General Betting
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start bank: 200
target bank this time next week: 220
horses: laying my top-rated :0
must hit the target which involves aggressive staking particularly in the loss recovery department
theory: my top-rated horse is so because it has already shown it's best running
1. lay £3.33 Take Ten @4.6 (Sandown 2.20)
target bank this time next week: 220
horses: laying my top-rated :0
must hit the target which involves aggressive staking particularly in the loss recovery department
theory: my top-rated horse is so because it has already shown it's best running
1. lay £3.33 Take Ten @4.6 (Sandown 2.20)
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Replies: 60
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2. lay £3.78 Master Lightfoot @4.7 (Wolves 3.05)
also dutch betting no2-4/5/6 rated also returns a profit (dutch betting as many as you can in rating order to make around an EVEN money shot, but leaving out the top-rated) |
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so you are saying that you are **** at picking winners so you are going to lay your best selection?
You better get used to the cheaper street tubes. Add lots of mustard. |
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Your last dutching thread didn't pay, I believe
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no my theory is up there in black and white......I did not continue with dutching thread (too much hassle and too much other things on mind). This thread is simple to write and it helps me, whether it helps you or not I'm not really interested. Good luck.
3. layed £4.52 Stopped Out @4.1 (4.15 Perth) |
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"aggressive staking particularly in the loss recovery" - basically chasing your losses which will inevitably lead to irrational bets
looks like a quick way to being bust good luck though :) |
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I quit my Job .... zipper will take you on .. sounds a bit of fun .. and funs good .. what are we playing for EG level stakes or any stake .. whats the rules .. over to you .
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I reread your thread. It had been pre-brain in gear so did miss your theory on this. So I retract my previous.
You may take a closer look at data and find that, for example, horses that run at the same distance might continue a winning streak. This might give you an edge. The "aggressive betting". Remove it. It is called chasing. If you can turn a switch and accept a loss is gone, you will become a better player (imo). Where did I learn this? Promoting shows. Once the band says goodnight and are packing their gear, the books are done. I learnt from my losses. |
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Take each bet on its merit re value in the odds..........do not level stake, as this is an inefficient way to bet.....and ignore a previous loss.
If you are any good...you should win through the "edges" you have. GL....you'll need that in a 5 FURLONG sprint with first bet!( not saying it will win.....but it certainly COULD win) |
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Sharp and Dfc put up or shut up . zip will put up dont take that wrong .. its only a bit of fun ... lets keep it that way .. ok lads put your opinions up 2.20 sandown 3.05 wolver 4.15 perth ...
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You first zipper ..........put up or shut up !
2.20 |
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My opinion on these 3 races will be posted before 2.00pm zzzzzzz
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DFC thats why the Wife named me zipper ... zip it zipper how many times has she told me that .. but thats wifes but i love her to bits ..
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Any mention of loss recovery = project DOOMED to fail.
It's that simple. |
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Hey ...... i taught her every thing she knows about horses / hadicapping .. but not every thing I know .. tip the wink ..
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Mugbil .. never ever put cash at risk you cannot afford to lose .. but you have to start somewere .. say you bet 5k on a nag if its out of the winnings thats OK .. its called re investments .. the BIg Business do it all the time ... Marks and Sparks Laddies get the drift ..
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Well i post mine now.......
