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Tennis.........Yes I can......

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By:
horselover777
When: 15 Mar 09 19:06
I backed

Haas 1.29

Wawrinka 1.53
By:
horselover777
When: 15 Mar 09 19:31
Kiefer= winner
By:
horselover777
When: 15 Mar 09 21:18
I backed

Melzer 1.73
By:
CurlyBlues
When: 15 Mar 09 21:42
Do you have any reasoning as to the selections you make? I notice you don't take every favourite between 1.25 and 1.89, so that would suggest that perhaps you do. If so, some reasoning why you make some of these selections would be good to read.
By:
horselover777
When: 15 Mar 09 22:00
backed

Monfils 1.33
By:
horselover777
When: 15 Mar 09 22:25
CurlyBlues 15 Mar 21:42


Do you have any reasoning as to the selections you make? I notice you don't take every favourite between 1.25 and 1.89, so that would suggest that perhaps you do. If so, some reasoning why you make some of these selections would be good to read.



you are right, I dont take every favourite between 1.25-1.89. nothing special behind. in general I dont want to have more than 3 matches at a time. to much to watch. I prefer to take matches that I can watch live. there are players I personal dont like or trust.
for example lets take Rainer Schuettler, I would never bet on him if he fits my selection as a favourite. but I would always bet against him, like today, if his opponent fits to my selection pricing. or Davidenko, I would never bet on him a favourite, but against him most of the time, depending on his opponent. I think that everyone has his own experience and has players whom he likes or not. but in general going with my system, it is never a mistake to take the favourite between 1.25-1.89. sometimes I even take a price like 1.11 if it is federer against a socalled nobody.

I hope I could answer your questions.

cheers
By:
horselover777
When: 15 Mar 09 22:53
Haas = scratch trade
I tried to green out in the 3rd set, but didnt succeed, only a part. scratch trade in 3rd set 4:4

Wawrinka = winner
By:
horselover777
When: 15 Mar 09 23:01
Monfils = scratch trade 1st set TB
By:
horselover777
When: 16 Mar 09 00:13
Melzer = winner

ok, thats for today, I have to get up early :(

cu tomorrow
By:
horselover777
When: 16 Mar 09 14:27
Yesterday result

Tennis: USD945.19 Total P&L: USD945.19


Tennis Showing 1 - 6 of 6 markets

Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss ($)
Tennis / Melzer v Dent : Match Odds 15-Mar-09 22:30 16-Mar-09 02:14 418.18
Tennis / Monfils v Isner : Match Odds 15-Mar-09 22:30 16-Mar-09 02:11 9.38
Tennis / Haas v Schuettler : Match Odds 15-Mar-09 21:15 16-Mar-09 01:00 5.46
Tennis / Seppi v Wawrinka : Match Odds 15-Mar-09 21:15 15-Mar-09 23:08 303.05
Tennis / Chardy v Fish : Match Odds 15-Mar-09 20:00 15-Mar-09 22:13 -8.16
Tennis / Kiefer v Reynolds : Match Odds 15-Mar-09 20:00 15-Mar-09 21:32 217.28


Tennis: -USD3,009.37 Total P&L: -USD3,009.37
By:
dlarssonf
When: 16 Mar 09 14:38
well done mate
By:
lukeyboy
When: 16 Mar 09 14:43
Aberdons, is that you??
By:
horselover777
When: 16 Mar 09 17:24
I backed

A.Radwanska 1.34

Pavlyuechenkova 1.29
By:
horselover777
When: 16 Mar 09 17:28
I backed

Kohlschreiber 1.30
By:
horselover777
When: 16 Mar 09 20:09
Kohlschreiber = scratch trade with little green

Radwanska = winner
By:
horselover777
When: 16 Mar 09 20:14
I backed

Gonzalez 1.68
By:
horselover777
When: 16 Mar 09 21:14
I backed

Verdasco 1.66
By:
horselover777
When: 16 Mar 09 22:39
Pavlyuechenkova = winner

Gonazalez = winner

Verdasco = winner
By:
horselover777
When: 16 Mar 09 22:58
I backed

Simon 1.34
By:
horselover777
When: 17 Mar 09 00:23
Simon = loser :(

backed

Dushevina 1.70
By:
horselover777
When: 17 Mar 09 00:29
backed

Cilic 1.60
By:
horselover777
When: 17 Mar 09 01:53
Dushevina = loser :(

Cilic = scratch trade
By:
nairda
When: 17 Mar 09 02:09
good luck horselover777
By:
Journeyman
When: 17 Mar 09 02:16
GOOD LUCK DANIELA - Believe, visualise, deliver
GOOD LUCK DANIELA - Believe, visualise, deliver
GOOD LUCK DANIELA - Believe, visualise, deliver


