General Betting
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08 Mar 09
11:58
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Date Joined:
15 Nov 04
and if not, I have lost my bank and not Your's :)
ATP & WTA and only matches that go inplay.
I will post my selections in advance with the price I have got shortly before the start of the match.
My selections are without any analysis. I am sure that the tennis forum member Rome or some others here, could do much better than me with their good analysis. I personally read the Rome thread on daily base.
I will select only favourites with price 1.25 to 1.89
it is a mix of a prematch bet on the favourite, trying to predict the actual event.
the exit will be inplay with a discretionary trade, with keeping an eye on the quotes and the panic behaviour = price movements.
I will start with 600 prematch on the favourite and with a max loss limit at about +/- 1100
The aim is to exit inplay
with a win trade
with a scratch trade
with a loss trade (that is not avoidable) but this loss trade will be limited at about +/- 1100
please, there is no need to attack me if I lose or win. Please dont follow my selections, because You dont know my exit startegy.
So lets see how long it will take until my bank will be empty ........or the bank will grow and grow like Koo's bank :))
I back
Melzer 1.61
and
Sela 1.67
ATP & WTA and only matches that go inplay.
I will post my selections in advance with the price I have got shortly before the start of the match.
My selections are without any analysis. I am sure that the tennis forum member Rome or some others here, could do much better than me with their good analysis. I personally read the Rome thread on daily base.
I will select only favourites with price 1.25 to 1.89
it is a mix of a prematch bet on the favourite, trying to predict the actual event.
the exit will be inplay with a discretionary trade, with keeping an eye on the quotes and the panic behaviour = price movements.
I will start with 600 prematch on the favourite and with a max loss limit at about +/- 1100
The aim is to exit inplay
with a win trade
with a scratch trade
with a loss trade (that is not avoidable) but this loss trade will be limited at about +/- 1100
please, there is no need to attack me if I lose or win. Please dont follow my selections, because You dont know my exit startegy.
So lets see how long it will take until my bank will be empty ........or the bank will grow and grow like Koo's bank :))
I back
Melzer 1.61
and
Sela 1.67
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Replies: 1,468
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OK. good luck. Post your in running bets after the games, otherwise nobody will know what is going on.
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Can we comment that so far you haven't even taken the best prices available?
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Players will drift curlywurly, you can't catch 'em all
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curlywury? :0 , sorry curlyblues
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This is true but there's a fair difference in the widely available 1.72 earlier and the 1.67 taken. Anyway, just a comment.
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I backed Melzer against Schuettler, it is now suspended.
no bet on Melzer against Kiefer. |
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CurlyBlues 08 Mar 14:07
Can we comment that so far you haven't even taken the best prices available? this time you are right, butI cant get al hte time the best price. therefore I take the price shortly before the match starts. cheers |
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how much is your bank?
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dlarssonf 08 Mar 15:28
how much is your bank? 20 x 600 |
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best of luck
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dlarssonf 08 Mar 16:03
best of luck thank you closed the Sela trade inplay. I call it a scratch trade, although I am green111.40 on both |
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Any particular strategy behind your choices or will it always be favorite backing. I don't think you will beat commission long term either backing or laying, you need to play in running on tennis to win LONG TERM.You'll just have good weeks then bad weeks. Maybe others will disagree.
Larger price fluctuations in WTA than mens obviously. There are a couple of bigger tennis players,if you had posted this in the tennis forum u'd probably get better advise (along with a load of shyte too of course) |
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MissingRibOfPrince 08 Mar 16:07
Any particular strategy behind your choices or will it always be favorite backing. I don't think you will beat commission long term either backing or laying, you need to play in running on tennis to win LONG TERM.You'll just have good weeks then bad weeks. Maybe others will disagree. Larger price fluctuations in WTA than mens obviously. There are a couple of bigger tennis players,if you had posted this in the tennis forum u'd probably get better advise (along with a load of shyte too of course) pr4ematch will always be on the favorite with a price 1.25-1.89 but most of the exits are inplay. I posted the thread here, so there will be less sh..., like you mentioned it. thanks for the question cheers |
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to say there's no value before a match starts and that making a profit is impossible is insane. Take Dudi Sela he was matched for reasonable sums between 1.76 and 1.63 before the match started. Somewhere in that range there has to be value, and horselover could have taken a free shot at 13% before the match started. Ofcourse overtime this would require some idea what the price should be and he's already admitted he's not especially price sensitive so maybe not. Good luck nevertheless.
