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EmrahGS
16 Jul 10 22:46
Joined:
Date Joined: 24 Sep 08
| Topic/replies: 103 | Blogger: EmrahGS's blog
If with under/over the probability is 50% to be an over or an under 2.5.... how to calculate the probability (=odds) to be eg. 1.8 goals?

In other words, I have my own calculation for number of goals for an upcoming match and I want to find the value in odds. As an example: My model says 3,65 goals and the odds are 1,50. Is there any way to find valueable odds in this way?
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Report kenilworth • July 17, 2010 9:40 AM BST
I would question your 3.65 goals in any normal match, as even a top v bottom side would be no more than about 3.2.
Report EmrahGS • July 17, 2010 8:52 PM BST
Have a look at Norway 2nd div.
Report kenilworth • July 18, 2010 10:07 AM BST
I'm talking about proper markets.
Report Lori • July 18, 2010 10:17 AM BST
http://stattrek.com/Tables/Poisson.aspx
Report kenilworth • July 18, 2010 3:14 PM BST
What would some people do without Poisson ?
Report Lori • July 18, 2010 5:17 PM BST
Probably work it out longhand instead.
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