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wur
29 Sep 10 20:26
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Date Joined: 25 Aug 03
| Topic/replies: 4,387 | Blogger: wur's blog
I think 5% should see you through the worst case losing run. Could just about tolerate losing two thirds of my betting bank. What do you think - too conservative, too risky, or about right?
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Report Lori September 29, 2010 8:35 PM BST
What % of winners are you getting?
Report wur September 29, 2010 8:37 PM BST
Well, it's hypothetical, but 55% winners is realistic.
Report Lori September 29, 2010 8:40 PM BST
If you can really hit 55% of evens shots (It's possible but unlikely), then you can bet a maximum of 10% of your bank on each one.

It's basically 2% of bank per 1% of winners at exactly evens. However beware of overestimating yourself.
Report wur September 29, 2010 8:44 PM BST
Thanks. Very useful info.
Report Lori September 29, 2010 8:45 PM BST
http://www.sbrforum.com/betting+tools/kelly+calculator.aspx

Play around with that for similar questions, again bear in mind that's the absolute maximum you should consider, and realistically you'll be betting beneath that. (I like the sound of your 5% max)
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