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back Tsonga 1.48
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Tsonga match cancelled, no bet.
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I back Na Li 1.82
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Tennis: USD111.40 Total P&L: USD111.40
Tennis Showing 1 - 1 of 1 markets Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss ($) Tennis / 4. T Johansson v Sela : Match Odds 08-Mar-09 14:00 08-Mar-09 17:12 111.40 |
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Backed C.Pin 1.34
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horse did you trade out on the lovely Li?
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CurlyBlues 09 Mar 16:55
horse did you trade out on the lovely Li? I looked for a scratch trade in the 2nd set, but I had to take the loss. I will paste the BF P&L at the end of the day. |
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Thats fine, was just wondering. Bartoli dished up two very good trading games in a row.
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I scratched the C. Pin trade. it looks delayed, but the quotes are running crazy in all directions.
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regarding the Pin trade- without SB no bet.
regarding the Li trade -after the loss of the 1st set I was looking to exit for a scratch trade. but I had no chance :( Tennis: -USD836.94 Total P&L: -USD836.94 Tennis Showing 1 - 2 of 2 markets Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss ($) Tennis / Pin v Klepac : Match Odds 09-Mar-09 19:00 09-Mar-09 22:33 39.06 Tennis / Li v Bartoli : Match Odds 09-Mar-09 00:30 09-Mar-09 02:13 -876.00 Tennis: -USD725.54 Total P&L: -USD725.54 |
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Backed Groth 1.41
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not the best start. now patience and discipline :)
Tennis: -USD493.17 Total P&L: -USD493.17 Tennis Showing 1 - 1 of 1 markets Market Start time Settled date Profit/loss ($) Tennis / Groth v Haynes : Match Odds 10-Mar-09 21:00 10-Mar-09 23:52 -493.17 Tennis: -USD1,218.71 Total P&L: -USD1,218.71 |
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By the looks of things you should stick to horses, horselover :)
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diddycoy 11 Mar 06:36
By the looks of things you should stick to horses, horselover this is exactly what I thought all the years :) but believe me, tennis is the way to go:) patience and discipline!!! cheers |
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"I will select only favourites with price 1.25 to 1.89"
ZZZzzz... Ever thought of trying to get a proper job? |
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borgboy 11 Mar 10:32
"I will select only favourites with price 1.25 to 1.89" ZZZzzz... Ever thought of trying to get a proper job? no problem with Your answer, but it would be nice if you would explain your point here. why should I try to get a job? I am retired and dont need a job :)) my only disadvantage is my age, because time is running out :) if I take your nick, it looks like like you have plenty of time :) best of luck for you cheers |
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hope you will make a lot of profit horselover :)
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parsia 11 Mar 10:52
hope you will make a lot of profit horselover very kind of you, thanks :) |
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I backed
Belluci 1.36 Peer 1.52 Dechy 1.75 |
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I backed Dubois 1.58
Peer = winner Dechy = closed the trade in 2nd set after the Dechy was broken for a scratch trade. |
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Bellucci = scratch trade in 2nd set.
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How did you do that. He has not come close to 1.36 in the second set judging by the graph
Have you taken a loss? |
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backed Dokic 1.27
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MissingRibOfPrince 11 Mar 20:11
How did you do that. He has not come close to 1.36 in the second set judging by the graph Have you taken a loss? you are 100% right, but as one can see in my first posting, that I didnt explain my exit strategy. this is exactly the point I dont want to speak about , at this stage. so please dont be angry with me. although I am sure that one can find out by following my postings. thanks for the question cheers |
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Dubois = loss
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