About 13 minutes to go
By:
horselover777
When: 17 Mar 09 02:33
I backed

Hantuchova 1.53
By:
horselover777
When: 17 Mar 09 04:38
Hantuchova =winner, greened out at 1.02
By:
horselover777
When: 17 Mar 09 10:35
Yesterday result


Tennis: -USD244.12 Total P&L: -USD244.12


Tennis Showing 1 - 9 of 9 markets

Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss ($)
Tennis / Hantuchova v Cetkovska : Match Odds 17-Mar-09 04:30 17-Mar-09 06:41 285.90
Tennis / Robredo v Cilic : Match Odds 17-Mar-09 01:00 17-Mar-09 04:38 24.69
Tennis / Dushevina v Bammer : Match Odds 17-Mar-09 00:45 17-Mar-09 03:48 -804.00
Tennis / Simon v Ljubicic : Match Odds 16-Mar-09 23:45 17-Mar-09 02:24 -930.00
Tennis / Gasquet v Verdasco : Match Odds 16-Mar-09 22:30 17-Mar-09 00:39 377.39
Tennis / Knapp v Pavlyuchenkova : Match Odds 16-Mar-09 21:15 16-Mar-09 23:41 165.82
Tennis / Blake v Gonzalez : Match Odds 16-Mar-09 22:00 16-Mar-09 23:19 388.82
Tennis / Kohlschreiber v N Lapentti : Match Odds 16-Mar-09 20:00 16-Mar-09 22:30 52.85
Tennis / A Radwanska v Wozniak : Match Odds 16-Mar-09 20:00 16-Mar-09 21:06 194.41


Tennis: -USD3,142.09 Total P&L: -USD3,142.09
By:
horselover777
When: 17 Mar 09 17:26
I backed

Wozniaki 1.25

Zvonareva 1.37
By:
MissingRibOfPrince
When: 17 Mar 09 17:31
Good luck, i am laying both and both happen to be at those prices too
By:
horselover777
When: 17 Mar 09 17:45
MissingRibOfPrince 17 Mar 17:31


Good luck, i am laying both and both happen to be at those prices too



no problem :) Good luck to you. even if Your selections are winner, I could have cratch trades. nobody knows the outcome if the mafia is not involved :)

beside this , the 2 selections are only 2 of many and if I dont take those, I cant add them to my stats.

cheers and best of luck for both of us in the long run :)
By:
horselover777
When: 17 Mar 09 17:54
MissingRibOfPrince 17 Mar 17:31


Good luck, i am laying both and both happen to be at those prices too


I forgot to ask you, do you keep those lays til end of the match or do you trade out inplay?

cheers
By:
MissingRibOfPrince
When: 17 Mar 09 18:48
I trade out in play usually. Out already on Woz with a win, but on Zvonareva with a loss.
By:
woolythetipster
When: 17 Mar 09 18:58
6 days ago i told you how to win at tennis .............. your following the masses, go agaisnt the grain ....... most gamblers lose




woolythetipster 11 Mar 22:04

JUST LAY THESE INSTEAD OF BACKING ;)
By:
MissingRibOfPrince
When: 17 Mar 09 18:59
Both favs he backed are winning at the moment
By:
woolythetipster
When: 17 Mar 09 19:03
but over the last 7 days he's down £3,000

at 1.3 he needs 75% strike rate.

Gambling is simple maths and i mpretty sure a lot of people on here havent quite grasped that yet.
By:
woolythetipster
When: 17 Mar 09 19:07
i have been back through this thread

WHY/HOW HAVE 7 OF YOUR BETS LOST £6,500?
By:
woolythetipster
When: 17 Mar 09 19:12
and your BIGGEST win is $400 .............. something not right here with your stakes or your exit strategy is letting you run your losses to long

It appears your betting £1000 then

1. scratching
2. let it ride either way
3. coming out for a 50% win
By:
MissingRibOfPrince
When: 17 Mar 09 19:40
My advice would be try and get out of the losses earlier, and while things are going well let it ride longer. Maybe others will see it differently.
By:
horselover777
When: 17 Mar 09 20:01
Wozniaki = winner closed the trade at 1.03

Zvonareva = winner
By:
horselover777
When: 17 Mar 09 20:23
woolythetipster 17 Mar 19:03


but over the last 7 days he's down £3,000

at 1.3 he needs 75% strike rate.

Gambling is simple maths and i mpretty sure a lot of people on here havent quite grasped that yet.


first of all thanks to MissingRibOfPrince and woolythetipster for trying to help. really appreciated.

every strategy will have down. so this is nothing special. can you imagine if I would be up 3000 right now? people would say this is another faker :) or this cant be true.

your point that I will need a strike rate of 75% is not true, because as I stated this before, you dont know my scratch strategy.
your point would be right, if I would bet prematch and exit after the match.

cheers
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