2.20 A race that is wide open and highly competitive. Laying a horse in this race is dodgy IMO....better to BACK one. Horses that appear to be ones to consider are :_ Dorback - the DRAW is a bit of a concern ......but when it won the others behind it have mainly won races either befoore the race or after race.......so must be a contender to win. If it jumps out well ...then has every chance to win....any slight hesitancy at start ...and the draw might stop it winning. Take Ten - has a good draw......and form was good fresh......and trainer in form....so has every chance to win Nosedive Drawn near rail.....and won first time out.....lightly raced from race record.....has a chance of winning. Di Stefano - Not as strong patterns of running as some...but Fallon on and going should suit ...so with middle draw it will be imporatnt that does not hesitate at start ...as will have difficulty catching some of em ...probably. However ....does have a chance to win. Duchess Dora may do better of soft going......but has won ....and might figure in finish ....just think some of other ones appear to be better for going. The other ones have chances too.............................so just a hard race to lay one in. 5 Furlong sprints ...plus 6 yards....are , by the nature of short trip race.....DIFFICULT to get lays "right" consistently. So you gotta have a STRONG OPINION on the race to lay one .....I don't have a STRONG OPINION on which one to lay. If pressed hard to select one it would be - Yurituni GB / Sand 23rd Apr / 14:20 5f Hcap Yurituni Lay 23-Apr-10 13:13 10.5 66.00 10.5 23-Apr-10 13:13 Due to DRAW and pattern of race results....and opposition against. If BACKING one it would be :_ GB / Sand 23rd Apr / 14:20 5f Hcap Nosedive Back 23-Apr-10 13:15 7 12.00 7.4 23-Apr-10 13:15 Draw is a concern though.............. OK zipper ...I've PUT UP ....so now will SHUT UP ]:) Come on oh knowledgeable one |
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DFC thanks for your reply ......... Lets have a. bit of fun zips is all for that .. but i Fly Planes ... So here goes the punters are already boarding ...Zip says ..... Welcome aboard Flight 303 Air Flingus ...... your Captain today is Capt Zipper .. we have take off at 1.55 Please have your seat belts on this may be a bumpy ride
Sand 2.20 back Take Ten ........ Lay Fratellino .. more late |
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I expect VOLCANIC ASH zip :D
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GL both of youssssssssssssssssssss
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BTW - i already had a tiny bet to win on TAKE TEN.....so not copying you zip .....]:)
GB / Sand 23rd Apr / 14:20 5f Hcap Take Ten Back 23-Apr-10 12:31 4.5 3.00 4.6 23-Apr-10 12:31 |
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zipper ....we better be fair to I QUIT ...and do this on your other thread for next few races ...YES???
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DFCIRONMAN 23 Apr 13:17
Well i post mine now....... 2.20 A race that is wide open and highly competitive. Seriously, as one who used to back horses, why bother? This is the sort of race that should be avoided at all costs imo. |
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No idea what you are on about, zipper?
I know for a fact, as sure as 1+1=2, chasing losses as part of a betting plan is guaranteed to fail. |
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I agree ....but as zip says "it is only a bit of fun" ...and as it is a HARD RACE ....I like to be tested....
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Hi Muqbil......I trust you've noticed SO FAR I've turned around my losses on football bets into PROFIT.......
The horse racing at present is stuttering along ....but getting there with doing a combination of 1 lay and sometimes backs in races......still doing to too many races...but all part of layig learning curve. Trust you are doing well as usual.... |
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DFC zip wii put one up Called next 3 races plus naps if thats ok with you zip ait ever been a blushing bride .......
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Fair enough zip ...will check which races you mean etc
Cheers the noooooooo |
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Deise Dan layed in 2.05
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Come on zip ...where is thread with races you want to take on??????
can't hang about here all day waiting on you getting act together ...your nurse will be in shortly ...and we all know you drop everything for her :D |
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wd on lays every body ..especially IQMJ :D
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2.30 layed TEALING
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2.30 back the filly Catherines Call
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I already did zip ..well BEFORE your late post!
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GB / Wolv 23rd Apr / 14:30 7f Sell Stks Catherines Call Back 23-Apr-10
12:31 6.6 3.00 6.8 23-Apr-10 12:31 |
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DFC my thread is up just for you kiss kiss kiss .. that Catherines Call left it a bit late but she won .. shes a lot better than that but a winner is a winner .. losers can please them self ...zzzzzzz
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DFC ........ i HAVE to go late zip knows the markets inside out 2 mins post time is Ant Post for real Gamblers ......... you need all the info at your finger tips
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Crap zip....you should have an OPINION based on your assessment of a race...not based on matrket moves which generally don't mean sqat!
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zipper 23 Apr 14:43
DFC ........ i HAVE to go late zip knows the markets inside out 2 mins post time is Ant Post for real Gamblers ......... you need all the info at your finger tips LOL, zip you are hilarious. |
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General Midwinter you sound very cold to me ...... Any how move on zips hilarious the wife oftern says zip it zipper ....... my ribs are aching ( laughting )with your comments when was the last time you gave your (girl... wife a laught )....
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