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kenco
20 Jan 11 03:09
Joined:
Date Joined: 29 Sep 10
| Topic/replies: 2,114 | Blogger: kenco's blog
Bank will be 100 pts 1 point being £100 the maximum points staked will be 4 points per pick and will run it over the remaining aw season.Hopefuly will be able to get on here often enough to do it justice.If i get time will put summary of picks.Cool
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Report kenco February 16, 2011 9:41 AM GMT
All bets are with the books,that race was priced up at 6pm roughly yesterday,there will only be the odd trade when they are massive stand outs as i'm not a trader.
Report kenco February 16, 2011 3:44 PM GMT
Out at 6.6 small profit on race.

+5.72
Report kenco February 16, 2011 4:17 PM GMT
+5.82 Didn't see the race and only just watched it no pace totally against it 1m38.49 farce of a race.
Report kenco February 18, 2011 2:09 PM GMT
Lingfield 2.20

Tudor prince looks well handicapped on his win off 65 last october,shown nothing last three runs but could lead these,should be plenty of pace on and that may just suit ivory lace as well pulling double over a mile two races back.Two small ews going to put in cwni for com fcasts as the time it ran lto was
probably the quickest of the field on recenht form.


IVORY LACE .10PTEW 10/1
TUDOR PRINCE .10PTEW 7/1

0.05PT COMB FCASTS
IVORY LACE
TUDOR PRINCE
CWMNI
Report kenco February 18, 2011 2:33 PM GMT
+5.40
Report kenco February 18, 2011 8:05 PM GMT
Wolves 8.05

Strictly pink has put in some reasonable performances at kempton and had recent winner that hacked up green apple behind,misere half sister to tiddlywinks could be the danger small bet at 11/8.



STRICTLY PINK .40PT WIN.
Report kenco February 19, 2011 2:23 AM GMT
+5.95

With only one meeting per day next week,i maybe putting up previews for the aw meetings.Cool
Report kenco February 19, 2011 11:48 AM GMT
Lingfield 3.25

Probably the most competitive race of the day loads of pace on with norville,divinsky,prize point and primo de vida one that looks overpriced and thats al gillani i've taken 16s can see this going off 10s/11s.It was in norvilles race last week finishing well off the pace slightly eased in the last 100 yards so its worth a small ew and i will be having a pre race trade as well.Nubar boy is the one to beat but at 5s and needs everything to drop right 16s the selection is slightly overpriced.

AL GILLANI 16/1 1PT TO TRADE PRE RACE
           16/1     .10PTEW
Report kenco February 19, 2011 2:49 PM GMT
4.0

Very consistent five star junior and think was going to well last time out a faster pace today will see
him go close the danger looks like advertisement as i mentioned earlier on the thread ran a great time last season as fast as 90 rated horses on only its 4th run.These two on recent form look the most obvious,scorching wind definitely looks one to follow and flipando also horses that could win just keep your eye on the pair to see if they're trying today.

FIVE STAR JUNIOR .25PTEW 13/2
ADVERTISEMENT     .30PTEW 5/2
Report kenco February 19, 2011 3:39 PM GMT
Traded al gillani at 12s pre race.

+6.15
Report kenco February 19, 2011 4:11 PM GMT
Cool
Report kenco February 19, 2011 4:22 PM GMT
The obvious picks first and third watch out for the other two i mentioned.

Running total +8.08
Report kenco February 20, 2011 1:27 PM GMT
Kempton 1.50

Commanding presence a maiden after 41 races but last two runs at kempton 2nd to goodbye cash and a running on fifth to west leake times look ok compared to the rest of the field going 14s with sjs.Can't believe this won't be backed
so had a small ew and again to trade pre race.

COMMANDINGPRESENCE 14/1 1PT TO TRADE PRE RACE
               14/1   .10PTEW
Report kenco February 20, 2011 1:48 PM GMT
Lovely trade out at 11s.Cool
Report kenco February 20, 2011 1:53 PM GMT
+8.18.
Report kenco February 22, 2011 10:24 PM GMT
Kempton 8.05

A decent sprint with the improving clear praise winning from the 1 draw in a reasonable time having to stay on the outside all the way round and looking to still have a few pounds in hand,tomorrow drawn 11.The probable danger looks like sioux rising and formlines through vintage and fivestar junior would suggest its form is slightly better but would be hard to not back one without the other.The stakes i've used so far have been set so can only stick to the staking plan and bets can only be small,have backed them both ew and will have a small reverse fcast.

