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General Betting
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If with under/over the probability is 50% to be an over or an under 2.5.... how to calculate the probability (=odds) to be eg. 1.8 goals?
In other words, I have my own calculation for number of goals for an upcoming match and I want to find the value in odds. As an example: My model says 3,65 goals and the odds are 1,50. Is there any way to find valueable odds in this way?
In other words, I have my own calculation for number of goals for an upcoming match and I want to find the value in odds. As an example: My model says 3,65 goals and the odds are 1,50. Is there any way to find valueable odds in this way?
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I would question your 3.65 goals in any normal match, as even a top v bottom side would be no more than about 3.2.
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Have a look at Norway 2nd div.
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I'm talking about proper markets.
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http://stattrek.com/Tables/Poisson.aspx
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What would some people do without Poisson ?
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Probably work it out longhand instead.
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