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Rocket to the FACE
28 Apr 10 22:07
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Date Joined: 28 Oct 08
| Topic/replies: 13,471 | Blogger: Rocket to the FACE's blog
How's it going? Still running the theory behind your thread?

Any plans of a new thread?

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Replies: 5
By:
FatalStatistics
When: 29 Apr 10 14:21
Hey rocket , just saw this... thanks for the interest !
Unfortunately my forum name haunts me.... I'll post again on this thread the gorey details tmorrow or when i get a chance.
The theory is still 'statistically' profitable, my bank was just not big enough to handle the 'correct score rollercoaster !! especially of late with all the 0-0's.
Maybe you can help me with a smarter staking plan ?
more to come..& i hope all you correct score wizards out there are willing to assist...
By:
buzzer
When: 29 Apr 10 14:28
i know it comes across as aftertiming but 0-0 is very often overpriced on here, maybe due to the amount of people who see it as easy money and just click on the available lay price taking the book, essentially, to below 100%. I always found your thread an interesting read fatal.
By:
REM
When: 29 Apr 10 14:33
Yep. 0-0 is a bit of an enigma. Attracts way too much money. I suspect it's all those covering match odds trades, etc.
By:
FatalStatistics
When: 14 May 10 13:10
mmm, did post more info before the forum reformat, now not showing...
anyway, think i have successfully reconfigured the spreadsheet to more accurately reflect the 'true odds' of correct score markets.
I'll post some up on here for interest.
All calculated between 2 & 4 hours before Ko.

Rubin Kazan v CSKA Moscow - Correct Score
0/0    8.8
0/1    12.3
0/2    21.2
0/3    44.2
1/0    6.5
1/1    5.5
1/2    16.4
1/3    59.9
2/0    16.1
2/1    9.4
2/2    17.9
2/3    106.7
3/0    33.7
3/1    30.7
3/2    288.6
3/3    206.6
AnyUnq    58.1
By:
FatalStatistics
When: 06 Jun 10 00:26
Dutching seems the way to go,  anyone else dutch correct scores ??
not done enough testing to be conclusive  but would make sense with my method to 'level out' the rollercoaster  ,...
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