SIOUX RISING .20PTEW 11/2
CLEAR PRAISE .40PTEW 11/4
             .05PT REVERSE FCAST.
Report kenco February 23, 2011 8:25 PM GMT
+7.46
Report kenco February 25, 2011 2:55 PM GMT
Lingfield 3.40

Ateriible few days of racing on the aw today can only see a bit of value in a trade with ad vitam backed with sjames and ladcrooks at 14s weighted to beat george woolf tharts priced up at 13/2 and even though probably can't win the race i can see punters backing this as the fav does have to prove it stays.Totrade pre race.


AD VITAM 14/1 2PTS TO TRADE PRE RACE.
Report kenco February 25, 2011 3:38 PM GMT
Out at 15.5


+7.16
Report kenco February 27, 2011 7:48 PM GMT
Wolves 6.0

Trying to avoid the trades as mainly a backer but if there's a stand out will put them on here,tomorrows 6pm race at wolves beetuna priced at 16/1 with hills is far to big.It's run once over the trip in november over this c/d it was backed in the morning and travelled as sweet as anything from the 4f pole till outstayed in a race that was run in a decent time.The race was better than tomorrows
beetuna running off 77 tomorrow off 72 going to trade pre race as i can see this being backed quite heavily and it also looks a cracking in running back to lay looking at that run for anyone interested.

BEETUNA 16/1 HILLS 2PTS TO TRADE PRE RACE
Report kenco February 27, 2011 9:08 PM GMT
And 16/1 with vc as well now.
Report kenco February 28, 2011 9:18 AM GMT
2PTS TO TRADE PRE RACE BEETUNA NOW GOING 18/1 HILLS.
Report kenco February 28, 2011 9:54 AM GMT
TAKEN THWE 20S NOW WITH KORALS EVEN BIGGER ON HERE SOME 30S ABOUT [:o].


2PTS TO TRADE PRE RACE 20/1.
Report kenco February 28, 2011 9:57 AM GMT
HAD another 1POINT TO TRADE PRE RACE BEETUNA 22/1 V.CHANDLER.
Report kenco February 28, 2011 5:24 PM GMT
2points traded at 16.5Cool
Report kenco February 28, 2011 5:50 PM GMT
Out at 20s other point.

+8.06
Report kenco March 1, 2011 9:43 AM GMT
Another poor days racing and nothing worth backing at prices so once again comes down to a small trade on AD VITAM,had to cut out his own pace last time out and they didn't go quick enough as once headed by them all stayed on agaon.He's already beaten the fav a little bit dusty at wolves although now slightly worse off at the weights and a line through malice or mischief puts very little between them.The two other runners have to prove they stay so 9/1 with B.FRED is a decent price to trade if i thought there was guaranteed pace on i'd back it but as there isn't this will just be a pre race trade.Still waiting for a few more books to come up but think 9s will be biggest.

AD VITAM TO TRADE PRE RACE.9/1 B.FRED.
Report kenco March 1, 2011 10:25 AM GMT
2PTS PRE RACE 9/1 B.FRED.
Report kenco March 1, 2011 2:39 PM GMT
Disappointing out at average 9.6


+7.94
Report kenco March 2, 2011 11:41 AM GMT
Al gillani lowest mark for 3 three years won 2/7 over c/d and has been running on well last few runs has beating of jungle bay at the weights from the 12th of feb and if you look at garstsangs time from the 12th at these weights should beat that as well.Got  a big weight pull with best trip from an earlier run in the season and also a weight pull with sherjawy that should be enough,pelmanism similar to al gillani was unlucky hampered like al gillani on the 19th of feb in same race maybe little between them.At some point before the aw season ends al gillani must win so i'm just going to back it over its next runs,the thing that puts me off today slightly is the draw as last time it had a poor draw here it just ran to free trying to go with the pace and it hasn't won for two seasons but off this mark think its just a matter of time.It's 7/1 with
sky bet and if does no good today i'll be having a decent bet on it whatever on its runs over the next 4 weeks.

.20PTEW 7/1 SBET
Report kenco March 2, 2011 11:59 AM GMT
Wolves 4.30

Everything that was up with the pace at wolves won on monday so far view drawn 2 and maybe some improvement to come looks the most likely winner with the dangers such as simple rhythm drawn wide (12).
Simple ryhthm like al gillani looks ready to win and runs off al time low mark and looks one for the next few runs when it gets a decent draw,Far views time was ok at lingfield and had misaro 2 1/2ls back,misaro had previously run well over 6fs in a far better race than this behind norville also loyal royal in this grade is a good benchmark.


