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DEVLIN-LFC
14 Apr 10 05:38
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Date Joined: 03 Feb 10
| Topic/replies: 1,347 | Blogger: DEVLIN-LFC's blog
in relation to the thread below wat if ur achieveing a 90 percent strike rate as im trying a method betting severe hot favourites 6-4 or under with severe good form top trainers top rated horses distance form good ruuning against bad form horses. id say the odds i get would range beetween 1.10 and 1.40 mainly i was betting in doubles with small stakes before and did make money but got a few loses and now have reajusted by system to increase strike rate
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Report Muqbil April 14, 2010 6:16 AM BST
Totally unrealistic to expect such a sr at those odds.
Report Compound Magic April 14, 2010 6:18 AM BST
Sounds too good to be true are my initial thoughts.
That strike rate laying is possible, but betting to win implausible, place betting
slightly more plausible.

How many selections was this % win rate calculated on and what is
the average dividend of the winner and what is the frequency of bets ~
How many bets per month?
Report birch2 April 14, 2010 12:35 PM BST
compound

but betting to win implausible

8 years of betting like this - in profit every year , PC payer and still making it pay - so PLAUSIBLE it definitely is
Report Compound Magic April 14, 2010 2:31 PM BST
birch2

Did you read me right?
That is a 90% win strike rate ~ 9 out of every 10 bets on average that you
bet on win?
Report DEVLIN-LFC April 14, 2010 4:08 PM BST
yes well i have never gone below 85 id say over peroid of time but use every thing in my arsenal i will only bet favourites that are 6/4 or undr have form lines of say 211 212 321 231 132 etc against horses that have bad form lines of say like 687 543 096 and i only use say top 20 trainers in the country and the bets are quite often because i can use it any country in the world that does horse racing on betfair for example dungiub was a no bet although he did place because if u look at the form lines of other horses they were like 321 111 211 that suggest a competitive race so no bet i would say must g1s would be a no bet
Report birch2 April 14, 2010 5:14 PM BST
compound

It is possible in the right scenario - which I'm obviously not going to divulge, but just because you cant see it - dont jump on the bandwagon that says it isnt possible
Report DEVLIN-LFC April 14, 2010 5:19 PM BST
well compound even betting favourites 6/4 or under to place blindly u would get very high strike so when u put form work into of course u can achieve 90 percent strike rate and ill tell u now america is probably the best country to do it in
Report Compound Magic April 14, 2010 5:52 PM BST
Implausible to me means unlikely or hard to believe, but I was never good at
English.

I did not mean to suggest it was impossible. If I posted my edge on my strike
rate of 19%, most would also think it highly unlikely.

However if he, or anyone else gets a strike rate of 90% on win bets they need no advice from this forum.

Cheers.
Report DEVLIN-LFC April 14, 2010 5:59 PM BST
your right i need no advice im just on this forum to past time my last bet today was gates of rome now i will be waiting for more horses the larry rivelli horse race 4 at hawthorne looks a selection if it meets futher requirements
Report DEVLIN-LFC April 14, 2010 6:06 PM BST
my bad my bad it was larry rivelli horse in the 5th race but it dont meet futher requirements so no bet although i expect it to place but u got to be disciplined and cant bend rules see my brains like a computer no need for software
Report Muqbil April 14, 2010 6:12 PM BST
This thread has taken an amsuing twist.

The new series of deadliest catch starts this week.
Report DEVLIN-LFC April 14, 2010 11:10 PM BST
and i forgot to mention the horse must be no more than 5-2 in the morning line or open at 5-2 so tere no gambled on horses
Report sweetchildofmine April 14, 2010 11:17 PM BST
devlin your approach is very simplistic and imo theres no way you will even maintain a 60% strike rate in the long term
Report DEVLIN-LFC April 14, 2010 11:28 PM BST
lol my d u fing reed wat i said u dumbwit i look at evry everything u dumbwit u fing plum i look at evry varable if one negative then no bet u stupid plum lol lol ok i im on a 12 streak currently how did i get that 12 streak my looking at everyting top raters top trainers distance winners u plum
Report sweetchildofmine April 14, 2010 11:30 PM BST
calm down you raving loony..all im saying is you cant build a 90% strike rate on how many 1's, 2's and 3's are in the formlines..trainer in form or otherwise......now b.r.e.a.t.h.e
Report DEVLIN-LFC April 14, 2010 11:33 PM BST
i think it would be hard too go under 60 even betting blindly u stupid plum favorites under6/4 or under have a place strike of 72 percent thats betting blindly without looking at form so your 60 percent reply its nonsense go back to school u fool lol learn some mathmatics and back your facts up
Report sweetchildofmine April 14, 2010 11:35 PM BST
DEVLIN-LFC 01 Apr 02:09


a lesson never bet on champions league games thier too close especially quarter finals this is the golden rule bet very hood home teams when playing very bad away teams an example would be genoa v liovorno this weekend




