FatalStatistics

Hey rocket , just saw this... thanks for the interest !
Unfortunately my forum name haunts me.... I'll post again on this thread the gorey details tmorrow or when i get a chance.
The theory is still 'statistically' profitable, my bank was just not big enough to handle the 'correct score rollercoaster !! especially of late with all the 0-0's.
Maybe you can help me with a smarter staking plan ?
more to come..& i hope all you correct score wizards out there are willing to assist...

i know it comes across as aftertiming but 0-0 is very often overpriced on here, maybe due to the amount of people who see it as easy money and just click on the available lay price taking the book, essentially, to below 100%. I always found your thread an interesting read fatal.

Yep. 0-0 is a bit of an enigma. Attracts way too much money. I suspect it's all those covering match odds trades, etc.

mmm, did post more info before the forum reformat, now not showing...
anyway, think i have successfully reconfigured the spreadsheet to more accurately reflect the 'true odds' of correct score markets.
I'll post some up on here for interest.
All calculated between 2 & 4 hours before Ko.

Rubin Kazan v CSKA Moscow - Correct Score
0/0    8.8
0/1    12.3
0/2    21.2
0/3    44.2
1/0    6.5
1/1    5.5
1/2    16.4
1/3    59.9
2/0    16.1
2/1    9.4
2/2    17.9
2/3    106.7
3/0    33.7
3/1    30.7
3/2    288.6
3/3    206.6
AnyUnq    58.1

Dutching seems the way to go,  anyone else dutch correct scores ??
not done enough testing to be conclusive  but would make sense with my method to 'level out' the rollercoaster  ,...