FAR VIEW .50PTEW 2/1
Report kenco March 2, 2011 6:47 PM GMT
+6.54
Report kenco March 3, 2011 9:29 AM GMT
Wolves 8.40

 
A few i've got marked off for the following month a few of these should win and some will be decent prices so i'd expect them to be showing a profit at least.

15.FLIPANDO


You won't see a more blatant non trier than this when ridden by ryan moore on the  28th of october dropped out over 7fs full of running at the 2f pole but poor attempt with shake of reigns this stood out a mile and has been in the notebook for ages.It's last two runs have been over 6fs and purely the lack of pace foir such good quality races has been its undoing,this time last year won off 87 by 5ls over 6fs at wolves and one race later was second off 95 to secret asset,he's only run 11 times on the aw won 3 second twice and third once you ignore the moore run and all his runs here have been decent.Impossible not to back in future runs looking at course record at lingfield especially as he's so versatile i wouldn't be surprised to see him stepping up to a mile and will be backing this over the next month,the last few runs should have ensured a decent price.







13.MANIFESTATION
14.GOTTANY O'S


Two from the same race on the 23rd of february at kempton over 1m3fs this season there have been no stand out times of any description especially amongst the 3yr olds then suddenly this race class 6 maiden clocked up 2m18.08 fast by 0.92 seconds faster than any race on the card.

Although not keeping track of times over the trip at kempton this seasson i can't remember any race for a long time being anywhere near this had a quick look at a few results last season and saw that last march dansilli dancer(99)won by 6ls in 2m17.20 beating king olav(beat dirar and fox hunt at kempton on thurday)and although they were carrying only 8-5 would be impossible to back against them on the aw at least.They could be decent

totally unexpected these performances as mentioned they stand out as nothing times wise has stood out this season.







12.


MR MACATTACK





Hasn't won for two seasons but the run behind brave echo was very eye catching absolutely full of running and was the one to take from that race forms been franked again by brave echo,hazzard county and ocean legend it looks like this fella needs to be held up off a strong gallop to see him at his best.His next run at wolves chased the pace over 7fs and finished last,after that run the price should represent value as you can put a line through that form certainly worth giving a couple of chances on that formline.









11.


JORDAURA



This gelding could turn out to be pretty handy for tony carroll on debut a complete non trier passing horses at will then returning to 7fs which now looks to short for it,september 2010 was only beaten 4ls by hajoum rated now 101 running on strongly over the 7fs at wolves medicean man was second now off 95,celtic sultan third now off 90 and jordaura nearest at the finish.That run was off 84 he now sits on 77 certainly one to bare in mind over the coming weeks off this falling mark


10.


BALLODAIR



Another speculative runner bit its all about prices relative to chances,lightly raced 4yr old again coming down the weights was rated 81 two seasons ago now on a mark of 68,the run on 29th of december looks good with clear praise and having recent winners best trip and ivory silk behind the field spread out.The run that really stands out though is when beaten 4ls behind jack rackham missing the break and numerous times hampered but still running on after all that interference to show a good attitude.Next time out front running tactics a line can be put through that race and although

could be a bit of a dodgepot prices will compensate as it will be to big.


9.


MASTERSHIP



Bit of a speculative one but i like the run behind brave echo on the 8th of jan really the first but of form this gelding had shown in a while but since has

run poorly again,that day behind brave echo there was adecent pace on and with brave echo and hazzard county both looking like very good formlines at the likely prices its worth having a speculative bet on this as the aw season ends.I think when there's some guaranteed pace on will be the time to bet as the recent clamier was a farce and since that run behind brave echo has dropped another 5 pounds,a mark this fella hasn't seen for 5 years.Got to be worth a little ew in handicaps!!





8.


CHARLES PARNELL



Now sitting on his lowest ever mark and really the main reason for this is noora looby the horse although i think is not running to its best even though she's claiming 7 pound it actually looks 10 pound worse off with her on it twice this season looking like it just needed a decent jock and wouldv'e been involved in both finishes at swell.Won off 64 last season at swell back there off its current mark of 57 all time low,certainly worth backing if staintons on board especially as these races are so weak,will be backed i would imagine as well!!!