Hull 01 Apr 02:12


Dam, don't tell everybody
Report Roger OASIS April 14, 2010 11:36 PM BST
Devlin - you are the one who should go 'back to school' and learn spelling, punctuation and grammar.

p.s. If I had a system with a 90% strike rate, I would keep it to myself.
Report sweetchildofmine April 14, 2010 11:40 PM BST
DEVLIN-LFC 29 Mar 03:37

TRADING AND GREENING UP
im not familar with these terms wat do they mean
Report DEVLIN-LFC April 14, 2010 11:40 PM BST
against horses with bad form say 756 357 and the horse must have had performed over the distance before its not hard to turn a blind 70 into 90 if u can seperate the pretenders from the contenders i use the trainer part becuse as we know the best trainers get more winners example gates of rome today 14.55 at gowran park 211 last 3 starts cadsped and king of swords looked potetial horses to beat it the other horses looked no good davy russel 2nd best jock in country colin murphy 11th in trainers table
Report DEVLIN-LFC April 14, 2010 11:41 PM BST
its not really a system its just expert form judging
Report sweetchildofmine April 14, 2010 11:41 PM BST
DEVLIN-LFC 12 Apr 03:27


how much money would u need to make a day or week to call urself a pro
Report sweetchildofmine April 14, 2010 11:43 PM BST
DEVLIN-LFC 03 Apr 12:28


these people that says systems dont work are clueless and most systems that work are secret i know a football system thats 19 for 20 at the moment
Report DEVLIN-LFC April 14, 2010 11:44 PM BST
sweet child of mine im so stupid i dont know mathmatics
Report sweetchildofmine April 14, 2010 11:44 PM BST
CORRECT
Report DEVLIN-LFC April 14, 2010 11:45 PM BST
yeah shows how stupid u are u know ive proven u nwrong and all u can do is mock me do u want the football system
Report sweetchildofmine April 14, 2010 11:46 PM BST
DEVLIN-LFC 27 Mar 22:52


u ever get one of those days were nothing seems to go right no matter wat well the key is to come out stronger and learn from it ive had 3 losers today and 3 very basic stupid mistakes i know they will make me a stronger person and more determined wat counts is being in profit and thats wat counts ull take bumps along the way but thats life
Report sweetchildofmine April 14, 2010 11:47 PM BST
AND MY FAVOURITE........

DEVLIN-LFC 29 Mar 01:37


were are the wrestlemania markets
Report DEVLIN-LFC April 14, 2010 11:47 PM BST
sweet child of mine ur just a pathectic loser thats probably throwing ur money away and when someone shows a bit of knowledge u put them down go away u mug and bet on your dunguibs toow win lol
Report sweetchildofmine April 14, 2010 11:48 PM BST
one giant haystacks..theres only one giant haystacks ;)
Report DEVLIN-LFC April 14, 2010 11:48 PM BST
i mayn ask stupid questions for fun but imsure as hell smarter than u let me see your tips
Report sweetchildofmine April 14, 2010 11:50 PM BST
DEVLIN-LFC 22 Mar 16:58


anybody on here back or lay on the virtual horse racing
Report DEVLIN-LFC April 14, 2010 11:51 PM BST
weres your tips for tommorow
Report the morrow is yesterday's toda April 14, 2010 11:55 PM BST
^^WHERE'S YOURS|^|^^

VIRTUAL DEV
Report DEVLIN-LFC April 14, 2010 11:55 PM BST
i dont bet on virtual u mug
Report sweetchildofmine April 14, 2010 11:57 PM BST
DEVLIN-LFC 04 Apr 19:16


do pro gamblers not drink much if i was pro which think i could be as i have a system/know how how to read a race very good) would not drink at all true pros dont drink imo true pros are dedicated to thier profession
Report sweetchildofmine April 14, 2010 11:59 PM BST
DEVLIN-LFC 29 Mar 12:20


we got steepledowns the jumps course lucksin downs on the turf are there any all weather virtual courses i know its a daft question but just wanted to say
Report all over April 15, 2010 12:03 AM BST
ttt
Report Muqbil April 15, 2010 8:26 AM BST
This has the potential to develop into a Betfair classic thread :)
Report JamesBlakesHugeArse April 15, 2010 10:07 AM BST
I am glad I clicked on this thread
Report all over April 15, 2010 12:46 PM BST
ttt
Report sweetchildofmine April 15, 2010 11:02 PM BST
...
Report DaveEdwards April 15, 2010 11:04 PM BST
sweetchildofmine 14 Apr 23:30
calm down you raving loony..all im saying is you cant build a 90% strike rate on how many 1's, 2's and 3's are in the formlines..trainer in form or otherwise......now b.r.e.a.t.h.e
.......................................................................

Hahahaha
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