back the both.

FEET OF FURY 2/1 0.50PT WIN
CLEVER OMNEYA 3/1 .50PT WIN
By:
kenco
When: 03 Feb 11 17:11
+3.06
By:
kenco
When: 04 Feb 11 10:25
Lingfield 1.20

Most of these races are won by the jockeys as most are so poor,i'm hoping the pace set in the race i won't have to rely on my two as they are very mediocre.The best jock is on williams well but the two i've picked out are squad and sir boss both ran in similar amateur riders race when finishing 2nd.3rd in november.For the type of race the pace was reasonable and infact 2 seconds quicker than williams wells on the same days division at todays weights so worth two small ews the pair.

SQUAD .15PTEW 13/2
SIR BOSS .15PTEW  8/1

I'm also going to have some cross doubles with the above with the 1.50 the favs wyeth is odds on but acropolis and olivino have times on the clock to give it a race instead of doing the singles 4 cross doubles with the above.

4X.05PT EW DOUBLES 1.20 SQUAD 13/2
                        SIR BOSS 8/1

                   1.50 ACROPOLIS 8/1
                        OLIVINO  6/1
By:
kenco
When: 04 Feb 11 14:01
Leaves a bitter taste all that place money and win bit running on.

+.97 running total +4.03
By:
Shanelee1966
When: 04 Feb 11 16:56
Just seen your thread Kenco, good luck mate, hope you double your bank.
By:
kenco
When: 04 Feb 11 18:52
It'll be roi figure shane as only been betting to a very small percentage of bank,will give a figure at the end.
By:
kenco
When: 05 Feb 11 13:06
1.20 1,5,7
1.50 1,3,5
2.20 2,4
2.55 1,3,5,12
3.25 1,2,7
4.0  7,8 x5ps

1.20 1,5,7
1.50 1,5
2.20 2,4
2.55 1,3,5,12
3.25 1,2,7
4.0  7,8 x10ps

1.20 1,5,7
1.50 1,5
2.20 2,4
2.55 1,3,5,12
3.25 1,2,7
4.0  7 x30ps plus £6.20 favs line

Total staked 1 point
By:
kenco
When: 05 Feb 11 13:30
Short and sweet +3.04
By:
kenco
When: 07 Feb 11 09:38
Wolves 4.05

Striker torres at 7/2 ew should be a bet to nothing as long as it doesn't get taken on and is still on a lower mark than that of its 2 yr old rating.Ran second to hulcote rose penultimate run infront of mr mcattack,mr mcattack then running a very good 5th to brave echo thats won again since and the second hazzard countys won.In just behind was bawaardi from hulcote roses race thats finished second off 77 to advertisement at kempton only last week,the one negative could be the kirby oldroyd combo very dubious combination but will have a small ew bet and be watching this race carefully as if unplaced i will be definitely a backer next time out.

STRIKER TORRES .50PT EW 7/2
By:
kenco
When: 07 Feb 11 09:43
Wolves 5.05

Probably not a good race to be betting odds on but watching shamardal phantoms last run although the race was run at a slow pace the last 100 hundred yards it just suddenly picked up and flew,very odd to watch on replays.The horse may be a dodgepot but if it shows that turhn of foot today will beat these i'm willing to risk a small bet to find out at 4/6.


SHAMARDAL PHANTOM 2PT WIN 4/6
By:
kenco
When: 07 Feb 11 10:23
This is one i've been keeping an eye on as its mark is dropping dramatically,i actually thought the horse was finished till its run behind brave echo when a running on 7th to brave echo form thats already been franked by the winner and hazzard county already.The interesting thing is will it be trying today as its mark from that run has gone down to 75 from 80 and looks like it could be set up for a nice handicap yet runs in this claimer today,thing that catches the eye is the price and 8s is massive on that run especially when most of the runners in this bar syrian have been running well below form.I'm going to take the 8s and see if there's a gamble as i couldn't back any of the others it probably won't be trying today but i can see a lot of punters following that formline and could see this going off around the 11/2 mark or shorter.Definitely one i will be following over the next few weeks whatever happens.Lack of pace in the race is the massive negative for me as syrian will sit back as well so they could finish in a heap.It's 8s with most books and will be trying to trade off pre race.

2PTS MASTERSHIP  TO TRADE PRE RACE
By:
kenco
When: 07 Feb 11 10:25
MASTERSHIP 8/1
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