7.


RESENTFUL ANGEL



Very frustrating this one as its hand has been shown and i'd got this down for future races after its run behind lay claim after a 3 month lay off,if you look at its form towards the end of last season was 4th to conduct off 87 beaten 3 1/2ls since its rise over the 70 mark has never been beaten further than 3 1/2ls in ten runs apart from the one run on soft ground.The comeback run behind lay claim was visually impressive as was 10ls off the pace which was decent finishing full of running,today suits me was able to dictate a false pace totally against this mare and yet she showed a great attitude to not be done for turn of foot.Looks improver and step up in trip will help hard to put a figure on her but i can see her winning in the 90s and also perhaps on turf today she looked as good as anything in that race the ay it was run.







6.


PEGASUS AGAIN



Pegasus again down to its lowest mark for 18 months showed it was back in form at kempton strangely sitting off the pace and not even ridden out to be close up 4th to big bay beaten 1/2length extremely eyecatching,Today was blatant ahern dropping it out strange tactic for a front runner and it looks blatant that its going to be aimed at some handicaps in the next few runs,again it will be overpriced relative to its chance,should be winning off this mark before this seasons out.It may even knock up a sequence off current mark.






5.

SIR NOD

Has won twice after breaks of 5 months and six months off marks of 69 and 71 so was interesting on this years debut with similar break,missed the kick and from that point had no chnce but if you watch the race was full of running coasting in midfield and proving all the ability is still there even at the age of 9.With a decent draw can't see why he won't run well of his curreent mark especially as these races are so weak at the moment with very few improvers.


4.


STONEACREGARETH



Stoneacregareth winning by 6ls but more interestingly the time of 1m24.68 which is decent when you consider the horse was eased and only running off 45,later on the card double carpet won off 63 in 1m25.17 beating horses rated in the 70s yet the race was .49 seconds slower than the 45 rated

fella and he was carrying 3 pound more than double carpet..Presuming he doesn't bounce he should be able to win a couple more if he is back to his best was rated 75 at one point.

STONEACREGARETH 8/13 HILLS.STAN 3PT WIN
Report kenco March 3, 2011 9:26 PM GMT
Backed this a few times tonight!!And BOG as well Cool

+8.54
Report kenco March 8, 2011 9:33 AM GMT
Uddy mac on mark of 54 in the 4.10 two thirds off 60 and 62 last season in may and slightly better races than these,the third behind amity and piddies power looks different class as the second piddies power has won off 68 and beat the multi winner hulcote rose.Two more seconds one to kate skate and had tsar bomba behind thats recently won off 57 at swell,the other a maiden second to khandaq form not really worked out.
Today uddy macs off 54 and its third was after a 10 month break,the most interesting thing is its pedigree related to loads of winners and on dirt and another thing i can see punters latching onto nicky bycrofts last 3 runners over hurdles have come 2/1/1,its 20/1 with most firms the two favs stand out but i can see this being backed looking at the trainer form.May even see some bigger prices as not all the books up yet,hopefully a nice trade.


.10PTEW UDDY MAC 20/1 MOST BOOKS.
2PTS TO TRADE PRE RACE.
Report kenco March 8, 2011 2:53 PM GMT
Swell 3.10

The surface has quickened at swell over the last two weeks so you can look back through the form and use the standard times as opposed the slower surfaces which are completely different day today.
Kipchak and yossi look very closely matched on the times produced on standard surface at swell davana a little to find the others you'd be guessing,two very small bets the pair.


KIPCHAK .60PT WIN 15/8
YOSSI   .20PTEW   9/2
Report kenco March 8, 2011 3:15 PM GMT
Swell 3.40

As above irish jugger on the standard times looks well in but the surface was slightly quicker than when eton fable and sir haydn ran against each other,there may not be much in it.Have backed the pair small as mexican jay could improove as well.



IRISH JUGGER .60PT WIN 7/4
SIR HAYDN     .15PTEW  13/2
Report kenco March 8, 2011 4:03 PM GMT
Swell 4.10


On recent form accamelia and premier league have the best times and still open to improvement,quite a few well handicapped ones in there so minimum stakes.



.15PTEW ACCAMELIA 9/2
.15PTEW PREMIER LEAGUE 4/1
Report kenco March 8, 2011 4:23 PM GMT
Traded out at 21 reasonable profit on day of +1.08


Total +9.62
Report kenco March 8, 2011 4:36 PM GMT
Swell 4.40

With the track riding so quick and transonic and elusive flame clocking up times in the 1.39's last season they may just prefer this to others in the race,token bets to end the day as were big drifters.



.10PTWIN TRANS SONIC 4/1
.10PTWIN ELUSIVE FLAME 4/1
Report kenco March 8, 2011 4:56 PM GMT
Gutted shouldv'e piled in!!!

+9.92Cool
Report kenco March 9, 2011 1:44 AM GMT
Lingfield 5.10

To trade silent oasis 9's with chandler and hills,surprised the prices havn't gone already its got the best run behind kiss a prince with the first third eight ninth and tenth winning.The time from that race is also the quickest that any of these have run over c/d,will be surprised if this goes off any bigger than 6s if not shorter.May have a small ew but 0/11 runs without a win the trade looks the best bet.


2PT TO TRADE PRE RACE SILENT OASIS 9/1 HILLS/CHANDLER.
Report kenco March 9, 2011 4:34 PM GMT
Lingfield 4.40

Not a great betting race but grande caiman and suntrap formlines look ok compared to most of the fields recent form,plus the times clocked of 2.45.80's region are ok for the trip.Small ew the pair.


GRANDE CAIMAN .20PTEW 7/2
SUNTRAP       ..25PTEW 3/1
Report kenco March 9, 2011 4:52 PM GMT
Cool
Report kenco March 9, 2011 5:07 PM GMT
Out at 7.4.
Report kenco March 9, 2011 5:43 PM GMT
Today +.66

Running total+10.58
Report Wicked Whisper March 9, 2011 7:35 PM GMT
Good luck!
Report kenco March 11, 2011 9:47 AM GMT
13.MANIFESTATION
14.GOTTANY O'S


Two from the same race on the 23rd of february at kempton over 1m3fs this season there have been no stand out times of any description especially amongst the 3yr olds then suddenly this race class 6 maiden clocked up 2m18.08 fast by 0.92 seconds faster than any race on the card.

Although not keeping track of times over the trip at kempton this seasson i can't remember any race for a long time being anywhere near this had a quick look at a few results last season and saw that last march dansilli dancer(99)won by 6ls in 2m17.20 beating king olav(beat dirar and fox hunt at kempton on thurday)and although they were carrying only 8-5 would be impossible to back against them on the aw at least.They could be decent

totally unexpected these performances as mentioned they stand out as nothing times wise has stood out this season.
7.20 WOLVES
Although i don't think gottany o's is a definite to win this i can only bet on the clock time and indochinas form looks very good,it will be a small bet at the prices as backing channon odds on shots you'll go broke.

.84PT WIN GOTTANY O'S 5/6
Report kenco March 11, 2011 8:03 PM GMT
As write up could be anything,managed a bit of 10/11 as well.Cool


Total +11.28
Report kenco March 12, 2011 4:13 PM GMT
4.25

As above flipando this is a token bet as its drawn 12 and the surface is riding really slow and only suiting certain horses i want to leave it completely but would be gutted if it wins.Token bet and really am hoping for a better day to bet.



FLIPANDO .10PT WIN 7/1
MEDICEAN MAN 0.05 PT WIN 6/1
Report kenco March 12, 2011 4:56 PM GMT
Cool
Report kenco March 12, 2011 6:35 PM GMT
+12.03
Report kenco March 16, 2011 3:03 PM GMT
SWELL 5.05

Striking the winds debut looked ok the time of the race was quicker than elhamris winning the older handicap off 72,if striking wind improves for the distance then will take something decent to beat it.
The couple of negatives when he ran the track was riding a lot slower than it is now and a large majority of horses that have run well on the slower surface,havn't performeed now its quicker,the other this horse was running all over the place and looked to be a thinker for those reasons can only be a small bet.

STRIKING THE WIND .40PTWIN 13/8
Report kenco March 16, 2011 10:08 PM GMT
+11.63
Report kenco March 18, 2011 9:50 AM GMT
Wolves 7.50


To trade beetuna down to a mark of 69 lowest for 2 1/2 years when it last won off 67 a second to westend lad off 75 in nobvember is as good as anything in this been disappointing since although still only 4ls behind the lockmaster which ties in with the favs form black coffee.This is a poor race and 14s it should be backed at that price,hanagan rides and i can see a big gamble with him aboard,nice trade pre race is safest bet.



2PTS TO TRADE PRE RACE BEETUNA 14/1
Report kenco March 18, 2011 11:01 AM GMT
[;)]
Report kenco March 18, 2011 7:05 PM GMT
Out at average 7.6Silly

+1.28

Running total +12.91Cool
Report kenco March 21, 2011 5:17 PM GMT
Wolves 5.20

An open race but three have similar formlines at the weights against each other straboe,the tatling and sallys swansong.


THE TATLING .10PTEW 10/1
SALLYS SWANSONG .10PTEW 8/1

COMB FCASTS THE TATLING,SALLYS SWANSONG,STRABOE 0.05 PTS
Report kenco March 21, 2011 5:43 PM GMT
+.49Cool


Running total+13.40
Report kenco March 22, 2011 9:28 AM GMT
Swell 5.10

Ronnie howe looks slightly overpriced at 10s in the 5.10 as there only looks to be 4 that stand out,the
fav kheley has virtually the same formline through lujiana and also identical time yet ronnie howe is 10/1 and kheley is 9/2.Could be a gamble at that price so will try trading as unsure of the 11 draw.



RONNIE HOWE TO TRADE PRE RACE 10/1 B.FRED.
Report kenco March 22, 2011 9:29 AM GMT
Swell 5.10

Ronnie howe looks slightly overpriced at 10s in the 5.10 as there only looks to be 4 that stand out,the
fav kheley has virtually the same formline through lujiana and also identical time yet ronnie howe is 10/1 and kheley is 9/2.Could be a gamble at that price so will try trading as unsure of the 11 draw.



RONNIE HOWE TO TRADE PRE RACE 2PTS 10/1 B.FRED
Report kenco March 22, 2011 5:18 PM GMT
Out at 6.8Cool


+.64

Running total+14.04Silly
Report kenco March 23, 2011 9:19 AM GMT
Kempton 6.20


Hecton lasd only had the 5 runs on the 9th of feb was 3rd here in a reasonable time of 2m6.35 which is pretty reasonable for this grade and quicker than anything else has run here in this race from past visits.Although it ran poorly next time out its proved it on the clock and 12s is very big can't see that lasting,with unreliability of stable will have a pre race trade and a small ew.

2PTS TP TRADE BET 365 12/1
.10PTEW 12/1
Report kenco March 23, 2011 9:36 AM GMT
Shocked
Report kenco March 23, 2011 6:01 PM GMT
Out at 6.4 Cool
Report kenco March 23, 2011 6:27 PM GMT
+14.96Cool
Report I.quit.my.country March 24, 2011 12:00 AM GMT
Kenco did you really get 200 on these horses with b365 baldies etc .

Honest answer please.

When i get chance to play i dó  a similar thing but get involved with most in the lineup . I never get anywhere near 200 on though cos it just ain't thère that early . IF it was i would be writing This from a Beach .

Can you really get good amounts on with these firms ? IF so i'm moving back to uk Plain
Report kenco March 24, 2011 12:58 AM GMT
Can't really discuss on here but i have over 30 accounts over half a dozen persons that put on for me,i got another £25ew plus £200 on today,the accounts rarely last long especially if one of the bigger priced ones wins.But i try to aviod using these firms and as mentioned previously am not really into trading,i work with other people if you want to ask me anything better off sending me a  message as this thing i'm doing here i'm really doing for my own entertainment when i get a chance.Just showing punters how to stake i could run 50 of these threads and show a profit but rarely get time to come on here.
Report I.quit.my.country March 24, 2011 6:45 PM GMT
Fair play mate and good luck to ya. I hope it lasts a long time but beware the bookies might read the forum.
Report kenco March 25, 2011 4:45 PM GMT
Dire cards the last few days and really can't see anything outstanding singles wise so to smaller stakes than was going to use on here will try 2x ew yanks.

5.50 fanditha 5/2
6.15 sleeping brave 11/10
7.15 plush 10/30
8.15 green manalishi 4/1

5.50 baylini 4/1
6.15 sleeping brave 11/10
7.15 officer in command 5/2
8.15 green manalishi 4/1


Both 2x 0.025 ew total staked 1.10 PTS
Report kenco March 25, 2011 9:15 PM GMT
-.27

running total +14.69
Report kenco March 29, 2011 2:53 PM BST
More desperate cards this week!!

Swell 3.0 A small bet on karasenir at 5/6 don't like backing 4 yr olds against potentially improving 3 yr olds but the two running against it look limited,rated 130 over hurdles and related to kasthari if it doesn't win this you won't see it on the flat again.A small bet at the price.



KARASENIR .80PT WIN 5/6
Report kenco March 29, 2011 4:26 PM BST
+13.89
Report I.quit.my.country March 29, 2011 6:28 PM BST
More Dire the better :)

2 races done today at lingers and 2 Winners at 9 and 8,4

Happy days - be sorry to see the AW season come to an end.

Hope my ratings and prices transfer to turf  - that's the worry.

How dó you fare on the turf ?
Report kenco March 30, 2011 10:04 AM BST
Better on the turf as i do all 2 yr old times and have a to follows list which i constantly update,last season was 300 pts to 1 pt stakes,previous season fifty so 100+ is what i'm looking to average.

Onto todays rubbish
Wolves 5.30
Purely to trade pre race grudge strictly at the weights cant beat incomparable but the race itself is impossible,but grudge runs well when the surface seems to be quicker as it is at the moment.Has already finished infront of  sloob johnb in a claimer 14/1 and is better off at the weights.Island legend 5/1 beat it 2 1/2ls now ten pounds worse off with grudge yet priced up at 5s now dropped to 69 won off 68 earlier this season has luke morris on board could easily see this being backed,unlikely it will win but at 20/1 definitely worth a trade pre race.May even be bigger in the morning but with luke morris on board could be overbet!!

TO TRADE PRE RACE GRUDGE 16/1 1 PT
Report kenco March 30, 2011 10:08 AM BST
Wolves 7.30
Another to trade just timmy marcus 25s with s.james has run 5 times over this c/d never been out of the first 6 been 5/2/6/5/3 and that includes a 2 3/4 beating by star links,the horse looks impossible to win with but 25s could easily run ok in this race and i can see a little gamble.To trade pre race.

TO TRADE PRE RACE JUST TIMMY MARCUS 25/1 1PT
Report kenco March 30, 2011 6:12 PM BST
+13.49
Report kenco March 30, 2011 9:34 PM BST
Took 16s not 20s so another -.40 took stake back on just timmy after grudge loss,couldn't possibly go off the price it did.Shocked

+13.09
Report kenco April 1, 2011 6:33 PM BST
aw season finishes so will be keeping this going as still a few meetings per week,but will run a seperate thread for the turf and no tradingCool.
Wolves 6.40

Two stand out over the c/d and thats leyte gulf and little richard there are a couple open to improvement but still have it to prove,if there's a reasonable pace on then hopefully the two mentioned could have it between them as they do have the fastest times over c/d.

LEYTE GULF 1 POINT WIN 11/4
LITTLE RICHARD .75PT WIN 4/1
.10PT REVERSE FCAST.
Report kenco April 1, 2011 6:45 PM BST
+11.14
Report kenco April 2, 2011 12:29 PM BST
Kempton 4.35

Mosqueras romance poly specialist and a few formlines through aspectoflove beats the majority of the field on that form,fun affair could be anything and will obviously be better than its previous form
but on this occasion the 15//8 was a bit to tempting especially with the plum draw.

MOSQUERAS ROMANCE 1POINT WIN 15/8
Report kenco April 2, 2011 4:41 PM BST
+10.14
Report kenco April 7, 2011 2:15 PM BST
Kempton 7.55

Fair passion ran its best race for some time last time out dropped out and stayed on quite well,it looks like they're setting this up for a gamble dropped to a mark of 68 the last time she was on this low a mark was 12 months ago and won off 67.Adam kirby ride will be the most interesting thing to watch tonight either dropped out and never put in the race or he will probably produce the ride of the night and a gamble.Will be backing this on its next few runs as it looks only a matter of time.

FAIR PASSION .20PTEW 8/1
Report kenco April 7, 2011 2:18 PM BST
Kempton 8.10

Seeking magic stands out in the race running 1m26.27 on debut comes on 10 pounds for the run and a mark of 70 looks lenient,i think its worth a small bet but this fella wants further and if they don't go quick enough will definitely get beat.There are a few 6f horses in there so will be a minimum bet but i'll be keeping on the right side of this when stepped up in trip as its crying out for further,


SEEKING MAGIC .80PT WIN 13/8 lost running total +9.34
Report kenco April 7, 2011 11:29 PM BST
+9.46
Report kenco April 8, 2011 2:40 PM BST
Wolves 6.15

Hootys agogo related to requisite run well on aw surface ran on well on debut here,the ones that have run look to be struggling if the fav shows natural improvement the dangers look to be odd ball 4 yr old but 9-11 first time out and ginzah bre for further but nice pedigree.Worth a bet with that experience,will be watching ginzah closely for future ref it may even be backed bred for further but will be watching it closely.



HOOTYS AGOGO 2PTWIN EVENS.
Report kenco April 9, 2011 7:17 PM BST
wolves 7.20

Looking at the times if sound amigo has come on as per norm looks like it should have a length or two in hand of these,will have a reverse fcast with rhal as a saver.




2pt win strong amigo 7/4
.50 reverse fcast rhal
Report kenco April 9, 2011 7:26 PM BST
Cool
Report kenco April 9, 2011 7:34 PM BST
Full house fcast£8.22[;)] poor meetings so hardly any bets on here but will always be showing a profit as long as i get the time to get on here.Silly

Running total+14.07Cool
Report kenco April 12, 2011 10:55 AM BST
wolves 2.20

Royal bajan looked potentially far better than debut run,the thirds let the form down but will be disapppointed if it can't win off this mark.



ROYAL BAJAN 4/6 2PT WIN
Report kenco April 12, 2011 2:57 PM BST
+12.07
Report kenco April 13, 2011 6:28 PM BST
Kempton 6.30

As previous write up about fair passion,small bet as lack of pace could beat it like lto.


FAIR PASSION .40PT WIN 7/4
Report kenco April 13, 2011 6:49 PM BST
No pace againCry+11.67
Report kenco April 14, 2011 1:26 PM BST
7.15 kempton


Reasonable debut as 2 yr old field of miracles running on 4th at newmarket in october,related to sour mash this filly could be half decent.The time of her newmarket run was ok compared to the older horses on the card as well,slight off putting thing is gosdens had a few beat over the last ten days all at short prices.

FIELD OF MIRACLES 2PT WIN 8/13
Report kenco April 14, 2011 7:30 PM BST
Had a bit more on as well[;)],as mentioned gosden a few beat last week thus the drift Cool.



+12.90Silly
Report kenco April 20, 2011 3:06 PM BST
20 Apr 11 11:46   


1.FIREBEAM


Ran today at donny and the time of the race compared favourably with the two 7f handicaps,firebeams maiden was run in 1m26.06 exactly the same time as the handicap won by 79 rated lord aeryn and the following handicap won by king of eden 1m25.91.Firebeam was given a lovely introduction by fallon,one crack and allowed to come home without being punished,with improvement to come and looking at the times firebeam looks a mid 80's horse already,so for the near future a maiden should be a formality and will be interesting to see how much it actually improves for handicaps.

FIREBEAM 2PT WIN 4/5


lost +10.90
Report kenco April 25, 2011 7:12 PM BST
A trade purely because tomorrows racing is dire

6.20

The only progressive horse in the race la fortunata 12/1 chandlers,only been unplaced once out of its last 7 runs and that was its last run of the season.Two cracking runs at epsom when second to cape royal recently second there in a far better race than this,everything in behind was rated in the high 80s.The previous race to that 2nd of 16 to monsieur joe most of the runners in that race were in the 90s and high 80s and purely because it hasn'tb had a run its a trade as the 12/1 looks massive.

2PT TRADE PRE RACE LA FORTUNATA 12/1 CHANDLERS OR 11/1 WITH HILLS.
Report kenco April 26, 2011 6:14 PM BST
Out at 8sCool


+11.70
Report kenco May 11, 2011 6:07 PM BST
Kempton 8.50

Pegasus again maybe shouldv'e won here when 4th behind big bay off 78,fanning not given it the greatest ride runs tonight off all time low with the claimer taking off 3 pound finished behind chilli green thats 8s as opposed to the 20s for pegasus in tonights race.With a clearer run and better ride wouldv'e beaten chilli green .Been given a few suspect rides over the months since december,it also has the third fastest time at the track at the weights,at 20/1 can see money for this if they're having ago.Will certainly be watching this over the next few weeks.

TO TRADE PRE RACE 2PTS 20/1 KORALS,BOYLES,FRED.
Report kenco May 11, 2011 10:13 PM BST
SillyThey're still at it,this will be out within the next two weeks (nap)keep it to yourselves.Shocked

+10.70
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